scholarly journals Prospective Methodologies in Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems for Energy Prediction Using Artificial Neural Networks

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 2393
Author(s):  
Md Mijanur Rahman ◽  
Mohammad Shakeri ◽  
Sieh Kiong Tiong ◽  
Fatema Khatun ◽  
Nowshad Amin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Energy Forecasting ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Hybrid Renewable Energy

This paper presents a comprehensive review of machine learning (ML) based approaches, especially artificial neural networks (ANNs) in time series data prediction problems. According to literature, around 80% of the world’s total energy demand is supplied either through fuel-based sources such as oil, gas, and coal or through nuclear-based sources. Literature also shows that a shortage of fossil fuels is inevitable and the world will face this problem sooner or later. Moreover, the remote and rural areas that suffer from not being able to reach traditional grid power electricity need alternative sources of energy. A “hybrid-renewable-energy system” (HRES) involving different renewable resources can be used to supply sustainable power in these areas. The uncertain nature of renewable energy resources and the intelligent ability of the neural network approach to process complex time series inputs have inspired the use of ANN methods in renewable energy forecasting. Thus, this study aims to study the different data driven models of ANN approaches that can provide accurate predictions of renewable energy, like solar, wind, or hydro-power generation. Various refinement architectures of neural networks, such as “multi-layer perception” (MLP), “recurrent-neural network” (RNN), and “convolutional-neural network” (CNN), as well as “long-short-term memory” (LSTM) models, have been offered in the applications of renewable energy forecasting. These models are able to perform short-term time-series prediction in renewable energy sources and to use prior information that influences its value in future prediction.

scholarly journals NEURAL NETWORK FORECASTING OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION OF A METALLURGICAL ENTERPRISE

2021 ◽  
pp. 14-22
Author(s):  
Anna Bakurova ◽  
Olesia Yuskiv ◽  
Dima Shyrokorad ◽  
Anton Riabenko ◽  
Elina Tereschenko
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Metallurgical Enterprise ◽  
Input Information ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural

The subject of the research is the methods of constructing and training neural networks as a nonlinear modeling apparatus for solving the problem of predicting the energy consumption of metallurgical enterprises. The purpose of this work is to develop a model for forecasting the consumption of the power system of a metallurgical enterprise and its experimental testing on the data available for research of PJSC "Dneprospetsstal". The following tasks have been solved: analysis of the time series of power consumption; building a model with the help of which data on electricity consumption for a historical period is processed; building the most accurate forecast of the actual amount of electricity for the day ahead; assessment of the forecast quality. Methods used: time series analysis, neural network modeling, short-term forecasting of energy consumption in the metallurgical industry. The results obtained: to develop a model for predicting the energy consumption of a metallurgical enterprise based on artificial neural networks, the MATLAB complex with the Neural Network Toolbox was chosen. When conducting experiments, based on the available statistical data of a metallurgical enterprise, a selection of architectures and algorithms for learning neural networks was carried out. The best results were shown by the feedforward and backpropagation network, architecture with nonlinear autoregressive and learning algorithms: Levenberg-Marquard nonlinear optimization, Bayesian Regularization method and conjugate gradient method. Another approach, deep learning, is also considered, namely the neural network with long short-term memory LSTM and the adam learning algorithm. Such a deep neural network allows you to process large amounts of input information in a short time and build dependencies with uninformative input information. The LSTM network turned out to be the most effective among the considered neural networks, for which the indicator of the maximum prediction error had the minimum value. Conclusions: analysis of forecasting results using the developed models showed that the chosen approach with experimentally selected architectures and learning algorithms meets the necessary requirements for forecast accuracy when developing a forecasting model based on artificial neural networks. The use of models will allow automating high-precision operational hourly forecasting of energy consumption in market conditions. Keywords: energy consumption; forecasting; artificial neural network; time series.

Artificial neural networks for short-term energy forecasting: Accuracy and economic value

1998 ◽  
Vol 23 (1-3) ◽  
pp. 71-84 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin F Hobbs ◽  
Udi Helman ◽  
Suradet Jitprapaikulsarn ◽  
Sreenivas Konda ◽  
Dominic Maratukulam
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Economic Value ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Energy Forecasting ◽  
Forecasting Accuracy ◽  
Term Energy ◽  
Artificial Neural

scholarly journals Software Design Challenges in Time Series Prediction Systems Using Parallel Implementation of Artificial Neural Networks

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Narayanan Manikandan ◽  
Srinivasan Subha
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Financial Analysis ◽  
Parallel Implementation ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Artificial Neural

Software development life cycle has been characterized by destructive disconnects between activities like planning, analysis, design, and programming. Particularly software developed with prediction based results is always a big challenge for designers. Time series data forecasting like currency exchange, stock prices, and weather report are some of the areas where an extensive research is going on for the last three decades. In the initial days, the problems with financial analysis and prediction were solved by statistical models and methods. For the last two decades, a large number of Artificial Neural Networks based learning models have been proposed to solve the problems of financial data and get accurate results in prediction of the future trends and prices. This paper addressed some architectural design related issues for performance improvement through vectorising the strengths of multivariate econometric time series models and Artificial Neural Networks. It provides an adaptive approach for predicting exchange rates and it can be called hybrid methodology for predicting exchange rates. This framework is tested for finding the accuracy and performance of parallel algorithms used.

