scholarly journals Toward Robust Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring via Probability Model Framed Ensemble Method

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (21) ◽  
pp. 7272
Author(s):  
Yu Liu ◽  
Yan Wang ◽  
Yu Hong ◽  
Qianyun Shi ◽  
Shan Gao ◽  
...  

As a pivotal technological foundation for smart home implementation, non-intrusive load monitoring is emerging as a widely recognized and popular technology to replace the sensors or sockets networks for the detailed household appliance monitoring. In this paper, a probability model framed ensemble method is proposed for the target of robust appliance monitoring. Firstly, the non-intrusive load disaggregation-oriented ensemble architecture is presented. Then, dictionary learning model is utilized to formulate the individual classifier, while the sparse coding-based approach is capable of providing multiple solutions under greedy mechanism. Furthermore, a fully probabilistic model is established for combined classifier, where the candidate solutions are all labelled with probability scores and evaluated via two-stage decision-making. The proposed method is tested on both low-voltage network simulator platform and field measurement datasets, and the results show that the proposed ensemble method always guarantees an enhancement on the performance of non-intrusive load disaggregation. Besides, the proposed approach shows high flexibility and scalability in classification model selection. Therefore, by initializing the architecture and approach of ensemble method-based NILM, this work plays a pioneer role in using ensemble method to improve the robustness and reliability of non-intrusive appliance monitoring.

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (22) ◽  
pp. 7750
Author(s):  
Yu Liu ◽  
Qianyun Shi ◽  
Yan Wang ◽  
Xin Zhao ◽  
Shan Gao ◽  
...  

Acting as a virtual sensor network for household appliance energy use monitoring, non-intrusive load monitoring is emerging as the technical basis for refined electricity analysis as well as home energy management. Aiming for robust and reliable monitoring, the ensemble approach has been expected in load disaggregation, but the obstacles of design difficulty and computational inefficiency still exist. To address this, an ensemble design integrated with multi-heterogeneity is proposed for non-intrusive energy use disaggregation in this paper. Firstly, the idea of utilizing a heterogeneous design is presented, and the corresponding ensemble framework for load disaggregation is established. Then, a sparse coding model is allocated for individual classifiers, and the combined classifier is diversified by introducing different distance and similarity measures without consideration of sparsity, forming mutually heterogeneous classifiers. Lastly, a multiple-evaluations-based decision process is fine-tuned following the interactions of multi-heterogeneous committees, and finally deployed as the decision maker. Through verifications on both a low-voltage network simulator and a field measurement dataset, the proposed approach is demonstrated to be effective in enhancing load disaggregation performance robustly. By appropriately introducing the heterogeneous design into the ensemble approach, load monitoring improvements are observed with reduced computational burden, which stimulates research enthusiasm in investigating valid ensemble strategies for practical non-intrusive load monitoring implementations.


Author(s):  
Alaa Khudhair Abbas ◽  
Ali Khalil Salih ◽  
Harith A. Hussein ◽  
Qasim Mohammed Hussein ◽  
Saba Alaa Abdulwahhab

Twitter social media data generally uses ambiguous text that can cause difficulty in identifying positive or negative sentiments. There are more than one billion social media messages that need to be stored in a proper database and processed correctly to analyze them. In this paper, an ensemble majority vote classifier to enhance sentiment classification performance and accuracy is proposed. The proposed classification model is combined with four classifiers, using varying techniques—naive Bayes, decision trees, multilayer perceptron and logistic regression—to form a single ensemble classifier. In addition to these, a comparison is drawn among the four classifiers to evaluate the performance of the individual classifiers. The result shows that in terms of an individual classifier, the naive Bayes classifier is optimal as compared to the others. However, for comparing the proposed ensemble majority vote classifier with the four individual classifiers, the result illustrates that the performance of the proposed classifier is better than the independent one.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (24) ◽  
pp. 5363 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. Mehedi Hasan ◽  
Dhiman Chowdhury ◽  
Md. Ziaur Rahman Khan

