scholarly journals Implementation of an Improved Water Change Tracking (IWCT) Algorithm: Monitoring the Water Changes in Tianjin over 1984–2019 Using Landsat Time-Series Data

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 493
Author(s):  
Xingxing Han ◽  
Wei Chen ◽  
Bo Ping ◽  
Yong Hu
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Land Reclamation ◽  
Wetland Management ◽  
Northern China ◽  
Water Area ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Wetland Ecosystems ◽  
The Past ◽  
Similar Band

Tianjin is the largest open city along the coastline in Northern China, which has several important wetland ecosystems. However, no systematic study has assessed the water body changes over the past few decades for Tianjin, not to mention their response to human activities and climate change. Here, based on the water change tracking (WCT) algorithm, we proposed an improved water change tracking (IWCT) algorithm, which could remove built-up shade noise (account for 0.4%~6.0% of the final water area) and correct omitted water pixels (account for 1.1%~5.1% of the final water area) by taking the time-series data into consideration. The seasonal water product of the Global Surface Water Data (GSWD) was used to provide a comparison with the IWCT results. Significant changes in water bodies of the selected area in Tianjin were revealed from the time-series water maps. The permanent water area of Tianjin decreased 282.5 km2 from 1984 to 2019. Each time after the dried-up period, due to government policies, the land reclamation happened in Tuanbo Birds Nature Reserve (TBNR), and, finally, 12.6 km2 of the lake has been reclaimed. Meanwhile, 488.6 km2 of land has been reclaimed from the sea along the coastal zone in the past 16 years at a speed of 28.74 km2 yr−1 in the Binhai New Area (BHNA). The method developed in this study could be extended to other sensors which have similar band settings with Landsat; the products acquired in this study could provide fundamental reference for the wetland management in Tianjin.

scholarly journals Reconsidering the importance of the past in predator–prey models: both numerical and functional responses depend on delayed prey densities

2013 ◽  
Vol 280 (1768) ◽  
pp. 20131389 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiqiu Li ◽  
Andy Fenton ◽  
Lee Kettley ◽  
Phillip Roberts ◽  
David J. S. Montagnes
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Prey Abundance ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Functional Responses ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Predator Prey ◽  
The Past ◽  
Predator Prey Models ◽  
Underlying Mechanisms

We propose that delayed predator–prey models may provide superficially acceptable predictions for spurious reasons. Through experimentation and modelling, we offer a new approach: using a model experimental predator–prey system (the ciliates Didinium and Paramecium ), we determine the influence of past-prey abundance at a fixed delay (approx. one generation) on both functional and numerical responses (i.e. the influence of present : past-prey abundance on ingestion and growth, respectively). We reveal a nonlinear influence of past-prey abundance on both responses, with the two responding differently. Including these responses in a model indicated that delay in the numerical response drives population oscillations, supporting the accepted (but untested) notion that reproduction, not feeding, is highly dependent on the past. We next indicate how delays impact short- and long-term population dynamics. Critically, we show that although superficially the standard (parsimonious) approach to modelling can reasonably fit independently obtained time-series data, it does so by relying on biologically unrealistic parameter values. By contrast, including our fully parametrized delayed density dependence provides a better fit, offering insights into underlying mechanisms. We therefore present a new approach to explore time-series data and a revised framework for further theoretical studies.

scholarly journals Potensi dan Tantangan Pengembangan Sektor Unggulan di Kalimantan Barat

2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 94
Author(s):  
Dinarjad Achmad
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Water Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Water Area ◽  
Primary Objective ◽  
Series Data ◽  
West Kalimantan ◽  
The Earth ◽  
Descriptive Method ◽  
Land Water

