Seasonal melting simulation of permafrost rock glaciers and their potential contribution to sediment loads in Alpine catchments

<p>A common issue with large scale erosion modelling is that local processes are often unaccounted for, either because they haven’t been included in the model conceptually, or because they are undetected yet. On the other hand, significant deviations from such a general soil erosion model to the measurements can reveal those local processes. We compared the average yearly sediment amounts of a network of turbidity measurement stations in the catchment of the alpine River Inn to the results of the large scale erosion model RUSLE2015 (Panagos et. al.) for long term yearly erosion amounts and found a significant underestimation of sediment loads in three sub catchments. An important source of sediments in alpine rivers comes from glaciers, which explains the high loads in one of the stations, but two of the three high sediment load sub catchments are too low to have substantial valley glaciers. But another potential source of glacial sediment exists in the form of permafrost soils and in this case a specific permafrost form: rock glaciers. Rock glaciers in particular have been spotted in those two high sediment load catchments, but since they are hard to detect from remote sensing due to the surface being covered with rocks, the existence or the exact spatial extent is often unknown. But with rising temperatures in the Alps, the areas in which permafrost rock glaciers can exist decreases every year and the depth of the seasonal melting layer increases.</p><p>We propose the hypothesis that the high sediment loads in those sub catchments are caused by increasingly deeper melting of permafrost rock glaciers. This process releases fine materials which have been trapped frozen since the glacial period and are now being eroded and transported to the alpine streams. To get an estimation of potential erodible material from rock glacier melting in the respective sub catchments, we developed a model to simulate the heat diffusion from the air into the frozen ground, while accommodating for the change in specific thermal capacity. The model (developed in Python) takes air temperature time series data as input and can be configured for varying ground stratification setups with different thermal diffusivity values depending on the ground properties.</p><p>From the simulated melting depth of an average square meter of rock glacier we extrapolate the mass of melted material to the potential permafrost erosion material available in the River Inn sub catchments. We show that this source of sediments can be significant and needs to be factored in should an erosion model be used to calculate sediment input into the rivers. But, with the estimation of sediment load from permafrost origins narrowed down, improving a large-scale erosion model like the RUSLE2015 for this alpine mountain region by accounting for local processes like this one is possible. </p>