Testing Slip Models for Tsunami Generation

Author(s):  
Hafize Başak Bayraktar ◽  
Antonio Scala ◽  
Stefano Lorito ◽  
Manuela Volpe ◽  
Carlos Sánchez Linares ◽  
...  

<p>Tsunami hazard depends strongly on the slip distribution of a causative earthquake. Simplified uniform slip models lead to underestimating the tsunami wave height which would be generated by a more realistic heterogeneous slip distribution, both in the near-field and in the far-field of the tsunami source. Several approaches have been proposed to generate stochastic slip distributions for tsunami hazard calculations, including in some cases shallow slip amplification (Le Veque et al., 2016; Sepulveda et al., 2017; Davies 2019; Scala et al., 2020). However, due to the relative scarcity of tsunami data, the inter-comparison of these models and the calibration of their parameters against observations is a challenging yet very much needed task, also in view of their use for tsunami hazard assessment.</p><p>Davies (2019) compared a variety of approaches, which consider both depth-dependent and depth-independent slip models in subduction zones by comparing the simulated tsunami waveforms with DART records of 18 tsunami events in the Pacific Ocean. Model calibration was also proposed by Davies and Griffin (2020).</p><p>Here, to further progress along similar lines, we compare synthetic tsunamis produced by kinematic slip models obtained with teleseismic inversions from Ye et al. (2016) and by recent stochastic slip generation techniques (Scala et al., 2020) against tsunami observations at open ocean DART buoys, for the same 18 earthquakes and ensuing tsunamis analyzed by Davies (2019). Given the magnitude and location of the real earthquakes, we consider ensembles of consistent slipping areas and slip distributions, accounting for both constant and depth-dependent rigidity models. Tsunami simulations are performed for about 68.000 scenarios in total, using the Tsunami-HySEA code (Macías et al., 2016). The simulated results are validated and compared to the DART observations in the same framework considered by Davies (2019).</p>

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Satoko Murotani ◽  
Kenji Satake ◽  
Takeo Ishibe ◽  
Tomoya Harada

Abstract Large earthquakes around Japan occur not only in the Pacific Ocean but also in the Sea of Japan, and cause both damage from the earthquake itself and from the ensuing tsunami to the coastal areas. Recently, offshore active fault surveys were conducted in the Sea of Japan by the Integrated Research Project on Seismic and Tsunami Hazards around the Sea of Japan (JSPJ), and their fault models (length, width, strike, dip, and slip angles) have been obtained. We examined the causative faults of M7 or larger earthquakes in the Sea of Japan during the 20th century using seismic and tsunami data. The 1940 off Shakotan Peninsula earthquake (MJMA 7.5) appears to have been caused by the offshore active faults MS01, MS02, ST01, and ST02 as modelled by the JSPJ. The 1993 off the southwest coast of Hokkaido earthquake (MJMA 7.8) likely occurred on the offshore active faults OK03a, OK03b, and OK05, while the 1983 Central Sea of Japan earthquake (MJMA 7.7) probably related to MMS01, MMS04, and MGM01. For these earthquakes, the observed tsunami waveforms were basically reproduced by tsunami numerical simulation from the offshore active faults with the slip amounts obtained by the scaling relation with three stages between seismic moment and source area for inland earthquakes. However, the observed tsunami runup heights along the coast were not reproduced at certain locations, possibly because of the coarse bathymetry data used for the simulation. The 1983 west off Aomori (MJMA 7.1) and the 1964 off Oga Peninsula (MJMA 6.9) earthquakes showed multiple faults near the source area that could be used to reproduce the observed tsunami waveforms; therefore, we could not identify the causative faults. Further analysis using near-field seismic waveforms is required for their identification of their causative faults and their parameters. The scaling relation for inland earthquakes can be used to obtain the slip amounts for offshore active faults in the Sea of Japan and to estimate the coastal tsunami heights and inundation area which can be useful for disaster prevention and mitigation of future earthquakes and tsunamis in the Sea of Japan.


