scholarly journals MODELLING THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN POPULATION GROWTH AND INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT IN NIGERIA: AN AUTO-REGRESSIVE DISTRIBUTIVE LAG APPROACH (1980-2017)

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
K. G. Egbulonu ◽  
Erasmus E. Duru ◽  
Henry C. Dim
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Labour Force ◽  
Capacity Utilization ◽  
Industrial Output ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Total Labour

This research work focuses on the relationship between population growth and industrial output in Nigeria for the period 1980 to 2017. It is particularly interesting to study the relationship between population growth and industrialization in Nigeria because at present, Nigeria is making rapid effort to advance her economy while undergoing a demographic transition that has been projected to be geometric in nature. This research developed an Auto-regressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) model using Index of Industrial Output as the dependent variable and Population growth rate, Birth rate, Total Labour Force (as a percentage of total population that are employed), Capacity Utilization and Manpower Development Index as the independent variables. The data was obtained from the World Bank, the National Population Commission and the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletins (various issues). The findings reveal that Population Growth Rate has an inverse relationship with Industrial Output both in the short run and in the long run while Total Labour Force and Capacity Utilization also decrease Industrial Output both in the short and long-run periods. Since the Bounds test reveals a long-run relationship between population and Industrial Output, we recommend a renewed determination and political will to implement the National Policy on Population for sustainable development that outlines a sectoral strategy to manage our rising population.

scholarly journals An Empirical Analysis of the Effects of Population Growth on Economic Growth in Ethiopia using an Auto Regressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) Model Approach

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alemayehu Temesgen Befikadu ◽  
Berhanu Alemu Tafa
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Empirical Analysis ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Total Population ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Government ◽  
Model Approach

Abstract ObjectiveThe study examines An Empirical Analysis of the Effects of Population Growth on Economic Growth in Ethiopia using an Auto Regressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) Model Approach from the period of 1980 through 2019 with specific focus on total population, Growth Domestic Product, population growth rate, and foreign direct investment, inflow. This study investigated to understand the effects of total population on economic growth, and to analyze the short run and long run relationship of economic growth with respect to population growth.ResultsFrom the results of the study, personal remittance is stationary at level, while total population, FDI net inflows, population growth rate, rate of inflation, and gross capital formation are stationary at first difference. From the finding of long run equilibrium relationships between RGDP, population number, FDI, personal remittance, population growth rate, rate of inflation and GCF is existed since the value of F-statics is greater than the upper boundary line. Finally, to increase the economic growth of Ethiopia; the government should adopt policies that can attract the foreign investors. The government also should put a standard to guarantee that the economy grows at a larger rate than the population growth.

scholarly journals DAMPAK KEPENDUDUKAN TERHADAP PEMUKIMAN

Populasi ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhadjir Darwin
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Economic Condition ◽  
Housing Stock ◽  
High Rate ◽  
Household Members ◽  
The Difference ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Human Problem

Housing and its sanitation has been widely recognized as a global human problem. Apart of the sources of problem is population, i.e high rate of population growth and over urbanization. Using the Indonesian case, this paper discusses the relationship between population and housing. The population growth rate of Indonesia declined from 2.3 annually during the decade of 1971- 1980 to 1.97 annually during the next decade. However, the average number of household members declined from 4.9 to 4.5 during the same period. As a result, the number of households increased substantially than the number of population. This phenomenon will affect the increase of the need of housing. In the meantime, the economic condition of Indonesian households could not compete with the soaring prices of housing. In addition, government capabilities to provide housing for the society are still very limited. The data available shows the evidence onthe scarcity of housing,where the number of housing stock is smaller than the number of households. However, The number of housing stock has increased substantially, whereas the difference between the number of households and the number of housing stock decreased consistently. These data indicate that productivity of housing market, particularly the informalone, isconsiderably high, even thoughinreality the qualityof suchhousing is, ingeneral, low.

