scholarly journals FOREIGN DIVERSIFICATION AND PERFORMANCE OF QUOTED DEPOSIT MONEY BANKS IN SELECTED SUB-SAHARA AFRICAN COUNTRIES

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (Special) ◽  
pp. 82-93
Author(s):  
Osagie Osifo ◽  
Esther Ikavbho Evbayiro-Osagie
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Net Interest Margin ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Market Opportunities ◽  
And Performance

Foreign diversification offers prospective market opportunities which afford firms prospects for greater growth and penetration of global markets. This study investigated the effect of foreign diversification on performance of quoted deposit money banks in selected Sub-Sahara African countries; Botswana, Ghana, Kenya, Malawi, Mauritius, Namibia, Nigeria, South Africa, Uganda, Zimbabwe and Zambia. The study employs secondary data collected and computed from sampled deposit money banks annual audited financial statements. Employing the use of descriptive statistics, correlation analysis, panel unit root analysis, co-integration test, multivariate panel data analysis and the system- GMM for a period of 2007 – 2017, the data were estimated with the aid of Eviews 9.0 econometric statistical package. Using dependent variables (Net interest margin and Tobin Q), explanatory variables of foreign diversification, bank’s size and bank’s age respectively. The findings revealed that foreign diversifications have negative and significant effect on all the performance indicators (NIM and TOBIN Q) used in the study. The explanatory variable (foreign diversification) was significant at 1% significance level. The findings from robustness check showed that the coefficients of foreign diversification are also largely negative for most of the banks. This study therefore recommends, amongst others, banks should consider diversification as a long run strategy for promoting growth and other forms of expansions. This can be achieved by promoting more regional banking integration within the sub-region. Given that formalities are already on the ground to facilitate entry and establishment within economies in the regional blocs, diversification in this direction will involve less institutional obstacles

Impact of non-oil sectors on GDP/capita in selected African countries: evidence from panel analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Oluyemi Theophilus Adeosun ◽  
Isaac Idris Gbadamosi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Development Indicators ◽  
Agriculture Industry ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Impact

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact or contribution of non-oil sectors on economic growth (GDP/capita) of some selected African countries using panel data analysis.Design/methodology/approachThe paper focused on secondary data for the period 1991–2019 for macro parameters, including agriculture, industry, export and service, and GDP/capita received from World Development Indicators (WDI). Panel unit root tests like Levin, Lin and Chu test and Im, Pesaran and Shin test, Johansen co-integration test, Granger causality test and an error correction model were also applied to the data for analysis.FindingsThe study reveals no causality from agriculture to economic growth, which implies most of the African countries (used in this study) have neglected agriculture as a source of economic growth. The industry independent variable was of no effect on these countries’ economic growth, whereas the findings reveal that industry has causality on economic growth. Economic growth has no causality on the industry, which means the industry is not contributing to economic growth. The study also shows no causality from export and service to economic growth, but a causality runs from economic growth to export and service.Originality/valueThe paper examines the contribution of the non-oil sectors to economic growth in selected African countries.

scholarly journals Interest Rate Deregulation and Performance of Deposit Money Banks: Time Series Evidence from Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 04 (08) ◽  
Author(s):  
Awa Michael Uduma ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Order Zero ◽  
Deposit Rate ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Lending Rate ◽  
Interest Rate Deregulation ◽  
And Performance

