scholarly journals Expert modelling of a geological cross-section from boreholes: sources of uncertainty and their quantification

2014 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 1687-1721
Author(s):  
R. M. Lark ◽  
S. Thorpe ◽  
H. Kessler ◽  
S. J. Mathers

Abstract. We conducted a designed experiment to quantify sources of uncertainty in the expert interpretation of a geological cross-section. A group of 28 geologists participated in the experiment. Each interpreted borehole records which included three Palaeogene bedrock units, including the target unit for the experiment: the London Clay. The set of boreholes was divided into batches from which validation boreholes had been withheld; as a result we obtained 129 point comparisons between the interpreted elevation of the base of the London Clay and its observed elevation in a borehole not used for that particular interpretation. Analysis of the results showed good general agreement between the observed and interpreted elevations, with no evidence of systematic bias. Between-site variation of the interpretation error was spatially correlated, and the variance appeared to be stationary. The between-geologist component of variance was smaller overall, and depended on distance to the nearest borehole. There was also evidence that the between-geologist variance depends on the degree of experience of the individual. We used the statistical model of interpretation error to compute confidence intervals for any one interpretation of the base of the London Clay on the cross-section, and to provide uncertainty measures for decision support in a hypothetical route-planning process. The statistical model could also be used to quantify error-propagation in a full 3-D geological model produced from interpreted cross sections.

Solid Earth ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 1189-1203 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. M. Lark ◽  
S. Thorpe ◽  
H. Kessler ◽  
S. J. Mathers

Abstract. We conducted a designed experiment to quantify sources of uncertainty in geologists' interpretations of a geological cross section. A group of 28 geologists participated in the experiment. Each interpreted borehole record included up to three Palaeogene bedrock units, including the target unit for the experiment: the London Clay. The set of boreholes was divided into batches from which validation boreholes had been withheld; as a result, we obtained 129 point comparisons between the interpreted elevation of the base of the London Clay and its observed elevation in a borehole not used for that particular interpretation. Analysis of the results showed good general agreement between the observed and interpreted elevations, with no evidence of systematic bias. Between-site variation of the interpretation error was spatially correlated, and the variance appeared to be stationary. The between-geologist component of variance was smaller overall, and depended on the distance to the nearest borehole. There was also evidence that the between-geologist variance depends on the degree of experience of the individual. We used the statistical model of interpretation error to compute confidence intervals for any one interpretation of the base of the London Clay on the cross section, and to provide uncertainty measures for decision support in a hypothetical route-planning process. The statistical model could also be used to quantify error propagation in a full 3-D geological model produced from interpreted cross sections.


2019 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 165
Author(s):  
C. Tsabaris ◽  
C. T. Papadopoulos ◽  
R. Vlastou ◽  
A. A. Pakou ◽  
P. A. Assimakopoulos ◽  
...  

The 7Li + 11 Β reaction has been studied in the energy range from a little below to about three times the Coulomb barrier by measuring the cross section of the 7- ray transitions in the residual nuclei produced. Statistical compound nucleus calculations have been performed in order to interpret the experimental data as well as to extract cross sections of the individual exit channels. The statistical compound nucleus theory can reproduce rather well the absolute j - ray and the various reaction channel excitation functions.


Materials ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (24) ◽  
pp. 5666
Author(s):  
Miloš Mičian ◽  
Jerzy Winczek ◽  
Marek Gucwa ◽  
Radoslav Koňár ◽  
Miloslav Málek ◽  
...  

In this paper, the experimental investigation results of the bead sequence input on geometry, structure, and hardness of surfaced layers after multi-pass weld surfacing are analyzed. Three S355 steel plates surfaced by GMAW (Gas Metal Arc Welding) were tested with three different combinations of six beads. The geometric, structural, and hardness analysis was carried out in the cross-section of the plates in the middle of the welded layers. The dimensions of padded layers, fusion and heat-affected zone, as well as the individual padded weld were evaluated. On the basis of metallographic samples, qualitative and quantitative structure analysis was performed. Hardness measurements in surfacing welds and heat-affected zones in the tested cross-sections of the surfacing layers were carried out. A comparative analysis of structure and hardness, taking into account the thermal implications of the bead sequence, allowed for the formulation of conclusions. Comparative studies have shown differences in properties between heat-affected zones (HAZ) for individual surfacing sequences. These differences were mainly in the dimensions of the surfacing layers, the share of structural components, as well as the uniformity of hardness distributions. Finally, the most favorable sequence in terms of structure and hardness distribution, maximum hardness, and range of hardness has been indicated.


