Coastal risk assessments due to hybrid disasters in Korea

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tae-Soon Kang ◽  
Hyeong-Min Oh ◽  
Soon-Mi Hwang ◽  
Ho-Kyun Kim ◽  
Kwang-Young Jeong
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Storm Surge ◽  
Risk Index ◽  
Coastal Areas ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
Blue Color ◽  
Wave Overtopping ◽  
Coastal Risk Assessment ◽  
Coastal Risk

<p>Korean coasts are exposed to high risks such as storm surge, storm-induced high waves and wave overtopping. Also, localized heavy rainfall events have occurred frequently due to climate change, too. Especially, since coastal urban areas depend heavily on pump and pipe systems, extreme rainfalls that exceed the design capacity of drainage facility result in increasing inland flood damage. Nevertheless, the population in Korea is concentrated in the coastal areas and the value and density of coastal utilization are increasing. In this study, the risk of hybrid disasters in the coastal areas was assessed for safe utilization and value enhancement of coastal areas. The framework of the coastal risk assessment has been adopted from the concept of climate change vulnerability of the IPCC(2001). Coastal Risk Index(CRI) in this study was defined as a function of Exposure and Sensitivity exclude Adaptive Capacity using GIS-based DBs. Indicators of Exposure consisted of a storm surge, storm-induced high waves, wave overtopping and rainfalls. Indicators of Sensitivity consisted of human(population density), property(buildings and roads), and geography(inundation area). All these indicators were gathered from government agencies, numerical model experiments(ADCIRC, unSWAN, FLOW3D and XP-SWMM model), and field surveys(Drone & Lidar survey). And then spatial analysis was performed by using a GIS program after passing the quality control and analyzed data were standardized and classified 4 grades; Attention(blue color), Caution(yellow color), Warning(orange color) and Danger(red color). This frame of risk assessment was first applied to Marine City, Haeundae in Busan, Korea which was heavily damaged by the typhoon CHABA in 2018. According to the assessment results, it was confirmed that the results were in good agreement with the observation data and damage range. At present, the study area of risk assessment is expanding to other areas. The results of coastal risk assessment are used as reference indicators to identify and prevent the cause of coastal disasters, establish countermeasures, determine the development or management of coastal areas based on GIS, thus will contribute to effective and safe coastal management.</p>

scholarly journals The DPSIR Approach for Coastal Risk Assessment under Climate Change at Regional Scale: The Case of Apulian Coast (Italy)

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (7) ◽  
pp. 531
Author(s):  
Maria Francesca Bruno ◽  
Alessandra Saponieri ◽  
Matteo Gianluca Molfetta ◽  
Leonardo Damiani
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Hot Spot ◽  
Risk Index ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Actual State ◽  
Coastal Zones ◽  
Climate Change Effects ◽  
South Italy ◽  
Coastal Risk Assessment ◽  
Coastal Risk

In the present paper, the coastal risk is assessed, at a regional scale, to produce a risk map that will help to prioritize policies and economic resources in coastal management and planning activities. The DPSIR method is here used taking into account processes and cause/effect relationship between Drivers and Pressures, which induce an alteration of actual State and, hence, Impacts on the environment, society and economy. The study area is located in South Italy (Apulia region), where the Risk Index is calculated and mapped for all municipalities facing the Adriatic and Ionian Seas. Both coastal Vulnerability and Exposure Indexes are firstly calculated according to the procedure suggested in the EUrosion project (EU model) as the product of specific indicators describing the state of coastal zones, their natural characteristics and both natural and anthropic pressures. Based on both EU model results and knowledge of states and pressures of the study area, a new modified model is then proposed (Mod.E.M.) and final risk maps compared. The comparison shows that new Vulnerability and Exposure indexes better describe the ongoing coastal processes and pressures and allow us to identify hot-spot sites where more detailed analyses could be further focused on. The Mod.E.M. has more than just a local significance since the case study includes coastal areas with so different characteristics, that it can be easily applied to other coastal regions. Moreover, to take into account climate change effects, Risk Index is evaluated under Representative Concentration Pathways R C P 4.5 and R C P 8.5 , mainly affecting the sea level rise and the storm surge level.

