scholarly journals Spatiotemporal Variations and Risk Analysis of Chinese Typhoon Disasters

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 2278
Author(s):  
Fang Chen ◽  
Huicong Jia ◽  
Enyu Du ◽  
Lei Wang ◽  
Ning Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Scientific Evidence ◽  
Hazard Index ◽  
Storm Surges ◽  
Scientific Basis ◽  
Zonal Distribution ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
Risk Levels ◽  
High Hazard ◽  
Marine Disasters ◽  
High Winds

Typhoons are a product of air-sea interaction, which are often accompanied by high winds, heavy rains, and storm surges. It is significant to master the characteristics and pattern of typhoon activity for typhoon warning and disaster prevention and mitigation. We used the Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) index as the hazard index; the probability of exceeding, or reaching, return period or exceeding a certain threshold was used to describe the probability of hazard occurrence. The results show that the overall spatial distribution of typhoon hazards conforms to a northeast-southwest zonal distribution, decreasing from the southeast coast to the northwest. Across the six typical provinces of China assessed here, data show that Hainan possesses the highest hazard risk. Hazard index is relatively high, mainly distributed between 0.005 and 0.015, while the probability of exceeding a hazard index greater than 0.015 is 0.15. In light of the four risk levels assessed here, the hazard index that accounts for the largest component of the study area is mainly distributed up to 0.0010, all mild hazard levels. Guangdong, Guangxi, Hainan, Fujian, Zhejiang, and Jiangsu as well as six other provinces and autonomous regions are all areas with high hazard risks. The research results can provide important scientific evidence for the sustainable development of China’s coastal provinces and cities. The outcomes of this study may also provide the scientific basis for the future prevention and mitigation of marine disasters as well as the rationalization of related insurance.

scholarly journals Zero Tolerance of Children’s Sexual Abuse from Interreligious Dialogue

Religions ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 549
Author(s):  
Cristina M. Pulido ◽  
Ana Vidu ◽  
Roseli Rodrigues de Mello ◽  
Esther Oliver
Keyword(s):  
Sexual Abuse ◽  
Child Sexual Abuse ◽  
Sustainable Development Goals ◽  
Scientific Evidence ◽  
Prevention Programs ◽  
Interreligious Dialogue ◽  
Religious Communities ◽  
Sexual Abuse Prevention ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
Development Goals

Child sexual abuse is a social problem that concerns our societies. The sustainable development goals have highlighted the eradication of child sexual abuse as one of the highest-priority goals of this century. Breaking the silence within religious communities is an essential step going forward. Therefore, establishing a dialogue between people of different religions is crucial to achieving this goal. The purpose of this article is to explore whether there are current interreligious dialogue initiatives based on scientific recommendations to prevent child sexual abuse. The method used herein is a qualitative document analysis of the selected initiatives. The results indicate that interreligious dialogue initiatives include scientific recommendations in their prevention programs. Furthermore, these successful initiatives connect religious values and the need to support victims and to break their silence. Based on these results, it can be concluded that interreligious initiatives for child sexual abuse prevention programs based on scientific evidence are crucial in order to eradicate child sexual abuse.

Scientific basis of the System for Analysis of Validity in Evaluation: The SAVE Metaprotocol.

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 3679-3684
Author(s):  
Antonio Domínguez-Muñoz
Keyword(s):  
Disability Pension ◽  
Scientific Evidence ◽  
Daily Practice ◽  
Scientific Basis ◽  
Third Party ◽  
Significant Advance ◽  
Fraud Triangle ◽  
Clinical Context ◽  
Academic Knowledge ◽  
Flexible Application

There are multiple situations, often related to the administrative or judicial field, in which it is necessary to use a healthy skepticism, to question the validity of an assertion, appealing to the evidence that can prove or disprove it. (Shermer, 2008). From a child custody issue to facing a harsh criminal conviction, to applying for a disability pension or obtaining an indemnity in an insurance context; in all of them, there is the opportunity to use deception for one's own benefit, harming a third party, through fraud. As we know, opportunity, together with prior motivation or incentive and subsequent justification, constitute the classic fraud triangle proposed by Cressey (1961).             This questioning of the validity of the case understood as its accuracy or correspondence with what it pretends to be and independently of its various types, is only possible from a method of analysis based on scientific evidence that benefits from using a system ordered by rules for the investigation - which we know as a protocol (Amezcua, 2000) - as well as a multiple approaches (Campbell and Fiske, 1959) that is proportionate to a conception of the detection and demonstration of deception from the approach of complexity (Cardozo, 2011). If, in addition, such a system was sufficiently flexible to be useful in the daily practice of the various fields in which it may be necessary to use it, it could represent a significant advance in this area.             These, together with those of Behavior Analysis in Ethology, Criminology, and Psychology, are the initial theoretical bases on which the System of Analysis of Validity in Evaluation (SAVE) is designed, establishing four phases in two domains of multiple and orderly but flexible application, to scientifically question the validity of a case and provide it with consistency and even legal value when appropriate. Although SAVE was born in a clinical context (Domínguez-Muñoz et al., 2014) its main area of knowledge is the study of lying and deception, an area in which there is a large bibliography, somewhat dispersed among various disciplines, which must be incorporated as a source of academic knowledge for its use in the applied field (Domínguez-Muñoz et al., 2017).    

