A SYSTEMATIC APPROACH TO THE ASSESSMENT OF REGIONAL FORECASTS OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT (ON THE EXAMPLE OF THE EASTERN REGIONS OF RUSSIA)

Author(s):  
B.V. Melentev
2015 ◽  
pp. 94-108 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Krinichansky

The paper identifies and assesses the closeness of the connection between incremental indicators of the financial development in the regions of Russia with the incremental regional GDP and the investment in fixed capital. It is shown that the positioning of the region as an independent participant of public debt market matters: the regional GDP and investment in fixed capital grow more rapidly in the regions which are regularly borrowing on the sub-federal bonds market. The paper also demonstrates that the poorly developed financial system in some regions have caused the imperfection of the growth mechanisms since the economy is not able to use the financial system’s functions.


2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 384-396
Author(s):  
Tatiana N. SKOROBOGATOVA ◽  
Inna Yu. MARAKHOVSKAYA

Subject. This article examines the particularities and problems of children's tourism, and its development in Russia. Objectives. The article aims to highlight the ways of further developing children's tourism in the regions of Russia. Methods. For the study, we used the methods of comparative, structural and functional analyses, synthesis, generalization, and systematization. Results. The article highlights the important features of children's tourism that must be taken into account when delivering a tourist product. Conclusions. Identifying and analyzing the factors of the development of children's tourism, improving infrastructure will ensure the competitiveness of children's tourism, contributing to the socio-economic development of the regions. It is necessary to improve the quality of the tourist product for children.


Author(s):  
Irina N. Titova

Effective implementation of regional policy is impossible without assessing the current environment of the region’s functioning, which is formed under the influence of internal factors. Among the many factors that determine the socio-economic development of the region, we have identified: human potential, innovation potential, investment potential, digitalization of the economy, production potential, quality of life and infrastructure development. Each of the selected factors can be characterized by using a system of statistical indicators. In regional forecasts, internal factors act as control parameters, changing them it is possible to find an opportunity to change the course and direction of socio-economic processes in the region. This explains the necessity and relevance of the study. The purpose of this article is to form a set of indicators to assess the factor load on the socio-economic development of the region and determine its vector. The method of factor analysis on an indicative basis was used for achieving this goal. The importance of factorial analysis lies, first of all, in the fact that its results will make it possible to assess the share of influence of each factor on the “level of socio-economic development of the region” and to develop appropriate tools for managing growth factors. Taking into account the formed system of indicators, an analysis of the Central Black Earth macroregion areas economic development was carried out. The greatest factor load on the socio-economic development of the region is exerted by the innovation potential, production potential and human potential of the region. As a result of the study, a matrix of the regions distribution by the level of socio-economic development was built, reflecting the position of the region in dynamics. During the study period, the Voronezh region occupies a leading position, and the Tambov region is an outsider region. In addition, for each region, growth factors and restrictions on the development of the region were identified, which must be taken into account when building regional forecasts.


Author(s):  
Леонид Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Елена Басовская ◽  
Elena Basovskaya

The model of long-term technical and economic development of industrial and post-industrial economic systems is constructed. The system consists of several subsystems existing simultaneously. Each new subsystem, embodying a new technical and economic mode, provides a higher level of per capita income. The transition to each new stage of technical and economic development — the transition to the predominance, the dominance of the technical and economic paradigm, and the beginning of the spread of a new technical and economic paradigm occurs at the moment when the upward half-wave of the Kondratiev cycle begins to form. To establish the moments of the onset of the upward halfwaves of Kondratiev cycles and the timing of the start of the spread of new techno-economic modes, econometric models of real per capita GDP in developed countries, including a smooth and cyclic (harmonic) component, were constructed. The average duration of the third cycle in these countries was 51.9 years, the fourth cycle — 49.8 years. Because of the construction of econometric models, it was possible to evaluate the productivity of relic, fourth, fifth and sixth technical and economic paradigms in developed countries. The average value of the maximum productivity of the fourth techno-economic mode was 2594 Geri-Hemis $ 1990, the fifth — 12,245 Geri-Hemis $ 1990, the sixth — 25 374 Geri-Hemis $ 1990. The average contribution to the real per capita GDP of relict modes and the fourth mode in the period of its domination was 5004 Geri-Hemis $ 1990, which corresponds to the value of 161,379 rubles. 2008. The excess of this value in Russia provided isdue to the spread of the fifth technical and economic mode. Its significant contribution to the real per capita GDP of the country began to observe since 2001 and by 2015 reached 47%. Modeling the period of the contribution of the fifth paradigm to Russia’s per capita GDP made it possible to predict the transition to its dominance in 2040. The forecast of the transition to the domination of the fifth mode in the regions of Russia is to include this time from 2010 to 2200. Construction of production functions based on data on per capita GRP over the years made it possible to establish that investment in fixed assets and an increase in the share of employed persons with a higher education can accelerate the spread of the fifth techno-economic mode and have received estimates of their effectiveness in the regions of Russia. A feature of the regions in which new modes did not receive proliferation was the low capitalization of new fixed assets and the increased number of employees of territorial bodies of federal executive bodies.


