Probability Model of Corrosion Initiation Time of Steel in Concrete Structure in Chloride Environment

2011 ◽  
Vol 243-249 ◽  
pp. 5632-5636
Author(s):  
Ya Li Ma ◽  
Ai Lin Zhang

Probability distribution law of corrosion initiation time of steel in concrete under chloride environment is discussed. Based on the Fick’s second law, by Monte Carlo, frequency distribution, distribution type and probability density is analyzed. The statistic parameters of the factors influencing the probability distribution of corrosion initiation time are studied and the expression for sensitivity analysis of corrosion initiation time is deduced. By sensitivity analysis can know, corrosion initiation time is found to be more sensitive to cover than the diffusion coefficient, and more sensitive to surface chloride concentration than the critical chloride level. The analysis of the paper perfects the methods of predicting the corrosion initiation time.

1997 ◽  
Vol 39 (4) ◽  
pp. 739-759 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Arora ◽  
B.N. Popov ◽  
B. Haran ◽  
M. Ramasubramanian ◽  
S. Popova ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
SATISH B. ALLAMPALLEWAR ◽  
A. SRIVIDYA

Corrosion initiation time of steel reinforcement for partially saturated concrete members subjected to chloride ingress is investigated at five places along Indian coasts using simplified probabilistic analysis and sensitivity of the parameters to reinforcement corrosion is studied. Previously proposed diffusion based chloride ingress model for constant surface chloride concentration and variable diffusion coefficient is used. Corrosion is initiated when the chloride concentration on steel reinforcement exceeds a threshold value. The various input parameters considered in the model are surface chloride concentration (Cs), chloride threshold value (Cth), Concrete cover (X), reference diffusion coefficient (Dref), age (t), reference age (tref), diffusion decay index (m) and monthly temperature and relative humidity correction factors f(T) and f(h) respectively; to reference diffusion coefficient. For prediction of corrosion initiation time temperature and relative humidity data collected by India metrological Department is used and all other parameters are assumed same. A large variation in corrosion initiation time is found and therefore it becomes necessary to consider the temperature and relative humidity data in a region. Life-365 considers fully saturated condition of concrete and thus underestimates the corrosion initiation time of a reinforced concrete member. The deterministic approach uses mean values of the parameters and provides a 50% probability of corrosion initiation but the probabilistic approach provides expected time of first corrosion for chosen risk of corrosion and also gives sensitivity of parameters to probability of corrosion. Corrosion initiation time in ascending order is found at Colaba, Kanyakumari, Santacruz, Chennai and Vishakhapatnam. Corrosion initiation time is useful for owner, designer, or to an organization to take decision in time of priority of repairs, repair strategy, corrosion protection in order to optimize maintenance planning and budgeting. Planned maintenance at the optimum time is the safest and most cost effective approach.


Author(s):  
A. SRIVIDYA ◽  
SATISH B. ALLAMPALLEWAR

An approximate explicit method from literature to estimate the corrosion initiation time of steel reinforcement in concrete is developed to incorporate random variables which affect the diffusion rate. The method accounts for uncertainties of input parameters and predicate expected time of first corrosion for the chosen risk of corrosion and its variance. Method is also utilized to rank the sensitive parameters to initiate steel reinforcement corrosion. Corrosion is initiated when the chloride concentration on steel reinforcement exceeds a threshold value. Corrosion initiation time is useful for owner, designer, or to an organization to take decision in time of priority of repairs, repair strategy, corrosion protection in order to optimize maintenance planning and budgeting. Planned maintenance at the optimum time is the safest and most cost effective approach.


Materials ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (24) ◽  
pp. 7662
Author(s):  
Mauricio Arreola-Sanchez ◽  
Elia M. Alonso-Guzman ◽  
Wilfrido Martinez-Molina ◽  
Andres A. Torres-Acosta ◽  
Hugo L. Chavez-Garcia ◽  
...  

This paper presents a comparison of six index properties collected during durability inspections of five Mexican seaports. Typical durability indicators such as compressive strength, saturated electrical resistivity, ultrasonic pulse velocity, percent total void content, capillary porosity, and chloride concentration profiles were analyzed to obtain empirical correlations with the non-steady-state chloride diffusion coefficient. These indices were compared to determine correlation coefficients that are the most important for obtaining better corrosion initiation forecasting. Two models of corrosion initiation time (ti) were used: Fick’s second law of diffusion and the reported UNE-83994-2 (Spanish Association for Standardization, UNE) in which electrical resistivity was used to calculate concrete service life. The data from both models were cleaned using correlated variables, and the initial variables were compared with ti. The main result achieved was the verification of the feasibility of using correlations of variables to clean unnecessary data in order to calculate ti. Additionally, electrical resistivity was identified as one of the main durability indexes for in-service concrete structures exposed to marine environments. This is important because electrical resistivity is a non-destructive and reliable test that can be measured both in the laboratory and in the field very easily.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 1097-1119
Author(s):  
Mohammed Hammad ◽  
Alireza Abbasi ◽  
Ripon K. Chakrabortty ◽  
Michael J. Ryan

PurposeThis research presents a framework that allows project managers to predict the next critical paths (CP(s)) and to take extra care when planning and executing those activities that have the potential to cause changes in a project's current CP(s).Design/methodology/approachThe method presented here is based on an assessment of each activity's contribution to the overall schedule variance, which involves assigning a probability distribution function to each activity duration in the project. A sensitivity analysis is also carried out, which forms the basis of identifying which activity most affects the project completion date and therefore will have the greatest effect in changing the CP.FindingsThe authors’ analysis reveals that the most appropriate probability density function (PDF) for the targeted project is the normal distribution. However, the aim of this work is not to determine the most suitable distribution for each activity but rather to study the effect of the activity distribution type on the CP prediction. The results show that the selection of the appropriate probability distribution is very important, since it can impact the CP prediction and estimated project completion date.Originality/valueThis research work proposes a delay analysis scheme which can help the project manager to predict the next CP and to improve performance by identifying which activity is the bottleneck. On the other hand, the simplicity arises from the fact that this method does not require any expensive machines or software to generate results.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Juncheng Wang ◽  
Li Zhou ◽  
Wenzhi Song ◽  
Houle Zhang ◽  
Yongxin Wu

This study investigated the effect of different probabilistic distributions (Lognormal, Gamma, and Beta) to characterize the spatial variability of shear modulus on the soil liquefiable response. The parameter sensitivity analysis included the coefficient of variation and scale of fluctuation of soil shear modulus. The results revealed that the distribution type had no significant influence on the liquefication zone. In particular, the estimation with Beta distribution is the worst scenario. It illuminated that the estimation with Beta distribution can provide a conservative design if site investigation is absent.


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