Engine Failure Data Analysis Method Based on Weibull Distribution Model

2011 ◽  
Vol 128-129 ◽  
pp. 850-854
Author(s):  
Ying Kui Gu ◽  
Jing Li

The failure data of crank rod system was analyzed by using weibull parallel model on the base of the simple weibull method. The distribution parameters of the weibull parallel model were estimated by using drawing method. The solving process of WPP drawing method was given in detial. Results show that the fitting degree of the failure data in the weibull parallel model is higher than that of the simple weibull distribution model, and it can more accurately described the failure distribution curve of the system in life cycle, which can provide necessary information for engine reliability indexes computation.

2011 ◽  
Vol 148-149 ◽  
pp. 1449-1453 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ying Kui Gu ◽  
De Liang Ge ◽  
Yao Gang Xiong

The weibull distribution plays a crucial role in reliability theory and life-testing experiments. Weibull mixtures are widely used to model lifetime and failure time data, since they exhibit a wide range of shapes for the failure rate function. In this paper, the failure data of crank rod system was analyzed by using mixture weibull distribution model. The distribution parameters of the mixture weibull distribution model were estimated by using maximum likelihood estimation and drawing method. The comparison of fitting degree of failure location between standard weibull distribution model and mixture weibull model was given. Results show that the fitting degree of the failure data in the mixture weibull distribution model is higher than that of the simple weibull distribution model, and it can more accurately described the failure distribution curve of the system in life cycle.


1999 ◽  
Vol 36 (03) ◽  
pp. 127-142
Author(s):  
N. A. Moore ◽  
A. N. Perakis

The Coast Guard currently determines when a diesel engine should be overhauled based on the results of the Diesel Engine Monitoring Program, Navy Oil Analysis Program, Full Power Trials, and especially engine operating hours. In an effort to reduce costs, the Coast Guard is considering shifting their preventative maintenance to a condition-based system to reduce labor and downtime. To accomplish this goal, an analysis of the criteria used to indicate when a diesel engine should be overhauled must be performed. Before any statistical analysis can be conducted, an extensive amount of data must be collected on main diesel engines. This paper addresses the problem of creating a computer database to collect engine failure data for the USCG. We have conducted a review of several current shipboard reliability databases along with a look at modern developments in this area. This knowledge was used in the creation of a fully functional USCG prototype database using Microsoft Access 95 software called DEREL (Diesel Engine RELiability database). The DEREL database is implementable immediately in order to speed the initiation of data collection for future uses.


2011 ◽  
Vol 110-116 ◽  
pp. 4240-4245
Author(s):  
Jun Zhao Zhang ◽  
Cong Ling Wang ◽  
Xue Fa Fang

The reliability of the pneumatic cylinder was investigated by routine life test. The results show that the failures of the pneumatic cylinder can be described as a Weibull distribution and fatigue fracture of the aluminum end cap and the head of install bolt is the major failure for the pneumatic cylinder. The pneumatic cylinder life distribution parameters were estimated by the median rank method in combination with maximum likelihood method. The distribution model for the reliability of the pneumatic cylinder was also proposed here.


2011 ◽  
Vol 383-390 ◽  
pp. 7496-7502
Author(s):  
Guo Zhong Huang ◽  
Yan Wang ◽  
Ying Chen ◽  
Jing Wang

This paper analyzed the automobile defects and its risk characteristics; the Event Tree Analysis (ETA) method was introduced to determine the risk flow route of automobile defects. According to the scattered of automobile, a risk forecast method based on the Weibull distribution is established. Based on the thousand vehicle breakdown number for risk probability forecast, propose a risk assessment model of automobile defect. The results indicate that on gathering actual failure data from after-sales service, the Weibull distribution model has a favorable applicability for forecasting risk possibility.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bin Yang ◽  
Kai Guo ◽  
Bin Feng ◽  
Chang'an Zhou ◽  
Chao Sun ◽  
...  