2016 ◽  
Vol 283 (1844) ◽  
pp. 20162337 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steffen Kiel

Deep-sea hydrothermal vents and methane seeps are inhabited by members of the same higher taxa but share few species, thus scientists have long sought habitats or regions of intermediate character that would facilitate connectivity among these habitats. Here, a network analysis of 79 vent, seep, and whale-fall communities with 121 genus-level taxa identified sedimented vents as a main intermediate link between the two types of ecosystems. Sedimented vents share hot, metal-rich fluids with mid-ocean ridge-type vents and soft sediment with seeps. Such sites are common along the active continental margins of the Pacific Ocean, facilitating connectivity among vent/seep faunas in this region. By contrast, sedimented vents are rare in the Atlantic Ocean, offering an explanation for the greater distinction between its vent and seep faunas compared with those of the Pacific Ocean. The distribution of subduction zones and associated back-arc basins, where sedimented vents are common, likely plays a major role in the evolutionary and biogeographic connectivity of vent and seep faunas. The hypothesis that decaying whale carcasses are dispersal stepping stones linking these environments is not supported.


1994 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 287-302 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arthur J Miller ◽  
Daniel R Cayan ◽  
Tim P Barnett ◽  
Nicholas E Graham ◽  
Josef M Oberhuber

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 4153-4249
Author(s):  
V. Schourup-Kristensen ◽  
D. Sidorenko ◽  
D. A. Wolf-Gladrow ◽  
C. Völker

Abstract. In coupled ocean-biogeochemical models, the choice of numerical schemes in the ocean circulation component can have a large influence on the distribution of the biological tracers. Biogeochemical models are traditionally coupled to ocean general circulation models (OGCMs), which are based on dynamical cores employing quasi regular meshes, and therefore utilize limited spatial resolution in a global setting. An alternative approach is to use an unstructured-mesh ocean model, which allows variable mesh resolution. Here, we present initial results of a coupling between the Finite Element Sea-ice Ocean Model (FESOM) and the biogeochemical model REcoM2, with special focus on the Southern Ocean. Surface fields of nutrients, chlorophyll a and net primary production were compared to available data sets with focus on spatial distribution and seasonal cycle. The model produced realistic spatial distributions, especially regarding net primary production and chlorophyll a, whereas the iron concentration became too low in the Pacific Ocean. The modelled net primary production was 32.5 Pg C yr−1 and the export production 6.1 Pg C yr−1. This is lower than satellite-based estimates, mainly due to the excessive iron limitation in the Pacific along with too little coastal production. Overall, the model performed better in the Southern Ocean than on the global scale, though the assessment here is hindered by the lower availability of observations. The modelled net primary production was 3.1 Pg C yr−1 in the Southern Ocean and the export production 1.1 Pg C yr−1. All in all, the combination of a circulation model on an unstructured grid with an ocean biogeochemical model shows similar performance to other models at non-eddy-permitting resolution. It is well suited for studies of the Southern Ocean, but on the global scale deficiencies in the Pacific Ocean would have to be taken into account.


2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (8) ◽  
pp. 2081-2092
Author(s):  
Yu-Sheng Sun ◽  
Po-Fei Chen ◽  
Chien-Chih Chen ◽  
Ya-Ting Lee ◽  
Kuo-Fong Ma ◽  
...  

Abstract. The southernmost portion of the Ryukyu Trench near the island of Taiwan potentially generates tsunamigenic earthquakes with magnitudes from 7.5 to 8.7 through shallow rupture. The fault model for this potential region dips 10∘ northward with a rupture length of 120 km and a width of 70 km. An earthquake magnitude of Mw 8.15 is estimated by the fault geometry with an average slip of 8.25 m as a constraint on the earthquake scenario. Heterogeneous slip distributions over the rupture surface are generated by a stochastic slip model, which represents the decaying slip spectrum according to k−2 in the wave number domain. These synthetic slip distributions are consistent with the abovementioned identical seismic conditions. The results from tsunami simulations illustrate that the propagation of tsunami waves and the peak wave heights largely vary in response to the slip distribution. Changes in the wave phase are possible as the waves propagate, even under the same seismic conditions. The tsunami energy path not only follows the bathymetry but also depends on the slip distribution. The probabilistic distributions of the peak tsunami amplitude calculated by 100 different slip patterns from 30 recording stations reveal that the uncertainty decreases with increasing distance from the tsunami source. The highest wave amplitude for 30 recording points is 7.32 m at Hualien for 100 different slips. Compared with the stochastic-slip distributions, the uniform slip distribution will be highly underestimated, especially in the near field. In general, the uniform slip assumption only represents the average phenomenon and will consequently ignore the possibility of tsunami waves. These results indicate that considering the effects of heterogeneous slip distributions is necessary for assessing tsunami hazards to provide additional information about tsunami uncertainties and facilitate a more comprehensive estimation.


