scholarly journals Landslide susceptibility mapping by using GIS along the China–Pakistan economic corridor (Karakoram Highway), Pakistan

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sajid Ali ◽  
Peter Biermanns ◽  
Rashid Haider ◽  
Klaus Reicherter
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Active Faults ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Western China ◽  
Tectonic Activity ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Karakoram Highway

Abstract. The Karakoram Highway (KKH), as part of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), connects Northern Pakistan with Western China. KKH passes through the actively rising mountain ranges of Himalaya, Karakoram and Hindu Kush, forming the junction between the Indian and Eurasian plates, including Kohistan Island Arc. The area is characterized by fractured and weathered rockmass, diverse lithologies (igneous, metamorphic, and sedimentary), high seismicity, deep gorges, high relief, arid to Monsoon climate and locally high rates of tectonic activity. These conditions make the study area a unique geohazards laboratory. Starting with its construction in 1979, KKH's stability has been endangered by a variety of geohazards. In that regard, landslides constitute an appreciable threat, having blocked KKH for several times. Therefore, landslide susceptibility mapping was carried out in this study, to support highway authorities in maintaining smooth and hazard free travelling. Geological and geomorphological data were collected and processed using Arc GIS 10.3. Different conditioning and triggering factors for landslide occurrences were considered for preparation of the susceptibility map. These factors include lithology, seismicity, rainfall intensity, faults, elevation, slope angle, aspect, curvature, land cover and hydrology. According to spatial and statistical analyses, active faults, seismicity and slope angle mainly control the spatial distribution of landslides. Each controlling parameter was assigned a numerical weight by utilizing the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) method. Additionally, the weighted overlay method (WOL) was employed to determine landslide susceptibility indices. As a final result, the landslide susceptibility map was produced. In the map, KKH was subdivided into four different susceptibility zones. Some sections of the highway fall into high to very high susceptibility zones. According to results, active faults, slope gradient, seismicity and lithology have a strong influence on landslide events. Credibility of the map was validated by landslide density analysis (LDA) and receiver operator characteristics (ROC), yielding a predictive accuracy of 72 % which is rated sufficient for mitigation planning.

scholarly journals Landslide susceptibility mapping by using a geographic information system (GIS) along the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (Karakoram Highway), Pakistan

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (5) ◽  
pp. 999-1022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sajid Ali ◽  
Peter Biermanns ◽  
Rashid Haider ◽  
Klaus Reicherter
Keyword(s):  
Information System ◽  
Geographic Information System ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Active Faults ◽  
Geographic Information ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Karakoram Highway

Abstract. The Karakoram Highway (KKH) is an important route, which connects northern Pakistan with Western China. Presence of steep slopes, active faults and seismic zones, sheared rock mass, and torrential rainfall make the study area a unique geohazards laboratory. Since its construction, landslides constitute an appreciable threat, having blocked the KKH several times. Therefore, landslide susceptibility mapping was carried out in this study to support highway authorities in maintaining smooth and hazard-free travelling. Geological and geomorphological data were collected and processed using a geographic information system (GIS) environment. Different conditioning and triggering factors for landslide occurrences were considered for preparation of the susceptibility map. These factors include lithology, seismicity, rainfall intensity, faults, elevation, slope angle, aspect, curvature, land cover and hydrology. According to spatial and statistical analyses, active faults, seismicity and slope angle mainly control the spatial distribution of landslides. Each controlling parameter was assigned a numerical weight by utilizing the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method. Additionally, the weighted overlay method (WOL) was employed to determine landslide susceptibility indices. As a result, the landslide susceptibility map was produced. In the map, the KKH was subdivided into four different susceptibility zones. Some sections of the highway fall into high to very high susceptibility zones. According to results, active faults, slope gradient, seismicity and lithology have a strong influence on landslide events. Credibility of the map was validated by landslide density analysis (LDA) and receiver operator characteristics (ROC), yielding a predictive accuracy of 72 %, which is rated as satisfactory by previous researchers.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Underlying Causative Factors for Earthquake-Induced Landslides and Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in Upper Indrawati Watershed, Nepal

