Decision Support for Plan Adaptation in Unforeseen Situations

2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 0-0
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Decision Support ◽  
Emergency Management ◽  
Complex Environments ◽  
Planning Time ◽  
Management Domain ◽  
Plan Adaptation ◽  
Decision Alternatives ◽  
Initial Results ◽  
Great Complexity

Handling irregular phenomena might bring great complexity for involved teams. Variables considered for undertaking recommended procedures may yield many decision alternatives, challenging to deal with at planning time. Additionally, expectations regarding the phenomena handling may not match those observed. This means that the existing plan’s application may become inappropriate, and teams must be creative in performing actions and decision-making. An approach for on-the-fly adaptation of plans aims to assist teams in identifying and diagnosing unforeseen situations, besides adjusting previously developed plans at runtime. This approach was evaluated through experiments in the emergency management domain, and the initial results indicate its feasibility in dealing with unforeseen situations while handling irregular phenomena in complex environments.

scholarly journals Sistem Pendukung Keputusan Kelayakan Pemberian Asuransi Jiwa Untuk Nelayan dengan Menggunakan Metode Vikor (Studi Kasus: Dinas Kelautan dan Perikanan Medan)

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 220
Author(s):  
Amatillah Nasution ◽  
Kurnia Ulfa
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Decision Support ◽  
Decision Support System ◽  
Support System ◽  
Management Decision ◽  
Main Function ◽  
System Method ◽  
Management Decision Making ◽  
Decision Alternatives ◽  
Alternative Solutions

Life insurance is a term used to refer to actions, systems, or businesses in which financial protection (or financial compensation) for life, property, health and so on gets reimbursed from unexpected events that can occur such as death , loss, damage or illness, which involves regular premium payments over a period of time in exchange for a policy that guarantees such protection. The term "insured" usually refers to everything that gets protection. Decision Support System is defined a system intended to support management decision making, Decision making is the main function of a manager or administrator. Decision making activities include identifying problems, finding alternative solutions to problems, evaluating these alternatives and choosing the best decision alternatives. The Vise Kriterijumska Optimazacija Kompromisno Resenje (VIKOR) method is one of the methods used in decision making. To use the decision support system method must have criteria that will be used in the determination, in addition it must determine the level of importance of each criterion. So the decision support system used must also have comprehensive and integrated planning to minimize the level of risk of failure and decision selection

scholarly journals Uncertainties in complex dynamic environments

2014 ◽  
Vol Volume 2 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hasmik Atoyan ◽  
Jean-Marc Robert ◽  
Jean-Rémi Duquet
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Decision Support ◽  
User Interfaces ◽  
Dynamic Environments ◽  
Decision Making Process ◽  
Uncertain Information ◽  
Complex Environments ◽  
Complex Dynamic ◽  
Different Types ◽  
Machine Systems

The utilization of Decision Support Systems (DSS) in complex dynamic environments leads the human operator almost inevitably to having to face several types of uncertainties. Thus it is essential for system designers to clearly understand the different types of uncertainties that could exist in human-machine systems of complex environments, to know their impacts on the operator's trust in the systems and decision-making process, and to have guidelines on how to present uncertain information on user interfaces. It is also essential for them to have an overview of the different stages, levels, and types of system automation, and to know their possible impacts on the creation of different types of uncertainties. This paper investigates these topics and aim at helping researchers and practitioners to deal with uncertainties in complex environments.

A Distributed Scenario-Based Decision Support System for Robust Decision-Making in Complex Situations

2013 ◽  
pp. 213-231
Author(s):  
Tina Comes ◽  
Niek Wijngaards ◽  
Michael Hiete ◽  
Claudine Conrado ◽  
Frank Schultmann
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Decision Support ◽  
Decision Support System ◽  
Emergency Management ◽  
Distributed System ◽  
Support System ◽  
Irrelevant Information ◽  
Informed Decision Making ◽  
Processing Information ◽  
Flexible Adaptation

Decision-making in emergency management is a challenging task as the consequences of decisions are considerable, the threatened systems are complex and information is often uncertain. This paper presents a distributed system facilitating better-informed decision-making in strategic emergency management. The construction of scenarios provides a rationale for collecting, organising, and processing information. The set of scenarios captures the uncertainty of the situation and its developments. The relevance of scenarios is ensured by gearing the scenario construction to assessing alternatives, thus avoiding time-consuming processing of irrelevant information. The scenarios are constructed in a distributed setting allowing for a flexible adaptation of reasoning (principles and processes) to both the problem at hand and the information available. This approach ensures that each decision can be founded on a coherent set of scenarios. The theoretical framework is demonstrated in a distributed decision support system by orchestrating experts into workflows tailored to each specific decision.

