Rainfall Time Distribution over the Wuliangsuhai Eastern River Basin

2014 ◽  
Vol 955-959 ◽  
pp. 1143-1146
Author(s):  
Yu Jin Zhang ◽  
Rui Hong Yu ◽  
Yun Hao ◽  
Huan Yang

The 25 years of rainfall data in Wuliangsuhai eastern river basin from 1986 to 2010 are summarized and analyzed based on two statistical methods. The two statistical methods named moving average method and Cumulative Departure Curve are applied to make a conclusion that the rainfall in 25 years has a downward trend and the rate of change become high in new century.

2014 ◽  
Vol 35 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Joel Nobert ◽  
Patric Kibasa

Rainfall runoff modelling in a river basin is vital for number of hydrologic applicationincluding water resources assessment. However, rainfall data from sparse gauging stationsare usually inadequate for modelling which is a major concern in Tanzania. This studypresents the results of comparison of Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM)satellite rainfall products at daily and monthly time-steps with ground stations rainfalldata; and explores the possibility of using satellite rainfall data for rainfall runoffmodelling in Pangani River Basin, Tanzania. Statistical analysis was carried out to find thecorrelation between the ground stations data and TRMM estimates. It was found thatTRMM estimates at monthly scale compare reasonably well with ground stations data.Time series comparison was also done at daily and annual time scales. Monthly and annualtime series compared well with coefficient of determination of 0.68 and 0.70, respectively.It was also found that areal rainfall comparison in the northern parts of the study area hadpoor results compared to the rest of areas. On the other hand, rainfall runoff modellingwith ground stations data alone and TRMM data set alone was carried out using five Real-Time River Flow Forecasting System models and then outputs combined by Models OutputsCombination Techniques. The results showed that ground stations data performed betterduring calibration period with coefficient of efficiency of 76.7%, 81.7% and 89.1% forSimple Average Method, Weight Average Method and Neural Network Method respectively.Simulation results using TRMM data were 59.8%, 73.5% and 76.8%. It can therefore beconcluded that TRMM data are adequate and promising in hydrological modelling.


Author(s):  
zhen wang ◽  
Meixue Yang ◽  
xuejia wang ◽  
lizhen cheng ◽  
guoning wan ◽  
...  

Climate changes may pose challenges to water management. Simulation and projection of climate-runoff processes through hydrological models are essential means to assess the impact of global climate change on runoff variations. This study focuses on the upper Taohe River Basin which is an important water sources for arid and semi-arid regions in Northwest China. In order to assess the impacts of environmental changes, outputs from a regional climate model and the SWAT hydrological model were used to analyze the future climate change scenarios to water resources quantitatively. The examined climate changes scenarios results showed that average annual temperature from 2020 to 2099 in this area exhibits a consistent warming trend with different warming rates, at rates of 0.10°C/10a, 0.20°C /10a and 0.54°C /10a under RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5(Representative Concentration Pathways, RCPs), The value of precipitation experiences different trends under different emission scenarios. Under the RCP2.6, average precipitation would decrease at a rate of 3.69 mm/10a, while under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, it would increase at rates of 4.97 mm/10a and 12.28 mm/10a, respectively. The calibration and validation results in three in-site observations (Luqu, Xiabagou and Minxian) in the upper Taohe River Basin showed that SWAT hydrological model is able to produce an acceptable simulation of runoff at monthly time-step. In response to future climate changes, projected runoff change would present different decreasing trends. Under RCP2.6, annual average runoff would experience a progress of fluctuating trend, with a rate of-0.6×108m3 by 5-year moving average method; Under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, annual average runoff would show steadily increasing trends, with rates of 0.23×108m3 and 0.16×108m3 by 5-year moving average method. The total runoff in the future would prone to drought and flood disasters. Overall, this research results would provide a scientific reference for reginal water resources management on the long term.


2019 ◽  
Vol 111 ◽  
pp. 04015
Author(s):  
Dmytro Ivanko ◽  
Natasa Nord ◽  
Åse Lekang Sørensen ◽  
Thale Sofie Wester Plesser ◽  
Harald Taxt Walnum ◽  
...  

The aim of this research is to improve the existing approaches of domestic hot water (DHW) energy use analysis in buildings. A comprehensive statistical analysis of hourly DHW energy use for a hotel in Oslo, Norway, was performed. To recognize the trend of DHW energy use over several years, Centered Moving Average method was applied. To increase the accuracy of DHW energy use analysis, it was proposed to identify the months and days of the week with similar characteristics of DHW energy use and build unified profiles for them. For this purpose, the approaches based on the student’s t-tests and Fisher’s test was proposed. The analysis allowed us to detect two seasons of DHW energy use. In addition, it was revealed that behavior of DHW energy use on Mondays significantly different from other working days. To recognize the timing of peak and average and low DHW energy use, method of statistical grouping of the hourly energy use was utilized. The typical profiles of DHW energy in the hotel were obtained. The profiles proposed in the present article more reliably reflect the regimes of DHW energy use in the hotel and take into account factors that have influence on DHW use.


