scholarly journals Anomalous holiday precipitation over southern China

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiahui Zhang ◽  
Dao-Yi Gong ◽  
Rui Mao ◽  
Jing Yang ◽  
Ziyin Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract. The Chinese Spring Festival (CSF) is the most important festival in China. Officially, this holiday lasts approximately one week. Based on the long-term station observations from 1979 to 2012, this manuscript reports that during the holidays, the precipitation over southern China (108° E–123° E and 21° N–33° N, 155 stations) has been significantly reduced. The precipitation frequency anomalies from the fourth day to the sixth day after Lunar New Year's Day (i.e., days [+4, +6]) were found to decrease by −7.4 %. At the same time, the daily precipitation amounts experienced a reduction of −0.62 mm d−1 during days +2 to +5. The holiday precipitation anomalies are strongly linked to the relative humidity (ΔRH) and cloud cover. The station observations of the ΔRH showed an evident decrease from day +2 to +7, and a minimum appeared on days [+4, +6], with a mean of −3.9 %. The ΔRH vertical profile displays a significant drying below approximately 800 hPa. Between 800 hPa and 1000 hPa, the mean ΔRH is −3.9 %. The observed station daytime low cloud cover (LCC) evidently decreased by −6.1 % during days [+4, +6]. Meanwhile, the ERA-Interim daily LCC also shows a comparable reduction of −5.0 %. The anomalous relative humidity is mainly caused by the lower water vapor in the lower-middle troposphere. Evident negative specific humidity anomalies persist from day −3 to day +7 in the station observations. The average specific humidity anomaly for days [+4, +6] is −0.73 g kg−1. When the precipitation days exclude the mean, the anomaly remains significant, being −0.46 g kg−1. A significant deficit of water vapor is observed in the lower troposphere below 700 hPa. Between 800 hPa and 1000 hPa, the mean specific humidity dropped by −0.70 g kg−1. This drier lower-middle troposphere is due to anomalous northerly winds. Authors have proposed that the anomalous atmospheric circulation is likely related to the holiday aerosol anomaly. Station and satellite observations show that the East Asian aerosol concentrations during the CSF decrease evidently, the largest reduction occurring on days [−3, −1]. At the same time, a concurrent cooling is observed in the lower troposphere. In addition, an anomalous low pressure tilting westward occurs in the troposphere over East Asia. The anomalous cold advection seems to help trigger/strengthen a cyclonic circulation anomaly, which is responsible for the northerly winds and the less precipitation around the holidays. This possible mechanism needs further clarification by elaborate observation analysis and modeling.

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (22) ◽  
pp. 16775-16791 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiahui Zhang ◽  
Dao-Yi Gong ◽  
Rui Mao ◽  
Jing Yang ◽  
Ziyin Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract. The Chinese Spring Festival (CSF, also known as the Chinese New Year or Lunar New Year) is the most important festival in China. Lunar New Year's Day (LNYD) is the first day of the Lunar New Year. Traditionally, the CSF holiday begins a couple of days before LNYD and ends on lantern day, lasting for approximately 2 weeks. In this paper, based on the long-term station observations from 1979 to 2012, the precipitation during the holiday over southern China (108–123° E and 21–33° N, 155 stations) tends to be lower than that before and after the holiday. The mean precipitation frequency anomaly from the fourth day to the sixth day after LNYD (i.e., days [+4, +6]) decreases by −7.4 %. Simultaneously, the daily precipitation amount experiences a reduction of −0.62 mm day−1 during days [+2, +5]. The holiday precipitation anomalies are strongly linked to the anomalies of relative humidity (ΔRH) and cloud cover. The station observations of the ΔRH show an evident decrease from day +2 to day +7, and a minimum appears on days [+4, +6], with a mean of −3.9 %. The ΔRH vertical profile displays significant drying below approximately 800 hPa. Between 800 and 1000 hPa, the mean ΔRH is −3.9 %. The observed station daytime low cloud cover (LCC) evidently decreases by −6.1 % during days [+4, +6]. Meanwhile, the ERA-Interim daily LCC also shows a comparable reduction of −5.0 %. The anomalous relative humidity is mainly caused by the decreased water vapor in the lower-middle troposphere. Evident negative specific humidity anomalies persist from day −3 to day +7 in the station observations. The average specific humidity anomaly for days [+4, +6] is −0.73 g kg−1. When the precipitation days are excluded, the anomaly remains significant at −0.46 g kg−1. A significant water vapor deficit is observed in the lower troposphere below 700 hPa. Between 800 and 1000 hPa, the mean specific humidity drops by −0.70 g kg−1. This drier lower-middle troposphere is due to anomalous northerly winds, which are closely related to the cyclonic circulation anomaly over the northwestern Pacific. The time-lag correlation demonstrates that approximately 1 week after a lower temperature occurs over eastern China, a stronger cyclone is observed over the western Pacific. The possible mechanism needs further clarification through elaborate observation and numerical modeling.