This work investigated the relationship between interest rate deregulation and performance of Nigerian deposit money banks for the period 1996-2018. Interest rate deregulation was disaggregated into prime lending rate, maximum lending rate, 3-months deposit rate and over 12-months deposit rate while return on assets (ROA) was used as a proxy for deposit money banks’ performance. Data on the above variables were sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin (2018 edition) and the World Bank data base. The data were tested for stationarity using the Dickey-Fuller (D-F) test, for long-run relationship using Bound’s co-integration test, and for reliability of ARDL results using serial correlation, heteroscedasticity and normality tests. The results of the tests revealed that all the variables were integrated of order zero or one, and that a long-run relationship exists between the variables. Consequently, ARDL model for parameter estimation process revealed that only prime lending rate was positively related to ROA of banks while none of the explanatory variables was statistically significant. The researcher then submitted that there is no significant relationship between interest rate deregulation and the performance of Nigerian deposit money banks for the period considered. Hence, deposit money banks should strive to mobilize adequate savings from surplus spenders by offering them deposit rates that are capable of inducing savers to increase their savings and boost the availability of loanable funds. Also, there is urgent need to restructure the Nigerian financial system whereby policies by the monetary authorities will achieve pre-determined goals. In essence, to make interest rate policies meaningful, there is need to curtail financial transactions that escape the banking system.

scholarly journals Relationship Between Trade Openness, Capital Formation and Economic Growth: A Panel Data Analysis for African Countries

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmet Ay ◽  
Fahri Kurşunel ◽  
Mahamane Moutari Abdou Baoua
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Equatorial Guinea ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Per Capita

The more a country is open to trade, the more it attracts investors and the faster its economy develops. However, some study showed that sometime it can be the opposite of all this. In this context, the main purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between trade openness, capital formation and economic growth in African countries. To do so, we collected data of GDP per capita, trade (% of GDP), Gross national expenditure and capital formation variables. The method applied is panel cointegration and causality by using time series of 38 African countries for the period of 1990-2014. According to the results there is long run relationship between all the variables and the cross sectional co-integration test result indicates that there is more cointegration in Comoros, Equatorial Guinea, Niger and Guinea-Bissau. With highest GDP per capita, Equatorial Guinea has more long-run relationship between trade openness, capital formation and economic growth. However, one of the poorest countries in the world (Niger), has also efficient long run relationship between the variables. The panel causality test results suggest that there is unidirectional causal relationship from trade openness to economic growth. There is also bidirectional causality link between capital formation and economic growth. In the same context, causal link exists from capital formation to trade openness. The study suggests that African countries must increase the investment promotions in order to increase the capital formation and trade openness then to boost economic growth.

scholarly journals Implications of Governance, Natural Resources, and Security Threats on Economic Development: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (12) ◽  
pp. 6236
Author(s):  
Husam Rjoub ◽  
Chuka Uzoma Ifediora ◽  
Jamiu Adetola Odugbesan ◽  
Benneth Chiemelie Iloka ◽  
João Xavier Rita ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Natural Resources ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Security Threats ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sub Saharan

Sub-Saharan African countries are known to be bedeviled with some challenges hindering the economic development. Meanwhile, some of these issues have not been exhaustively investigated in the context of the region. Thus, this study aimed at investigating the implications of government effectiveness, availability of natural resources, and security threats on the regions’ economic development. Yearly data, spanning from 2007 to 2020, was converted from low frequency (yearly) to high frequency (quarterly) and utilized. Data analysis was conducted using Dynamic heterogeneous panel level estimators (PMG and CS-ARDL). Findings show that while PMG estimator confirms a long-run causal effect of governance, natural resources, and security threats on economic development, only natural resources show a short-run causal effect with economic development, while the CS-ARDL (model 2) confirms the significance of all the variables both in the long and short-run. Moreover, the ECT coefficients for both models were found to be statistically significant at less than 1% significance level, which indicates that the systems return back to equilibrium in case of a shock that causes disequilibrium, and in addition, reveals a stable long-run cointegration among the variables in the model. Finally, this study suggests that the policy makers in SSA countries should place more emphasis on improving governance, managing security challenges, and effectively utilizing rents from the natural resources, as all these have severe implications for the economic development of the region if not addressed.

scholarly journals Deconstructing the Impact of Entrepreneurship on Income Inequality in Sub-Saharan Africa Countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 273-284
Author(s):  
Jimoh S. Ogede
Keyword(s):  
Income Inequality ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sub Saharan ◽  
Entrepreneurial Activities ◽  
The Impact