scholarly journals INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND INDUSTRIALIZATION WITH NEGATIVE POPULATION GROWTH

2014 ◽  
Vol 19 (8) ◽  
pp. 1647-1658 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hiroaki Sasaki
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Home Country ◽  
Capita Consumption ◽  
World Population ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Per Capita Consumption ◽  
Negative Population

This paper builds a small-open-economy nonscale-growth model with negative population growth and investigates the relationship between trade patterns and per capita consumption growth. Under free trade, if the population growth rate is negative and its absolute value is small, the home country becomes an agricultural country. Then the long-run growth rate of per capita consumption is positive and depends on the world population growth rate. On the other hand, if the population growth rate is negative and its absolute value is large, the home country becomes a manufacturing country. Then the long-run growth rate of per capita consumption is positive and depends on both the home country and the world population growth rates. Moreover, the home country is better off under free trade than under autarky in terms of per capita consumption growth irrespective of whether the population growth is positive or negative.

scholarly journals VARIETY, COMPETITION, AND POPULATION IN ECONOMIC GROWTH: THEORY AND EMPIRICS

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-28
Author(s):  
Alberto Bucci ◽  
Lorenzo Carbonari ◽  
Giovanni Trovato
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Population Change ◽  
Finite Mixture Model ◽  
Growth Theory ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
The Impact

We provide aggregate macroeconomic evidence on how, in the long run, a diverse degree of complexity in production may affect not only the rate of economic growth, but also the correlation between the latter, population growth and the monopolistic (intermediate) markups. For a sample of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries, we find that the impact of population change on economic growth is slightly positive. According to our theoretical model, this implies that the losses due to more complexity in production are lower than the corresponding specialization gains. Using a finite mixture model, we also classify the countries in the sample and verify for each cluster the impact that the population growth rate and the intermediate sector’s markups exert on the 5-year average real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate.

scholarly journals Influence of Interest Rate on Industrial Output in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. p21
Author(s):  
Chioma Chidinma George-Anokwuru ◽  
Itoro Bosco
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Positive Relationship ◽  
Labour Force ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Industrial Output ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Industry Output ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship

The study examined the effect of interest rate on industrial sector in Nigeria from 1980 to 2018. The data for the study were sourced from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical bulletin and Autoregressive Distributed Lag model was used as the main analytical tool. The ARDL Bounds test revealed the existence of long run relationship among the variables. The result further revealed the existence of a positive relationship between interest rate and industrial output both in the long run and short run. The rate of inflation was negatively related to industrial output but the relationship was not significant in both the short run and the long run. The number of labour force affected the productivity of industry thereby increasing its output in both the short run and the long run. Gross investment has a positive relationship with industrial output but the relationship was not significant. Lastly, foreign direct investment was not significant in affecting industrial output in the short run but it was positive and significant in affecting industrial output in the long run. The study concluded that interest rate has the ability to influence industry output in Nigeria. Therefore, the study recommended among others that the apex monetary institution - the Central Bank of Nigeria should ensure that the rate of interest that will encourage investors to borrow in order to start to do businesses or to expand their businesses. This will increase industry output and in turn support economic growth in Nigeria.

Relationship between body size and population growth rate in two opportunistic polychaetes

2002 ◽  
Vol 82 (3) ◽  
pp. 403-408 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Prevedelli ◽  
R. Simonini
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Body Size ◽  
Sex Ratio ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Life Histories ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth Rates ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Dinophilus Gyrociliatus