scholarly journals Forecasting of UV-Vis absorbance time series using artificial neural networks combined with principal component analysis

2016 ◽  
Vol 75 (4) ◽  
pp. 765-774
Author(s):  
Leonardo Plazas-Nossa ◽  
Thomas Hofer ◽  
Günter Gruber ◽  
Andres Torres
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Principal Component Analysis ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Component Analysis ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Visible Range ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Uv Range

This work proposes a methodology for the forecasting of online water quality data provided by UV-Vis spectrometry. Therefore, a combination of principal component analysis (PCA) to reduce the dimensionality of a data set and artificial neural networks (ANNs) for forecasting purposes was used. The results obtained were compared with those obtained by using discrete Fourier transform (DFT). The proposed methodology was applied to four absorbance time series data sets composed by a total number of 5705 UV-Vis spectra. Absolute percentage errors obtained by applying the proposed PCA/ANN methodology vary between 10% and 13% for all four study sites. In general terms, the results obtained were hardly generalizable, as they appeared to be highly dependent on specific dynamics of the water system; however, some trends can be outlined. PCA/ANN methodology gives better results than PCA/DFT forecasting procedure by using a specific spectra range for the following conditions: (i) for Salitre wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) (first hour) and Graz West R05 (first 18 min), from the last part of UV range to all visible range; (ii) for Gibraltar pumping station (first 6 min) for all UV-Vis absorbance spectra; and (iii) for San Fernando WWTP (first 24 min) for all of UV range to middle part of visible range.

Hybrid Neural Networks for Renewable Energy Forecasting

2021 ◽  
pp. 796-818
Author(s):  
Firuz Ahamed Nahid ◽  
Weerakorn Ongsakul ◽  
Nimal Madhu M. ◽  
Tanawat Laopaiboon
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Solar Radiation ◽  
Renewable Energy Sources ◽  
Energy Harvest ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Energy Forecasting ◽  
Short Term Forecasting

One of the key applications of AI algorithms in power sector involves forecasting of stochastic renewable energy sources. To manage the generation of electricity from solar or wind effectively, accurate forecasting models are imperative. In order to achieve this goal, a sophisticated hybrid neural network formulation is discussed here in this chapter. long-short-term memory and recurrent neural networks combination is formulated for very short-term forecasting of wind speed and solar radiation. In intervals of 15 and 30 minutes, time series forecasts are made that are ahead by multiple steps. For maximum energy harvest, both point wise and probabilistic forecasting approaches are combined. Historic data is collected for solar radiation, wind speed, temperature, and relative humidity, and are used to train the model. The proposed model is compared with convolutional and LSTM neural network models individually in terms of RMSE, MAPE, MAE, and correlation, and is identified to have better forecasting accuracy.

scholarly journals Demand Prediction Using a Soft-Computing Approach: A Case Study of Automotive Industry

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 829
Author(s):  
Tomas Eloy Salais-Fierro ◽  
Jania Astrid Saucedo-Martinez ◽  
Roman Rodriguez-Aguilar ◽  
Jose Manuel Vela-Haro
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Fuzzy Logic ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Automotive Industry ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Qualitative And Quantitative ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Demand Forecasts

According to the literature review performed, there are few methods focused on the study of qualitative and quantitative variables when making demand projections by using fuzzy logic and artificial neural networks. The purpose of this research is to build a hybrid method for integrating demand forecasts generated from expert judgements and historical data and application in the automotive industry. Demand forecasts through the integration of variables; expert judgements and historical data using fuzzy logic and neural network. The methodology includes the integration of expert and historical data applying the Delphi method as a means of collecting fuzzy date. The result according to proposed methodology shows how fuzzy logic and neural networks is an alternative for demand planning activity. Machine learning techniques are techniques that generate alternatives for the tools development for demand forecasting. In this study, qualitative and quantitative variables are integrated through the implementation of fuzzy logic and time series artificial neural networks. The study aims to focus in manufacturing industry factors in conjunction time series data.

scholarly journals An ARMA Type Pi-Sigma Artificial Neural Network for Nonlinear Time Series Forecasting

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 121-132 ◽  
Author(s):  
Esra Akdeniz ◽  
Erol Egrioglu ◽  
Eren Bas ◽  
Ufuk Yolcu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Life Time ◽  
High Order ◽  
Non Linear ◽  
Artificial Neural

Abstract Real-life time series have complex and non-linear structures. Artificial Neural Networks have been frequently used in the literature to analyze non-linear time series. High order artificial neural networks, in view of other artificial neural network types, are more adaptable to the data because of their expandable model order. In this paper, a new recurrent architecture for Pi-Sigma artificial neural networks is proposed. A learning algorithm based on particle swarm optimization is also used as a tool for the training of the proposed neural network. The proposed new high order artificial neural network is applied to three real life time series data and also a simulation study is performed for Istanbul Stock Exchange data set.

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