2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 1371-1379 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Goff

Abstract. Tsunami hazard assessments for Pacific Islands Countries (PICs) tend to focus on subduction zone sources. It is generally recognised that while volcanic-related tsunamigenic sources exist, they are probably only of minor relevance to the overall hazardscape of the Pacific. This paper outlines the evidence for a previously unrecorded local tsunami that struck the uninhabited south coast of Mangaia, Cook Islands, on 13 April 2010. The tsunami had a maximum inundation of 100 m inland and a runup of 12 m a.s.l. This event was most probably caused by a small submarine slope failure, the most recent of an unknown number of previous inundations. Since most PICs have a volcanic origin, it is suggested that current perceptions about the local and regional significance of such events is inaccurate. A review of volcanic-related tsunamigenic sources throughout the Pacific reveals a wealth of data concerning submarine slope failures in particular and a more general background of active volcanism. These sources are as relevant to PICs close to or far away from subduction zones. As populations grow and the coastlines of many PICs and those on the edge of the Pacific Ocean become increasing occupied, the likelihood for loss of life from these events increases.


2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 235 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rogério Neder Candella

ABSTRACT. For the second time, the sign of a tsunami could be measured in Brazil. The waves generated by the Mw 9.0 earthquake in Japan on March 11, 2011,have spread across the Pacific Ocean and through Drake Passage reached the Atlantic Ocean, being recorded by at least three tide gauges. During the 2004 Sumatraevent, the positioning of the tsunami source allowed the waves to propagate almost directly to the South American coast and the signal was recorded at many sites ofthe Argentinian, Uruguayan and Brazilian coast. This time, the path of the waves was much more complex, causing strong signal attenuation and making difficult thedetection of the waves. Nevertheless, the tsunami signal was identified at Arraial do Cabo, RJ, mainly due to the low background noise level. This far-field record wasused to estimate statistical and spectral characteristics of arriving tsunami waves.Keywords: Japan tsunami, signal detection, Brazil. RESUMO. Pela segunda vez, o sinal de um tsunami pôde ser registrado no Brasil. As ondas originadas pelo terremoto de magnitude 9,0 ocorrido no Japão, em 11 de março de 2011, se propagaram através do oceano Pacífico e, passando pelo Estreito de Drake, atingiram o oceano Atlântico, sendo registradas por, pelo menos, três marégrafos. No evento de 2004, a posição da fonte do tsunami permitiu a propagação quase direta das ondas até a costa sul americana e o sinal pôde ser registrado emdiversos pontos na Argentina, Uruguai e Brasil. Dessa vez, o caminho das oscilações foi bem mais complexo, provocando forte atenuação do sinal e, assim, dificultandosua detecção. Apesar disso, foi possível detectar esse sinal em Arraial do Cabo, RJ, principalmente devido ao baixo nível de ruído de fundo no registro do nível do mar. O registro desses dados de campo distante foi utilizado para extrair características estatísticas e espectrais dos dados coletados.Palavras-chave: tsunami do Japão, detecção do sinal, Brasil.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu-Sheng Sun ◽  
Po-Fei Chen ◽  
Chien-Chih Chen ◽  
Ya-Ting Lee ◽  
Kuo-Fong Ma ◽  
...  

Abstract. The southernmost portion of the Ryukyu Trench closed to Taiwan island is a potential region to generate 7.5 to 8.7 tsunami earthquakes by shallow rupture. The fault model for this potential region dips 10º northward with rupture length of 120 km and width of 70 km. The earthquake magnitude estimated by fault geometry is Mw 8.15 with 8.25 m average slip as a constrain of earthquake scenario. The heterogeneous slip distributions over rupture surface are generated by stochastic slip model, the slip spectrum with k-2 decay in wave number domain, and they are consistent with above identical seismic conditions. The results from tsunami simulation illustrate that the propagation of tsunami waves and the peak wave heights largely vary in response to the slip distribution. The wave phase changing is possible as the waves propagate, even under the same seismic conditions. The tsunami energy path is not only following the bathymetry but also depending on slip distribution. The probabilistic distributions of peak tsunami amplitude calculated by 100 different slip patterns from 30 recording stations reveal the uncertainty decreases with distance from tsunami source. The highest wave amplitude for 30 recording points is 7.32 m at Hualien for 100 different slips. Comparing with stochastic slips, uniform slip distribution will be extremely underestimated, especially in near field. In general, uniform slip assumption only represents the average phenomenon so that it will ignore possibility of tsunami wave. These results indicate that considering effect of heterogeneous slip distribution is necessary for assessing tsunami hazard and that can provide more information about tsunami uncertainty for a more comprehensive estimation.


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