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pawan Gautam ◽  
Tetsuya Kubota ◽  
Aril Aditian
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Seismic Intensity ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Landslide Occurrence ◽  
Causative Factors ◽  
Natural Break

Abstract The main objectives of this study are to assess the underlying causative factors for landslide occurrence due to earthquake in upper Indrawati Watershed of Nepal and evaluating the region prone to landslide using Landslide Susceptibility Mapping (LSM). We used logistic regression (LR) for LSM on geographic information system (GIS) platform. Nine causal factors (CF) including slope angle, aspect, elevation, curvature, distance to fault and river, geological formation, seismic intensity, and land cover were considered for LSM. We assessed the distribution of landslide among the classes of each CF to understand the relationship of CF and landslides. The northern part of the study area, which is dominated by steep rocky slope have a higher distribution of earthquake-induced landslides. Among the CF, 'slope' showed the positive correlation as landslide distribution is increasing with increasing slope. However, LR analysis depict 'distance to the fault' is the best predictor with the highest coefficient value. Susceptibility map was validated by assessing the correctly classified landslides under susceptibility categories, generated in five discrete classes using natural break (Jenk) methods. Calculation of area under curve (AUC) and seed cell area index (SCAI) were performed to validate the susceptibility map. The LSM approach shows good accuracy with respective AUC value for success rate and prediction rate of 0.795 and 0.702. Similarly, the decreasing SCAI value from very low to very high susceptibility categories advise satisfactory accuracy of LSM approach.

scholarly journals A Novel Hybrid Method for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping-Based GeoDetector and Machine Learning Cluster: A Case of Xiaojin County, China

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 93
Author(s):  
Wei Xie ◽  
Xiaoshuang Li ◽  
Wenbin Jian ◽  
Yang Yang ◽  
Hongwei Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Hybrid Method ◽  
Roc Curve ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Area Index

Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) could be an effective way to prevent landslide hazards and mitigate losses. The choice of conditional factors is crucial to the results of LSM, and the selection of models also plays an important role. In this study, a hybrid method including GeoDetector and machine learning cluster was developed to provide a new perspective on how to address these two issues. We defined redundant factors by quantitatively analyzing the single impact and interactive impact of the factors, which was analyzed by GeoDetector, the effect of this step was examined using mean absolute error (MAE). The machine learning cluster contains four models (artificial neural network (ANN), Bayesian network (BN), logistic regression (LR), and support vector machines (SVM)) and automatically selects the best one for generating LSM. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, prediction accuracy, and the seed cell area index (SCAI) methods were used to evaluate these methods. The results show that the SVM model had the best performance in the machine learning cluster with the area under the ROC curve of 0.928 and with an accuracy of 83.86%. Therefore, SVM was chosen as the assessment model to map the landslide susceptibility of the study area. The landslide susceptibility map demonstrated fit with landslide inventory, indicated the hybrid method is effective in screening landslide influences and assessing landslide susceptibility.

scholarly journals Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Different GIS-Based Bivariate Models

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 1402 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nohani ◽  
Moharrami ◽  
Sharafi ◽  
Khosravi ◽  
Pradhan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Aerial Photographs ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Conditioning Factors ◽  
Bivariate Models

Landslides are the most frequent phenomenon in the northern part of Iran, which cause considerable financial and life damages every year. One of the most widely used approaches to reduce these damages is preparing a landslide susceptibility map (LSM) using suitable methods and selecting the proper conditioning factors. The current study is aimed at comparing four bivariate models, namely the frequency ratio (FR), Shannon entropy (SE), weights of evidence (WoE), and evidential belief function (EBF), for a LSM of Klijanrestagh Watershed, Iran. Firstly, 109 locations of landslides were obtained from field surveys and interpretation of aerial photographs. Then, the locations were categorized into two groups of 70% (74 locations) and 30% (35 locations), randomly, for modeling and validation processes, respectively. Then, 10 conditioning factors of slope aspect, curvature, elevation, distance from fault, lithology, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), distance from the river, distance from the road, the slope angle, and land use were determined to construct the spatial database. From the results of multicollinearity, it was concluded that no collinearity existed between the 10 considered conditioning factors in the occurrence of landslides. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC) were used for validation of the four achieved LSMs. The AUC results introduced the success rates of 0.8, 0.86, 0.84, and 0.85 for EBF, WoE, SE, and FR, respectively. Also, they indicated that the rates of prediction were 0.84, 0.83, 0.82, and 0.79 for WoE, FR, SE, and EBF, respectively. Therefore, the WoE model, having the highest AUC, was the most accurate method among the four implemented methods in identifying the regions at risk of future landslides in the study area. The outcomes of this research are useful and essential for the government, planners, decision makers, researchers, and general land-use planners in the study area.