2006 ◽  
Vol 19 (20) ◽  
pp. 5455-5464 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ken Minschwaner ◽  
Andrew E. Dessler ◽  
Parnchai Sawaengphokhai

Abstract Relationships between the mean humidity in the tropical upper troposphere and tropical sea surface temperatures in 17 coupled ocean–atmosphere global climate models were investigated. This analysis builds on a prior study of humidity and surface temperature measurements that suggested an overall positive climate feedback by water vapor in the tropical upper troposphere whereby the mean specific humidity increases with warmer sea surface temperature (SST). The model results for present-day simulations show a large range in mean humidity, mean air temperature, and mean SST, but they consistently show increases in upper-tropospheric specific humidity with warmer SST. The model average increase in water vapor at 250 mb with convective mean SST is 44 ppmv K−1, with a standard deviation of 14 ppmv K−1. Furthermore, the implied feedback in the models is not as strong as would be the case if relative humidity remained constant in the upper troposphere. The model mean decrease in relative humidity is −2.3% ± 1.0% K−1 at 250 mb, whereas observations indicate decreases of −4.8% ± 1.7% K−1 near 215 mb. These two values agree within the respective ranges of uncertainty, indicating that current global climate models are simulating the observed behavior of water vapor in the tropical upper troposphere with reasonable accuracy.


2018 ◽  
Vol 146 (2) ◽  
pp. 641-658
Author(s):  
Amanda Mercer ◽  
Rachel Chang ◽  
Ian Folkins

Measurements from the Aircraft Communications, Addressing, and Reporting System (ACARS) dataset between 2005 and 2014 are used to construct diurnal vertical cross sections of relative humidity in the lower troposphere at six airports in the U.S. Midwest. In summer, relative humidity maxima occur between 2 and 3 km during the overnight hours of 0300–0900 local solar time (LST). These maxima coincide with negative anomalies in temperature and positive anomalies in specific humidity. Vertical winds from the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2), reanalysis dataset show that the height and diurnal timing of these positive relative humidity anomalies are consistent with the regional diurnal pattern of vertical motion. During the day, there is rising motion over the Rocky Mountains and subsidence over the Midwest, while conversely at night, there is sinking motion over the mountains and rising motion over the Midwest. The nocturnal relative humidity maxima over the Midwest are the strongest direct observational evidence to date of this mountain–plains solenoidal circulation, and provide a useful diagnostic for testing the strength of this circulation in climate and reanalysis models. There is significant interannual variability in the strength of the nocturnal relative humidity maxima. In 2011, the relative humidity maxima are very pronounced. In 2014, however, they are almost nonexistent. Finally, the relative humidity maxima are discussed in relation to the low-level jet (LLJ). The LLJ appears to be too low to directly contribute to the nocturnal relative humidity maxima.


2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (11) ◽  
pp. 4329-4346 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adeyemi A. Adebiyi ◽  
Paquita Zuidema

Abstract Shortwave-absorbing aerosols seasonally cover and interact with an expansive low-level cloud deck over the southeast Atlantic. Daily anomalies of the MODIS low cloud fraction, fine-mode aerosol optical depth (AODf), and six ERA-Interim meteorological parameters (lower-tropospheric stability, 800-hPa subsidence, 600-hPa specific humidity, 1000- and 800-hPa horizontal temperature advection, and 1000-hPa geopotential height) are constructed spanning July–October (2001–12). A standardized multiple linear regression, whereby the change in the low cloud fraction to each component’s variability is normalized by one standard deviation, facilitates comparison between the different variables. Most cloud–meteorology relationships follow expected behavior for stratocumulus clouds. Of interest is the low cloud–subsidence relationship, whereby increasing subsidence increases low cloud cover between 10° and 20°S but decreases it elsewhere. Increases in AODf increase cloudiness everywhere, independent of other meteorological predictors. The cloud–AODf effect is partially compensated by accompanying increases in the midtropospheric moisture, which is associated with decreases in low cloud cover. This suggests that the free-tropospheric moisture affects the low cloud deck primarily through longwave radiation rather than mixing. The low cloud cover is also more sensitive to aerosol when the vertical distance between the cloud and aerosol layer is relatively small, which is more likely to occur early in the biomass burning season and farther offshore. A parallel statistical analysis that does not include AODf finds altered relationships between the low cloud cover changes and meteorology that can be understood through the aerosol cross-correlations with the meteorological predictors. For example, the low cloud–stability relationship appears stronger if aerosols are not explicitly included.


