scholarly journals Comparison of neural networks and genetic algorithms to determine missing precipitation data (Case study: the city of Sari)

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (29) ◽  
pp. 114-128
Author(s):  
Ali Mahdavi ◽  
Mohsen Najarchi ◽  
Emadoddin Hazaveie ◽  
Seyed Mohammad Mirhosayni Hazave ◽  
Seyed Mohammad Mahdai Najafizadeh
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Genetic Programming ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
The City

Neural networks and genetic programming in the investigation of new methods for predicting rainfall in the catchment area of the city of Sari. Various methods are used for prediction, such as the time series model, artificial neural networks, fuzzy logic, fuzzy Nero, and genetic programming. Results based on statistical indicators of root mean square error and correlation coefficient were studied. The results of the optimal model of genetic programming were compared, the correlation coefficients and the root mean square error 0.973 and 0.034 respectively for training, and 0.964 and 0.057 respectively for the optimal neural network model. Genetic programming has been more accurate than artificial neural networks and is recommended as a good way to accurately predict.

scholarly journals Hydrochars as Emerging Biofuels: Recent Advances and Application of Artificial Neural Networks for the Prediction of Heating Values

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (17) ◽  
pp. 4572
Author(s):  
Ioannis O. Vardiambasis ◽  
Theodoros N. Kapetanakis ◽  
Christos D. Nikolopoulos ◽  
Trinh Kieu Trang ◽  
Toshiki Tsubota ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Sewage Sludge ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Food Waste ◽  
Hydrothermal Carbonization ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Artificial Neural

In this study, the growing scientific field of alternative biofuels was examined, with respect to hydrochars produced from renewable biomasses. Hydrochars are the solid products of hydrothermal carbonization (HTC) and their properties depend on the initial biomass and the temperature and duration of treatment. The basic (Scopus) and advanced (Citespace) analysis of literature showed that this is a dynamic research area, with several sub-fields of intense activity. The focus of researchers on sewage sludge and food waste as hydrochar precursors was highlighted and reviewed. It was established that hydrochars have improved behavior as fuels compared to these feedstocks. Food waste can be particularly useful in co-hydrothermal carbonization with ash-rich materials. In the case of sewage sludge, simultaneous P recovery from the HTC wastewater may add more value to the process. For both feedstocks, results from large-scale HTC are practically non-existent. Following the review, related data from the years 2014–2020 were retrieved and fitted into four different artificial neural networks (ANNs). Based on the elemental content, HTC temperature and time (as inputs), the higher heating values (HHVs) and yields (as outputs) could be successfully predicted, regardless of original biomass used for hydrochar production. ANN3 (based on C, O, H content, and HTC temperature) showed the optimum HHV predicting performance (R2 0.917, root mean square error 1.124), however, hydrochars’ HHVs could also be satisfactorily predicted by the C content alone (ANN1, R2 0.897, root mean square error 1.289).

Prediction of Significant Wave Height Using Neural Network in the Java Sea (North of Surabaya)

2017 ◽  
Vol 862 ◽  
pp. 72-77
Author(s):  
Wimala L. Dhanistha ◽  
R.A. Atmoko ◽  
P. Juniarko ◽  
Ridho Akbar
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Wave Height ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
The North ◽  
Java Sea ◽  
The City

Indonesia is an archipelago, Surabaya is the second crowded city in Indonesia. So the shipping lane and the city is comparable. Neural network is models inspired by biological neural networks and used to estimate or approximate functions that can depend on a large number of inputs and are generally unknown. Neural network is used to predict the wave height in Java Sea (The North of Surabaya). The Root Mean Square Error average for the next one hour is 0.03 and the Root Mean Square Error average for the next six hours is 0.09. That’s mean the longest the prediction, the biggest Root Mean Square error.