2020 ◽  
Vol 239 ◽  
pp. 01028
Author(s):  
R. Vlastou ◽  
A. Kalamara ◽  
G. Gkatis ◽  
A. Stamatopoulos ◽  
M. Kokkoris ◽  
...  

Cross sections for the 70,76Ge(n,2n), 72,73Ge(n,p) and 72,74Ge(n, α) reactions have been measured at the 5.5 MV tandem T11/25 Accelerator Laboratory of NCSR Demokritos, using the activation technique. Neutron beams have been produced in the ~16-20 MeV energy region, by means of the 3H(d,n)4He reaction. The maximum flux has been determined to be of the order of 105 n/cm2 s, while the flux variation of the neutron beam was monitored by using a BF3 detector. The cross section has been deduced with respect to the 27Al(n, α)24Na and 93Nb(n,2n)92mNb reference reactions. The contaminations from reactions induced on neighboring Ge isotopes and leading to the same residual nucleus, have been taken into account. After the end of the irradiations, the activity induced by the neutron beams at the targets and reference foils, has been measured by HPGe detectors. Statistical model calculations using the EMPIRE code were performed on the data measured in this work as well as on data reported in literature.


Author(s):  
Stig A. Schack Pedersen ◽  
Peter Gravesen

Glaciodynamic sequence stratigraphy provides a practical model for grouping and classifying complex geological data to aid interpretation of past climatic and environmental development in Quaternary successions. The principles of glaciodynamic sequence stratigraphy are applied here to summarise the complex glacial geological framework of Hvideklint on the island of Møn, south-east Denmark. The framework of the superimposed deformed Hvideklint is presented in a reconstructed geological cross-section of Hvideklint. For the construction of the architecture of the glaciotectonic complex, the interpretation of structures below sea level was based on a detailed new survey of the cliff section combined with construction of successive approximation balanced cross-sections. The new description is supported by drill hole data from the Jupiter database. Where chalk is not glaciotectonically deformed, the constructed depth to the top-chalk-surface is generally located about 30 m below sea level. In Hvideklint, thrust sheets with chalk are exposed 20 m above sea level, and the balanced cross-section constructions indicate that the décollement surface for a Hvideklint glaciotectonic complex is located about 80 m below sea level. Between the décollement level and the top of the complex, two or more thrust-fault flat-levels and connecting ramps add to the complex architecture of Hvideklint.


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elizabeth Passano ◽  
Shahriar Abtahi ◽  
Torfinn Ottesen

Ocean currents may cause vortex induced vibrations (VIV) of deep-water umbilicals. The VIV response may give significant contributions to the total fatigue damage. Good estimations of the VIV response and damage are therefore important for the design of deep-water umbilicals. As VIV response is very sensitive to the structural damping, good response and fatigue estimates will be dependent on good estimates of the damping and that they are included in the VIV response analysis in a consistent way. A complex cross section such as an umbilical or a flexible riser will have two sources of structural damping; damping due to the strain variation in the individual materials that make up the cross sections, and damping due to the different layers slipping against one another. The first may be denoted material damping and is present at all response levels, and will be particularly important at low response levels. The second may be denoted slip damping and will contribute when the curvature exceeds the initial slip curvature. Ideally, accurate data for both the material and the slip damping are available. Unfortunately, this is not always the case and the damping parameters must then be estimated. The material damping may be estimated from the material properties of the various layers in the cross section, taking operating conditions such as temperature into account. The slip damping may be estimated from detailed cross-sectional analyses. As the slip damping is dependent on the curvature, iterations are needed to ensure that the applied damping and the calculated response are consistent with each other. A procedure to include these iterations within a VIV response calculation is proposed. A case study is presented demonstrating the use of the proposed procedure for a deep-water umbilical in a lazy wave configuration. For the case studied, the maximum curvatures caused by VIV are significantly reduced.


2012 ◽  
Vol 472-475 ◽  
pp. 862-868 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Jun Lin ◽  
Dong Sheng Li ◽  
Wen Zhang

At present, the aerostatic guide way is more and more important in the ulta-precision engineering areas, and it is analyzed in this paper. The individual stiffness of the guide, the air film stiffness and the micro-error aroused by the random air vibration of four different bearings, whose cross sections are square, triangular, trapezoid and ∏-shaped, are got one by one. A series of analysis and deductions could draw a conclusion that the aerostatic guide way with ∏-shaped cross section is recommended for obtaining the high machining and measuring accuracy, especially for the horizontal-type use and under low load. In addition, the research in this paper is valuable for the engineers.


