scholarly journals Interannual variability of the boreal summer tropical UTLS in observations and CCMVal-2 simulations

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (13) ◽  
pp. 8695-8714 ◽  
Author(s):  
Markus Kunze ◽  
Peter Braesicke ◽  
Ulrike Langematz ◽  
Gabriele Stiller
Keyword(s):  
Climate Models ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Model ◽  
Transport Processes ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Temperature Pattern ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Mixing Ratios

Abstract. During boreal summer the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere (UTLS) in the Northern Hemisphere shows a distinct maximum in water vapour (H2O) mixing ratios and a coincident minimum in ozone (O3) mixing ratios, both confined within the Asian monsoon anticyclone (AMA). This well-known feature has been related to transport processes emerging above the convective systems during the Asian summer monsoon (ASM), further modified by the dynamics of the AMA. We compare the ability of chemistry–climate models (CCMs) to reproduce the climatological characteristics and variability of H2O, O3, and temperature in the UTLS during the boreal summer with MIPAS satellite observations and ERA-Interim reanalyses. By using a multiple linear regression model the main driving factors, the strength of the ASM, the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO), and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), are separated. The regression patterns related to ENSO show a coherent, zonally asymmetric signal for temperatures and H2O mixing ratios for ERA-Interim and the CCMs and suggest a weakening of the ASM during ENSO warm events. The QBO modulation of the lower-stratospheric temperature near the Equator is well represented as a zonally symmetric pattern in the CCMs. Changes in H2O and O3 mixing ratios are consistent with the QBO-induced temperature and circulation anomalies but less zonally symmetric than the temperature pattern. Regarding the ASM, the results of the regression analysis show for ERA-Interim and the CCMs enhanced H2O and reduced O3 mixing ratios within the AMA for stronger ASM seasons. The CCM results can further confirm earlier studies which emphasize the importance of the Tibetan Plateau/southern slope of the Himalayas as the main source region for H2O in the AMA. The results suggest that H2O is transported towards higher latitudes at the north-eastern edge of the AMA rather than towards low equatorial latitudes to be fed into the tropical pipe.

scholarly journals Interannual variability of the boreal summer tropical UTLS in observations and CCMVal-2 simulations

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Markus Kunze ◽  
Peter Braesicke ◽  
Ulrike Langematz ◽  
Gabriele Stiller
Keyword(s):  
Climate Models ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Source Region ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Model ◽  
Transport Processes ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Mixing Ratios

Abstract. During boreal summer the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere (UTLS) in the northern hemisphere shows a distinct maximum in water vapour (H2O) mixing ratios and a coincident minimum in ozone (O3) mixing ratios, both confined within the Asian monsoon anticyclone (AMA). This well known feature has been related to transport processes emerging above the convective systems during the Asian summer monsoon (ASM), further modified by the dynamics of the AMA. We assess the ability of chemistry climate models (CCMs) to reproduce the climatological characteristics and variability of H2O, O3 and temperature in the UTLS during the boreal summer in comparison to MIPAS satellite observations and ERA-Interim reanalyses. By using a multiple linear regression model the main driving factors, the strength of the ASM, the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO), and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), are separated. The results of the regression analysis show for ERA-Interim and the CCMs enhanced H2O and reduced O3 mixing ratios within the AMA for stronger ASM seasons. The CCM results can further confirm earlier studies which emphasize the importance of the Tibetan Plateau/southern slope of the Himalayas as the main source region for H2O in the AMA. The results suggest that H2O is transported towards higher latitudes at the north–eastern edge of the AMA, rather than transported towards low equatorial latitudes to be fed into the tropical pipe. The regression patterns related to ENSO show a coherent signal for temperatures and H2O mixing ratios for ERA-Interim and the CCMs, and suggest a weakening of the ASM during ENSO warm events. The QBO modulation of the lower stratospheric temperature near the Equator is well represented in the CCMs. Its influence on H2O and O3 mixing ratios is consistent but weaker.

scholarly journals The QBO Modulation on CO Distribution in the UTLS Over the Asian Monsoon Region During Boreal Summer

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin He ◽  
Jiali Luo ◽  
Xiran Xu ◽  
Lu Ren ◽  
Hongying Tian ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Mixing Ratio ◽  
The West ◽  
Asian Monsoon Region ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Upper Troposphere ◽  
The North ◽  
Westerly Jet