Abstract The study examines the impacts of entrepreneurship on income inequality in a panel of 29 Sub-Saharan African countries spanning from 2004 to 2020. The paper employs a dynamic heterogeneous panel approach to differentiate between long-run and short-run impacts of entrepreneurship on income inequality. The findings establish a robust and direct nexus between entrepreneurial activities and income disparity. The results of the two entrepreneurial indicators are stable. Besides, the coefficient of the human capital is positive in the regression and statistically significant at a 5 percent significance level. The proxies for macroeconomic factors exhibit diverse signs and impact, which suggest a policy stimulus aimed at refining macroeconomic situations and also ignite prospects for households to increase their incomes.

scholarly journals PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENT, GROWTH AND STRUCTURE OF COMMERCIAL BANKS IN EAST AFRICA

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (5) ◽  
pp. 63
Author(s):  
Dr. Rutto Peter Ketyenya
Keyword(s):  
Performance Measurement ◽  
East Africa ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Financial Structure ◽  
Return On Assets ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
For Profit ◽  
Net Interest Margin ◽  
And Performance

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to analyze Performance Measurement, Growth and Structure of Commercial Banks in East AfricaMethodology: The study used cross country data analysis of 100 commercial banks and collected secondary data from annual published audited financial statements for the period 1997-2011Results: The results indicate that the OPM which combines productivity and profitability captured a high percentage of similar banks when the top 20 commercial banks were ranked; 80% for return on assets, 60% for profit margin and 55% for net interest margin. A positive and significant relationship between economic growth and performance measures was confirmed. Similarly market structure had a positive relationship with the performance. The results further showed an insignificant relationship with financial structure which conforms to the financial structure theory.Policy recommendation: The study recommended that the OPM should enable central banks to assess the performance levels of banks and be able to detect those that are underperforming and take corrective measures to either improve productivity, profitability or both. For policy makers in the EAC secretariat, the measure will enable comparison on the performance of banks in East Africa for subsequent integration to the monetary union

scholarly journals Public Debt and Economic Growth in Niger: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 56-65
Author(s):  
Issoufou Oumarou
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

Purpose: The aim of the paper is to examine the existence or not of a long run or a short run relationship between public debt and economic in Niger and investigate the significance of this relationship. Approach/Methodology/Design: The study first applied time series econometrics tests such as Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root test, Bound cointegration test and Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) on annual data obtained from the International monetary fund (IMF) and the West African States Central Bank (BCEAO). The observations cover the period from 1970 to 2019. The study then performed some residual tests including serial correlation, normality and heteroskedasticity for the accuracy of the prediction of the model. Findings: The empirical results showed no long run relationship between public debt and economic growth in Niger. The short run analysis revealed that public debt and budget balance have short run causal effects on economic growth in Niger. The coefficients are significant at 10% significance level. Practical Implications: This article gives valuable information to Niger policy makers regarding the effects of public debt on Niger economic growth. The article highlights the effects that public debt has on economic growth in Niger in the short and long run. Therefore helping policy makers decide whether to increase or reduce the borrowing trend. Originality/value: The results of the paper give valuable information on the relationship that public debt may have with economic growth in Sub Saharan African countries with the similar macroeconomic indicators with Niger.

scholarly journals ENERGY ACCESS AND HOUSEHOLD INCOME IN SUBSAHARAN AFRICAN COUNTRIES

2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (30) ◽  
Author(s):  
Musibau Ojo Adejumo ◽  
Ajide Bello Kazeem
Keyword(s):  
Unit Root ◽  
Household Income ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Energy Access ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Panel Granger Causality

