Melting trends over the Greenland ice sheet (1958-2009) from spaceborne microwave data and regional climate models
Abstract. To study near-surface melt changes over the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) since 1979, melt extent estimates from two regional climate models are compared with those obtained from spaceborne microwave brightness temperatures using two different remote sensing algorithms. Results from the two models are consistent with those obtained with the remote sensing algorithms, at both daily and yearly time scales, encouraging the use of the models for analyzing melting trends before the satellite era (1958–1979), when forcing data is available. Differences between satellite-derived and model-simulated results still occur and are here used to identify (i) biases in the snow models (notably in the albedo parametrization, in the thickness of a snow layer, in the maximum liquid water content within the snowpack and in the snowfall impacting the bare ice appearance in summer) and (ii) limitations in the use of passive microwave data for snowmelt detection at the edge of the ice sheet due to mixed pixel effect (e.g., tundra or rock nearby the ice sheet). Results from models and spaceborne microwave sensors confirm a significant (p-value = 0.01) increase in GrIS surface melting since 1979. Melt extent recorded over the last years (1998, 2003, 2005 and 2007) is unprecedented in the last 50 years with the cumulated melt area in the 2000's being, on the average, twice as that occurring during the 1980's.