Precipitation nowcasting based on multifractal advection and deformation 

Author(s):  
Victoria Santos-Duarte-Ramos

<div> <p><span>The </span><span>X-band radars deliver precipitation estimates with high accuracy and space resolution (up to 100 m in space and 1 min in time). With their increasing deployment around large cities, there is an appealing need </span><span>for short-term nowcasting of rainfall at high resolutions for urban applications.</span></p> </div><div> <p><span>Nowcasting means forecasting with lead times of up to six hours. Classical precipitation nowcasting methods include methods of image processing to identify precipitation cells and extrapolate their motion. Due to the strong nonlinearity of the precipitation processes, such methods face a number of limitations, e.g., cell identification lacks physics and can be quite ad-hoc or even fail because of their fast deformation. On the contrary, this presentation aims to demonstrate how the fast multiscale deformation of the rainfall cells could be used to improve precipitation nowcasting, with the help of new radar data and products.</span></p> </div><div><span>Spectral and multifractal analyses of </span><span>radar data </span><span>enable a comparison of the structure and the morphology of both the precipitation and vector fields through space time scales. This provides </span><span>a unique framework </span><span>to </span><span>nowcast both fields over scales relevant to urban decision-making. Overall, this presentation contributes to the development of new, reliable, operational tools to use in their full extent the high-resolution X-band data.</span></div>

Author(s):  
Igor Paz ◽  
Bernard Willinger ◽  
Auguste Gires ◽  
Laurent Monier ◽  
Christophe Zobrist ◽  
...  

This paper presents a comparison between rain gauges, C-band and X-band radar data over an instrumented and regulated catchment of the Paris region, as well as their respective hydrological impacts with the help of flow observations and a semi-distributed hydrological model. Both radars confirm the high spatial variability of the rainfall down to their space resolution (respectively one kilometer and 250 m) and therefore underscore limitations of semi-distributed simulations. The use of the polarimetric capacity of the Météo-France C-band radar was limited to corrections of the horizontal reflectivity and its rainfall estimates are adjusted with the help of a rain gauge network. On the contrary, neither calibration was performed for the polarimetric X-band radar of the Ecole des Ponts ParisTech (below called ENPC X-band radar), nor any optimization of its scans. In spite of that and the non-negligible fact that the catchment was much closer to the C-band radar than to the X-band radar (20 km vs. 40 km), the latter seems to perform at least as well as the former, but with a higher scale resolution. This characteristic was best highlighted with the help of a multifractal analysis of the respective radar data, which also shows that the X-band radar was able to pick up a few extremes that were smoothed out by the C-band radar.


2012 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 246-250 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Bertoldo ◽  
C. Lucianaz ◽  
M. Allegretti ◽  
O. Rorato ◽  
A. Prato ◽  
...  

The increasing frequency of extreme and very localized precipitation events have been causing landslides, floods and casualties, especially in Sicily, due to its complex orography, and to the presence of densely inhabited areas just at the mouth of small basins. In order to monitor such phenomena with the needed high resolution in time and space, an experimental network of X-band mini-radars, exclusively devoted to monitor rain, has been installed in some parts of Sicily since November 2010. The network is made up by 4 mini weather radars able to acquire a rain map every minute (or even at shorter intervals) with a radial space resolution better than 100 m within a range of up to 30 km. Their low cost and the easiness of installation make such radars ideal for monitoring small areas or even just limited angular sectors, since it is more convenient to install more than one instrument instead of choosing special site locations or spending for installation support. The raw data are immediately processed in real time by the software installed on each radar unit, Cartesian maps are locally produced, compressed and transmitted via GPRS to a server where ad hoc products for the users are prepared and made available on a web site. A few examples of final products and some comparisons with rain gauges are presented.


2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 113-125 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jessica M. Erlingis ◽  
Jonathan J. Gourley ◽  
Pierre-Emmanuel Kirstetter ◽  
Emmanouil N. Anagnostou ◽  
John Kalogiros ◽  
...  

Abstract During May and June 2014, NOAA X-Pol (NOXP), the National Severe Storms Laboratory’s dual-polarized X-band mobile radar, was deployed to the Pigeon River basin in the Great Smoky Mountains of North Carolina as part of the NASA Integrated Precipitation and Hydrology Experiment. Rain gauges and disdrometers were positioned within the basin to verify precipitation estimates from various radar and satellite precipitation algorithms. First, the performance of the Self-Consistent Optimal Parameterization–Microphysics Estimation (SCOP-ME) algorithm for NOXP was examined using ground instrumentation as validation and was found to perform similarly to or slightly outperform other precipitation algorithms over the course of the intensive observation period (IOP). Radar data were also used to examine ridge–valley differences in radar and microphysical parameters for a case of stratiform precipitation passing over the mountains. Inferred coalescence microphysical processes were found to dominate within the upslope region, while a combination of processes were present as the system propagated over the valley. This suggests that enhanced updrafts aided by orographic lift sustain convection over the upslope regions, leading to larger median drop diameters.


2018 ◽  
Vol 146 (8) ◽  
pp. 2483-2502 ◽  
Author(s):  
Howard B. Bluestein ◽  
Kyle J. Thiem ◽  
Jeffrey C. Snyder ◽  
Jana B. Houser

Abstract This study documents the formation and evolution of secondary vortices associated within a large, violent tornado in Oklahoma based on data from a close-range, mobile, polarimetric, rapid-scan, X-band Doppler radar. Secondary vortices were tracked relative to the parent circulation using data collected every 2 s. It was found that most long-lived vortices (those that could be tracked for ≥15 s) formed within the radius of maximum wind (RMW), mainly in the left-rear quadrant (with respect to parent tornado motion), passing around the center of the parent tornado and dissipating closer to the center in the right-forward and left-forward quadrants. Some secondary vortices persisted for at least 1 min. When a Burgers–Rott vortex is fit to the Doppler radar data, and the vortex is assumed to be axisymmetric, the secondary vortices propagated slowly against the mean azimuthal flow; if the vortex is not assumed to be axisymmetric as a result of a strong rear-flank gust front on one side of it, then the secondary vortices moved along approximately with the wind.