A Distributed Scenario-Based Decision Support System for Robust Decision-Making in Complex Situations

2011 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 17-35 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tina Comes ◽  
Niek Wijngaards ◽  
Michael Hiete ◽  
Claudine Conrado ◽  
Frank Schultmann
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Decision Support ◽  
Decision Support System ◽  
Emergency Management ◽  
Support System ◽  
Irrelevant Information ◽  
Informed Decision Making ◽  
Processing Information ◽  
Flexible Adaptation ◽  
Distributed Decision

Decision-making in emergency management is a challenging task as the consequences of decisions are considerable, the threatened systems are complex and information is often uncertain. This paper presents a distributed system facilitating better-informed decision-making in strategic emergency management. The construction of scenarios provides a rationale for collecting, organising, and processing information. The set of scenarios captures the uncertainty of the situation and its developments. The relevance of scenarios is ensured by gearing the scenario construction to assessing alternatives, thus avoiding time-consuming processing of irrelevant information. The scenarios are constructed in a distributed setting allowing for a flexible adaptation of reasoning (principles and processes) to both the problem at hand and the information available. This approach ensures that each decision can be founded on a coherent set of scenarios. The theoretical framework is demonstrated in a distributed decision support system by orchestrating experts into workflows tailored to each specific decision.

scholarly journals Designing Decision Support System for Midwifery Students’ Tuition Fees Problem

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (02) ◽  
pp. 157-171
Author(s):  
Chandrawati Putri Wulandari
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Decision Support ◽  
Decision Support System ◽  
Support System ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Automated System ◽  
Decision Making Process ◽  
Tuition Fees ◽  
Process Information ◽  
Decision Alternatives

Education is an essential need and an important element to create a broad-minded youth. While in Indonesia, the rate of tuition fees is still imbalanced with the economic rate. Thus, many people decided to discontinue their higher education. Decision making plays an important role to manage organizations, including in educational institutions, as one of the main duties in managerial is making decisions. This study took place in a midwifery academy in Malang. In response to this situation, the academy has a policy to alleviate students by paying the tuition fees in instalments. However, many students are in arrears as the result of this policy. Thus, management needs to take some consideration before making a decision toward the problem. Those considerations require high accuracy and time consuming to process information that support decision making. Currently, the decision-making process in this academy is still semi-automated, in which some processes are still done manually, which affect longer time to make decisions, and the accuracy of calculations could not be fully guaranteed. According to this condition, the purpose of this research is to design a decision support system that enables us to process information for decision making and to offer decision alternatives for decision makers. This research employs Systems Development Life Cycle (SDLC) with a decision table as a method to create decision alternatives. The prototype was developed using Visual Studio C#.Net. The result shows that by using the proposed prototype of DSS, decision makers can reduce 5-10 minutes of decision making process compared to the old semi-automated system which still required manual calculation and data collection and analysis before making the decision. A complete data and more detailed parameters for decision criteria are required to implement the proposed prototype of DSS in the institution with more objective consideration in the decision making process as the future work.

scholarly journals SISTEM PENDUKUNG KEPUTUSAN DALAM KONSULTASI MEMBER UNTUK PENCAPAIAN MENJADI LEADER PADA SUATU PERUSAHAAN SWASTA NASIONAL

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 104
Author(s):  
Suhanda Suhanda
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Decision Support ◽  
Decision Support System ◽  
Support System ◽  
Private Company ◽  
Bonus Payments ◽  
Structured Problems ◽  
Communication Ability ◽  
Optimal Target ◽  
Decision Alternatives