Using the Microwave Limb Sounding measurements and the National Center for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis product, we have investigated the response of carbon monoxide (CO) mixing ratio within the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone (ASMA) region to the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) and the potential dynamical mechanisms behind it. The results showed that the mixing ratio of CO within the ASMA is significantly higher at both 100 hPa and 147 hPa in the east phase of QBO (EQBO) years than in the west phase of QBO (WQBO) years, especially in the eastern part of the ASMA. The CO difference between EQBO and WQBO years is consistent with the interannual variation of the location and strength of the ASMA. Specifically, during the EQBO years, the area of the ASMA reduces to the southeast in the upper troposphere, while the westerly jet on the north side of the anticyclone and the southerly winds on the west side of the anticyclone both strengthen. These variations are associated with tropospheric circulation anomalies. The ascending motions over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) are enhanced during the EQBO years, which are correlated with the relatively high CO at 100 hPa. Consistently, an anomalous cyclonic circulation is found at 500 hPa over the TP when the QBO is on its east phase, which promotes the convergence of air mass and carries CO from the surface to the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere (UTLS).

scholarly journals Skilful predictions of the Asian summer monsoon one year ahead

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuhei Takaya ◽  
Yu Kosaka ◽  
Masahiro Watanabe ◽  
Shuhei Maeda
Keyword(s):  
Long Range ◽  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Climate Modelling ◽  
Large Ensemble ◽  
Asian Society ◽  
Asian Summer ◽  
One Year

AbstractThe interannual variability of the Asian summer monsoon has significant impacts on Asian society. Advances in climate modelling have enabled us to make useful predictions of the seasonal Asian summer monsoon up to approximately half a year ahead, but long-range predictions remain challenging. Here, using a 52-member large ensemble hindcast experiment spanning 1980–2016, we show that a state-of-the-art climate model can predict the Asian summer monsoon and associated summer tropical cyclone activity more than one year ahead. The key to this long-range prediction is successfully simulating El Niño-Southern Oscillation evolution and realistically representing the subsequent atmosphere–ocean response in the Indian Ocean–western North Pacific in the second boreal summer of the prediction. A large ensemble size is also important for achieving a useful prediction skill, with a margin for further improvement by an even larger ensemble.

scholarly journals Surface ozone at Nam Co (4730 m a.s.l.) in the inland Tibetan Plateau: variation, synthesis comparison and regional representativeness

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiufeng Yin ◽  
Shichang Kang ◽  
Benjamin de Foy ◽  
Zhiyuan Cong ◽  
Jiali Luo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Surface Ozone ◽  
Early Morning ◽  
Photochemical Reactions ◽  
Transport Processes ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Nam Co ◽  
Mixing Ratios ◽  
Northern Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Ozone Levels

Abstract. Ozone is an important pollutant and greenhouse gas, and tropospheric ozone variations are generally associated with both natural and anthropogenic processes. As one of the most pristine and inaccessible regions in the world, the Tibetan Plateau has been considered as an ideal region for studying processes of the background atmosphere. Due to the vast area of the Tibetan Plateau, sites in the southern, northern and central regions exhibit different patterns of variation in surface ozone. Here, we present long-term measurements for ~ 5 years (January 2011 to October 2015) of surface ozone mixing ratios at Nam Co Station, which is a regional background site in the inland Tibetan Plateau. An average surface ozone mixing ratio of 47.6 ± 11.6 ppb was recorded, and a large annual cycle was observed with maximum ozone mixing ratios in the spring and minimum ratios during the winter. The diurnal cycle is characterized by a minimum in the early morning and a maximum in the late afternoon. Nam Co Station represents a background region where surface ozone receives negligible local anthropogenic emissions. Surface ozone at Nam Co Station is mainly dominated by natural processes involving photochemical reactions and potential local vertical mixing. Model results indicate that the study site is affected by the surrounding areas in different seasons and that air masses from the northern Tibetan Plateau lead to increased ozone levels in the summer. In contrast to the surface ozone levels at the edges of the Tibetan Plateau, those at Nam Co Station are less affected by stratospheric intrusions and human activities which makes Nam Co Station representative of vast background areas in the central Tibetan Plateau. By comparing measurements at Nam Co Station with those from other sites in the Tibetan Plateau and beyond, we aim to expand the understanding of ozone cycles and transport processes over the Tibetan Plateau. This work may provide a reference for model simulations in the future.

scholarly journals Climatological perspectives of air transport from atmospheric boundary layer to tropopause layer over Asian monsoon regions during boreal summer inferred from Lagrangian approach

2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (13) ◽  
pp. 5827-5839 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Chen ◽  
X. D. Xu ◽  
S. Yang ◽  
T. L. Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Atmospheric Boundary Layer ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Transport Model ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Indian Subcontinent ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Source Regions

