scholarly journals Augmentation and Use of WRF-Hydro to Simulate Overland Flow- and Streamflow-Generated Debris Flow Hazards in Burn Scars

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chuxuan Li ◽  
Alexander L. Handwerger ◽  
Jiali Wang ◽  
Wei Yu ◽  
Xiang Li ◽  
...  

Abstract. In steep wildfire-burned terrains, intense rainfall can produce large volumes of runoff that can trigger highly destructive debris flows. The ability to accurately characterize and forecast debris-flow hazards in burned terrains, however, remains limited. Here, we augment the Weather Research and Forecasting Hydrological modeling system (WRF-Hydro) to simulate both overland and channelized flows and assess postfire debris-flow hazards over a regional domain. We perform hindcast simulations using high-resolution weather radar-derived precipitation and reanalysis data to drive non-burned baseline and burn scar sensitivity experiments. Our simulations focus on January 2021 when an atmospheric river triggered numerous debris flows within a wildfire burn scar in Big Sur – one of which destroyed California’s famous Highway 1. Compared to the baseline, our burn scar simulation yields dramatic increases in total and peak discharge, and shorter lags between rainfall onset and peak discharge. At Rat Creek, where Highway 1 was destroyed, discharge volume increases eight-fold and peak discharge triples relative to the baseline. For all catchments within the burn scar, we find that the median catchment-area normalized discharge volume increases nine-fold after incorporating burn scar characteristics, while the 95th percentile volume increases 13-fold. Catchments with anomalously high hazard levels correspond well with post-event debris flow observations. Our results demonstrate that WRF-Hydro provides a compelling new physics-based tool to investigate and potentially forecast postfire hydrologic hazards at regional scales.

Water ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 950 ◽  
Author(s):  
Theo van Asch ◽  
Bin Yu ◽  
Wei Hu

Many studies which try to analyze conditions for debris flow development ignore the type of initiation. Therefore, this paper deals with the following questions: What type of hydro-mechanical triggering mechanisms for debris flows can we distinguish in upstream channels of debris flow prone gullies? Which are the main parameters controlling the type and temporal sequence of these triggering processes, and what is their influence on the meteorological thresholds for debris flow initiation? A series of laboratory experiments were carried out in a flume 8 m long and with a width of 0.3 m to detect the conditions for different types of triggering mechanisms. The flume experiments show a sequence of hydrological processes triggering debris flows, namely erosion and transport by intensive overland flow and by infiltrating water causing failure of channel bed material. On the basis of these experiments, an integrated hydro-mechanical model was developed, which describes Hortonian and saturation overland flow, maximum sediment transport, through flow and failure of bed material. The model was calibrated and validated using process indicator values measured during the experiments in the flume. Virtual model simulations carried out in a schematic hypothetical source area of a catchment show that slope angle and hydraulic conductivity of the bed material determine the type and sequence of these triggering processes. It was also clearly demonstrated that the type of hydrological triggering process and the influencing geometrical and hydro-mechanical parameters may have a great influence on rainfall intensity-duration threshold curves for the start of debris flows.


2013 ◽  
Vol 52 (7) ◽  
pp. 1554-1560 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrea Toreti ◽  
Michelle Schneuwly-Bollschweiler ◽  
Markus Stoffel ◽  
Jürg Luterbacher

AbstractThis article addresses the role of large-scale circulation and thermodynamical features in the release of past debris flows in the Swiss Alps by using classification algorithms, potential instability, and convective time scale. The study is based on a uniquely dense dendrogeomorphic time series of debris flows covering the period 1872–2008, reanalysis data, instrumental time series, and gridded hourly precipitation series (1992–2006) over the area. Results highlight the crucial role of synoptic and mesoscale forcing as well as of convective equilibrium on triggering rainfalls. Two midtropospheric synoptic patterns favor anomalous southwesterly flow toward the area and high potential instability. These findings imply a certain degree of predictability of debris-flow events and can therefore be used to improve existing alert systems.