Abstract: This journal describes the Development of a Consultation Member to achieve becoming a Leader in a National Private Company, which is a Case Study that needs to be addressed. Available Websites can be used for all members and leaders to update every day all activities, products, network development, and company activities as well as member bonus payments. The shortcomings of the system owned by the company is that there is no facility in making decisions for members to become a leader at PT. Melia Sejahtera which is a private company. This facility is needed, because many members do not understand and do not understand how to make decisions in running their business at PT. Melia Sehat Sejahtera. So from the description above in this Journal, there needs to be an explanation to be used as a rest and explanation For the person invol vedinit.To support the members in improving their achievements,become a leader (leader), it is necessary to have a support facility for decision on the website, namely in the form of a decision support system (SPK). SPK is a method that can be done for decision making in assessing, choosing and making a decision for a decision making Decision Support System or Decision Support System (SPK), generally defined as a system that is able to provide both the ability of problem solving ability and communication ability to semi-structured problem. Specifically. SPK is defined as a system that supports the work of a manager in solving semi-structured problems by providing information or proposal stoward scertain decisions.For the alternative to get the maximum decision alternatives, the members will choose the conditions according to the actual situation, so they will get an alternative decision for the members to reach and become leaders. Besides that it can spur work morale that is supported by the ability, and a satisfying work position for the Employees, soas to achieve the optimal target. Keywords: Decision Support Systems (SPK), Problems, Members, Leaders. Abstrak: Jurnal ini menjelaskan tentang Pengembangan Konsultasi Member untuk mencapai menjadi Leader di Perusahaan Swasta Nasional, yang merupakan Studi Kasus yang perlu ditangani. WebSite yang sudah tersedia dapat dipergunakan bagi seluruh member dan leader-nya dalam meng-update setiap hari seluruh aktivitas, produk, pengembangan jaringan, dan kegiatan-kegiatan perusahaan serta pembayaran bonus member. Adapun kekurangan dari Sistem yang dipakai oleh perusahaan adalah belum adanya fasilitas dalam pengambilan keputusan untuk member menjadi seorang leader di PT. Melia Sejahtera yang merupakan suatu Perusahaan swasta. Fasilitas ini diperlukan, karena banyak member yang kurang mengerti serta kurang paham bagaimana mengambil keputusan dalam menjalankan bisnisnya pada PT.Melia Sejahtera tersebut. Maka dari uraian diatas dalam Jurnal ini perlu adanya penjelasan untuk dijadikan sandaran dan penjelasan bagi orang yang terlibat si dalamnya. Untuk menunjang member dalam meningkatkan prestasinya, sehingga bisa menjadi seorang leader (pemimpin), maka diperlukanlah sebuah fasilitas pendukung kuputusan dalam website, yaitu berupa sistem pendukung keputusan (SPK). SPK merupakan metode yang bisa dilakukan untuk menentukan keputusan saat menilai, memilih dan menjadikan sebuah keputusan untuk sebuah pengambilan Sistem Pendukung Keputusan (SPK), secara umum didefinisikan sebagai sebuah sistem yang mampu memberikan kemampuan baik kemampuan pemecahan masalah maupun kemampuan pengkomunikasian untuk masalah semi-terstruktur. Secara khusus, SPK didefinisikan sebagai sebuah sistem yang mendukung kerja seorang manajer maupun sekelompok manajer. Untuk memperoleh alternatif keputusan dengan maksimal, maka diusahakan bagi member memilih keadaan sesuai dengan keadaan yang sebenarnya, maka akan memperoleh alternatif keputusan untuk member dalam mencapai dan menjadi leader. Disamping itu dapat memacu semangat kerja yang didukung dengan kemampuan, dan posisi kerja yang memuaskan bagi Karyawan, sehingga dapat mencapai target optimal. Kata kunci : Decision Support System (DSS), Masalah, Member, Leader.