The relationship between body size and population growth rate λ has been studied in two species of opportunistic polychaetes, Dinophilus gyrociliatus and Ophryotrocha labronica, which colonize harbour environments. These species exhibit a semi-continuous iteroparous reproductive strategy, are phylogenetically closely-related but differ in body size and in some aspects of their sexuality. Ophryotrocha labronica is about 4 mm in body length, displays only slight sexual dimorphism and its sex ratio is biased towards the female sex in the ratio 2:1. Dinophilus gyrociliatus is about 1 mm in length, the males are extremely small and the sex ratio is strongly biased (3:1) in favour of the females. In spite of the considerable differences in all traits of their life histories and in many demographic parameters, the growth rates of the two populations are very similar. The analyses carried out have shown that the rapid attainment of sexual maturity of D. gyrociliatus gives it an advantage that offsets the greater fecundity of O. labronica. It is very likely that the reproductive peculiarities of D. gyrociliatus help to raise the population growth rates. The ‘saving’ on the male sex achieved both by the shift of the sex ratio in favour of the females and by the reduction in the males' body size would appear to enable D. gyrociliatus to grow at the same rate as O. labronica, a larger and more fecund species.

scholarly journals HUBUNGAN ANTARA FERTILITAS, MORTALITAS, DAN MIGRASI DENGAN LAJU PERTUMBUHAN PENDUDUK

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 15
Author(s):  
Hidayatul Ainy ◽  
Siti Nurrochmah ◽  
Septa Katmawanti
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Human Resources ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Significant Relationship ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Rank Order ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
And Migration ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Low Rate

Abstract: The low rate of population growth in Klojen Districts, cause the population in the region continues to decrease. Reduced population will affect the availability of human resources in the Klojen District. Therefore, conducted a study entitled "The relationship between Fertility, Mortality and Migration with Population Growth Rate”. The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of fertility, mortality and migration to the rate of population growth. This type of research is an explanatory survey. Subjects in this study amounted to 11 urban villages. Data collection using documentation data. Data analysis technique used is a Rank Order technique from Spearman. The results of this study indicate that: (1) The value ρ arithmetic of fertility 0.67 > value ρ table 0.591. (2) The value ρ arithmetic of mortality 0.44 < value ρ table 0.591. (3) The value ρ arithmetic of in-migration 0.12 < value ρ table 0.591. (4) The value ρ arithmetic of out-migration -0.08 < value ρ table 0.591. The conclusion of this study: (1) there is a significant relationship between fertility with population growth rate. (2) there is no significant relationship between mortality, in-migration , and out-migration with population growth rate.Keywords: Fertility, Mortality, Migration, Population Growth RateAbstrak: Rendahnya laju pertumbuhan penduduk di Kecamatan Klojen mengakibatkan jumlah penduduk di wilayah tersebut terus berkurang. Berkurangnya jumlah penduduk akan berdampak pada ketersediaan sumber daya manusia yang ada di wilayah Kecamatan Klojen. Oleh sebab itu, dilakukan penelitian dengan judul “ Hubungan Fertilitas, Mortalitas dan Migrasi dengan Laju Pertumbuhan Penduduk”. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah mengetahui pengaruh fertilitas, mortalitas dan migrasi terhadap laju pertumbuhan penduduk. Penelitian ini termasuk jenis penelitian survey bentuk explanatory. Subjek dalam penelitian ini sebanyak 11 kelurahan. Pengumpulan data menggunakan data dokumentasi. Teknik analisis data yang digunakan berupa teknik Rank Order dari Spearman. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa: (1) Nilai ρ hitung fertilitas 0,67 > nilai ρ tabel 0,591. (2) Nilai ρ hitung mortalitas 0,44 < nilai ρ tabel 0,591. (3) Nilai ρ hitung migrasi masuk 0,12 < nilai ρ tabel 0,591. (4) Nilai ρ hitung migrasi keluar -0,08 < nilai ρ tabel 0,591. Kesimpulan dari penelitian ini: (1) ada hubungan yang signifikan antara fertilitas dengan laju pertumbuhan penduduk. (2) tidak ada hubungan yang signifikan antara mortalitas, migrasi masuk dan migrasi keluar dengan lajunpertumbuhan penduduk.Kata Kunci: Fertilitas, Mortalitas, Migrasi, Laju Pertumbuhan Penduduk

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