Assessing the Vulnerability of Agricultural Systems to Drought in Kyrgyzstan

As climate change worsens, the frequent occurrence of extreme drought events will further threaten the agricultural systems of all countries in the world. Kyrgyzstan is a country with agriculture and animal husbandry as its main industries, with a weak industrial base, and agriculture plays an important role in the national economy. Kyrgyzstan is located in Central Asia and suffers from a dry climate and frequent droughts. Thus, an integral analysis of the vulnerability of Kyrgyzstan’s agricultural system is of great significance for this country’s socio-economic stability. In this study, we comprehensively analyze the agricultural system drought vulnerability of Kyrgyzstan from three dimensions of sensitivity, adaptability and exposure. The results show that the areas of higher vulnerability in Kyrgyzstan’s agricultural system are distributed in the eastern mountainous, northwest and southwest areas. In addition, regions with low vulnerability are mainly concentrated in the central area. Kyrgyzstan has abundant water resources, but the supporting infrastructure construction is relatively backward. The imperfect irrigation facilities have greatly restricted the development of agriculture and have also increased the vulnerability of the agricultural systems. In the face of climate change, the region may face more severe drought disasters, so increasing infrastructure investment and building a complete irrigation system and water use plan are the keys to reducing the vulnerability of Kyrgyzstan’s agricultural system.

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AgMIP Regional Integrated Assessment of Agricultural Systems in Nioro, Senegal

Open Data Journal for Agricultural Research ◽

10.18174/odjar.v7i0.17977 ◽

2022 ◽

Vol 7 ◽

Author(s):

Ibrahima Hathie ◽

Dilys MacCarthy ◽

Bright Freduah ◽

Mouhamed Ly ◽

Ahmadou Ly ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Impact Assessment ◽

Integrated Assessment ◽

Future Climate ◽

Sub Saharan Africa ◽

Agricultural System ◽

Data Sets ◽

Agricultural Systems ◽

Climate Data ◽

Improvement Project

The Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) developed protocol-based methods for Regional Integrated Assessment (RIA) of agricultural systems. These methods have been applied by teams of scientists working with regional and national stakeholders across Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. This paper describes the data sets that were used to implement the AgMIP RIA methods for the Nioro region of Senegal. The goal of the RIA is to assess the potential impacts of climate change on the principal agricultural system in the Senegal peanut basin comprised of peanut, millet, maize and other minor crops and livestock, and to assess adaptations of that system to climate change, under current as well as future climate and socio-economic conditions. The data sets include: the Representative Agricultural Pathways (RAPs) developed for Nioro from 2000-2050; climate data used to implement crop yield simulations; the data used to parameterize the Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator (APSIM) and the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) crop models, which include historical climate data and future climate scenarios; and the data used to parameterize the Tradeoff Analysis Model for Multi-dimensional Impact Assessment (TOA-MD) economic simulation model. The analysis is structured around four AgMIP “core questions'' of climate impact assessment.

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Gerakan Percepatan Penganekaragaman Konsumsi Pangan (P2KP) Untuk Antisipasi Dampak Perubahan Iklim Pada Sektor Pertanian

Jurnal Gema Ngabdi ◽

10.29303/jgn.v2i1.69 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 2 (1) ◽

pp. 46-53

Author(s):

Lolita Endang Susilowati ◽

Uyek Malik Yakop ◽

Bambang Hari Kusumo

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Community Service ◽

Agricultural Sector ◽

Agricultural System ◽

Agriculture Sector ◽

Service Activities ◽

The Face ◽

Target Community ◽

Food Needs ◽

National Food Security

Climate change causes changes in rainfall patterns that is high intensity rain in a short duration. This situation could threaten the agricultural sector which impacts on national food security and food fulfillment for each household. Therefore, it is necessary to introduce an effective strategy to meet household food needs through the P2KP movement in dealing with the threat of climate change. This community service aims to: (1) providing an understanding of climate change and its impact on the food agriculture sector to the community; (2) socializing the "P2KP movement" accompanied by a demonstration plot of the use of house yards for cultivation of vegetables in pots. These community service activities implement a participatory pattern, in which the target community was involved in every decision making both in preparing, implementing, and evaluating the program activities. The results of the community service activities shows that the target community's knowledge of climate change and its impact on the agricultural sector has been successfully improved. The P2KP movement has been socialized and received a positive response from the target community, then they a;ready known to optimizing the use of home yards for cultivation of plants in pots becomes an alternative agricultural system that is resilient in the face of climate change.

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Linked hydrologic and social systems that support resilience of traditional irrigation communities

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences ◽

10.5194/hess-19-293-2015 ◽

2015 ◽

Vol 19 (1) ◽

pp. 293-307 ◽

Cited By ~ 24

Author(s):