scholarly journals Understanding the Cognitive Components of Coastal Risk Assessment

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 780
Author(s):  
Maria Francesca Bruno ◽  
Giulia Motta Zanin ◽  
Angela Barbanente ◽  
Leonardo Damiani
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Coastal Zone Management ◽  
Test Site ◽  
Coastal Areas ◽  
Fuzzy Cognitive Maps ◽  
Coastal Hazards ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Coastal Risk Assessment ◽  
Coastal Risk

Nowadays, erosion and flooding risks represent a serious threat to coastal areas and this trend will be worsened due to climate change. The increasing concentration of population in coastal areas has a negative impact on the coastal ecosystem due to change in land use and the exploitation of natural resources, which has also increased exposure to coastal hazards. Risk assessment is hence a primary topic in coastal areas and are often affected by mismanagement and competition of interest between stakeholders. This paper presents an integrated model for coastal risk assessment as well as its application on a test site in the Puglia Region (Southern Italy). An innovative approach has been developed combining a traditional index-based model, exploiting a Drivers-Pressures-State-Impact-Response framework (DPSIR), with stakeholder’s and policy makers’ engagement by using the Future Workshop method and complementary individual working sessions structured through the use of Fuzzy-Cognitive Maps. The study shows that stakeholders’ and policy makers’ risk perception play a key role in coastal risk management and that the integration of physical risk with social perception is relevant to develop more effective management following the basics of Integrated Coastal Zone Management.

A MODELING SYSTEM FOR CLIMATE CHANGE RISK ASSESSMENT, MANAGEMENT AND HEDGING IN COASTAL AREAS

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sergei Soldatenko ◽  
Sergei Soldatenko ◽  
Genrikh Alekseev ◽  
Genrikh Alekseev ◽  
Alexander Danilov ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Coastal Areas ◽  
Mitigation Strategies ◽  
System Structure ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Risk Modeling ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Adverse Weather ◽  
The Impact

Every aspect of human operations faces a wide range of risks, some of which can cause serious consequences. By the start of 21st century, mankind has recognized a new class of risks posed by climate change. It is obvious, that the global climate is changing, and will continue to change, in ways that affect the planning and day to day operations of businesses, government agencies and other organizations and institutions. The manifestations of climate change include but not limited to rising sea levels, increasing temperature, flooding, melting polar sea ice, adverse weather events (e.g. heatwaves, drought, and storms) and a rise in related problems (e.g. health and environmental). Assessing and managing climate risks represent one of the most challenging issues of today and for the future. The purpose of the risk modeling system discussed in this paper is to provide a framework and methodology to quantify risks caused by climate change, to facilitate estimates of the impact of climate change on various spheres of human activities and to compare eventual adaptation and risk mitigation strategies. The system integrates both physical climate system and economic models together with knowledge-based subsystem, which can help support proactive risk management. System structure and its main components are considered. Special attention is paid to climate risk assessment, management and hedging in the Arctic coastal areas.

Flood risk influenced by the compound effect of storm surge and rainfall under climate change for low-lying coastal areas

2021 ◽  
Vol 764 ◽  
pp. 144439
Author(s):  
Shih-Chun Hsiao ◽  
Wen-Son Chiang ◽  
Jiun-Huei Jang ◽  
Han-Lun Wu ◽  
Wei-Shiun Lu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Storm Surge ◽  
Flood Risk ◽  
Coastal Areas ◽  
Compound Effect

scholarly journals An Integrated Approach for the Simulation Modeling and Risk Assessment of Coastal Flooding

