scholarly journals Landslide susceptibility mapping by using a geographic information system (GIS) along the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (Karakoram Highway), Pakistan

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (5) ◽  
pp. 999-1022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sajid Ali ◽  
Peter Biermanns ◽  
Rashid Haider ◽  
Klaus Reicherter

Abstract. The Karakoram Highway (KKH) is an important route, which connects northern Pakistan with Western China. Presence of steep slopes, active faults and seismic zones, sheared rock mass, and torrential rainfall make the study area a unique geohazards laboratory. Since its construction, landslides constitute an appreciable threat, having blocked the KKH several times. Therefore, landslide susceptibility mapping was carried out in this study to support highway authorities in maintaining smooth and hazard-free travelling. Geological and geomorphological data were collected and processed using a geographic information system (GIS) environment. Different conditioning and triggering factors for landslide occurrences were considered for preparation of the susceptibility map. These factors include lithology, seismicity, rainfall intensity, faults, elevation, slope angle, aspect, curvature, land cover and hydrology. According to spatial and statistical analyses, active faults, seismicity and slope angle mainly control the spatial distribution of landslides. Each controlling parameter was assigned a numerical weight by utilizing the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method. Additionally, the weighted overlay method (WOL) was employed to determine landslide susceptibility indices. As a result, the landslide susceptibility map was produced. In the map, the KKH was subdivided into four different susceptibility zones. Some sections of the highway fall into high to very high susceptibility zones. According to results, active faults, slope gradient, seismicity and lithology have a strong influence on landslide events. Credibility of the map was validated by landslide density analysis (LDA) and receiver operator characteristics (ROC), yielding a predictive accuracy of 72 %, which is rated as satisfactory by previous researchers.

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sajid Ali ◽  
Peter Biermanns ◽  
Rashid Haider ◽  
Klaus Reicherter

Abstract. The Karakoram Highway (KKH), as part of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), connects Northern Pakistan with Western China. KKH passes through the actively rising mountain ranges of Himalaya, Karakoram and Hindu Kush, forming the junction between the Indian and Eurasian plates, including Kohistan Island Arc. The area is characterized by fractured and weathered rockmass, diverse lithologies (igneous, metamorphic, and sedimentary), high seismicity, deep gorges, high relief, arid to Monsoon climate and locally high rates of tectonic activity. These conditions make the study area a unique geohazards laboratory. Starting with its construction in 1979, KKH's stability has been endangered by a variety of geohazards. In that regard, landslides constitute an appreciable threat, having blocked KKH for several times. Therefore, landslide susceptibility mapping was carried out in this study, to support highway authorities in maintaining smooth and hazard free travelling. Geological and geomorphological data were collected and processed using Arc GIS 10.3. Different conditioning and triggering factors for landslide occurrences were considered for preparation of the susceptibility map. These factors include lithology, seismicity, rainfall intensity, faults, elevation, slope angle, aspect, curvature, land cover and hydrology. According to spatial and statistical analyses, active faults, seismicity and slope angle mainly control the spatial distribution of landslides. Each controlling parameter was assigned a numerical weight by utilizing the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) method. Additionally, the weighted overlay method (WOL) was employed to determine landslide susceptibility indices. As a final result, the landslide susceptibility map was produced. In the map, KKH was subdivided into four different susceptibility zones. Some sections of the highway fall into high to very high susceptibility zones. According to results, active faults, slope gradient, seismicity and lithology have a strong influence on landslide events. Credibility of the map was validated by landslide density analysis (LDA) and receiver operator characteristics (ROC), yielding a predictive accuracy of 72 % which is rated sufficient for mitigation planning.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amit Chawla ◽  
Sowmiya Chawla ◽  
Srinivas Pasupuleti ◽  
A. C. S. Rao ◽  
Kripamoy Sarkar ◽  
...  

Landslide susceptibility map aids decision makers and planners for the prevention and mitigation of landslide hazard. This study presents a methodology for the generation of landslide susceptibility mapping using remote sensing data and Geographic Information System technique for the part of the Darjeeling district, Eastern Himalaya, in India. Topographic, earthquake, and remote sensing data and published geology, soil, and rainfall maps were collected and processed using Geographic Information System. Landslide influencing factors in the study area are drainage, lineament, slope, rainfall, earthquake, lithology, land use/land cover, fault, valley, soil, relief, and aspect. These factors were evaluated for the generation of thematic data layers. Numerical weight and rating for each factor was assigned using the overlay analysis method for the generation of landslide susceptibility map in the Geographic Information System environment. The resulting landslide susceptibility zonation map demarcated the study area into four different susceptibility classes: very high, high, moderate, and low. Particle Swarm Optimization-Support Vector Machine technique was used for the prediction and classification of landslide susceptibility classes, and Genetic Programming method was used to generate models and to predict landslide susceptibility classes in conjunction with Geographic Information System output, respectively. Genetic Programming and Particle Swarm Optimization-Support Vector Machine have performed well with respect to overall prediction accuracy and validated the landslide susceptibility model generated in the Geographic Information System environment. The efficiency of the landslide susceptibility zonation map was also confirmed by correlating the landslide frequency between different susceptible classes.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pawan Gautam ◽  
Tetsuya Kubota ◽  
Aril Aditian

