scholarly journals The Effect of Foreign Exchange Rate, Inflation Rate and Market Return on Return of Bank Perseros’ Stock

Author(s):  
Doddi Prastuti ◽  
Pristina Hermastuti Setianingrum

Stock return is affected by many factors, among others are: macro economics environments, political condition, fundamental corporate performance, financial market condition, etc. The purpose of this study is to determine the effect of  foreign exchange rate, inflation rate and  market return on  bank perseros’ stock (government owned banks).  We take the case of bank perseros’ because those banks are among the biggest banks in Indonesia in terms of capital. Our observation period starts from January 2010 to September 2014. This period of observation is chosen because it was after the crisis of 2008 and therefore during the time the effect of the crisis on Indonesia’s financial market was mild. Due to the IPO of Bank Tabungan Negara was in the late year of 2009, therefore our period of research run from January 2010 until September 2014.Our justification to use the foreign exchange rate, inflation rate and market return as independent variable is because the foreign exchange rate, inflation rate are considered to be macro economics variable, and market return is financial market variable. The data used in this study is monthly secondary data of stock price data of bank perseros’, the foreign exchange rate, inflation rate and market return. In this study, the independent variables used are the foreign exchange rate (X1), inflation rate (X2) and market return (X3), while the dependent variable used is return of  bank perseros’ stock (Y). Result of study shows that the regression function is: Y = - 0.036 + 0.0000033 X1 + 0.046 X2 + 1.531 X3. The test of hypothesis in this study shows that simultaneously the foreign exchange rate (X1), inflation rate (X2) and market return (X3) have significant effect on return of bank perseros’ stock (Y). This is shown by sig. F = 0.000 < 5% (α). Partially the effect of foreign exchange rate and inflation rate on return of bank perseros’ stock are not significant, these are shown by p-value of X1 = 0.468 and p-value of X2 = 0.89 which are greater than α of 5%.  Whereas the market return has significant partial effect on return of bank perseros’ stock, the p-value is 0.000. The effect of independent variable on return stock simultaneously is 53.1%. Whereas partial effect of each X1, X2 and X3 is 0.24%, 0.0081% and 52.27% The conclusion of the study is: macro economics and financial markets simultaneously have effect on return of bank perseros’ stock. However the financial market variable has much greater effect compare to the other variables.

2009 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
* Sujoko

The main objective of the study is to examinal the effect of interest rate, inflation, foreign exchange rate, IHSG and management of fund on return mutual fund in Indonesia Stock Exchange. The technique sampling is purposive sampling. As much as twenty mutual fund as sample for this research .The result of the study show that variable of SBI is not significant effect on return mutual fund, with p value 0.0764.Variable of Inflation rate is significant effect on return mutual fund with p value 0.0018. Variable of foreign exchange rate is significant effect on return mutual fund on return mutual fund with p value 0.0000.Variable of IHSG is significant effect on return mutual fund with p value 0.0027. Variable of management of fund is not significant effect on return mutual fund. Key Word: Mutual Fund, Inflation Rate, Foreign Exchange Rate.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 4333-4335

This paper tries to investigate the impact of foreign exchange rate and inflation rate on the economic progress of India. In this study the economic progress has been measured by annual GDP ( Gross Domestic Product ) growth in India. Correlation analysis and multiple regression model have been designed to explore the relationship among the mentioned three variables. The annual GDP growth of India has been considered as the dependent variable and the other two macroeconomic variables ( Foreign exchange rate and inflation rate ) have been considered as the independent variables. Secondary sources of data have been gathered to arrive at a logical conclusion. The results show a positive correlation between GDP growth rate and the foreign exchange rate and a negative correlation between the GDP growth rate and the inflation rate. Results from the linear regression analysis show that inflation rate has a strong influence or impact on the GDP growth rate than the foreign exchange rate. It is expected that the present study will help the policy makers and the researchers to understand the impact of foreign exchange rate and inflation rate on the GDP growth in India


2021 ◽  
pp. 339-352
Author(s):  
Susi E. Situmeang ◽  
Kornel Munthe ◽  
Antonius M Purba

The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of deposit interest rates, foreign exchange rates and inflation rates on the volume of stock trading on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. This study applies a survey method to 54 Manufacturing companies that have been listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2017-2019 period. The sampling technique used the proportional random sampling method. The research data were analyzed using multiple linear regression analysis. The results showed that the variable deposit interest rate, foreign exchange rate, inflation rate simultaneously had a significant effect on stock trading volume and the variable deposit interest rate, foreign exchange rate, inflation rate partially had a positive and significant effect on the volume of stock trading in manufacturing companies in Indonesia. Indonesia stock exchange. The coefficient of determination (R^2) is 50.7 percent, this shows that variations in the variable deposit interest rate, foreign exchange rate, inflation rate can explain the variation in stock trading volume 50.7%.