The primary objective of this study was to analyze the potential and challenges of superior sectordevelopment in West Kalimantan. Superior sectors here interpreted as a sector that producesgoods that can be exported. Descriptive method and time series data for 7 years (2007- 2013) wasused as the tools and materials to perform the analysis.The results showed that the based on ofnatural resources (land, water area and the river, fill the earth) and geography, West Kalimantanhave a greater potential for superior sector development, but there are several challenges to thedevelopment potential of the superior sector, including: (1) resource human (HR) is still weak.(2) Infrastructure (electricity, gas and water supply, road and port export) are limited. (3)Marketing and networking is still weak 

scholarly journals Time-Series Causality with Missing Data

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-4
Author(s):  
Bo Yuan Chang ◽  
Mohamed A. Naiel ◽  
Steven Wardell ◽  
Stan Kleinikkink ◽  
John S. Zelek
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Missing Data ◽  
Missing Values ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Multivariate Time Series ◽  
Gaussian Process Regression ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Causal Relationships ◽  
Sampled Data ◽  
The Past

Over the past years, researchers have proposed various methods to discover causal relationships among time-series data as well as algorithms to fill in missing entries in time-series data. Little to no work has been done in combining the two strategies for the purpose of learning causal relationships using unevenly sampled multivariate time-series data. In this paper, we examine how the causal parameters learnt from unevenly sampled data (with missing entries) deviates from the parameters learnt using the evenly sampled data (without missing entries). However, to obtain the causal relationship from a given time-series requires evenly sampled data, which suggests filling the missing data values before obtaining the causal parameters. Therefore, the proposed method is based on applying a Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) model for missing data recovery, followed by several pairwise Granger causality equations in Vector Autoregssive form to fit the recovered data and obtain the causal parameters. Experimental results show that the causal parameters generated by using GPR data filling offers much lower RMSE than the dummy model (fill with last seen entry) under all missing values percentage, suggesting that GPR data filling can better preserve the causal relationships when compared with dummy data filling, thus should be considered when dealing with unevenly sampled time-series causality learning.

scholarly journals Estimating time-varying selection coefficients from time series data of allele frequencies

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iain Mathieson
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
East Asia ◽  
Ancient Dna ◽  
Experimental Evolution ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Natural Populations ◽  
Allele Frequencies ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Alcohol Metabolism ◽  
The Past

AbstractTime series data of allele frequencies are a powerful resource for detecting and classifying natural and artificial selection. Ancient DNA now allows us to observe these trajectories in natural populations of long-lived species such as humans. Here, we develop a hidden Markov model to infer selection coefficients that vary over time. We show through simulations that our approach can accurately estimate both selection coefficients and the timing of changes in selection. Finally, we analyze some of the strongest signals of selection in the human genome using ancient DNA. We show that the European lactase persistence mutation was selected over the past 5,000 years with a selection coefficient of 2-2.5% in Britain, Central Europe and Iberia, but not Italy. In northern East Asia, selection at the ADH1B locus associated with alcohol metabolism intensified around 4,000 years ago, approximately coinciding with the introduction of rice-based agriculture. Finally, a derived allele at the FADS locus was selected in parallel in both Europe and East Asia, as previously hypothesized. Our approach is broadly applicable to both natural and experimental evolution data and shows how time series data can be used to resolve fine-scale details of selection.

scholarly journals Relative Contribution of Greenhouse Gases and Ozone-Depleting Substances to Temperature Trends in the Stratosphere: A Chemistry–Climate Model Study

2010 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 28-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard S. Stolarski ◽  
Anne R. Douglass ◽  
Paul A. Newman ◽  
Steven Pawson ◽  
Mark R. Schoeberl
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Greenhouse Gases ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Temperature Time Series ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Future Evolution ◽  
The Past ◽  
Ozone Depleting Substances ◽  
Temperature Time