Using a single-point sensor, non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM) discerns the individual electrical appliances of a residential or commercial building by disaggregating the accumulated energy consumption data without accessing to the individual components. To classify devices, potential features need to be extracted from the electrical signatures. In this article, a novel features extraction method based on current shapelets is proposed. Time-series current shapelets are determined from the normalized current data recorded from different devices. In general, shapelets can be defined as the subsequences constituting the most distinguished shapes of a time-series sequence from a particular class and can be used to discern the class among many subsequences from different classes. In this work, current envelopes are determined from the original current data by locating and connecting the peak points for each sample. Then, a unique approach is proposed to extract shapelets from the starting phase (device is turned on) of the time-series current envelopes. Subsequences windowed from the starting moment to a few seconds of stable device operation are taken into account. Based on these shapelets, a multi-class classification model consisting of five different supervised algorithms is developed. The performance evaluations corroborate the efficacy of the proposed framework.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (22) ◽  
pp. 6069
Author(s):  
Sajjad Haider ◽  
Peter Schegner

It is important to understand the effect of increasing electric vehicles (EV) penetrations on the existing electricity transmission infrastructure and to find ways to mitigate it. While, the easiest solution is to opt for equipment upgrades, the potential for reducing overloading, in terms of voltage drops, and line loading by way of optimization of the locations at which EVs can charge, is significant. To investigate this, a heuristic optimization approach is proposed to optimize EV charging locations within one feeder, while minimizing nodal voltage drops, cable loading and overall cable losses. The optimization approach is compared to typical unoptimized results of a monte-carlo analysis. The results show a reduction in peak line loading in a typical benchmark 0.4 kV by up to 10%. Further results show an increase in voltage available at different nodes by up to 7 V in the worst case and 1.5 V on average. Optimization for a reduction in transmission losses shows insignificant savings for subsequent simulation. These optimization methods may allow for the introduction of spatial pricing across multiple nodes within a low voltage network, to allow for an electricity price for EVs independent of temporal pricing models already in place, to reflect the individual impact of EVs charging at different nodes across the network.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gerardo Chowell ◽  
Ruiyan Luo

AbstractBackgroundEnsemble modeling aims to boost the forecasting performance by systematically integrating the predictive accuracy across individual models. Here we introduce a simple-yet-powerful ensemble methodology for forecasting the trajectory of dynamic growth processes that are defined by a system of non-linear differential equations with applications to infectious disease spread.MethodsWe propose and assess the performance of two ensemble modeling schemes with different parametric bootstrapping procedures for trajectory forecasting and uncertainty quantification. Specifically, we conduct sequential probabilistic forecasts to evaluate their forecasting performance using simple dynamical growth models with good track records including the Richards model, the generalized-logistic growth model, and the Gompertz model. We first test and verify the functionality of the method using simulated data from phenomenological models and a mechanistic transmission model. Next, the performance of the method is demonstrated using a diversity of epidemic datasets including scenario outbreak data of theEbola Forecasting Challengeand real-world epidemic data outbreaks of including influenza, plague, Zika, and COVID-19.ResultsWe found that the ensemble method that randomly selects a model from the set of individual models for each time point of the trajectory of the epidemic frequently outcompeted the individual models as well as an alternative ensemble method based on the weighted combination of the individual models and yields broader and more realistic uncertainty bounds for the trajectory envelope, achieving not only better coverage rate of the 95% prediction interval but also improved mean interval scores across a diversity of epidemic datasets.ConclusionOur new methodology for ensemble forecasting outcompete component models and an alternative ensemble model that differ in how the variance is evaluated for the generation of the prediction intervals of the forecasts.


SLEEP ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arun Sebastian ◽  
Peter A Cistulli ◽  
Gary Cohen ◽  
Philip de Chazal