scholarly journals Assessing Avalanche-Risk Levels on Walking Tracks in Fiordland, New Zealand

1989 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
pp. 231-236
Author(s):  
I.F. Owens ◽  
B.B. Fitzharris
Keyword(s):  
New Zealand ◽  
Hazard Index ◽  
Late Nineteenth Century ◽  
Historical Records ◽  
Risk Levels ◽  
Scenic Beauty ◽  
Avalanche Hazard ◽  
South West ◽  
Large Numbers ◽  
Late Nineteenth

Walking tracks which cross relatively rugged avalanche-prone terrain are becoming increasingly popular in New Zealand. Consequently, there exists the need to develop a methodology by which it will be possible objectively to assess the avalanche hazard in the vicinity of the tracks. This paper outlines some procedures that have been used to map avalanche paths, and introduces modifications to an internationally used highway hazard index employed to quantify the danger to walkers. The Fiordland region of south-west New Zealand is an area of spectacular scenic beauty, made famous by the Milford Track which has been walked by large numbers of tourists since the late nineteenth century. In recent years, avalanches have killed one person on the track, severely damaged a lodge, and destroyed several small bridges. Other walking tracks have been opened to tourists in this century and one of these, the Routeburn Track, is included in this study. Avalanche paths which affected the Milford and Routeburn Tracks were mapped in the field using well-established techniques and applying the results of previous research on the Milford Road, where historical records are available for a period of 50 years. The risk to walkers was assessed with a hazard index which depends on frequency of avalanches, numbers of paths, time taken to traverse each path, and numbers of walkers using the track. Results indicate that the avalanche hazard is low to moderate on the Milford Track and moderate on the Routeburn Track. The management implications of these findings are outlined.

scholarly journals ASSESSMENT OF VULNERABILITY IN AGRICULTURAL LAND IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS AND APPLICATION OF MOBILE SMART PHONE IN PROVIDING FLOOD HAZARD INFORMATION IN LAM RIVER BASIN (VIETNAM)

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 254-264
Author(s):  
Nguyen DUNG ◽  
◽  
Dang MINH ◽  
Bui AN ◽  
Nguyen NGA ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
River Basin ◽  
Agricultural Land ◽  
Flood Hazard ◽  
Smart Phone ◽  
Flood Management ◽  
Drainage Density ◽  
Slope Length ◽  
Risk Levels ◽  
High Hazard ◽  
Very High

Floods are considered to be one of the most costly natural hazards in the Lam river basin causing infrastructure damages as well as devastating the affected area and relatively high death toll. So prevention is necessary for shielding lives and properties. The flood management on the Lam River basin has been considering for many years to minimize damages caused by flooding. The flood hazard zoning map is one of the indispensable tools to provide information about hazard and risk levels in a particular area and to perform the necessary preventive and preparedness procedures. The multicriteria decision analysis based on geographic information systems is used to build a flood hazard map of the study area. The analytic hierarchy process is applied to extract the weights of six criteria affecting the areas where are prone to flooding hazards, including rainfall, slope, relative slope length, soil, land cover, and drainage density. The results showed in 91.32 % (20103.83 km2) of the basin located in the moderate hazard zones to very high hazard zones. Accordingly, this study also determined 4 vulnerability levels to agricultural land including low, medium, high, and very high. About 94% of the total area of agricultural land in the basin are classified into moderate to the very high hazard of flood vulnerability. The paper presents a method that allows flood risk areas in the Lam River basin to receive information about flood risks on a smartphone, making them more aware.

scholarly journals Assessing Avalanche-Risk Levels on Walking Tracks in Fiordland, New Zealand

1989 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
pp. 231-236 ◽  
Author(s):  
I.F. Owens ◽  
B.B. Fitzharris
Keyword(s):  
New Zealand ◽  
Hazard Index ◽  
Late Nineteenth Century ◽  
Historical Records ◽  
Risk Levels ◽  
Scenic Beauty ◽  
Avalanche Hazard ◽  
South West ◽  
Large Numbers ◽  
Late Nineteenth

