Research of High-Speed Rail Express Delivery Market Demand Prediction Problem in China

2016 ◽  
Vol 851 ◽  
pp. 899-903
Author(s):  
Li Hua Shao ◽  
Yu Zhao
Keyword(s):  
High Speed ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Market Demand ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Environmental Friendliness ◽  
Demand Prediction ◽  
Utility Index ◽  
Combination Forecasting ◽  
Freight Volume ◽  
Transportation Organization

The rapid development of high-speed railway brought tremendous opportunity for the quick transport of goods development. Great efforts to build high-speed rail not only release the existing railway transport capacity, but also provide a new choice to the quick transport of goods. This paper choose some factors to analysis which will influence the express transport, using time series forecasting prediction and gray combination forecasting method to predict results of the 2020 Express Freight shipments. By selecting the integrity, economy, efficiency, convenience, punctuality, service and environmental friendliness those seven Utility Index, established Logit cargo flow rate balancing model, to concluded that high-speed fast freight volume in 2020, which provide references for high-speed rail fast cargo transportation organization.

scholarly journals How Does the Spatial Structure of High-Speed Rail Station Areas Evolve? A Case Study of Zhengzhou East Railway Station, China

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (23) ◽  
pp. 11132
Author(s):  
Xiaomin Wang ◽  
Jingyu Liu ◽  
Wenxin Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Structure ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Land Rent ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Production Factors ◽  
Market Factors ◽  
And Diffusion

The rapid development of high-speed rail (HSR) and station areas has shortened the spatial and temporal distances among cities, improved the accessibility of cities, and affected the spatial agglomeration and diffusion of populations and of social and economic activities. This has led to spatial reconfiguration of production factors within cities, which has the potential to drive the reconstruction of urban spatial structures. Based on POI and land-use data, this paper defines the spatial scope of the HSR station area and explores the characteristics and influencing factors of its spatial structure from the perspective of industry. The study area i is set at 2000 m. Since the opening of the HSR, the industrial distribution has exhibited a significant circular, multi-core, and axial belt spatial structure. The spatial structure of each sub-industry is different. On the whole, internal and external transport and agglomeration economies have significant impacts on the industrial spatial distribution, and land rent has gradually decreased in importance with the development of HSR station areas. The intensity of the effects of different factors varies among different industries. The mechanisms by which the spatial structure of the station area is formed are discussed and include location accessibility, micro-market factors, node station attributes, the availability of a sufficient amount of undeveloped land, the characteristics and needs of HSR passengers, and policies and systems.

Cracking Analysis and Reinforcement Method for a Thin-Wall Plain-Concrete Pier

2014 ◽  
Vol 578-579 ◽  
pp. 1007-1011
Author(s):  
Wen Ya Ye ◽  
Xiao Qing Wu
Keyword(s):  
High Speed ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Plain Concrete ◽  
Thin Wall ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Railway Bridges ◽  
Massive Concrete ◽  
Increasing Trend ◽  
Treatment Measures ◽  
Construction Condition

In view of the rapid development of the high-speed rail construction in China at present, some new plain concrete piers of railway bridges cracked in an increasing trend. Combining a real project, this paper analyzed the causes of the cracking in massive concrete piers through the actual construction condition and the materials prosperities, and made corresponding prevention and improvements for the cracking, provided the reinforcing treatment of cracking piers with corresponding programmes. The analysis and treatment measures for the project will present a reference for the similar projects in the future.

Who Rides These Things?

2010 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jack E. Heiss
Keyword(s):  
High Speed ◽  
Market Demand ◽  
Market Information ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Development Patterns ◽  
Trip Purpose ◽  
Passenger Rail ◽  
Rail Line ◽  
Market Capture ◽  
Investment Grade

While planners and politicians alike go about kicking the tires of various trains, and traveling abroad on fact-finding missions about HSR, the question remains whether Americans will patronize high-speed rail in sufficient number to justify the investment. A common practice is to identify an existing or abandoned rail line as the candidate route that connects population centers, identify the former stations for rehabilitation, select a technology, and then perform an investment-grade ridership study to determine whether sufficient revenues will be generated. This approach may prove sufficient in the upgrading of an existing conventional service, or re-establishing a previous service in those areas of the country with a long history of passenger rail. When approaching newer developed areas such as the Sunbelt cities, the inter-relationship of development patterns and fixed-guideway passenger services is not established. Those development patterns were influenced by the automobile, not by guideway-based transportation. A different approach is needed when history is not a guide. While the selection of the population centers to be served at the outset is appropriate and makes for a basic identification of the market to be served, it does not reveal the actual destinations that are interest to the travelers. The next step is to more thoroughly investigate travel between those points. That investigation should include surveys to determine trip purpose, identify the main attractors in the markets, the demographics of the travelers and how time is valued by the travelers. Finally, estimates must be made of the absolute numbers of those traveling. Additionally, examination of the current travel patterns through the patronage of existing services can provide clues to the market demand. The acquisition of this market information then allows the planners to design a transportation product that will appeal to the potential customers and make a determination of potential revenue. Even when certain parameters of a system are set because of geography or availability of infrastructure, market information can guide improvements to maximize market capture. This paper will examine those data that are important to a high-speed rail plan and how some system decisions directly affect the ability of the transportation product offered to satisfy the needs of the traveling public. “Build it and they will come” cannot be trusted to repay the massive investment required by high-speed rail.