Abstract Study objectives Acoustic analysis of isolated events and snoring by previous researchers suggests a correlation between individual acoustic features and individual site of collapse events. In this study, we hypothesised that multi-parameter evaluation of snore sounds during natural sleep would provide a robust prediction of the predominant site of airway collapse. Methods The audio signals of 58 OSA patients were recorded simultaneously with full night polysomnography. The site of collapse was determined by manual analysis of the shape of the airflow signal during hypopnoea events and corresponding audio signal segments containing snore were manually extracted and processed. Machine learning algorithms were developed to automatically annotate the site of collapse of each hypopnoea event into three classes (lateral wall, palate and tongue-base). The predominant site of collapse for a sleep period was determined from the individual hypopnoea annotations and compared to the manually determined annotations. This was a retrospective study that used cross-validation to estimate performance. Results Cluster analysis showed that the data fits well in two clusters with a mean silhouette coefficient of 0.79 and an accuracy of 68% for classifying tongue/non-tongue collapse. A classification model using linear discriminants achieved an overall accuracy of 81% for discriminating tongue/non-tongue predominant site of collapse and accuracy of 64% for all site of collapse classes. Conclusions Our results reveal that the snore signal during hypopnoea can provide information regarding the predominant site of collapse in the upper airway. Therefore, the audio signal recorded during sleep could potentially be used as a new tool in identifying the predominant site of collapse and consequently improving the treatment selection and outcome.


Author(s):  
Yasin Görmez ◽  
◽  
Yunus E. Işık ◽  
Mustafa Temiz ◽  
Zafer Aydın

Sentiment analysis is the process of determining the attitude or the emotional state of a text automatically. Many algorithms are proposed for this task including ensemble methods, which have the potential to decrease error rates of the individual base learners considerably. In many machine learning tasks and especially in sentiment analysis, extracting informative features is as important as developing sophisticated classifiers. In this study, a stacked ensemble method is proposed for sentiment analysis, which systematically combines six feature extraction methods and three classifiers. The proposed method obtains cross-validation accuracies of 89.6%, 90.7% and 67.2% on large movie, Turkish movie and SemEval-2017 datasets, respectively, outperforming the other classifiers. The accuracy improvements are shown to be statistically significant at the 99% confidence level by performing a Z-test.


Perception ◽  
1996 ◽  
Vol 25 (1_suppl) ◽  
pp. 78-78 ◽  
Author(s):  
M Jüttner ◽  
I Rentschler ◽  
A Unzicker

The classification behaviour of human observers with respect to compound Gabor signals was tested at foveal and extrafoveal retinal positions. Classification performance was analysed in terms of a probabilistic classification model recently proposed by Rentschler, Jüttner, and Caelli (1994 Vision Research34 669 – 687). The analysis allows inferences about structure and dimensionality of the individual internal representations underlying the classification task and their temporal evolution during the learning process. With this technique it was found that the internal representations of direct and eccentric viewing are intrinsically incommensurable in the sense that extrafoveal pattern representations are characterised by a lower perceptual dimension in feature space relative to the corresponding physical input signals, whereas foveal representations are not (Jüttner and Rentschler, 1996 Vision Research in press). We then addressed the question to what extent observers are capable of generalising class concepts that have been acquired at one particular retinal location to other retinal sites. We found partial generalisation with respect to spatial translation across the visual field. Moreover, there is, in the case of extrafoveal learning, a distinct asymmetry in performance with respect to the visual hemifield in which the signals were originally learned. The latter finding can be related to functional hemispheric specialisation in pattern learning and recognition.


Pharmaceutics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (9) ◽  
pp. 877
Author(s):  
Cosima Hirschberg ◽  
Magnus Edinger ◽  
Else Holmfred ◽  
Jukka Rantanen ◽  
Johan Boetker

Mimicking the human decision-making process is challenging. Especially, many process control situations during the manufacturing of pharmaceuticals are based on visual observations and related experience-based actions. The aim of the present work was to investigate the use of image analysis to classify the quality of coated tablets. Tablets with an increasing amount of coating solution were imaged by fast scanning using a conventional office scanner. A segmentation routine was implemented to the images, allowing the extraction of numeric image-based information from individual tablets. The image preprocessing was performed prior to utilization of four different classification techniques for the individual tablet images. The support vector machine (SVM) technique performed superior compared to a convolutional neural network (CNN) in relation to computational time, and this approach was also slightly better at classifying the tablets correctly. The fastest multivariate method was partial least squares (PLS) regression, but this method was hampered by the inferior classification accuracy of the tablets. Finally, it was possible to create a numerical threshold classification model with an accuracy comparable to the SVM approach, so it is evident that there exist multiple valid options for classifying coated tablets.


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