Abstract The main objectives of this study are to assess the underlying causative factors for landslide occurrence due to earthquake in upper Indrawati Watershed of Nepal and evaluating the region prone to landslide using Landslide Susceptibility Mapping (LSM). We used logistic regression (LR) for LSM on geographic information system (GIS) platform. Nine causal factors (CF) including slope angle, aspect, elevation, curvature, distance to fault and river, geological formation, seismic intensity, and land cover were considered for LSM. We assessed the distribution of landslide among the classes of each CF to understand the relationship of CF and landslides. The northern part of the study area, which is dominated by steep rocky slope have a higher distribution of earthquake-induced landslides. Among the CF, 'slope' showed the positive correlation as landslide distribution is increasing with increasing slope. However, LR analysis depict 'distance to the fault' is the best predictor with the highest coefficient value. Susceptibility map was validated by assessing the correctly classified landslides under susceptibility categories, generated in five discrete classes using natural break (Jenk) methods. Calculation of area under curve (AUC) and seed cell area index (SCAI) were performed to validate the susceptibility map. The LSM approach shows good accuracy with respective AUC value for success rate and prediction rate of 0.795 and 0.702. Similarly, the decreasing SCAI value from very low to very high susceptibility categories advise satisfactory accuracy of LSM approach.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 93
Author(s):  
Wei Xie ◽  
Xiaoshuang Li ◽  
Wenbin Jian ◽  
Yang Yang ◽  
Hongwei Liu ◽  
...  

Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) could be an effective way to prevent landslide hazards and mitigate losses. The choice of conditional factors is crucial to the results of LSM, and the selection of models also plays an important role. In this study, a hybrid method including GeoDetector and machine learning cluster was developed to provide a new perspective on how to address these two issues. We defined redundant factors by quantitatively analyzing the single impact and interactive impact of the factors, which was analyzed by GeoDetector, the effect of this step was examined using mean absolute error (MAE). The machine learning cluster contains four models (artificial neural network (ANN), Bayesian network (BN), logistic regression (LR), and support vector machines (SVM)) and automatically selects the best one for generating LSM. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, prediction accuracy, and the seed cell area index (SCAI) methods were used to evaluate these methods. The results show that the SVM model had the best performance in the machine learning cluster with the area under the ROC curve of 0.928 and with an accuracy of 83.86%. Therefore, SVM was chosen as the assessment model to map the landslide susceptibility of the study area. The landslide susceptibility map demonstrated fit with landslide inventory, indicated the hybrid method is effective in screening landslide influences and assessing landslide susceptibility.


Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 1402 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nohani ◽  
Moharrami ◽  
Sharafi ◽  
Khosravi ◽  
Pradhan ◽  
...  

Landslides are the most frequent phenomenon in the northern part of Iran, which cause considerable financial and life damages every year. One of the most widely used approaches to reduce these damages is preparing a landslide susceptibility map (LSM) using suitable methods and selecting the proper conditioning factors. The current study is aimed at comparing four bivariate models, namely the frequency ratio (FR), Shannon entropy (SE), weights of evidence (WoE), and evidential belief function (EBF), for a LSM of Klijanrestagh Watershed, Iran. Firstly, 109 locations of landslides were obtained from field surveys and interpretation of aerial photographs. Then, the locations were categorized into two groups of 70% (74 locations) and 30% (35 locations), randomly, for modeling and validation processes, respectively. Then, 10 conditioning factors of slope aspect, curvature, elevation, distance from fault, lithology, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), distance from the river, distance from the road, the slope angle, and land use were determined to construct the spatial database. From the results of multicollinearity, it was concluded that no collinearity existed between the 10 considered conditioning factors in the occurrence of landslides. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC) were used for validation of the four achieved LSMs. The AUC results introduced the success rates of 0.8, 0.86, 0.84, and 0.85 for EBF, WoE, SE, and FR, respectively. Also, they indicated that the rates of prediction were 0.84, 0.83, 0.82, and 0.79 for WoE, FR, SE, and EBF, respectively. Therefore, the WoE model, having the highest AUC, was the most accurate method among the four implemented methods in identifying the regions at risk of future landslides in the study area. The outcomes of this research are useful and essential for the government, planners, decision makers, researchers, and general land-use planners in the study area.


Symmetry ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 762 ◽  
Author(s):  
Renwei Li ◽  
Nianqin Wang

The main purpose of this study is to apply three bivariate statistical models, namely weight of evidence (WoE), evidence belief function (EBF) and index of entropy (IoE), and their ensembles with logistic regression (LR) for landslide susceptibility mapping in Muchuan County, China. First, a landslide inventory map contained 279 landslides was obtained through the field investigation and interpretation of aerial photographs. Next, the landslides were randomly divided into two parts for training and validation with the ratio of 70/30. In addition, according to the regional geological environment characteristics, twelve landslide conditioning factors were selected, including altitude, plan curvature, profile curvature, slope angle, distance to roads, distance to rivers, topographic wetness index (TWI), normalized different vegetation index (NDVI), land use, soil, and lithology. Subsequently, the landslide susceptibility mapping was carried out by the above models. Eventually, the accuracy of this research was validated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the results indicated that the landslide susceptibility map produced by EBF-LR model has the highest accuracy (0.826), followed by IoE-LR model (0.825), WoE-LR model (0.792), EBF model (0.791), IoE model (0.778), and WoE model (0.753). The results of this study can provide references of landslide prevention and land use planning for local government.


2013 ◽  
Vol 353-356 ◽  
pp. 3487-3493 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chen Chao Xiao ◽  
Yuan Tian ◽  
Kang Ping Si ◽  
Ting Li

In this paper landslide susceptibility mapping and model performance assessment was conducted using three models, logistic regression, GAM, and SVM, in a study area in Shenzhen, China. Ten factors, slope angle, aspect, elevation, plan and profile curvature of the slope, lithology, NDVI, building density, the distance to the river, and the distance to the fault were selected as influencing factors for the landslide occurrences. All three models were trained and the resulting susceptibility maps were created. The performances of the three models were then assessed by AUC values through a 10-fold cross-validation. It could be concluded that in the study area GAM had the best overall performance among the three models, while SVM was better than logistic regression. Based on the derived DPR values, the optimum thresholds between stable areas and risky areas for all three models were also determined.


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