2007 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 64-70
Author(s):  
Frederik J. Mostert ◽  
Jan Hendrik Mostert

Inflation rate, interest rate and foreign exchange rate risks are relevant to enterprise stakeholders because they impact in varying degrees on the financial performance of enterprises. Business executives are expected to take reasonable steps for managing these risks and to rely on sound and innovative financial risk management solutions to meet the expectations of stakeholders in their enterprises. This paper aims at improving financial risk management practices by applying insurance principles to the management of inflation rate, interest rate and foreign exchange rate risks. To achieve this objective, the research paper focuses on the features of finite risk insurance and the perceived importance of these features when South African business executives consider strategies to manage the above risks. Finite risk insurance is classified as a form of alternative risk transfer (commonly referred to as “ART”) that relates to the point where insurance, banking and/or the capital market converge in an attempt to efficiently provide enterprises with sufficient financial capacity for protection against a variety of risks. The features of finite risk insurance are highlighted and the views of business executives regarding the importance of these features for the management of inflation rate, interest rate and foreign exchange rate risks are disclosed and analysed. The paper closes with recommendations to providers of financial services based on the needs of South African industrial companies to manage the above risks.


Author(s):  
Haerul Ependi ◽  
Hakiman Thamrin

This study aims to analyze the effect of macroeconomics factors on corporate sukuk in Indonesia in the short and long term. The independent variable is Inflation, Economics Growth, Total Money Supply, Foreign Exchange Rate and Bank Indonesia (BI) Rate. Whereas the dependent variable is the number of sukuk corporations offered. The results of this study indicate that the Inflation, Economics Growth, Total money supply, and BI Rate have no significant effect on the number of corporate sukuk offered. While Foreign Exchange Rate has significant effect on the amount of corporate sukuk that offered. In the short term period, the total money supply has significant influence on the number of sukuk corporations offered while the rest have no significant effect


Activos ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Willie Hernández ◽  
Jairo Borray Benavides

The international relationships between nations and economic agents have evolved so rapidly that the services and products are being traded almost instantly. Nevertheless, a great amount of these services and products are quoted in different currencies; thus, it is necessary the use of financial products to trade these products and services without incurring in unnecessary risks. The use of financial derivatives in the financial market has been increasing over the last decade. Moreover, foreign exchange derivatives have become an essential tool for companies to hedge their exposure in a foreign exchange currency. Nonetheless, there has not been enough research about methodologies that emphasize in the mixing of strategies. In this document, we develop a methodology to hedge effectively. Hence, we propose the Limited-memory bfgs in order to find the optimal percentage of the position of the derivative based on simulations created by a garch model. In this paper, we show an example with an exporting Colombian company based on Colombia, which has an exposure in us American Dollars. In this example, we find that the methodology proposed has a lower Value at Risk than a strategy using derivatives operating in isolation.


GIS Business ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sriram Mahadevan

The present study has empirically examined the level of foreign exchange exposure and its determinants of CNX 100 companies. For the purpose of study, the relationship between exchange rate changes and stock returns for a sample of 82 companies was determined for the period April 2011-March 2016. The study finds that 49% of the sample companies had significant positive foreign exchange rate exposure and the found that the companies could be exporters or net importers. To explore factors determining foreign exchange rate exposure, variables such as export ratio, import ratio, size of a company, hedging activities were regressed against the exchange exposure and the study found that none of the factors was influencing the exchange rate exposure. The study concludes that the reasons for insignificant influence of the variables could be the natural hedging practices of companies, offsetting of exports and imports and heterogeneous of the sample size. The study offers few directions for future research in this area.


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