A. Fernald ◽

S. Guldan ◽

K. Boykin ◽

A. Cibils ◽

M. Gonzales ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Water Management ◽

Management Practices ◽

Irrigation System ◽

Social Systems ◽

Irrigation Management ◽

Hydrologic Processes ◽

Traditional Local Knowledge ◽

The Face ◽

Traditional Irrigation

Abstract. Southwestern US irrigated landscapes are facing upheaval due to water scarcity and land use conversion associated with climate change, population growth, and changing economics. In the traditionally irrigated valleys of northern New Mexico, these stresses, as well as instances of community longevity in the face of these stresses, are apparent. Human systems have interacted with hydrologic processes over the last 400 years in river-fed irrigated valleys to create linked systems. In this study, we ask if concurrent data from multiple disciplines could show that human-adapted hydrologic and socioeconomic systems have created conditions for resilience. Various types of resiliencies are evident in the communities. Traditional local knowledge about the hydrosocial cycle of community water management and ability to adopt new water management practices is a key response to disturbances such as low water supply from drought. Livestock producers have retained their irrigated land by adapting: changing from sheep to cattle and securing income from outside their livestock operations. Labor-intensive crops decreased as off-farm employment opportunities became available. Hydrologic resilience of the system can be affected by both human and natural elements. We find, for example, that there are multiple hydrologic benefits of traditional irrigation system water seepage: it recharges the groundwater that recharges rivers, supports threatened biodiversity by maintaining riparian vegetation, and ameliorates impacts of climate change by prolonging streamflow hydrographs. Human decisions to transfer water out of agriculture or change irrigation management, as well as natural changes such as long-term drought or climate change, can result in reduced seepage and the benefits it provides. We have worked with the communities to translate the multidisciplinary dimensions of these systems into a common language of causal loop diagrams, which form the basis for modeling future scenarios to identify thresholds and tipping points of sustainability. Early indications are that these systems, though not immune to upheaval, have astonishing resilience.

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Drought Risk to Agricultural Systems in Zimbabwe: A Spatial Analysis of Hazard, Exposure, and Vulnerability

Sustainability ◽

10.3390/su12030752 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 12 (3) ◽

pp. 752 ◽

Cited By ~ 7

Author(s):

Janna Frischen ◽

Isabel Meza ◽

Daniel Rupp ◽

Katharina Wietler ◽

Michael Hagenlocher

Keyword(s):

Spatial Analysis ◽

Agricultural Sector ◽

Drought Risk ◽

Severe Drought ◽

Agricultural Systems ◽

Drought Vulnerability ◽

Water Shortages ◽

Hazard Exposure ◽

Drought Hazard ◽

Changing Patterns

The devastating impacts of drought are fast becoming a global concern. Zimbabwe is among the countries more severely affected, where drought impacts have led to water shortages, declining yields, and periods of food insecurity, accompanied by economic downturns. In particular, the country’s agricultural sector, mostly comprised of smallholder rainfed systems, is at great risk of drought. In this study, a multimethod approach is applied, including a remote sensing-based analysis of vegetation health data from 1989–2019 to assess the drought hazard, as well as a spatial analysis combined with expert consultations to determine drought vulnerability and exposure of agricultural systems. The results show that droughts frequently occur with changing patterns across Zimbabwe. Every district has been affected by drought during the past thirty years, with varying levels of severity and frequency. Severe drought episodes have been observed in 1991–1992, 1994–1995, 2002–2003, 2015–2016, and 2018–2019. Drought vulnerability and exposure vary substantially in the country, with the south-western provinces of Matabeleland North and South showing particularly high levels. Assessments of high-risk areas, combined with an analysis of the drivers of risk, set the path towards tailor-made adaptation strategies that consider drought frequency and severity, exposure, and vulnerability.

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Analyzes and retrospectives for a profitable agriculture, the effects of soil fertilization practices in the context of climate change

International Journal of Social Ecology and Sustainable Development ◽

10.4018/ijsesd.293240 ◽

2022 ◽

Vol 13 (1) ◽

pp. 0-0

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Agricultural Practices ◽

Soil Characteristics ◽

Agricultural System ◽

Agricultural Practice ◽

Agricultural Systems ◽

Soil Fertilization ◽

Plant Soil ◽

Local Traditions ◽

Climatic Disturbances

The work focused on assessing an overview of the agricultural economy in terms of the sustainability of agricultural systems adapted to climatic disturbances that allow ecological agricultural practices. Changing paradigms in agriculture with climate change involves adapting agricultural systems to the risks of using fertilizers in soil treatment, the interdependence of plant-soil water in agricultural practice, and the reduction of nitrate waste are also highlighted in the paper. Expectations regarding the reduction of greenhouse gases in the agricultural system have a long concern, what we propose in this study is that, at the same time, local traditions, the balance of the biosphere must be maintained with local nutrient needs based on climatic and soil characteristics. In the research, we analyzed some of the vulnerabilities, in the sense that, the agricultural practice and tradition must have a denominator in terms of fertilizers considering the risks of pollution or waste.

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Dynamic vulnerability of smallholder agricultural systems in the face of climate change for Ethiopia

Environmental Research Letters ◽

10.1088/1748-9326/abdb5c ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Roopam Shukla ◽

Stephanie Gleixner ◽

Amsalu Woldie Yalew ◽

Bernhard Schauberger ◽

Diana Sietz ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Agricultural Systems ◽

The Face

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Improvement of Farmers 'Competency for Agriculture Progress

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MULTIDISCIPLINARY RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS ◽

10.47191/ijmra/v4-i3-04 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 04 (03) ◽

Author(s):

Komang Krisna Heryanda ◽

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Primary School ◽

Agricultural Sector ◽

National Development ◽

School Education ◽

Agricultural System ◽

Agricultural Systems ◽

Low Education ◽

A Priority

The success of the agricultural sector is determined by a strong agricultural system, the use of appropriate agricultural tools, and the competence of farmers in running agricultural systems and equipment effectively. The analysis found that 65.2 percent of farmers in Indonesia have primary school education, and 64.2 percent are over 45 years old. Low education, and the age of farmers who are dominated by parents are obstacles in advancing the agricultural sector in Indonesia. The contribution of the agricultural sector in national development is high, but the welfare of farmers is still low due to the lack of mastery of agricultural techniques, lack of ability to face climate change, and low mastery of marketing networks. Various efforts have been made to improve the competence of farmers, both government and private. Although various obstacles have yet to be resolved in improving farmer competence, the spirit of developing agriculture is still a priority.

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