scholarly journals A Pragmatic Optimization Method for Motor Train Set Assignment and Maintenance Scheduling Problem

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Li ◽  
Boliang Lin ◽  
Zhongkai Wang ◽  
Lei Chen ◽  
Jiaxi Wang
Keyword(s):  
High Speed ◽  
Programming Model ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Optimization Method ◽  
Maintenance Scheduling ◽  
Heuristic Solution ◽  
Maintenance Cycle ◽  
Transportation Organization ◽  
Matching Relation

With the rapid development of high-speed railway in China, the problem of motor train set assignment and maintenance scheduling is becoming more and more important for transportation organization. This paper focuses on considering the special maintenance items of motor train set and mainly meets the two maintenance cycle limits on aspects of mileage and time for each item. And then, a 0-1 integer programming model for motor train set assignment and maintenance scheduling is proposed, which aims at maximizing the accumulated mileage before each maintenance and minimizing the number of motor train sets. Restrictions of the model include the matching relation between motor train sets and routes as well as that between motor train sets and maintenance items and maintenance capacity of motor train set depot. A heuristic solution strategy based on particle swarm optimization is also proposed to solve the model. In the end, a case study is designed based on the background of Beijing south depot in China, and the result indicates that the model and algorithm proposed in this paper could solve the problem of motor train set assignment and maintenance scheduling effectively.

scholarly journals Design and construction of simple beam bridges for high-speed rails in China: standardization and industrialization

2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 274-282 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gonglian Dai ◽  
Miao Su ◽  
Y. Frank Chen
Keyword(s):  
High Speed ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Eastern China ◽  
Experimental Tests ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Load Models ◽  
Construction Methods ◽  
Construction Experience ◽  
Dynamic Performances ◽  
Design And Construction

High-speed rail provides a safe, efficient, and economic transportation system for regions with high population density such as eastern China. To accommodate the rapid development of high-speed rails in China, the bridges with standard spans have been identified as the main infrastructure type. This article provides a state-of-the-art review on the design and construction of the standard simply-supported beam (simple beam) bridges for high-speed rails in China. The structural components discussed include the main girder, deck, and substructure. The live load models, deformation limiting values, and construction methods for the bridges are also discussed. Additionally, the experimental tests were conducted to verify the static and dynamic performances of the structure. The main objective of this paper is to provide the latest design and construction experience of Chinese standard simple beam bridges in high-speed rail and show how a quick and quality engineering has been achieved by utilizing these standardized bridges.

scholarly journals Empirical Analysis of Relieving High-Speed Rail Freight Congestion in China

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (23) ◽  
pp. 9918
Author(s):  
Hanlin Gao ◽  
Meiqing Zhang ◽  
Anne Goodchild
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Empirical Analysis ◽  
High Speed ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Rail Freight ◽  
Predictive Regression ◽  
Freight Volume ◽  
Passenger Trains ◽  
Integrated Time Series ◽  
Small Capacity

This paper discusses how to promote high-speed rail (HSR) freight business by solving the congestion problem. First, we define the existing operation modes in China and propose the idea of relieving congestion by reserving more carriages of HSR passenger trains for freight between cities with large potential volume or small capacity. Second, we take one HSR corridor as a case to study, and use predictive regression and integrated time series methods to forecast the growth of HSR freight volume along the corridor. Finally, combined with forecast results and available capacity during the peak month of 2018, we offer suggestions on the mode adoption in each segment during the peak month from 2019 to 2022. Results demonstrate: (1) Among all 84 Origin-Destination (OD) city flows, the percentage of those monthly volumes over 1 ton increases from 17.9% in 2018 to 84.6% in 2022, and those over 30 tons rise from 3.6% to 26.2%. (2) Among the segments between seven main cities in the HSR corridor, T-J should be given priority to operate trains with reserved mode; the segment between X and J deserves to reserve most carriages during the peak month in the future. Specifically, our model suggests reserving 5.3–10.1 carriages/day for J-X, and 4.8–16.3 carriages/day for X-J during the peak month from 2019 to 2022.