2006 ◽  
Vol 23 (9) ◽  
pp. 1195-1205 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Chandrasekar ◽  
S. Lim ◽  
E. Gorgucci

Abstract To design X-band radar systems as well as evaluate algorithm development, it is useful to have simultaneous X-band observation with and without the impact of path attenuation. One way to develop that dataset is through theoretical models. This paper presents a methodology to generate realistic range profiles of radar variables at attenuating frequencies, such as X band, for rain medium. Fundamental microphysical properties of precipitation, namely, size and shape distribution information, are used to generate realistic profiles of X band starting with S-band observation. Conditioning the simulation from S band maintains the natural distribution of rainfall microphysical parameters. Data from the Colorado State University’s University of Chicago–Illinois State Water Survey (CHILL) radar and the National Center for Atmospheric Research S-band dual-polarization Doppler radar (S-POL) are used to simulate X-band radar variables. Three procedures to simulate the radar variables and sample applications are presented.


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (4.44) ◽  
pp. 165 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ratih Indri Hapsari ◽  
Gerard Aponno ◽  
Rosa Andrie Asmara ◽  
Satoru Oishi

Rainfall-triggered debris flow has caused multiple impacts to the environment. It. is regarded as the most severe secondary hazards of volcanic eruption. However, limited access to the active volcano slope restricts the ground rain measurement as well as the direct delivery of risk information. In this study, an integrated information system is proposed for volcanic-related disaster mitigation under the framework of X-Plore/X-band Polarimetric Radar for Prevention of Water Disaster. In the first part, the acquisition and processing of high-resolution X-band dual polarimetric weather/X-MP radar data in real-time scheme for demonstrating the disaster-prone region are described. The second part presents the design of rainfall resource database and extensive maps coverage of predicted hazard information in GIS web-based platform accessible both using internet and offline. The proposed platform would be useful for communicating the disaster risk prediction based on weather radar in operational setting.  


2018 ◽  
Vol 58 (4) ◽  
pp. 537-551 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. A. Bychkova ◽  
V. G. Smirnov

Te methods of satellite monitoring of dangerous ice formations, namely icebergs in the Arctic seas, representing a threat to the safety of navigation and economic activity on the Arctic shelf are considered. Te main objective of the research is to develop methods for detecting icebergs using satellite radar data and high space resolution images in the visible spectral range. Te developed method of iceberg detection is based on statistical criteria for fnding gradient zones in the analysis of two-dimensional felds of satellite images. Te algorithms of the iceberg detection, the procedure of the false target identifcation, and determination the horizontal dimensions of the icebergs and their location are described. Examples of iceberg detection using satellite information with high space resolution obtained from Sentinel-1 and Landsat-8 satellites are given. To assess the iceberg threat, we propose to use a model of their drif, one of the input parameters of which is the size of the detected objects. Tree possible situations of observation of icebergs are identifed, namely, the «status» state of objects: icebergs on open water; icebergs in drifing ice; and icebergs in the fast ice. At the same time, in each of these situations, the iceberg can be grounded, that prevents its moving. Specifc features of the iceberg monitoring at various «status» states of them are considered. Te «status» state of the iceberg is also taken into account when assessing the degree of danger of the detected object. Te use of iceberg detection techniques based on satellite radar data and visible range images is illustrated by results of monitoring the coastal areas of the Severnaya Zemlya archipelago. Te approaches proposed to detect icebergs from satellite data allow improving the quality and efciency of service for a wide number of users with ensuring the efciency and safety of Arctic navigation and activities on the Arctic shelf.


2014 ◽  
Vol 53 (4) ◽  
pp. 1099-1119 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei-Yu Chang ◽  
Jothiram Vivekanandan ◽  
Tai-Chi Chen Wang

AbstractA variational algorithm for estimating measurement error covariance and the attenuation of X-band polarimetric radar measurements is described. It concurrently uses both the differential reflectivity ZDR and propagation phase ΦDP. The majority of the current attenuation estimation techniques use only ΦDP. A few of the ΦDP-based methods use ZDR as a constraint for verifying estimated attenuation. In this paper, a detailed observing system simulation experiment was used for evaluating the performance of the variational algorithm. The results were compared with a single-coefficient ΦDP-based method. Retrieved attenuation from the variational method is more accurate than the results from a single coefficient ΦDP-based method. Moreover, the variational method is less sensitive to measurement noise in radar observations. The variational method requires an accurate description of error covariance matrices. Relative weights between measurements and background values (i.e., mean value based on long-term DSD measurements in the variational method) are determined by their respective error covariances. Instead of using ad hoc values, error covariance matrices of background and radar measurement are statistically estimated and their spatial characteristics are studied. The estimated error covariance shows higher values in convective regions than in stratiform regions, as expected. The practical utility of the variational attenuation correction method is demonstrated using radar field measurements from the Taiwan Experimental Atmospheric Mobile-Radar (TEAM-R) during 2008’s Southwest Monsoon Experiment/Terrain-Influenced Monsoon Rainfall Experiment (SoWMEX/TiMREX). The accuracy of attenuation-corrected X-band radar measurements is evaluated by comparing them with collocated S-band radar measurements.


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