Integrating Scenario-Based Reasoning into a Multi-Criteria Decision Support System for Emergency Management

2011 ◽  
pp. 221-236 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tina Comes ◽  
Michael Hiete ◽  
Niek Wijngaards ◽  
Frank Schultmann
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Decision Support ◽  
Emergency Management ◽  
Support System ◽  
Support Systems ◽  
Theoretical Framework ◽  
Application Domain ◽  
Automated Systems ◽  
Future Developments ◽  
Conflicting Objectives

Multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) is a technique for decision making among multiple alternatives for action providing transparent and coherent decision support for complex situations with conflicting objectives. Managing longer term decisions for environmental incidents is an application domain in which MCDA has proved useful. Yet a difficulty in applying MCDA is when uncertainties abound. Contrarily, scenario-based reasoning is a method allowing for the assessment of multiple possible future developments of the situation. In this way, the use of scenarios is a transparent and easily understandable way to integrate uncertainties into the reasoning process. We propose a mechanism to integrate scenarios. Our theoretical framework can be operationalised by decision support systems relying on both automated systems and human experts. These facilitate the assessment of consequences within a scenario, and may propose new scenarios. We illustrate this mechanism taking the decision making in emergency management after a train crash with potential release of chlorine as an example.

scholarly journals A decision support framework for characterizing and managing dermal exposures to chemicals during Emergency Management and Operations

2015 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 359 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Scott Dotson, PhD, CIH ◽  
Naomi L. Hudson, DrPH ◽  
Andrew Maier, PhD, DABT, CIH
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Decision Support ◽  
Decision Analysis ◽  
Emergency Management ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Relevant Information ◽  
Scenario Planning ◽  
Information Resources ◽  
Dynamic Decision Making ◽  
Key Questions

Emergency Management and Operations (EMO) personnel are in need of resources and tools to assist in understanding the health risks associated with dermal exposures during chemical incidents. This article reviews available resources and presents a conceptual framework for a decision support system (DSS) that assists in characterizing and managing risk during chemical emergencies involving dermal exposures. The framework merges principles of three decision-making techniques: 1) scenario planning, 2) risk analysis, and 3) multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA). This DSS facilitates dynamic decision making during each of the distinct life cycle phases of an emergency incident (ie, preparedness, response, or recovery) and identifies EMO needs. A checklist tool provides key questions intended to guide users through the complexities of conducting a dermal risk assessment. The questions define the scope of the framework for resource identification and application to support decision-making needs. The framework consists of three primary modules: 1) resource compilation, 2) prioritization, and 3) decision. The modules systematically identify, organize, and rank relevant information resources relating to the hazards of dermal exposures to chemicals and risk management strategies. Each module is subdivided into critical elements designed to further delineate the resources based on relevant incident phase and type of information. The DSS framework provides a much needed structure based on contemporary decision analysis principles for 1) documenting key questions for EMO problem formulation and 2) a method for systematically organizing, screening, and prioritizing information resources on dermal hazards, exposures, risk characterization, and management.

Emergency management decision-making during severe weather

2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leigh A. Baumgart ◽  
Ellen J. Bass ◽  
Brenda Philips ◽  
Kevin Kloesel
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Emergency Management ◽  
Severe Weather ◽  
Management Decision ◽  
Management Decision Making

Sistem Pendukung Keputusan SNMPTN Jalur Undangan Dengan Metode Electre

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 14
Author(s):  
Lidia K Simanjuntak ◽  
Tessa Y M Sihite ◽  
Mesran Mesran ◽  
Nuning Kurniasih ◽  
Yuhandri Yuhandri
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Decision Support ◽  
Decision Support System ◽  
Support System ◽  
Action Selection ◽  
Multi Criteria Decision Making ◽  
Prospective Students ◽  
College Entrance ◽  
Electre Method ◽  
Selection Of

All colleges each year organize the selection of new admissions. Acceptance of prospective students in universities as education providers is done by selecting prospective students based on achievement in school and college entrance selection. To select the best student candidates based on predetermined criteria, then use Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) or commonly called decision support system. One method in MCDM is the Elimination Et Choix Traduisant la Reality (ELECTRE). The ELECTRE method is the best method of action selection. The ELECTRE method to obtain the best alternative by eliminating alternative that do not fit the criteria and can be applied to the decision SNMPTN invitation path.

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