Prediction of penetration rate of rotary-percussive drilling using artificial neural networks – a case study / Prognozowanie postępu wiercenia przy użyciu wiertła udarowo-obrotowego przy wykorzystaniu sztucznych sieci neuronowych – studium przypadku

2012 ◽  
Vol 57 (3) ◽  
pp. 715-728 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seyed Ali Aalizad ◽  
Farshad Rashidinejad
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Penetration Rate ◽  
Rock Properties ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Percussive Drilling ◽  
Drilling Condition

Abstract Penetration rate in rocks is one of the most important parameters of determination of drilling economics. Total drilling costs can be determined by predicting the penetration rate and utilized for mine planning. The factors which affect penetration rate are exceedingly numerous and certainly are not completely understood. For the prediction of penetration rate in rotary-percussive drilling, four types of rocks in Sangan mine have been chosen. Sangan is situated in Khorasan-Razavi province in Northeastern Iran. The selected parameters affect penetration rate is divided in three categories: rock properties, drilling condition and drilling pattern. The rock properties are: density, rock quality designation (RQD), uni-axial compressive strength, Brazilian tensile strength, porosity, Mohs hardness, Young modulus, P-wave velocity. Drilling condition parameters are: percussion, rotation, feed (thrust load) and flushing pressure; and parameters for drilling pattern are: blasthole diameter and length. Rock properties were determined in the laboratory, and drilling condition and drilling pattern were determined in the field. For create a correlation between penetration rate and rock properties, drilling condition and drilling pattern, artificial neural networks (ANN) were used. For this purpose, 102 blastholes were observed and drilling condition, drilling pattern and time of drilling in each blasthole were recorded. To obtain a correlation between this data and prediction of penetration rate, MATLAB software was used. To train the pattern of ANN, 77 data has been used and 25 of them found for testing the pattern. Performance of ANN models was assessed through the root mean square error (RMSE) and correlation coefficient (R2). For optimized model (14-14-10-1) RMSE and R2 is 0.1865 and 86%, respectively, and its sensitivity analysis showed that there is a strong correlation between penetration rate and RQD, rotation and blasthole diameter. High correlation coefficient and low root mean square error of these models showed that the ANN is a suitable tool for penetration rate prediction.

scholarly journals Subset selection of markers for the genome-enabled prediction of genetic values using radial basis function neural networks

2020 ◽  
Vol 43 ◽  
pp. e46307 ◽  
Author(s):  
Isabela de Castro Sant'Anna ◽  
Gabi Nunes Silva ◽  
Moysés Nascimento ◽  
Cosme Damião Cruz
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Radial Basis Function ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Basis Function ◽  
Stepwise Regression ◽  
Subset Selection ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Selection Of

This paper aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of subset selection of markers for genome-enabled prediction of genetic values using radial basis function neural networks (RBFNN). To this end, an F1 population derived from the hybridization of divergent parents with 500 individuals genotyped with 1000 SNP-type markers was simulated. Phenotypic traits were determined by adopting three different gene action models – additive, additive-dominant, and epistatic, representing two dominance situations: partial and complete with quantitative traits having a heritability (h2) of 30 and 60%; traits were controlled by 50 loci, considering two alleles per locus. Twelve different scenarios were represented in the simulation. The stepwise regression was used before the prediction methods. The reliability and the root mean square error were used for estimation using a fivefold cross-validation scheme. Overall, dimensionality reduction improved the reliability values for all scenarios, specifically with h2 =30 the reliability value from 0.03 to 0.59 using RBFNN and from 0.10 to 0.57 with RR-BLUP in the scenario with additive effects. In the additive dominant scenario, the reliability values changed from 0.12 to 0.59 using RBFNN and from 0.12 to 0.58 with RR-BLUP, and in the epistasis scenarios, the reliability values changed from 0.07 to 0.50 using RBFNN and from 0.06 to 0.47 with RR-BLUP. The results showed that the use of stepwise regression before the use of these techniques led to an improvement in the accuracy of prediction of the genetic value and, mainly, to a large reduction of the root mean square error in addition to facilitating processing and analysis time due to a reduction in dimensionality.

scholarly journals Prediction of paddy drying kinetics: A comparative study between mathematical and artificial neural network modelling