Abstract The temperature of the stratosphere has decreased over the past several decades. Two causes contribute to that decrease: well-mixed greenhouse gases (GHGs) and ozone-depleting substances (ODSs). This paper addresses the attribution of temperature decreases to these two causes and the implications of that attribution for the future evolution of stratospheric temperature. Time series analysis is applied to simulations of the Goddard Earth Observing System Chemistry–Climate Model (GEOS CCM) to separate the contributions of GHGs from those of ODSs based on their different time-dependent signatures. The analysis indicates that about 60%–70% of the temperature decrease of the past two decades in the upper stratosphere near 1 hPa and in the lower midlatitude stratosphere near 50 hPa resulted from changes attributable to ODSs, primarily through their impact on ozone. As ozone recovers over the next several decades, the temperature should continue to decrease in the middle and upper stratosphere because of GHG increases. The time series of observed temperature in the upper stratosphere is approaching the length needed to separate the effects of ozone-depleting substances from those of greenhouse gases using temperature time series data.

scholarly journals Likelihood Inference for Generalized Integer Autoregressive Time Series Models

Econometrics ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 43 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harry Joe
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Probability Generating Function ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Model Fit ◽  
Likelihood Inference ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Time Series Models ◽  
Autoregressive Time Series ◽  
The Past

For modeling count time series data, one class of models is generalized integer autoregressive of order p based on thinning operators. It is shown how numerical maximum likelihood estimation is possible by inverting the probability generating function of the conditional distribution of an observation given the past p observations. Two data examples are included and show that thinning operators based on compounding can substantially improve the model fit compared with the commonly used binomial thinning operator.

scholarly journals Polarimetric SAR Time-Series for Identification of Winter Land Use

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (24) ◽  
pp. 5574
Author(s):  
Julien Denize ◽  
Laurence Hubert-Moy ◽  
Eric Pottier
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
High Spatial Resolution ◽  
Synthetic Aperture ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Band Frequency ◽  
The Past ◽  
Land Use Types ◽  
L Band

In the past decade, high spatial resolution Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) sensors have provided information that contributed significantly to cropland monitoring. However, the specific configurations of SAR sensors (e.g., band frequency, polarization mode) used to identify land-use types remains underexplored. This study investigates the contribution of C/L-Band frequency, dual/quad polarization and the density of image time-series to winter land-use identification in an agricultural area of approximately 130 km² located in northwestern France. First, SAR parameters were derived from RADARSAT-2, Sentinel-1 and Advanced Land Observing Satellite 2 (ALOS-2) time-series, and one quad-pol and six dual-pol datasets with different spatial resolutions and densities were calculated. Then, land use was classified using the Random Forest algorithm with each of these seven SAR datasets to determine the most suitable SAR configuration for identifying winter land-use. Results highlighted that (i) the C-Band (F1-score 0.70) outperformed the L-Band (F1-score 0.57), (ii) quad polarization (F1-score 0.69) outperformed dual polarization (F1-score 0.59) and (iii) a dense Sentinel-1 time-series (F1-score 0.70) outperformed RADARSAT-2 and ALOS-2 time-series (F1-score 0.69 and 0.29, respectively). In addition, Shannon Entropy and SPAN were the SAR parameters most important for discriminating winter land-use. Thus, the results of this study emphasize the interest of using Sentinel-1 time-series data for identifying winter land-use.

scholarly journals A Review on Outlier/Anomaly Detection in Time Series Data

2021 ◽  
Vol 54 (3) ◽  
pp. 1-33
Author(s):  
Ane Blázquez-García ◽  
Angel Conde ◽  
Usue Mori ◽  
Jose A. Lozano
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Outlier Detection ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
State Of The Art ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Detection Techniques ◽  
The Past ◽  
Time Series Mining ◽  
Detection Of Outliers ◽  
Unsupervised Outlier Detection

Recent advances in technology have brought major breakthroughs in data collection, enabling a large amount of data to be gathered over time and thus generating time series. Mining this data has become an important task for researchers and practitioners in the past few years, including the detection of outliers or anomalies that may represent errors or events of interest. This review aims to provide a structured and comprehensive state-of-the-art on unsupervised outlier detection techniques in the context of time series. To this end, a taxonomy is presented based on the main aspects that characterize an outlier detection technique.

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