2017 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 291-298
Author(s):  
Holly Brunkal ◽  
Paul Santi

Abstract Compilation of a database of debris-flow peak discharges (Q) allowed for a comparison with the expected basin discharge, as computed using the rational equation, Q=CIA. The observed values of Q for debris flows in unburned and burned areas were divided by the computed Q values of runoff using the rational method. This ratio is the bulking factor for that debris-flow event. Unburned and burned basins constitute two distinct populations; analysis shows that the bulking factors for burned areas are consistently higher than those for unburned basins. Previously published bulking factors for unburned areas fit the data set in about 50 percent of the observed cases in our compiled data set. Bulking factors for burned areas that were found in the published literature were well below the observed increases in peak discharge in over 50 percent of the cases investigated. If used for design purposes, these bulking factors would result in a significant underestimation of the peak discharge from a burned basin for the given rainfall intensity. Peak discharge bulking rates were found to be inversely related to basin area.


Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 1256 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xing-Long Gong ◽  
Kun-Ting Chen ◽  
Xiao-Qing Chen ◽  
Yong You ◽  
Jian-Gang Chen ◽  
...  

On 8 August 2017, an Ms 7.0 earthquake struck Jiuzhaigou Valley, triggering abundant landslides and providing a huge source of material for potential debris flows. After the earthquake debris flows were triggered by heavy rainfall, causing traffic disruption and serious property losses. This study aims to describe the debris flow events in Zechawa Gully, calculate the peak discharges of the debris flows, characterize the debris flow disasters, propose mitigation countermeasures to control these disasters and analyse the effectiveness of countermeasures that were implemented in May 2019. The results showed the following: (1) The frequency of the debris flows in Zechawa Gully with small- and medium-scale will increase due to the influence of the Ms 7.0 Jiuzhaigou earthquake. (2) An accurate debris flow peak discharge can be obtained by comparing the calculated results of four different methods. (3) The failure of a check dam in the channel had an amplification effect on the peak discharge, resulting in a destructive debris flow event on 4 August 2016. Due to the disaster risk posed by dam failure, both blocking and deposit stopping measures should be adopted for debris flow mitigation. (4) Optimized engineering countermeasures with blocking and deposit stopping measures were proposed and implemented in May 2019 based on the debris flow disaster characteristics of Zechawa Gully, and the reconstructed engineering projects were effective in controlling a post-earthquake debris flow disaster on 21 June 2019.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Victor Carvalho Cabral ◽  
Fábio Augusto Gomes Vieira Reis ◽  
Fernando Mazo D’Affonseca ◽  
Ana Lucía ◽  
Claudia Vanessa dos Santos Corrêa ◽  
...  

AbstractDebris flows represent great hazard to humans due to their high destructive power. Understanding their hydrogeomorphic dynamics is fundamental in hazard assessment studies, especially in subtropical and tropical regions where debris flows have scarcely been studied when compared to other mass-wasting processes. Thus, this study aims at systematically analyzing the meteorological and geomorphological factors that characterize a landslide-triggered debris flow at the Pedra Branca catchment (Serra do Mar, Brazil), to quantify the debris flow’s magnitude, peak discharge and velocity. A magnitude comparison with empirical equations (Italian Alps, Taiwan, Serra do Mar) is also conducted. The meteorological analysis is based on satellite data and rain gauge measurements, while the geomorphological characterization is based on terrestrial and aerial investigations, with high spatial resolution. The results indicate that it was a large-sized stony debris flow, with a total magnitude of 120,195 m3, a peak discharge of 2146.7 m3 s−1 and a peak velocity of 26.5 m s−1. The debris flow was triggered by a 188-mm rainfall in 3 h (maximum intensity of 128 mm h−1), with an estimated return period of 15 to 20 years, which, combined with the intense accumulation of on-channel debris (ca. 37,000 m3), indicates that new high-magnitude debris flows in the catchment and the region are likely to occur within the next two decades. The knowledge of the potential frequency and magnitude (F–M) can support the creation of F–M relationships for Serra do Mar, a prerequisite for reliable hazard management and monitoring programs.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas Schimmel ◽  
Matteo Cesca ◽  
Pierpaolo Macconi ◽  
Velio Coviello ◽  
Francesco Comiti