Abstract. The Asian Summer Monsoon (ASM) region has been recognized as a key region that plays a vital role in troposphere-to-stratosphere transport (TST), which can significant impact the budget of global atmospheric constituents and climate change. However, the details of transport from the boundary layer (BL) to tropopause layer (TL) over these regions, particularly from a climatological perspective, remain an issue of uncertainty. In this study, we present the climatological properties of BL-to-TL transport over the ASM region during boreal summer season (June-July-August) from 2001 to 2009. A comprehensive tracking analysis is conducted based on a large ensemble of TST-trajectories departing from the atmospheric BL and arriving at TL. Driven by the winds fields from NCEP/NCAR Global Forecast System, all the TST-trajectories are selected from the high resolution datasets generated by the Lagrangian particle transport model FLEXPART using a domain-filling technique. Three key atmospheric boundary layer sources for BL-to-TL transport are identified with their contributions: (i) 38% from the region between tropical Western Pacific region and South China Seas (WP) (ii) 21% from Bay of Bengal and South Asian subcontinent (BOB), and (iii) 12% from the Tibetan Plateau, which includes the South Slope of the Himalayas (TIB). Controlled by the different patterns of atmospheric circulation, the air masses originated from these three source regions are transported along the different tracks into the TL. The spatial distributions of three source regions keep similarly from year to year. The timescales of transport from BL to TL by the large-scale ascents r-range from 1 to 7 weeks contributing up to 60–70% of the overall TST, whereas the transport governed by the deep convection overshooting become faster on a timescales of 1–2 days with the contributions of 20–30%. These results provide clear policy implications for the control of very short lived substances, especially for the source regions over Indian subcontinent with increasing populations and developing industries.

scholarly journals Validation of Aura MLS retrievals of temperature, water vapour and ozone in the upper troposphere and lower–middle stratosphere over the Tibetan Plateau during boreal summer

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
X. L. Yan ◽  
J. S. Wright ◽  
X. D. Zheng ◽  
N. Livesey ◽  
H. Vömel ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Water Vapour ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Mixing Ratio ◽  
Upper Troposphere ◽  
Mixing Ratios ◽  
Dry Bias ◽  
Temperature Water ◽  
Middle Stratosphere

Abstract. We validate Aura Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) version 3 (v3) and version 4 (v4) retrievals of summertime temperature, water vapour and ozone in the upper troposphere and lower–middle stratosphere (UTLS; 10–316 hPa) against balloon soundings collected during the Study of Ozone, Aerosols and Radiation over the Tibetan Plateau (SOAR-TP). Mean v3 and v4 profiles of temperature, water vapour and ozone in this region during the measurement campaigns are almost identical through most of the stratosphere (10–68 hPa), but differ in several respects in the upper troposphere and tropopause layer. Differences in v4 relative to v3 include slightly colder mean temperatures from 100–316 hPa, smaller mean water vapour mixing ratios in the upper troposphere (215–316 hPa), and a more vertically homogeneous profile of mean ozone mixing ratios below the climatological tropopause (100–316 hPa). These changes substantially improve agreement between ozonesondes and MLS ozone retrievals in the upper troposphere, but slightly worsen existing cold and dry biases in the upper troposphere. Aura MLS v3 and v4 temperature profiles contain significant cold biases relative to collocated temperature measurements in several layers of the lower–middle stratosphere (mean biases of −1.3 to −1.8 K centered at 10–12 hPa, 26–32 hPa and 68– 83 hPa) and in the upper troposphere (mean biases of approximately −2.3±0.3 K in v3 and −2.6±0.4 K in v4 between 147 and 261 hPa). MLS v3 and v4 profiles of water vapour volume mixing ratio generally compare well with collocated measurements, with a slight dry bias (v4: −8±4%) near 22–26 hPa, a slight wet bias (v4: +12±5%) near 68–83 hPa, and a more substantial dry bias (v4: −32±11%) in the upper troposphere (121–261 hPa). MLS v3 and v4 retrievals of ozone volume mixing ratio are biased high relative to collocated ozonesondes through most of the stratosphere (18–83 hPa), but are biased low at 100 hPa. The largest positive biases in ozone retrievals are located at 83 hPa (approximately +70%); this peak was not identified by earlier validations and may be regionally or seasonally specific. Ozone retrievals are substantially improved in v4 relative to v3, with smaller biases in the tropopause layer, reduced variance below 68 hPa, larger data yields, and smoother gradients in the vertical profile of ozone biases in the upper troposphere.