Walking tracks which cross relatively rugged avalanche-prone terrain are becoming increasingly popular in New Zealand. Consequently, there exists the need to develop a methodology by which it will be possible objectively to assess the avalanche hazard in the vicinity of the tracks. This paper outlines some procedures that have been used to map avalanche paths, and introduces modifications to an internationally used highway hazard index employed to quantify the danger to walkers. The Fiordland region of south-west New Zealand is an area of spectacular scenic beauty, made famous by the Milford Track which has been walked by large numbers of tourists since the late nineteenth century. In recent years, avalanches have killed one person on the track, severely damaged a lodge, and destroyed several small bridges. Other walking tracks have been opened to tourists in this century and one of these, the Routeburn Track, is included in this study. Avalanche paths which affected the Milford and Routeburn Tracks were mapped in the field using well-established techniques and applying the results of previous research on the Milford Road, where historical records are available for a period of 50 years. The risk to walkers was assessed with a hazard index which depends on frequency of avalanches, numbers of paths, time taken to traverse each path, and numbers of walkers using the track. Results indicate that the avalanche hazard is low to moderate on the Milford Track and moderate on the Routeburn Track. The management implications of these findings are outlined.

scholarly journals Evolution of the northern Fujian coast under the impact of natural and anthropogenic forces, 1976–2017: an analysis of coastal monitoring and satellite images

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 72-86 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuai Cong ◽  
Xiao Wu ◽  
Yong Zhang ◽  
Biying Xue ◽  
Houjie Wang
Keyword(s):  
Storm Surges ◽  
High Water ◽  
Scientific Basis ◽  
Extreme Weather Events ◽  
Coastal Protection ◽  
Coastal Monitoring ◽  
Practical Applications ◽  
Coastal Profile ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Sand Extraction

The province of Fujian on China’s southeast coast is severely impacted by typhoons. Based on coastal profile monitoring and 40 years of satellite data, this paper analyzed the response of coastal profiles to natural and anthropogenic forces along the northern part of Fujian’s coast. Results indicated that the pattern of coastal evolution differed largely on cross-shore profiles and longshore coastlines. Only a few sandy coasts were severely affected by extreme weather events in summer, such as typhoons and storm surges, which may result from the wind direction relative to the coast. The cross-shore profiles changed drastically while the mean high-water coastline remained stable. In contrast, anthropogenic forces had a dual effect due to artificial sand extraction and reclamation. Artificial sand extraction usually occurred on sandy coasts, resulting in a decrease in some local surface profiles of tens of centimeters to metres in two years. Reclamation had the main impact on muddy coasts, especially in bays, causing seaward progradation during the past 40 years. The impacts of human activities on muddy coasts were far greater than natural factors. Findings from our coastal monitoring study for both sandy and muddy coasts provide an important scientific basis for practical applications, such as Fujian coastal protection, coastal zone exploitation, and utilization planning.

Definition of Torture in US Law

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Metin Başoğlu
Keyword(s):  
Learned Helplessness ◽  
Scientific Evidence ◽  
Scientific Basis ◽  
Committee Report ◽  
The Us ◽  
Interrogation Techniques ◽  
Us Senate ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Enhanced Interrogation ◽  
Torture Memos

In the light of the US Senate Intelligence Committee Report on the Central Intelligence Agency’s detention and interrogation program confirming the use of “enhanced interrogation techniques” to induce “learned helplessness” in detainees, this chapter reviews the scientific basis for the US definition of torture and its interpretation in the “Torture Memos.” These memoranda clearly indicate that “enhanced interrogation techniques” are designed for use in combination with specific intent to induce learned helplessness. Abundant research evidence shows that learned helplessness is mental harm that is severe enough to qualify as torture even by US standards. Although the US definition of torture seems to create potential loopholes for impunity, it suffers from certain logical inconsistencies, scientifically unfounded assumptions, and perhaps even “loopholes” that may well render legal cover for use of “enhanced interrogation techniques” difficult, if not impossible—at least not possible in a way that can be justified by logical reasoning or scientific evidence.

Study on Risk Analysis and Control of Oil Tank Based on Environmental Safety

2012 ◽  
Vol 260-261 ◽  
pp. 882-886
Author(s):  
Qi Dong Yong ◽  
Yang Chen ◽  
Yao Wang
Keyword(s):  
Risk Analysis ◽  
Risk Control ◽  
Environmental Safety ◽  
Scientific Basis ◽  
Risk Levels ◽  
Concept Model ◽  
Oil Tank ◽  
Oil Tanks ◽  
And Control ◽  
Medium Storage

Risk analysis and calculation about different position from oil tank, is to supply the scientific basis on risk control and design of precaution device. The risk factors of the oil tank as the start is analyzed, and risk concept model under several uncertain influences of storage medium, storage amount, newness extent,distance among oil tanks and environment is established;the different position of oil tank risk calculation models and their risk levels precaution method under single tank coupled with several tanks are put forward. According to the case simulated, the method can be used in risk control.

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