scholarly journals Landslide Susceptibility Mapping for the Muchuan County (China): A Comparison Between Bivariate Statistical Models (WoE, EBF, and IoE) and Their Ensembles with Logistic Regression

Symmetry ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 762 ◽  
Author(s):  
Renwei Li ◽  
Nianqin Wang
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Statistical Models ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Aerial Photographs ◽  
Weight Of Evidence ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index

The main purpose of this study is to apply three bivariate statistical models, namely weight of evidence (WoE), evidence belief function (EBF) and index of entropy (IoE), and their ensembles with logistic regression (LR) for landslide susceptibility mapping in Muchuan County, China. First, a landslide inventory map contained 279 landslides was obtained through the field investigation and interpretation of aerial photographs. Next, the landslides were randomly divided into two parts for training and validation with the ratio of 70/30. In addition, according to the regional geological environment characteristics, twelve landslide conditioning factors were selected, including altitude, plan curvature, profile curvature, slope angle, distance to roads, distance to rivers, topographic wetness index (TWI), normalized different vegetation index (NDVI), land use, soil, and lithology. Subsequently, the landslide susceptibility mapping was carried out by the above models. Eventually, the accuracy of this research was validated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the results indicated that the landslide susceptibility map produced by EBF-LR model has the highest accuracy (0.826), followed by IoE-LR model (0.825), WoE-LR model (0.792), EBF model (0.791), IoE model (0.778), and WoE model (0.753). The results of this study can provide references of landslide prevention and land use planning for local government.

Landslide Susceptibility Mapping and Model Performance Assessment

2013 ◽  
Vol 353-356 ◽  
pp. 3487-3493 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chen Chao Xiao ◽  
Yuan Tian ◽  
Kang Ping Si ◽  
Ting Li
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Performance Assessment ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Susceptibility Maps ◽  
Overall Performance ◽  
Better Than

In this paper landslide susceptibility mapping and model performance assessment was conducted using three models, logistic regression, GAM, and SVM, in a study area in Shenzhen, China. Ten factors, slope angle, aspect, elevation, plan and profile curvature of the slope, lithology, NDVI, building density, the distance to the river, and the distance to the fault were selected as influencing factors for the landslide occurrences. All three models were trained and the resulting susceptibility maps were created. The performances of the three models were then assessed by AUC values through a 10-fold cross-validation. It could be concluded that in the study area GAM had the best overall performance among the three models, while SVM was better than logistic regression. Based on the derived DPR values, the optimum thresholds between stable areas and risky areas for all three models were also determined.

Application of Airborne LiDAR-Derived Parameters and Probabilistic-Based Frequency Ratio Model in Landslide Susceptibility Mapping

2012 ◽  
Vol 225 ◽  
pp. 442-447 ◽  
Author(s):  
Biswajeet Pradhan ◽  
Zulkiflee Abd. Latif ◽  
Siti Nur Afiqah Aman
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Frequency Ratio ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Airborne Lidar ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Ratio Model ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Map ◽  
Frequency Ratio Model

The escalating number of occurrences of natural hazards such as landslides has raised a great interest among the geoscientists. Due to the extremely high number of point’s returns, airborne LiDAR permits the formation of more accurate DEM compared to other space borne and airborne remote sensing techniques. This study aims to assess the capability of LiDAR derived parameters in landslide susceptibility mapping. Due to frequent occurrence of landslides, Ulu Klang in Selangor state in Malaysia has been considered as application site. A high resolution of airborne LiDAR DEM was constructed to produce topographic attributes such as slope, curvature and aspect. These data were utilized to derive secondary deliverables of landslide parameters such as topographic wetness index (TWI), surface area ratio (SAR) and stream power index (SPI). A probabilistic based frequency ratio model was applied to establish the spatial relationship between the landslide locations and each landslide related factors. Subsequently, factor ratings were summed up to yield Landslide Susceptibility Index (LSI) and finally a landslide susceptibility map was prepared. To test the model performance, receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve was carried out together with area under curve (AUC) analysis. The produced landslide susceptibility map demonstrated that high resolution airborne LiDAR data has huge potential in landslide susceptibility mapping.