A simple ocean-atmosphere coupled model for the origin of a warm El Niño Southern Oscillation event

1989 ◽  
Vol 329 (1604) ◽  
pp. 225-236 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
El Niño Southern Oscillation ◽  
El Nino Southern Oscillation ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Mature Phase ◽  
Ocean Atmosphere

A simple ocean-atmosphere coupled model is developed to investigate the evolution of a warm El Niño event in the tropical Pacific Ocean. In the absence of climatological winds the model readily evolves a realistic eastward-propagating structure provided that warm sea surface temperature (sst) covers the entire equatorial ocean uniformly. The final state of the model is similar to the mature phase of El Niño. In the presence of realistic climatological winds, however, the model behaves in a different way. It remains in a cold La Nina phase without showing any significant eastward propagation of an air-sea coupled coherent structure. Based on these model results and recent data analyses on the tropospheric quasi-biennial oscillation, it is argued that the Asian summer monsoon before and after the warm phase of El Niño Southern Oscillation is possible.

Association of Convection with the 5-Day Rossby–Haurwitz Wave

2015 ◽  
Vol 72 (9) ◽  
pp. 3309-3321 ◽  
Author(s):  
Malcolm J. King ◽  
Matthew C. Wheeler ◽  
Todd P. Lane
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Tropical Convection ◽  
Marshall Islands ◽  
Eastern Pacific ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
Tropical Andes ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Frequency Spectra

Abstract The seasonality, regionality, and nature of the association between tropical convection and the 5-day wavenumber-1 Rossby–Haurwitz wave are examined. Spectral coherences between daily outgoing longwave radiation (OLR), a proxy for convection, and 850-hPa zonal wind over the period January 1979–February 2013 are compared for different seasons and for phases of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO). Increased coherence, indicating a stronger association, occurs in boreal spring and autumn, with slightly reduced coherence in boreal summer and significantly reduced coherence in boreal winter. The regionality of the association is examined using lagged-regression techniques. Significant local signals in tropical convection are found over West Africa, the tropical Andes, the eastern Pacific Ocean, and the Marshall Islands. The relative phasing between the 5-day wave wind and OLR signals is in quadrature in Africa and the Marshall Islands, in phase with easterlies over the Andes, and out of phase with easterlies over the eastern Pacific. Frequency spectra of precipitation averaged over the identified local regions reveal spectral peaks in the 4–6-day range. The phasing between the large-scale wind and local convection signals suggests that the 5-day wave is actively modulating the convection around the Americas.

scholarly journals Large-scale atmospheric circulation control on stable water isotopes in precipitation over the northwestern and southeastern Tibetan Plateau

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoxin Yang ◽  
Sunil Acharya ◽  
Tandong Yao
Keyword(s):  
Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Atmospheric Circulation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Stable Water Isotopes ◽  
South Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Westerly Jet ◽  
Large Scale Atmospheric Circulation

Abstract. The mid-latitude westerlies and South Asian Summer Monsoon (SASM) are two major atmospheric circulation systems influencing the Tibetan Plateau (TP). We report a seven-year (2007/2008–2013/2014) dataset of δ18O in precipitation (δ18Op) collected at three stations. Taxkorgan (TX) and Bulunkou (BLK) are located on the northwestern TP where westerly winds dominate while Lulang (LL) is situated on the southeastern TP where the SASM dominates. δ18O in precipitation (δ18Op) in northwestern TP varies with surface temperature (T) throughout the study period, and is depleted in 18O in precipitation during June to September when the monsoonal circulation enters the TP. Integration with model outputs suggests that large-scale atmospheric circulation plays a major role in isotopic seasonality in both regions. A teleconnection between precipitation on the northwestern TP and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) warm phase is suggested by changes in the relationship between δ18O and δD (e.g., reduced slope and weighted d-excess) in precipitation samples. These observations are indicative of a weakening of the mid-latitude westerly jet allowing local processes in the continental interior to become more dominant, thereby increasing the contribution of secondary evaporation from falling raindrops and kinetic fractionation. Under the conditions of a high Northern Annular Mode (NAM) the westerly jet is intensified over the southeastern TP which enhances local evaporation and continental recycling as revealed by a lower δD-δ18O slope and intercept, but higher d-excess average in contemporaneously collected precipitation samples. The significant correlation between T and δ18Op in the northwestern TP during various composite periods highlights a variation from 0.39 ‰ / ℃ (ENSO warm) to 0.77 ‰ / ℃ (high NAM), attributable to decreased (increased) water vapor availability over the northwestern TP during the ENSO warm (strong positive NAM) phase. ENSO cold and strong negative NAM phases show analogous effects on atmospheric circulation over both regions.

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