2017 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 251-258 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohsen Beigi ◽  
Mehdi Torki-Harchegani ◽  
Mahmood Mahmoodi-Eshkaftaki
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Comparative Study ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Drying Kinetics ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Rough Rice ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Drying Curves

The present study aimed at investigation of deep bed drying of rough rice kernels at various thin layers at different drying air temperatures and flow rates. A comparative study was performed between mathematical thin layer models and artificial neural networks to estimate the drying curves of rough rice. The suitability of nine mathematical models in simulating the drying kinetics was examined and the Midilli model was determined as the best approach for describing drying curves. Different feed forward-back propagation artificial neural networks were examined to predict the moisture content variations of the grains. The ANN with 4-18-18-1 topology, transfer function of hyperbolic tangent sigmoid and a Levenberg-Marquardt back propagation training algorithm provided the best results with the maximum correlation coefficient and the minimum mean square error values. Furthermore, it was revealed that ANN modeling had better performance in prediction of drying curves with lower root mean square error values.

scholarly journals Penerapan Generalized Regression Neural Networks untuk Memprediksi Produksi Padi Terhadap Perubahan Iklim

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 117 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Alkaff ◽  
Yuslena Sari
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Generalized Regression Neural Networks ◽  
Data Output ◽  
Generalized Regression

Padi sebagai bahan makanan pokok utama bagi masyarakat Indonesia merupakan tanaman pangan yang rentan terhadap perubahan iklim. Pendataan dan perhitungan ramalan hasil produksi padi sangat diperlukan untuk mendukung kebijakan yang berkaitan dengan ketahanan pangan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melakukan peramalan terhadap produksi padi di Kabupaten Barito Kuala sebagai kabupaten penghasil padi terbesar di Kalimantan Selatan dengan menggunakan data iklim sebagai input. Data iklim yang digunakan berasal dari Stasiun Meteorologi Syamsudin Noor, sedangkan sebagai data output adalah data produksi padi dari Badan Pusat Statistika (BPS) Provinsi Kalimantan Selatan. Metode yang digunakan untuk melakukan peramalan produksi padi adalah Generalized Regression Neural Networks (GRNN). Dari hasil pengujian didapatkan nilai Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) sebesar 0,296 dengan menggunakan parameter smoothness bernilai 1.Kata kunci: padi, iklim, Barito Kuala, GRNN, RMSE

scholarly journals Red Wine Age Estimation by the Alteration of Its Color Parameters: Fourier Transform Infrared Spectroscopy as a Tool to Monitor Wine Maturation Time

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Basalekou ◽  
C. Pappas ◽  
Y. Kotseridis ◽  
P. A. Tarantilis ◽  
E. Kontaxakis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Fourier Transform ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Fourier Transform Infrared ◽  
Mode Analysis ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Chemical Reagents ◽  
Grape Varieties

Color, phenolic content, and chemical age values of red wines made from Cretan grape varieties (Kotsifali, Mandilari) were evaluated over nine months of maturation in different containers for two vintages. The wines differed greatly on their anthocyanin profiles. Mid-IR spectra were also recorded with the use of a Fourier Transform Infrared Spectrophotometer in ZnSe disk mode. Analysis of Variance was used to explore the parameter’s dependency on time. Determination models were developed for the chemical age indexes using Partial Least Squares (PLS) (TQ Analyst software) considering the spectral region 1830–1500 cm−1. The correlation coefficients (r) for chemical age index i were 0.86 for Kotsifali (Root Mean Square Error of Calibration (RMSEC) = 0.067, Root Mean Square Error of Prediction (RMSEP) = 0,115, and Root Mean Square Error of Validation (RMSECV) = 0.164) and 0.90 for Mandilari (RMSEC = 0.050, RMSEP = 0.040, and RMSECV = 0.089). For chemical age index ii the correlation coefficients (r) were 0.86 and 0.97 for Kotsifali (RMSEC 0.044, RMSEP = 0.087, and RMSECV = 0.214) and Mandilari (RMSEC = 0.024, RMSEP = 0.033, and RMSECV = 0.078), respectively. The proposed method is simpler, less time consuming, and more economical and does not require chemical reagents.