scholarly journals Landslide Susceptibility Mapping using Bivariate Statistical Models and GIS in Chattagram District, Bangladesh

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. Sharafat Chowdhury ◽  
Bibi Hafsa
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Models ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Information Value ◽  
Weight Of Evidence ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index ◽  
Conditioning Factors

Abstract This study attempts to produce Landslide Susceptibility Map for Chattagram District of Bangladesh by using five GIS based bivariate statistical models, namely the Frequency Ratio (FR), Shanon’s Entropy (SE), Weight of Evidence (WofE), Information Value (IV) and Certainty Factor (CF). A secondary landslide inventory database was used to correlate the previous landslides with the landslide conditioning factors. Sixteen landslide conditioning factors of Slope Aspect, Slope Angle, Geology, Elevation, Plan Curvature, Profile Curvature, General Curvature, Topographic Wetness Index, Stream Power Index, Sediment Transport Index, Topographic Roughness Index, Distance to Stream, Distance to Anticline, Distance to Fault, Distance to Road and NDVI were used. The Area Under Curve (AUC) was used for validation of the LSMs. The predictive rate of AUC for FR, SE, WofE, IV and CF were 76.11%, 70.11%, 78.93%, 76.57% and 80.43% respectively. CF model indicates 15.04% of areas are highly susceptible to landslide. All the models showed that the high elevated areas are more susceptible to landslide where the low-lying river basin areas have a low probability of landslide occurrence. The findings of this research will contribute to land use planning, management and hazard mitigation of the CHT region.

scholarly journals GIS based Landslides Susceptibility Mapping using Probabilistic Certainty Factor for Hazard Zonation in Mandakini Valley

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 398-404
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Catchment Area ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Hazard Zonation ◽  
Certainty Factor ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Map ◽  
Risk Zonation

Landslides are highly threatening a phenomenon which is very common in hilly region and mountainous regions. These landslides trigger major risks leading to heavy losses in terms of life and property. Many studies were conducted globally to determine Landslide vulnerability of different locations. In order to assess vulnerability, there were few studies around Landslides Susceptibility mapping also whose main objective is to identify high-risk vulnerable areas, there by applying measure to reduce the damage caused, if it were to happen in near future. In literature, there are many methods available for predictive susceptibility mapping of landslides. However, identification of any of the prevalent method for a specific area require utmost care and prudence because land sliding is a result of complex geo-environmental spatial factors. Mandakini valley is highly ruggedized terrain with intensive rains during monsoon season. As a result, Landslides are very common in the Mandakini River valley and its catchment area. These landslides cause severe damage to human settlements and infrastructure present in this area. In this study, we have used certainty factor method in order to generate landslide susceptibility map for the catchment area of Mandakini river. Certainty factor approach is a bi-variate probabilistic method which uses Geo-environmental parameters like elevation, slope, aspect, rainfall distance away from river, soil characteristics etc. to generate landslide susceptibility map. A Script was developed in ArcPy - a python package to design tools for generating susceptibility map. These tools can run both at desktop level and at server level and generate results in an integrated way. Esri ArcMap 10.7 is used in order to generate required data layers and thematic maps. Overall, this paper leverages GIS technology and its tools to performs Landslide Susceptibility Mapping using Probabilistic Certainty Factor and generate Hazard Zonation of Mandakini Valley using an automated script for generating Landslide Susceptibility Mapping and Hazard Risk Zonation. It was found that out of 696, total 136 villages are under high risk of landsides, total 329 villages are under moderate risks and around 231 villages are under low risk zonation impacting lives of approx. 216166 people. Also, it is worth mentioning that a GIS based script was developed to automate generation of Landslide Susceptibility Maps which can be used where the same geological and topographical feature prevails.

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