2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 291-307 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chongbo Zhao ◽  
Tim Li ◽  
Tianjun Zhou

Abstract The precursor signals of convection initiation associated with the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) in boreal winter were investigated through the diagnosis of the 40-yr ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-40) data for the period 1982–2001. The western equatorial Indian Ocean (WIO) is a key region of the MJO initiation. A marked increase of specific humidity and temperature in the lower troposphere appears 5–10 days prior to the convection initiation. The increased moisture and temperature cause a convectively more unstable stratification, leading to the onset of convection. A diagnosis of lower-tropospheric moisture (heat) budgets shows that the moisture (temperature) increase is caused primarily by the horizontal advection of the mean specific humidity (temperature) by the MJO flow. The anomalous flow is primarily determined by the downstream Rossby wave response to a preceding suppressed-phase MJO over the eastern Indian Ocean, whereas the upstream Kelvin wave response to the previous eastward-propagating convective-phase MJO is not critical. An idealized numerical experiment further supports this claim. The Southern Hemisphere (SH) midlatitude Rossby wave train and associated wave activity flux prior to the MJO initiation were diagnosed. It is found that SH midlatitude Rossby waves may contribute to MJO initiation over the western Indian Ocean through wave energy accumulation. Idealized numerical experiments confirm that SH midlatitude perturbations play an important role in affecting the MJO variance in the tropics. A barotropic energy conversion diagnosis indicates that there is continuous energy transfer from the mean flow to intraseasonal disturbances over the initiation region, which may help trigger MJO development.


2013 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 1073-1083 ◽  
Author(s):  
B.-R. Wang ◽  
X.-Y. Liu ◽  
J.-K. Wang

Abstract. The radio occultation retrieval product of the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate (COSMIC) Radio Occultation sounding system was verified using the global radiosonde data from 2007 to 2010. Samples of 4 yr were used to collect quantities of data using much stricter matching criteria than previous studies to obtain more accurate results. The horizontal distance between the radiosonde station and the occultation event is within 100 km, and the time window is 1 h. The comparison was performed from 925 hPa to 10 hPa. The results indicated that the COSMIC's temperature data agreed well with the radiosonde data. The global mean temperature bias was −0.09 K, with a standard deviation (SD) of 1.72 K. According to the data filtration used in this paper, the mean specific humidity bias of 925–200 hPa is −0.012 g kg−1, with a SD of 0.666 g kg−1, and the mean relative error of water vapor pressure is about 33.3%, with a SD of 107.5%. The COSMIC quality control process failed to detect some of the abnormal extremely small humidity data which occurred frequently in subtropical zone. Despite the large relative error of water vapor pressure, the relative error of refractivity is small. This paper also provides a comparison of eight radiosonde types with COSMIC product. Because the retrieval product is affected by the background error which differed between different regions, the COSMIC retrieval product could be used as a benchmark if the precision requirement is not strict.


2014 ◽  
Vol 53 (7) ◽  
pp. 1750-1759 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Li ◽  
Rucong Yu

AbstractThe climatic features of the distinctive cold season precipitation over the Yungui Plateau of China and the corresponding circulation background are investigated. From daily rainfall data observed with a high-density station network, it is found that the highest rainfall frequency in southern China during November–February appears over the Yungui Plateau. The rainfall intensity in this region is fairly low, and there is no remarkable rainfall-amount maximum. In comparison with the rainfall in southeastern China, the precipitation over the Yungui Plateau is more concentrated in weak events, with 85.9% of rainfall days having daily precipitation amounts of less than 3 mm. By regressing the circulation field on the rainfall frequency index, a favorable climatic background for high rainfall frequency is explored. In high-rainfall-frequency years, the surface wind exhibits southwesterly wind anomalies west of 104°E and cold air penetrates from the north on the eastern side. These two branches converge on the eastern edge of the Hengduan Mountains. In the lower troposphere, southwesterly winds prevail and anomalous water vapor fluxes converge over the Yungui Plateau. In the middle and higher troposphere, the westerly zonal wind strengthens and leads to an anomalous divergence. These dynamic and moist conditions contribute to the formation of clouds and precipitation. The northward- and eastward-facing slopes of the Yungui Plateau uplift the shallow, cold air carried by the northerly and easterly winds, and the terrain effects trigger the precipitation process. The low temperature and small specific humidity over the Yungui Plateau modulate the rainfall intensity to a low level.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ying Lung Liu ◽  
Chi-Yung Tam ◽  
Sai Ming Lee