PERBANDINGAN ARIMA DAN ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS DALAM PERAMALAN JUMLAH POSITIF COVID-19 DI DKI JAKARTA

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 288-301
Author(s):  
Tri Wahyuni ◽  
Indahwati Indahwati ◽  
Kusman Sadik
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Cumulative Number ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Forecasting Accuracy ◽  
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average ◽  
Artificial Neural

DKI Jakarta is the center of the spread of Covid-19. This is indicated by the higher cumulative number of Covid-19 positive in DKI Jakarta compared to other provinces. The high number of cases in DKI Jakarta is a concern for all groups, so it is necessary to do forecasting to predict the number of Covid-19 positive in the next period. Accurate forecasting is needed to get better results. This study compares the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) methods in predicting the number of Covid-19 positive in DKI Jakarta. Forecasting accuracy is calculated using the value of Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), and correlation. The results show that the best model for forecasting the number of Covid-19 positive in DKI Jakarta is ARIMA(0,1,1) with drift, with a MAPE value of 15.748, an RMSE of 268.808, and the correlation between the forecast value and the actual value of 0.845. Forecasting using ARIMA(0,1,1) with drift and BP(3,10,1) models produces the best forecast for the long forecasting period of the next six weeks.

A Study on Time Series Forecasting using Hybridization of Time Series Models and Neural Networks

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 827-832
Author(s):  
Iflah Aijaz ◽  
Parul Agarwal
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Hybrid Models ◽  
Time Series Forecasting ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Mean Square

Introduction: Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are leading linear and non-linear models in Machine learning respectively for time series forecasting. Objective: This survey paper presents a review of recent advances in the area of Machine Learning techniques and artificial intelligence used for forecasting different events. Methods: This paper presents an extensive survey of work done in the field of Machine Learning where hybrid models for are compared to the basic models for forecasting on the basis of error parameters like Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD), Mean Square Error (MSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Normalized Root Mean Square Error (NRMSE). Results: Table 1 summarizes important papers discussed in this paper on the basis of some parameters which explain the efficiency of hybrid models or when the model is used in isolation. Conclusion: The hybrid model has realized accurate results as compared when the models were used in isolation yet some research papers argue that hybrids cannot always outperform individual models.

scholarly journals Application of Artificial Neural Networks for Producing an Estimation of High-Density Polyethylene

Polymers ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (10) ◽  
pp. 2319
Author(s):  
Akbar Maleki ◽  
Mostafa Safdari Shadloo ◽  
Amin Rahmat
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Copolymer Composition ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Multi Layer Perceptron ◽  
Hydrogen Flow ◽  
Generalized Regression Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural

Polyethylene as a thermoplastic has received the uppermost popularity in a vast variety of applied contexts. Polyethylene is produced by several commercially obtainable technologies. Since Ziegler–Natta catalysts generate polyolefin with broad molecular weight and copolymer composition distributions, this type of model was utilized to simulate the polymerization procedure. The EIX (ethylene index) is the critical controlling variable that indicates product characteristics. Since it is difficult to measure the EIX, estimation is a problem causing the greatest challenges in the applicability of production. To resolve such problems, ANNs (artificial neural networks) are utilized in the present paper to predict the EIX from some simply computed variables of the system. In fact, the EIX is calculated as a function of pressure, ethylene flow, hydrogen flow, 1-butane flow, catalyst flow, and TEA (triethylaluminium) flow. The estimation was accomplished via the Multi-Layer Perceptron, Radial Basis, Cascade Feed-forward, and Generalized Regression Neural Networks. According to the results, the superior performance of the Multi-Layer Perceptron model than other ANN models was clearly demonstrated. Based on our findings, this model can predict production levels with R2 (regression coefficient), MSE (mean square error), AARD% (average absolute relative deviation percent), and RMSE (root mean square error) of, respectively, 0.89413, 0.02217, 0.4213, and 0.1489.

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