Analysis on the Main Factors Influencing the High-Speed Railway Passenger Flow

2014 ◽  
Vol 919-921 ◽  
pp. 1085-1090
Author(s):  
Yuan Huang ◽  
He Song ◽  
Chun Yan Jia
Keyword(s):  
High Speed ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Service Level ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
High Speed Railway ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Passenger Flow ◽  
Survey Statistics ◽  
Main Factors ◽  
The Times

With the rapid development of our national economy, the fast process of city, regional passenger demand is increasing rapidly, high-speed railway emerging as the times requiring. High-speed railway has many advantages in essence and also some disadvantages. How to use its advantages, how to avoid their disadvantages, is important for the advantageous to improve the interests of the company on high speed railway transport department and railway sector, as well as the social development. Through the way of questionnaire survey, statistics and analyzes the main factors affecting the High-speed Rail passenger flow, provides more active mode of operation for the High-speed Rail department. This paper raised the urgent and realistic basis to improve the service level.

scholarly journals Windows of Opportunity in the CoPS’s Catch-Up Process: A Case Study of China’s High-Speed Train Industry

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 2144
Author(s):  
Han Huang ◽  
Jie Xiong ◽  
Junfang Zhang
Keyword(s):  
High Speed ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Longitudinal Case Study ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Complex Product ◽  
Windows Of Opportunity ◽  
High Speed Trains ◽  
Research Gap ◽  
Catch Up

Over the last 20 years, the rapid development of high-speed Chinese trains has provided valuable guidelines to countries and companies eager to develop their complex product and system (CoPS) sectors. CoPS refers to the high cost and technology-intensive systems, networks, infrastructure and engineering constructs, and services. Although established studies highlight the importance of CoPS to the economy and development of a country, especially those that have yet to develop high-speed rail, scholars have not paid much attention to investigating the catch-up of CoPS industries from the windows of opportunity perspective. We aimed to fill in this research gap by analyzing the successful catch-up of Chinese high-speed trains. Based on a longitudinal case study of this industry, we analyzed and detailed the mechanisms of the catch-up process of a typical CoPS sector and its development. Our results enrich the literature of the catch-up process, CoPS, and the studies of windows of opportunity. In particular, we show that the windows of opportunity that emerge in the catch-up process of CoPS have the characteristics of endogeneity, asymmetry, and relevance. Moreover, our study further indicates that the endogenous windows of opportunity regarding policy result in the development of later windows of technology and demand. We also find that the technology’s windows of opportunity consist of the window to broaden the technology width and the window to deepen the technology depth of latecomers. In addition to theoretical contributions, our findings can help policymakers of latecomer countries better formulate CoPS industrial policies, followed by a gradual progress in successfully catch-up with the leading countries.

scholarly journals Two sides of the economic effects of high-speed rail construction on small and medium-sized cities and its countermeasures

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Meng Li
Keyword(s):  
High Speed ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Economic Effects ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Large Cities ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Two Sides ◽  
The Way

With the opening of high-speed rail since 2008,China has entered the era of high-speed rail.The rapid development of high-speed rail has effectively broken through the bottleneck of insufficient capacity in China,which has produced a host of positive effects and made great contributions to China’s economic development.However,the research shows that the rapid development of high-speed rail construction is greatly beneficial to the large cities,but its impact on small and medium-sized cities along the way is yet to be discussed.Therefore,it is necessary to explore the economic effects of high-speed rail construction on small and mediumsized cities and effectively deal with the negative impact brought by high-speed rail.

scholarly journals Transportation route optimization based on heuristic algorithm

2021 ◽  
Vol 2083 (3) ◽  
pp. 032016
Author(s):  
Fan Wu ◽  
Yongan Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Heuristic Algorithm ◽  
Time Window ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Route Optimization ◽  
Internet Technology ◽  
Mixed Integer ◽  
Routing Problem ◽  
Freight Volume ◽  
Transportation Organization ◽  
Transportation Company

Abstract With the rapid development of Internet technology, many enterprises are committed to finding the best solution in transportation organization and solving the vehicle distribution routing problem. Firstly, this paper introduces the current situation of transportation organization of Sichuan Yida Feiniu Transportation Company, and analyzes the main problems of the company. Secondly, through the prediction of freight volume, prepare the truck vehicle operation plan and optimize the company’s transportation organization and production plan. Finally, the heuristic algorithm is used to establish a mixed integer programming mathematical model to optimize the pooled vehicle distribution path problem and the vehicle distribution path with time window. In terms of centralized vehicle distribution, combined with the actual situation of Sichuan Yida Feiniu Transportation Company, an example is analyzed, the shortest total path is obtained, and the goal of shortest vehicle travel distance is realized. Through the optimization of the company’s transportation organization, this paper is of great significance to improve the company’s transportation organization to a certain extent.

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