Hydrology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 173
Author(s):  
Waldemar Kociuba

This study, which was conducted between 2010 and 2013, presents the results of direct, continuous measurements of the bedload transport rate at the mouth section of the Scott River catchment (NW part of Wedel-Jarlsberg Land, Svalbard). In four consecutive melt seasons, the bedload flux was analyzed at two cross-sections located in the lower reaches of the gravel-bed proglacial river. The transported bedload was measured using two sets of River Bedload Traps (RBTs). Over the course of 130 simultaneous measurement days, a total of 930 bedload samples were collected. During this period, the river discharged about 1.32 t of bedload through cross-section I (XS I), located at the foot of the alluvial fan, and 0.99 t through cross-section II (XS II), located at the river mouth running into the fjord. A comparison of the bedload flux showed a distinctive disproportion between cross-sections. Specifically, the average daily bedload flux QB was 130 kg day−1 (XS I) and 81 kg day−1 (XS II) at the individual cross-profiles. The lower bedload fluxes that were recorded at specified periods in XS II, which closed the catchment at the river mouth from the alluvial cone, indicated an active role of aggradation processes. Approximately 40% of all transported bedload was stored at the alluvial fan, mostly in the active channel zone. However, comparative Geomorphic Change Detection (GCD) analyses of the alluvial fan, which were performed over the period between August 2010 and August 2013, indicated a general lowering of the surface (erosion). It can be assumed that the melt season’s average flows in the active channel zone led to a greater deposition of bedload particles than what was discharged with high intensity during floods (especially the bankfull stage, effectively reshaping the whole surface of the alluvial fan). This study documents that the intensity of bedload flux was determined by the frequency of floods. Notably, the highest daily rates recorded in successive seasons accounted for 12–30% of the total bedload flux. Lastly, the multi-seasonal analysis showed a high spatio-temporal variability of the bedload transport rates, which resulted in changes not only in the channel but also on the entire surface of the alluvial fan morphology during floods.


1998 ◽  
Vol 07 (02) ◽  
pp. 275-285
Author(s):  
S. L. Mintz ◽  
G. M. Gerstner ◽  
M. A. Barnett ◽  
M. Pourkaviani

We calculate the cross sections for the reactions, νe+3 H → e-+3 He , and νμ+3 H → μ-+3 He from threshold to 1 GeV. We obtain typical contributions of the individual form factors as well as the interference terms to the cross sections. We find that the cross sections for these processes are extremely large for a number of reasons, making them worthy of consideration for possible experiments. We also obtain a typical differential cross section and note the presence of sharp minima for high neutrino energies.


2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 3423-3469 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Lampel ◽  
U. Frieß ◽  
U. Platt

Abstract. In remote sensing applications, such as differential optical absorption spectroscopy (DOAS), atmospheric scattering processes need to be considered. After inelastic scattering on N2 and O2 molecules, the scattered photons occur as additional intensity at a different wavelength, effectively leading to filling-in of both solar Fraunhofer lines and absorptions of atmospheric constituents. Measured spectra in passive DOAS applications are typically corrected for rotational Raman scattering (RRS), also called Ring effect, which represents the main contribution to inelastic scattering. In contrast to that, vibrational Raman scattering (VRS) of N2 and O2 has often been thought to be negligible, but also contributes. Consequences of VRS are red-shifted Fraunhofer structures in scattered light spectra and filling-in of Fraunhofer lines, additional to RRS. We describe how to calculate VRS correction spectra in analogy to the Ring spectrum. We discuss further the impact of VRS cross-sections for O2 and N2 on passive DOAS measurements. The relevance of VRS is shown for the first time in spectral evaluations of Multi-Axis DOAS data. This measurement data yields in agreement with calculated scattering cross-sections, that the observed VRS cross-section amounts to 2.2 ± 0.4% of the cross-section of RRS under tropospheric conditions. It is concluded, that this phenomenon has to be included in the spectral evaluation of weak absorbers as it reduces the measurement error significantly and can cause apparent differential optical depth of up to 2.5 × 10−4. Its influence on the spectral retrieval of IO, Glyoxal, water vapour and NO2 in the blue wavelength range is evaluated. For measurements with a large Ring signal a significant and systematic bias of NO2 dSCDs up to (−3.8 ± 0.4) × 1014 molec cm−2 at low elevation angles is observed if this effect is not considered.


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