scholarly journals Would El Niño enhance or suppress the migrating diurnal tide in the MLT region?

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yetao Cen ◽  
Chengyun Yang ◽  
Tao Li ◽  
Jia Yue ◽  
James M. Russell III ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Lower Thermosphere ◽  
Diurnal Tide ◽  
Tidal Variation ◽  
Tropopause Region ◽  
Mlt Region

Abstract. Previous observations and simulations are controversial as to whether El Niño will increase or decrease the diurnal tide (DW1) in the upper mesosphere and lower thermosphere (MLT) region. This study revisited the linear response of the MLT DW1 to El Niño during the winter (December-January-February) based on 19-year satellite observations of Sounding of the Atmosphere using Broadband Emission Radiometry (SABER). The MLT DW1 temperature amplitudes decreased by ~10 % during four El Niño winters from 2002 to 2020, consistent with the results from the simulation of the Specified-Dynamics version of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (SD-WACCM). According to the multiple linear regression analysis, the linear effects of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on tropical MLT DW1 are negative in both SABER observations and SD-WACCM simulations. In the SD-WACCM simulation, Hough mode (1, 1) dominates the DW1 tidal variation in the tropical MLT region. The consistency between the (1, 1) mode in the tropopause region and in the MLT region, as well as the downward phase progression from 15 to 100 km, indicates the direct upward propagation of DW1 from the excitation source in the troposphere. During 7 of 8 El Niño winters from 1979 to 2014, the anomalous amplitudes of the (1, 1) mode are negative in both the tropopause region and MLT region. The suppressed DW1 heating rates in the tropical troposphere (average over ~0–16 km and 35° S–35° N) during the El Niño events contribute to the decreased DW1 tide. The mesospheric latitudinal zonal wind shear anomalies during El Niño winters would lead to a narrower waveguide and prevent the vertical propagation of the DW1 tide. The gravity wave drag excited by convection also plays a role in modulating the MLT DW1 amplitude.

Non-linearity in the pathway of El Niño-Southern Oscillation to the tropical North Atlantic

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-54
Author(s):  
Jake W. Casselman ◽  
Andréa S. Taschetto ◽  
Daniela I.V. Domeisen
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
El Niño ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Static Stability ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
El Niño Southern Oscillation ◽  
El Nino Southern Oscillation ◽  
Tropical North Atlantic

AbstractEl Niño-Southern Oscillation can influence the Tropical North Atlantic (TNA), leading to anomalous sea surface temperatures (SST) at a lag of several months. Several mechanisms have been proposed to explain this teleconnection. These mechanisms include both tropical and extratropical pathways, contributing to anomalous trade winds and static stability over the TNA region. The TNA SST response to ENSO has been suggested to be nonlinear. Yet the overall linearity of the ENSO-TNA teleconnection via the two pathways remains unclear. Here we use reanalysis data to confirm that the SST anomaly (SSTA) in the TNA is nonlinear with respect to the strength of the SST forcing in the tropical Pacific, as further increases in El Niño magnitudes cease to create further increases of the TNA SSTA. We further show that the tropical pathway is more linear than the extratropical pathway by sub-dividing the inter-basin connection into extratropical and tropical pathways. This is confirmed by a climate model participating in the CMIP5. The extratropical pathway is modulated by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the location of the SSTA in the Pacific, but this modulation insufficiently explains the nonlinearity in TNA SSTA. As neither extratropical nor tropical pathways can explain the nonlinearity, this suggests that external factors are at play. Further analysis shows that the TNA SSTA is highly influenced by the preconditioning of the tropical Atlantic SST. This preconditioning is found to be associated with the NAO through SST-tripole patterns.

scholarly journals Interactive influence of ENSO and IOD on contiguous heatwaves in Australia

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Papari Jyoteeshkumar Reddy ◽  
Sarah E Perkins-Kirkpatrick ◽  
Jason J. Sharples
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Historical Period ◽  
Recent Period ◽  
Spatial Characteristics ◽  
Physical Mechanisms ◽  
Driving Mechanisms