Abstract Titanium alloys are widely utilized in aeronautical monolithic components due to their excellent mechanical properties. However, the low machinability of titanium alloys results in an uncertain lifetime of cutting tools. Reliability assessment on cutting tools has become more and more significant to the effectiveness and stability of machining systems. Considering that cutting tools are often replaced well before the end of their useful lifetime to avoid failures and thus few tools failure data can be obtained during the machining process of titanium alloys, a reliability assessment model based on zero-failure data is developed to evaluate the reliability of cutting tools. A Weibull distribution model is chosen to describe the life distribution of cutting tools for reliability evaluation. Matching distribution curve method and weighted least squares method are used to estimate the distribution parameters. A novel approach using hierarchical Bayesian method for estimating the prior distribution of failure probability with zero-failure data is proposed by combining the characteristics of Weibull distribution and Incomplete Beta distribution. Reliability analysis for cutting tools with zero-failure data is performed using the proposed method. By comparing with the experience of experts and adopting stochastic simulation, the results of point estimation show plausibility of the proposed approach.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xia Xintao ◽  
Chang Zhen ◽  
Zhang Lijun ◽  
Yang Xiaowei

The failure data of bearing products is random and discrete and shows evident uncertainty. Is it accurate and reliable to use Weibull distribution to represent the failure model of product? The Weibull distribution, log-normal distribution, and an improved maximum entropy probability distribution were compared and analyzed to find an optimum and precise reliability analysis model. By utilizing computer simulation technology and k-s hypothesis testing, the feasibility of three models was verified, and the reliability of different models obtained via practical bearing failure data was compared and analyzed. The research indicates that the reliability model of two-parameter Weibull distribution does not apply to all situations, and sometimes, two-parameter log-normal distribution model is more precise and feasible; compared to three-parameter log-normal distribution model, the three-parameter Weibull distribution manifests better accuracy but still does not apply to all cases, while the novel proposed model of improved maximum entropy probability distribution fits not only all kinds of known distributions but also poor information issues with unknown probability distribution, prior information, or trends, so it is an ideal reliability analysis model with least error at present.


2009 ◽  
Vol 407-408 ◽  
pp. 107-111
Author(s):  
Dian Sheng Chen ◽  
Tian Shan Lv

To eliminate early failures of CNC lathes, it is necessary to study the early failure distribution to establish accurate early failure distribution model of CNC lathes. During the modeling process, the same group of failure data obeys Weibull distribution, exponential distribution, super-exponential distribution and gamma distribution at the same time. To optimize the failure distribution model, this paper used “relevant index” method by comparing the distribution function curve fitting and determined that this group of failure data fitted Weibull distribution using maximum likelihood estimation method with its shape parameter k 0.8706 and scale parameter b142.6991.


2016 ◽  
Vol 851 ◽  
pp. 340-345 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ce Liang ◽  
Jian Wei Yao ◽  
Ke Xin Zhang ◽  
Ze Ping Zhao

This paper presents a new approach for reliability test sampling plan of Railway equipment. Based on the interval censored failure data, the mean rank order method is used for data pre-process and the least square method is used for fitting the parameters of Weibull distribution, where, the best estimations of distribution parameters are derived. The sampling inspection plan for interval censored data is established when the lifetime follows the Weibull distribution. In the case study, we applied the proposed method to design the reliability test sampling plan of an electric multiple units.


2014 ◽  
Vol 945-949 ◽  
pp. 3102-3106 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xue Li ◽  
Chuan Gui Yang ◽  
Xiao Cui Zhu ◽  
Xin Fang Yuan

A method is introduced to process the failure data of 12 sets of machining centers for modelling and analyzing their reliability. In this method, Matlab is applied to fit the failure data for getting a hypothesis that their time between failures obey weibull distribution. Then, MLE (maximum likelihood method) is used to estimate parameters of distribution model of the time between failure, and the K-S test is employed to test the above hypothesis for proving that time between failures of machining center obey weibull distribution. Finally, the analysis of their common failures and corresponding improvements are done, which provide the theoretical basis for improvement of reliability of machining center and are greatly valuable in engineering.


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