<p>In this study, general circulation model (GCM) products were dynamically downscaled using the Regional Climate Model system version 4 (RegCM4), in order to study changes in the hydrological cycle - including extreme events - due to a warmer climate by the end of the 21<sup>st</sup> century over Southern China. The performance of 22 GCMs participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) in simulating the climate over the East Asian- western north Pacific region was first evaluated. It was found that MPI-ESM-MR, CNRM-CM5, ACCESS1-3, and GFDL- CM3 can reasonably reproduce the seasonal mean atmospheric circulation in that region, as well as its interannual variability. Outputs from these GCMs were subsequently downscaled, using the RegCM4, to a horizontal resolution of 25 km × 25km, for the period of 1979 to 2003, and also from 2050 to 2099, with the latter based on GCM projection according to the RCP8.5 scenario. Results show that the whole domain would undergo warming at the lower troposphere by 3 – 4 °C over inland China and ~2 °C over the ocean and low-latitude locations. Compared to the 1979-2003 era, during 2050-2099 boreal summer, the mean precipitation is projected to increase by 1 – 2 mm/day over coastal Southern China. There is also significantly enhanced interannual variability for the same season. In boreal spring, a similar increase in both the seasonal mean and also its year-to-year variations is also found, over more inland locations at about 25°N. Extreme daily precipitation is projected to become more intense, based on analyses of the 95<sup>th</sup> percentile for these seasons. On the other hand, it will be significantly drier during autumn over a broad area in Southern China: the mean rainfall is projected to decrease by ~1 mm/day. In addition, changes in the annual number of consecutive dry days (CDD) throughout the whole calendar year was also examined. It was found that CDD over the more inland locations will increase by ~5 days. Thus, there will be a lengthening of the dry season in the region. Global warming’s potential impact on sub-daily rainfall is also examined. For the rainfall diurnal cycle (DC), there is no significant change in both spatial and temporal patterns. Moisture budget analyses are also carried out, in order to ascertain the importance of change in background moisture, versus that in wind circulation, on the intensification of MAM and JJA mean rainfall as well as their interannual variability. The implication of these results on water management and climate change adaptation over the Southern China region will be discussed.</p>


1941 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. A14-A16
Author(s):  
R. C. Binder

Abstract A discussion is given of the use of a total pressure-temperature diagram provided with reversible adiabatic and specific-humidity lines for mixtures of air and water vapor. The graphical relation between dew-point temperature, dry-bulb temperature, and specific humidity is given directly for any total pressure on this chart. From this relation the vapor pressure and relative humidity can be easily calculated. Certain chart lines give a close approximation to the wet-bulb temperature for a limited range. This pressure-temperature chart should be convenient and useful for a wide variety of problems which involve these fundamental thermodynamic properties.


Author(s):  
Andrew C. Kren ◽  
Richard A. Anthes

AbstractThis study estimates the random error variances and standard deviations (STDs) for four data sets: Global Hawk (GH) dropsondes (DROP), the High-Altitude Monolithic Microwave Integrated Circuit Sounding Radiometer (HAMSR) aboard the GH, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ERA5 reanalysis, and the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model, using the three-cornered hat (3CH) method. These estimates are made during the 2016 Sensing Hazards with Operational Unmanned Technology (SHOUT) season in the environment of four tropical cyclones from August to October. For temperature and specific and relative humidity, the ERA5, HWRF, and DROP data sets all have similar magnitudes of errors, with ERA5 having the smallest. The error STDs of temperature and specific humidity are less than 0.8 K and 1.0 g kg-1 over most of the troposphere, while relative humidity error STDs increase from less than 5% near the surface to between 10 and 20% in the upper troposphere. The HAMSR bias-corrected data have larger errors, with estimated error STDs of temperature and specific humidity in the lower troposphere between 1.5 and 2.0 K and 1.5 and 2.5 g kg-1. HAMSR’s relative humidity error STD increases from approximately 10% in the lower troposphere to 30% in the upper troposphere. The 3CH method error estimates are generally consistent with prior independent estimates of errors and uncertainties for the HAMSR and dropsonde data sets, although they are somewhat larger, likely due to the inclusion of representativeness errors (differences associated with different spatial and temporal scales represented by the data).


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