Abstract Australian heatwaves have a significant impact on society. Most previous studies focus on understanding them in terms of frequency, duration, intensity, and timing. However, understanding the spatial characteristics of heatwaves, particularly those occurring in contiguous regions at the same time (here referred to as contiguous heatwaves), is still largely unexplored. Here, we analyse changes in spatial characteristics of contiguous heatwaves in Australia during 1958-2020 using observational data. Our results show that extremely large contiguous heatwaves are covering significantly larger areas and getting significantly longer during the recent period (1989/90-2019/20) compared to the historical period (1958/59-1988/89). We also investigated the association of contiguous heatwaves in Australia with interactions of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) using a large multi-member ensemble of a physical climate model. We found that areal magnitude, total area, median duration, and maximum area of large and extremely large contiguous heatwaves in Australia are significantly higher (lower) during the strong El Niño (Es), strong El Niño co-occurring with strong IOD positive (Es-IPs), and with moderate IOD positive (Es-IPm) (co-occurring strong La Niña with the strong IOD negative (Ls-INs)) seasons relative to the neutral seasons (where both ENSO and IOD are in neutral phase). During the Es, Es-IPm, and Es-IPs seasons, the large-scale physical mechanisms are characterised by anticyclonic highs over the southeast and cyclonic lows over the northwest of Australia, favouring the occurrence and intensification of heatwaves in Australia. These results provide insights into the driving mechanisms of contiguous heatwaves in Australia.

scholarly journals Indian Ocean Dipolelike Variability in the CSIRO Mark 3 Coupled Climate Model

2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (10) ◽  
pp. 1449-1468 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenju Cai ◽  
Harry H. Hendon ◽  
Gary Meyers
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Sea Surface Temperature ◽  
El Niño ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Rossby Waves ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Sea Surface

Abstract Coupled ocean–atmosphere variability in the tropical Indian Ocean is explored with a multicentury integration of the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Mark 3 climate model, which runs without flux adjustment. Despite the presence of some common deficiencies in this type of coupled model, zonal dipolelike variability is produced. During July through November, the dominant mode of variability of sea surface temperature resembles the observed zonal dipole and has out-of-phase rainfall variations across the Indian Ocean basin, which are as large as those associated with the model El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). In the positive dipole phase, cold SST anomaly and suppressed rainfall south of the equator on the Sumatra–Java coast drives an anticyclonic circulation anomaly that is consistent with the steady response (Gill model) to a heat sink displaced south of the equator. The northwest–southeast tilting Sumatra–Java coast results in cold sea surface temperature (SST) centered south of the equator, which forces anticylonic winds that are southeasterly along the coast, which thus produces local upwelling, cool SSTs, and promotes more anticylonic winds; on the equator, the easterlies raise the thermocline to the east via upwelling Kelvin waves and deepen the off-equatorial thermocline to the west via off-equatorial downwelling Rossby waves. The model dipole mode exhibits little contemporaneous relationship with the model ENSO; however, this does not imply that it is independent of ENSO. The model dipole often (but not always) develops in the year following El Niño. It is triggered by an unrealistic transmission of the model’s ENSO discharge phase through the Indonesian passages. In the model, the ENSO discharge Rossby waves arrive at the Sumatra–Java coast some 6 to 9 months after an El Niño peaks, causing the majority of model dipole events to peak in the year after an ENSO warm event. In the observed ENSO discharge, Rossby waves arrive at the Australian northwest coast. Thus the model Indian Ocean dipolelike variability is triggered by an unrealistic mechanism. The result highlights the importance of properly representing the transmission of Pacific Rossby waves and Indonesian throughflow in the complex topography of the Indonesian region in coupled climate models.

scholarly journals Effect of climate variability on Collaria scenica (Hemiptera: Miridae) on the Bogotá plateau

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-61
Author(s):  
Andrea Rodríguez-Roa ◽  
Blanca Arce-Barboza ◽  
Francisco Boshell-Villamarin ◽  
Nancy Barreto-Triana
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
Population Distribution ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Optimal Growth ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Population Fluctuations ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
Thermal Amplitude

The aim of this research was to study the effect of climatic conditions on the population of the grass bug Collaria scenica (Stal, 1859) using agroclimatic models and analyzing its behavior under interannual variability scenarios related to El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. The population fluctuations of this grass bug were modeled, estimating significant climatic variables in the presence of nymphs and adults with a multiple linear regression analysis. The population distribution of this insect in relation to the occurrence of the El Niño and La Niña phenomena on the Bogota plateau was analyzed based on variations of the sea surface temperature (SST) in the tropical Pacific and their impact on climate variables. The maximum and minimum temperatures, precipitation and evapotranspiration showed higher significance for this pest than the other variables. The optimal growth and development conditions for this grass bug occurred during periods with a higher daily thermal amplitude and high precipitation values, which highlights the positive effect of abundant, but not excessive, rain. This study helped to determine the population growth during the two seasons of the year with higher rainfall in the area, which correspond to March-May (MAM) and September-November (SON), mainly in the following season after the dry quarter of December-February (DJF). Important increases occur in the El Niño event because of the greater accumulation of heat units during this phenomenon based on increases in air temperature that favor insect growth.