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 2076
Author(s):  
Yazhi Zheng ◽  
Hai Sun
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Storm Surge ◽  
Flood Risk ◽  
Simulation Modeling ◽  
River Estuary ◽  
Coastal Flooding ◽  
Coastal Areas ◽  
Economic Losses ◽  
Actual Case ◽  
Ca Model

The evaluation of storm surge flood risk is vital to disaster management and planning at national, regional and local levels, particularly in coastal areas that are affected more severely by storm surges. The purpose of this paper is to propose a new method that includes two modules for the simulation modeling and risk assessment of coastal flooding. One is a hydrodynamic module for simulating the process of the flood inundation coastal inundation arising from storm surge, which is based on a cellular automata (CA) model. The other is a risk assessment module for quantitatively estimating the economic loss by using the inundation data and land use data. The coastal areas of Pearl River estuary in China were taken as a case study. Simulation results are compared to experimental results from MIKE 21 and depth data from a social-media-based dataset, which demonstrates the effectiveness of the CA model. By analyzing flood risk, the flood area and the direct economic losses predicted are close to the actual case incurred, further demonstrating the computational reliability of the proposed method. Additionally, an automatic risk assessment platform is designed by integrating the two modules in a Geographic Information System (GIS) framework, facilitating a more efficient and faster simulation of coastal flooding. The platform can provide the governments as well as citizens of coastal areas with user-friendly, real-time graphics for coastal flood disaster preparation, warning, response and recovery.

scholarly journals BARBADOS COASTAL RISK ASSESSMENT AND MANAGEMENT PROGRAMME

2018 ◽  
pp. 52
Author(s):  
Kevin MacIntosh ◽  
Derek Williamson ◽  
Matthew Armstrong ◽  
Leo Brewster ◽  
Ricardo Arthur
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Coastal Zone ◽  
Coastal Zone Management ◽  
Coastal Environments ◽  
Management Planning ◽  
Zone Management ◽  
Coastal Risk Assessment ◽  
The Government ◽  
Coastal Risk ◽  
Risk Assessment And Management

Monitoring of coastal environments is critical to understanding the responses of the natural environment to human interventions. The ability to definitively attribute impacts to a development versus those which are part of the natural variation of a dynamic system is a valuable tool to understanding the successes and failures of coastal zone management planning. The Coastal Zone Management Unit of the Government of Barbados (CZMU) undertook the Coastal Risk Assessment and Management (CRMP) project to define the baseline conditions and risks for the entire coastline of Barbados in order to have this comprehensive database upon which to base future decisions and coastal planning. This paper will focus on three of the nine baseline studies and the unique approaches used, and challenges encountered, along the way.

scholarly journals Research progress and prospect of coastal flood disaster risk assessment against global climate change

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiayi Fang ◽  
Peijun Shi
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Global Climate Change ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
High Tide ◽  
Coastal Flooding ◽  
Coastal Areas ◽  
Mitigation Measures ◽  
Research Progress ◽  
Coastal Flood

The sea level rise under global climate change and coastal floods caused by extreme sea levels due to the high tide levels and storm surges have huge impacts on coastal society, economy, and natural environment. It has drawn great attention from global scientific researchers. This study examines the definitions and elements of coastal flooding in the general and narrow senses, and mainly focuses on the components of coastal flooding in the narrow sense. Based on the natural disaster system theory, the review systematically summarizes the progress of coastal flood research in China, and then discusses existing problems in present studies and provide future research directions with regard to this issue. It is proposed that future studies need to strengthen research on adapting to climate change in coastal areas, including studies on the risk of multi- hazards and uncertainties of hazard impacts under climate change, risk assessment of key exposure (critical infrastructure) in coastal hotspots, and cost-benefit analysis of adaptation and mitigation measures in coastal areas. Efforts to improve the resilience of coastal areas under climate change should be given more attention. The research community also should establish the mechanism of data sharing among disciplines to meet the needs of future risk assessments, so that coastal issues can be more comprehensively, systematically, and dynamically studied.

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