scholarly journals 3.3. ANALYSIS OF FACTORS OF FERTILITY OF POPULATION IN THE REGIONS OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION BY THE MODEL OF MODELING

2021 ◽  
pp. 48-55
Author(s):  
А.Б. Берендеева ◽  
О.В. Сизова

Рассмотрена динамика суммарного коэффициента рождаемости в Российской Федерации и факторы рождаемости. Выделено пять групп регионов РФ по уровню суммарного коэффициента рождаемости. На примере пяти регионов-лидеров и пяти регионов-антилидеров проанализировано воздействие на по-казатель рождаемости девяти социально-экономических факторов. Рассмотрена динамика ко-эффициента рождаемости и выявлена основная тен-денция изменения данного показателя. С помощью корреляционно-регрессионного анализа выявлены факторы, оказывающие определяющее воздействие на рождаемость в РФ. Выделены группы факторов по степени влияния на рождаемость населения. The dynamics of the total fertility rate in Russia and fertility factors are considered. Five groups of Russian regions were identified by the level of the total birth rate. Using the example of 5 leading regions and 5 anti-leader regions, we analyzed the impact on the birth rate of 9 socio-economic factors. The dynamics of the birth rate is examined and the main tendency for this indicator to change. Using correlation and re-gression analysis, factors were identified that have a decisive effect on fertility in Russia. Groups of factors are identified by the degree of influence on the birth rate of the population.

2021 ◽  
Vol 244 ◽  
pp. 12017
Author(s):  
Irina Danilova ◽  
Olga Knyazeva ◽  
Svetlana Mayorova ◽  
Liliana Peremolotova

In the modern period of the widespread processes of globalization, integration and rapid migration, complicated foreign policy relations of a number of states belonging to transnational blocs defending opposing interests, of course, the problem of effectively countering terrorist and extremist activities, as well as preventing the spread of relevant ideologies, is becoming particularly acute. The international community, realizing the danger of terrorism and striving to develop effective measures to prevent it, has adopted a number of documents, which include United Nations conventions (for example, the International Convention for the Suppression of the Taking of Hostages, the International Convention for the Suppression of Terrorist Bombings, the International Convention for the Suppression of financing of terrorism). The increased importance of this type of crime is also confirmed by the consolidation in federal legislation of the relevant concepts and forms in which the considered illegal activity can be carried out, the methods of its prevention and sanctions used for committing offenses of an extremist and terrorist nature. The main normative legal acts in this area are the federal laws of July 25, 2002 No. 114-FZ “On Countering Extremist Activity” and of March 6, 2006 No. 35-FZ “On Countering Terrorism.” For the purposes of criminal law enforcement of countering terrorism and in the interests of fulfilling international obligations, the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation of June 13, 1996 (as amended on November 28, 2015, hereinafter referred to as the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation) establishes responsibility for the commission of crimes against international security.


Author(s):  
Rimma N. Terletskaya ◽  
Andrey P. Fisenko ◽  
Elena V. Antonova ◽  
Irina V. Vinyarskaya

Introduction. There are not enough studies dealing with the assessment of impact of socio-economic factors on the health of the population at the interregional level. However, the instability of the economic situation requires a periodic repetition of such researches. The aim of the study is to establish the relationship between the children’s disability prevalence and the main indices characterizing socio-economic situation in the Russian Federation. Materials and methods. Official data on the prevalence of disability in children aged 0-17 years and the level of basic indices characterizing the socio-economic situation in the country were analyzed in the context of 83 constituent entities of the Russian Federation for the period 2017-2019. The socio-economic characteristics of the population were the unemployment rate, monetary income, housing conditions, and consumption of basic food products. Spearman rank correlation method was used to determine the links. Results. It was established that there is still significant interregional variability in the prevalence of children’s disability both in Federal districts and in the subjects of the Federation. It’s been revealed various degrees of severity correlation between the childrens’ disability prevalence in the subjects of the Russian Federation and many socio-economic factors including unemployment; average per capita monetary income of the population; the proportion of the population with monetary incomes below the subsistence minimum; total area of residential premises, which is on average per inhabitant; the share of young families registered as needing housing, from the total number of family cells with children under 18 years; consumption of cheaper food. Conclusion. The results should be taken into account in the development of programs for the children’s disability prevention; full responsibility should not been placed on the healthcare system only.


REGIONOLOGY ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 494-511
Author(s):  
Asiya F. Validova

Introduction. The solution to the problem of ensuring demographic growth is one of the most pressing issues of the state policy. In 2007, Russia’s demographic policy was supplemented by new measures to stimulate the birth rate. The objective of this paper is to analyze the effectiveness of the demographic policy programs aimed at supporting families and natality using the case studies of the Russian Federation and the Republic of Tatarstan. Materials and Methods. To identify the impact of measures to stimulate the birth rate, the method of regression analysis was used; time series based on age-specific birth rates for each age group were presented. Results. The data obtained showed that the steady trend of increasing the total fertility rate in Russia and Tatarstan since 2007 was almost completely related to the meas- ures under consideration, whereas the number of births was affected by many other factors. According to the results of the study, the impact of measures to increase the birth rate in the Republic of Tatarstan is slightly higher than in Russia as a whole. Discussion and Conclusions. State support measures reduce the costs associated with the birth of a child and can encourage women to have children, which con- firms the hypothesis of the positive impact of the state fertility policy. For a more accurate assessment of the effectiveness of the demographic policy measures, it is advisable to take into account the changing social and economic conditions of life in a region, as well as the consequences of the earlier or present-day demographic policy measures. The results of the study are of practical importance and may be used in the development of demographic policies in the country and in the region.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 ◽  
pp. 1254-1271
Author(s):  
Galina A. Untura ◽  
Maria A. Kaneva ◽  
Olga N. Moroshkina

International theoretical and empirical studies have shown that regional development and economic growth largely depend on spatial and non-spatial proximity of regions, which generates knowledge spillovers. We developed a methodological approach to measuring and visualising spatial and structural-technological proximity affecting regional knowledge spillovers. Moreover, we tested the techniques of the cartographic visualisation of the proximity of Russian regions. Further, we analysed foreign and domestic approaches to studying spatial and non-spatial proximity and obtained new results. We described the stages constituting a methodology for the quantitative assessment of different types of regional proximity. Additionally, we proposed a method for constructing a typology of regions based on the coefficients of the non-spatial proximity matrix, calculated according to the indicator “gross value added” for 15 sectors of the Russian National Classifier of Economic Activities (OKVED) for Russian regions. Using the data for the Novosibirsk region in 2005 and 2016, we applied methodological techniques for measuring and visualising geographical and structural-technological proximity (STB) of a region in relation to other constituent entities of the Russian Federation. The Novosibirsk region is located in the middle of the country and has a diversified structure of economic activities and science. For this particular region, there has been an increase in the likelihood of the emergence of knowledge spillover channels with various European regions of Russia and some regions of the Urals and the Far East. Proximity matrices can be used in econometric studies to test hypotheses about the impact of different forms of proximity on regional economic growth. Recommendations to enhance knowledge spillover coincide with the proposals to support the areas of innovative development stated in The Strategy of Spatial Development of the Russian Federation for the period until 2025.


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