<p>With the rapid socio-economic development of European mountain areas, the automatic detection and identification of mass movements like landslides, debris flows, and avalanches become more and more important to mitigate related risks by means of early warning systems. Past studies showed that such processes induce characteristic seismic and acoustic signals, the latter mostly in the infrasonic spectrum which can thus be used for event detection. Several investigations have already addressed signal processing and detection methods based on seismic or infrasound sensors. However, for developing an efficient warning system, not only the detection of events is important but also the identification of the event type (e.g. debris flow vs debris flood) and the estimation of its magnitude. So far, no method for such objectives has been developed which is based on the combination of both seismic and infrasonic signals.</p><p>This work presents a first approach to identify debris flows and debris floods magnitude based on the integration of infrasound and seismic data. First analysis shows that, for peak discharge, the use of infrasound amplitudes with a power curve fitting offers a good approach for finding an initial relationship between the recorded signals and this event parameter. For an estimation of the total volume, the discharge calculated with the relationship for peak discharge is integrated over the entire detection time of an event. Calculation of the peak discharge based on infrasound data offers a good approximation, but, for the calculation of the total volume, this method shows still a wide variance.</p><p>The method will be applied to seismic and infrasound data collected on three different test sites in the Alps: Gadria (South Tyrol, Italy), Lattenbach (Tyrol, Austria), and Cancia (Belluno, Italy).</p>


Author(s):  
Francis K. Rengers

Wildfire has been a constant presence on the Earth since at least the Silurian period, and is a landscape-scale catalyst that results in a step-change perturbation for hydrologic systems, which ripples across burned terrain, shaping the geomorphic legacy of watersheds. Specifically, wildfire alters two key landscape properties: (1) overland flow, and (2) soil erodibility. Overland flow and soil erodibility have both been seen to increase after wildfires, resulting in order-of-magnitude increases in erosion rates during rainstorms with relatively frequent recurrence intervals. On short timescales, wildfire increases erosion and leads to natural hazards that are costly and threatening to society. Over longer timescales, wildfire-induced erosion can account for the majority of total denudation in certain settings with long-term implications for landscape evolution. There is a special focus on debris flows in this document because they are the most destructive geomorphic processes observed to follow wildfires after high severity burns. To date, research on post-wildfire debris flows has focused on: the provenance of sediment moved in debris flows, the hydrologic and soil properties required to produce debris flows, and debris flow initiation mechanisms. Herein we highlight the relevant research articles showing the current state of progress in debris flow research as well as pointing to the fundamental research on post-wildfire hydrology and erosion necessary for understanding how water and sediment behave after wildfires.


2005 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 211-215 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Galgaro ◽  
P. R. Tecca ◽  
R. Genevois ◽  
A. M. Deganutti

Abstract. Monitoring of debris flows aimed to the assessment of their physical parameters is very important both for theoretical and practical purposes. Peak discharge and total volume of debris flows are crucial for designing effective countermeasures in many populated mountain areas where losses of lives and property damage could be avoided. This study quantifies the relationship between flow depth, acoustic amplitude of debris flow induced ground vibrations and front velocity in the experimental catchment of Acquabona, Eastern Dolomites, Italy. The analysis of data brought about the results described in the following. Debris flow depth and amplitude of the flow-induced ground vibrations show a good positive correlation. Estimation of both mean front velocity and peak discharge can be simply obtained monitoring the ground vibrations, through geophones installed close to the flow channel; the total volume of debris flow can be so directly estimated from the integral of the ground vibrations using a regression line. The application of acoustic technique to debris flow monitoring seems to be of the outmost relevance in risk reduction policies and in the correct management of the territory. Moreover this estimation is possible in other catchments producing debris flows of similar characteristics by means of their acoustic characterisation through quick and simple field tests (Standard Penetration Tests and seismic refraction surveys).