Variations of Sea Level and Tidal Behaviour during El Nino/La Nina: An Example of Malaysian Coastline

2015 ◽  
Vol 73 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohd Hilmi Abdullah ◽  
Mohd Razali Mahmud ◽  
Nor Ainah Amat
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Enso Event ◽  
La Niña ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
Northeast Monsoon ◽  
Tidal Variation ◽  
La Nina

The El Nino/La Nina Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon indirectly provides dramatic changes to tidal that can cause floods, drought and affect various marine activities. Tidal observation data plays important role in determining the characteristic or behaviour of tide along the coastal area especially during sudden climate change such as the phenomenon of El Nino/La Nina, the Northeast Monsoon, Northwest Monsoon and Tsunami. It is important to study the occurrence of the ENSO event and it characteristic so that it can be used for prediction and monitoring the land and water ecosystem. This research is to identify the variations of sea level and tidal behaviour in Malaysian coastline during El Nino/La Nina. The tidal observation data, meteorology data (temperature and mean sea level pressure), and Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) calculation are used to look on the changes of the tidal variation during the ENSO phenomenon. The results of this research will specially benefit in the determination of tidal level in Malaysia and to the professionals who have responsibilities in policy making, agriculture, environmental planning, economics and marine engineering.

scholarly journals El-NINO DAN PENGARUHNYA TERHADAP CURAH HUJAN DI MANADO SULAWESI UTARA

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 102 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seni Herlina J. Tongkukut
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
Southern Oscillation Index ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Monthly Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Data ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Simple Linear Regression ◽  
North Sulawesi

Telah dilakukan analisis El-Nino dan pengaruhnya terhadap curah hujan di Manado Sulut dengan menggunakan data curah hujan bulanan dan Southern Oscillation Index SOI selama thn 1999-2009. Data curah hujan diperoleh dari BMKG Kayuwatu Manado Sulut dan data SOI diunduh dari website Biro Meteorologi Australia BoM. Analisis dilakukan dengan analisis regresi linear sederhana. Diperoleh hasil bahwa curah hujan kota Manado secara umum dari thn 1999-2008 dipengaruhi oleh SOI namun pada thn 2009 ketika terjadi El-nino, curah hujan bulanan Manado tidak dipengaruhi oleh efek El-nino. Hal ini karena pada saat yang sama suhu muka laut perairan Indonesia juga menghangat. EL-NINO AND ITS EFFECT ON RAINFALL IN MANADONORTH SULAWESIABSTRACTAnalysis of El-Nino and its effect on rainfall in Manado, North Sulawesi, using monthly rainfall data and the Southern Oscillation Index SOI during the years 1999-2009 has been carried out. Rainfall data obtained from BMKG Kayuwatu Manado and SOI data downloaded from the website of Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM). The analysis was performed with simple linear regression analysis. The results obtained indicate that rainfall in Manado , in general, was influenced by SOI from the years 1999-2008, but when there is an El-Nino in 2009, monthly rainfall in Manado is not affected by the El-Nino effect. This is due to, at the same time, sea surface temperature in Indonesian territory are also warm.

scholarly journals Synchronized spatial shifts of Hadley and Walker circulations

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyung-Sook Yun ◽  
Axel Timmermann ◽  
Malte F. Stuecker
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Walker Circulation ◽  
Warm Pool ◽  
Central Pacific ◽  
Spatial Shift ◽  
Southern Central ◽  
Spatio Temporal

Abstract. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) influences the most extensive tropospheric circulation cells on our planet, known as Hadley and Walker circulations. Previous studies have largely focused on the effect of ENSO on the strength of these cells. However, what has remained uncertain is whether interannual sea surface temperature anomalies can also cause synchronized spatial shifts of these circulations. Here, by examining the spatio-temporal relationship between Hadley and Walker cells in observations and climate model experiments, we demonstrate that the seasonally evolving warm pool SST anomalies in the decay phase of an El Niño event generate a meridionally asymmetric Walker circulation response, which couples the zonal and meridional atmospheric overturning circulations. This process, which can be characterized as a phase-synchronized spatial shift in Walker and Hadley cells, is accompanied by cross-equatorial northwesterly low-level flow that diverges from an area of anomalous drying in the western North Pacific and converges towards a region with anomalous moistening in the southern central Pacific. Our results show that the SST-induced concurrent spatial shifts of the two circulations are climatically relevant as they can further amplify extratropical precipitation variability on interannual timescales.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document