This study empirically examined the energy access andhousehold income in Sub-Saharan African countries between1990 and 2015. The study employed five variables:energy access, per capita income, energy price, FDI andtrade openness, as well as panel unit root test using twocriteria to test stationarity. Panel cointegration test wasalso conducted to test long-run cointegration between thevariables employed. Panel granger causality test was employedto check the degree of causality between the dependentand explanatory variables and Auto RegressiveDistributive Lag method of estimation was employed tocheck the long-run and short-run relationships between thevariables. The results of the panel unit root test from theLLC and IPS methods show that the order of integrationsis mixed with some of the variables being stationary atlevels (household income, Foreign Direct Investment andTrade Openness) and first difference (Energy Access andFuel Price) at the same time. The result of Pedroni cointegrationtest indicated the bivariate long-run cointegrationequation between the variables employed except forEA and GDPPC. The panel granger causality test revealedthat there is causality between these three variables (EA,GDPPC and FUELP) and the direction of causality onlyflows from these variables to energy access. The ARDLresult revealed that all explanatory variables accountedfor 60% variation of energy access in SSA. However,the study made the following policy implications: energypolicy needs to be orientated in favor of expanding thesupply of energy to reach an enhanced degree of sustainableeconomic growth and development, and governmentsin this region can subsidize energy products to increaseits consumption and promote the welfare of their citizens.

scholarly journals Financial inclusion, bank competition and economic growth in Africa

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tough Chinoda ◽  
Tafirei Mashamba
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Financial Inclusion ◽  
Bank Competition ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Information Hypothesis ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Managerial Implications ◽  
Value Add

Orientation: The relevance of bank competition and economic growth for boosting financial inclusion is attracting unprecedented attention from academics and policymakers, mainly because of several persisting issues which, if addressed, can enhance the functionality of governments, businesses, individuals and the economy.Research purpose: The study aims to examine the interplay between financial inclusion, bank competition and economic growth in Africa.Motivation for the study: Previous literature focuses mainly on the nexus between financial inclusion and bank competition, financial inclusion and economic growth and bank competition and economic growth producing diverse results, with a dearth of literature on the trivariate link between the three variables.Research approach/design and method: This study employed the pooled mean group estimation-based panel autoregression distribution lag approach from 2004 to 2018. A panel data analysis for 20 African countries was used.Main findings: The study found a significant positive relationship between financial inclusion and economic growth in the long run. However, in the short run, economic growth significantly reduces financial inclusion. We also found that in the long-run bank competition reduces financial inclusion in line with the information hypothesis. However, in the short run the effect is significantly positive, consistent with the market power hypothesis.Practical/managerial implications: Policymakers and development agencies should implement measures that reckon incentives that can accelerate bank competition to bring on-board the unbanked. They should also take note of financial inclusion measurement in addressing financial inclusion challenges. Moreover, they should minimise barriers to financial inclusion to enhance bank competition and stability.Contribution/value-add: The study managed to discover how bank competition and economic growth influences financial inclusion.

Tax-to-GDP Ratio and the Relation of Tax Revenue with GDP: Nepalese Perspective

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 80-96
Author(s):  
Arjun Kumar Dahal
Keyword(s):  
Secondary Data ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Exploratory Research ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Ratio Condition ◽  
The Government ◽  
Integrated Or ◽  
High Degree

 This study aims to show the tax-to-GDP ratio condition and explore the relation of tax revenue with Nepal's GDP. It is based on the secondary data that is collected from various published sources. Descriptive and exploratory research designs are used to explore the relationship between tax revenue and GDP. Some statistical and econometric tools like mean, depression, correlation, Johnsen Co-integration Test, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), serial correlation, heteroskedasticity test, and normality test are used. There is a high degree of the positive relationship between tax revenue and GDP of Nepal. The tax revenue and GDP are co-integrated, or they have a long-run association ship. The tax-to-GDP ratio of Nepal lies in the high rank among the various developing countries. So, tax to GDP ratio alone cannot ensure its economic growth. It is advised to the concerned authorities to increase the income to increase the tax revenue; otherwise, it increases the general public's dissatisfaction with the government.

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