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marc-Henri Derron ◽  
Valérie Baumann ◽  
Tiggi Choanji ◽  
François Noël ◽  
Ludovic Baron ◽  
...  

<p>Debris flows triggered by heavy rain are common and can cause huge damages in Alpine valleys. In this case we documented the changes occurred in the Losentsé valley after the 11 August 2019 event, which caused two death and several damages to the village of Chamoson. The Chamoson basin is located in the Alps on the right side of the Rhône valley. Three main rivers drain the Chamoson basin, the Losentsé, the Cry and the Tsené. The main debris flow event occurred in the Losentsé sub-basin. The Losentsé River is 9 km long from the sources at 3000 m until the alluvial cone apex at 600 m. In the upper part of the Chamoson basin thick loose debris cones and glacial deposits lie on steep slopes, the geology of the middle basin is formed by unstable clayey shales with several active landslides on both lateral valley slopes.</p><p>The village of Chamoson is located on the huge alluvial cone built with torrential events from the three main rivers. Since the XIX century, several big debris flow events (1898, 1923, 2003, 2018) were recorded in this area and mitigation measures were built in the principal rivers. Unfortunately, the 2019 debris flows overflowed the channels limit when the flows reached the alluvial cone apex, reaching the road and took a car with 2 persons inside. Upstream in the middle basin 2 wood bridges were destroyed and many concrete or stone walls (mitigation measures) along the river were damaged.</p><p>After the event we acquired pictures with a drone from the sources area and the Losentsé river valley in order to have a post event image. With this image we could analyse and map the source areas and the inundated areas in the Losentsé channel. We did also field observation along the river.</p><p>After comparing the pre- and post-event images we mapped the middle and upper basin inundated areas by the 2019 event and the described the deposits and eroded sections along the river. We calculated the peak discharge of 1000 m<sup>3</sup>/s for this event using the inundated transversal profile area near the cone apex and the flow velocity obtained from a movie. The peak discharge corresponds to 4 in the size classification for debris flows (Jacob et al., 2005).</p><p>Reference:</p><p>Jakob, M. (2005). A size classification for debris flows. Engineering geology, 79(3-4), 151-161.</p>


Author(s):  
Jean Maikon Santos Oliveira ◽  
Marcio Ricardo Salla

Fire significantly affects hydrological processes in the watershed because it changes land cover and it creates a double layer of hydrophobic soil covered with ash, increasing the surface runoff and the production of debris flow in the basin. Assessing the impacts of fire on overland flow requires the use of modeling softwares capable of simulating post-fire discharge. Because a total of 760 wildfires were detected in the Upper Uberabinha River subbasin in the last nine years, it is of dire importance to understand the consequential impacts of fire on hydrological processes in this basin. In this study, the HEC-HMS model was used to evaluate post-fire discharge in the Upper Uberabinha River watershed. Model was previously calibrated and validated using two representative storms observed in the wet season. After calibration, the 5-, 10-, 25-, 50-, 100-, and 200-year storms were simulated in scenarios with increasing burn severity. The calibrated model performed well in the prediction of discharge values at a daily basis (0% difference in peak timing; 0% difference in peak flow; 31.8% BIAS). Peak flow and discharge volume increased and peak timing shifted to the left as severity of burn increased. The highest increment in peak discharge was 74.7% for the 10-year storm, whereas overall discharge volume raised in up to 31.9% for the 50-year storm, both after simulation in the most fire-impacted scenario. The results reveal that fire highly affects hydrological characteristics, e.g. peak timing and flow and discharge volume, in the Upper Uberabinha River watershed. The authors suggest further investigations concerning the impacts of wildfire on other processes, such as the production of debris flow in the basin.


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