Geografie ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 120 (1) ◽  
pp. 84-100
Author(s):  
Jana Šmídová

The paper summarizes our knowledge of the flood regime of the Opava river basin between 1960 and 2010. Emphasis is placed on the categorization of the individual components of the causes of flooding and the development of floods. Analogies were sought among floods based on their causal symptoms and the characteristics of the runoff response. Summer and winter categories of flood waves have been delineated via statistical methods, which characterize common features of floods by cluster analysis and similarity index. Flood episodes have been divided into nine groups (four types of winter- and five types of summer floods) based on the spatial and time distribution of rainfall, which is caused by specific atmospheric circulation and thus influences the development and formation of the flow waves.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alamgir Khalil

AbstractAn accurate and complete rainfall record is prerequisite for climate studies. The purpose of this research study was to evaluate the homogeneity of the rainfall series for the Mae Klong River Basin in Thailand. Monthly rainfall data of eight stations in the Mae Klong River Basin for the period 1971–2015 were used. The double mass curve analysis was used to check the consistency of rainfall data, whereas the absolute homogeneity was assessed using the Pettitt test, standard normal homogeneity test, Buishand test, and von Neumann test at a 5% significance level. The results of these tests were qualitatively classified as ‘useful’, ‘doubtful’, and ‘suspect’ according to the null hypothesis. Results of the monthly time series indicated the rainfall data as ‘useful’ for 75% of the stations, while two stations’ data were classified as ‘doubtful’ (Stn130221) and ‘suspect’ (Stn376401). On an annual scale, seven out of eight stations data were classified as ‘useful,’ while one station (Stn376401) data were classified as ‘suspect’. Double mass curve analysis technique was used for the adjustment of inhomogeneous data. The results of this study can help provide reliable rainfall data for climate studies in the basin.


2013 ◽  
Vol 52 (4) ◽  
pp. 802-818 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seong-Sim Yoon ◽  
Deg-Hyo Bae

AbstractMore than 70% of South Korea has mountainous terrain, which leads to significant spatiotemporal variability of rainfall. The country is exposed to the risk of flash floods owing to orographic rainfall. Rainfall observations are important in mountainous regions because flood control measures depend strongly on rainfall data. In particular, radar rainfall data are useful in these regions because of the limitations of rain gauges. However, radar rainfall data include errors despite the development of improved estimation techniques for their calculation. Further, the radar does not provide accurate data during heavy rainfall in mountainous areas. This study presents a radar rainfall adjustment method that considers the elevation in mountainous regions. Gauge rainfall and radar rainfall field data are modified by using standardized ordinary cokriging considering the elevation, and the conditional merging technique is used for combining the two types of data. For evaluating the proposed technique, the Han River basin was selected; a high correlation between rainfall and elevation can be seen in this basin. Further, the proposed technique was compared with the mean field bias and original conditional merging techniques. Comparison with kriged rainfall showed that the proposed method has a lesser tendency to oversmooth the rainfall distribution when compared with the other methods, and the optimal mean areal rainfall is very similar to the value obtained using gauges. It reveals that the proposed method can be applied to an area with significantly varying elevation, such as the Han River basin, to obtain radar rainfall data of high accuracy.


2016 ◽  
Vol 3 (01) ◽  
pp. 10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jarot Purnomo ◽  
Sorja Koesuma ◽  
Mohtar Yunianto

<span>It has been done a research about separation of regional-residual anomaly in Gravity method. <span>This research compares the result of three methods i.e. moving average method, polynomial <span>method, and inversion method. The computer program is created using a computer programming <span>Matlab 7. From three methods that have been made, the separation results are compared with<br /><span>results of separation by using Upward Continuation method. From the results of these <span>comparisons will be available an excellent program of regional-residual anomali separation. The <span>results show that in polynomial method of the order 4 obtained similar contour to the separation <span>by Upward Continuation Software. So that the output of this separation will be treated again <span>with Grav2DC software. The output of this software is the density of rock Grav2DC of the study<br /><span>area. Processing results obtained the minimum error of 1.85% for the separation by polynomial <span>method, while for the method of Upward Continuation obtained minimum error of 2.22%. The <span>results obtained show that the separation of regional-residual anomali by polynomial method is <span>similar to separation by Upward Continuation method.</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br /></span>


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