Author(s):  
Tatiana Kanyeva

Relevance of the research topic. The implementation of an effective budget policy for the formation and implementation of the budget in the system of financial and economic relations plays an important role in the process of regulating the socio-economic development of the country. In the conditions of transformational transformations, budget policy is an important tool for the influence of public administration bodies on socio-economic processes. Improving the soundness of fiscal policy requires the application of a systematic approach given the importance of development and coordination of financial and budgetary institutions. Formulation of the problem. The importance of budget policy development in the conditions of transformational transformations is conditioned by the necessity of substantiation of conceptual provisions of coordination of components of financial and budgetary policy taking into account dynamism and cyclicity of economic processes. At the same time, when forming and executing the budget in order to ensure dynamic balance, an important condition is compliance with the principles of transformation, which determine the basic model of ensuring financial and budgetary stability and balance. Analysis of recent research and publications. The issue of budget policy development is quite common in research. These are the works of famous domestic and foreign scientists: J. Keynes, P. Samuelson, J. Stiglitz, S. Kucherenko, L. Lysyak, L. Levaeva, I. Lukyanenko, V. Makogon, M. Pasichny, I. Chugunov and others. Selection of unexplored parts of the general problem. The above issues are relevant in connection with the deepening of the processes of transformation. An important task is to increase the stability of the budget system, which will help create conditions for macroeconomic stability and sustainable economic growth. It is advisable to develop tools for budget regulation. Problem statement, research goals. The objectives of the study are: to reveal the role of budget policy of economic growth, to substantiate the peculiarities of the formation and implementation of budget policy. Carry out an analysis and assessment of the revenue and expenditure side of the state budget. The purpose of the study is to reveal the directions of budget policy in the conditions of transformational transformations. Method or methodology of the study. The article uses a set of research methods: a systematic approach, statistical analysis, structuring, analysis, synthesis, etc. Presentation of the main material (results of work). The role of budget policy of economic growth is revealed, the peculiarities of formation and implementation of budget policy are substantiated. The directions of budget policy in the conditions of transformational transformations are substantiated. Field of application of results. The results of the study can be used in the process of formation and implementation of financial and budgetary policy of Ukraine, reforming the public finance system and its components. Conclusions in accordance with the article. Fiscal policy is an effective tool of macroeconomic regulation, volatility of economic development and dynamism of social processes determines the need to develop new approaches to budget formation and implementation in the system of financial and economic relations in order to strengthen the regulatory financial and budgetary mechanism to stimulate economic growth. It is important to have a mutually agreed combination of components of the financial and budgetary mechanism, which will help optimize the budget architecture and ensure the innovative direction of economic development. The main prerequisites for ensuring a quality level of budget architecture are the effectiveness of approaches to institutional support for the development of the budget environment.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-35
Author(s):  
Iuliia Pinkovetskaia ◽  
Anton Lebedev ◽  
Elena Sverdlikova

Objective. To consider the indicators that characterize purchases for the needs of large corporations with state participation in the regions of Russia. Methodology. The study uses relevant information for 82 regions of Russia. The methodology of the research base on evaluation functions density of normal distribution volumes of contracts on regions. Results. The results of research are calculation of four indicators’ values that demonstrate the regional aspects of procurement for corporate needs, including the contracts signed by small businesses or with their participation. Conclusions. It was proved that averageshare of the contracts with small enterprises is about 20 %; the value of every indicator is significantly varied in different regions of Russia. The article confirms the lack of connection between the values of each indicator and such factors as the level of economic development of regions and their geographical location.


2017 ◽  
pp. 12-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. YU. Ulitskaya ◽  
M. S. Akimova ◽  
T. P. Kokoreva

The article provides analysis of the terminology of areas of advancing socio-economic development, legal support of creation and functioning of areas of advancing socio-economic development. The dynamics of the practical implementation of areas of advancing socio-economic development in the regions of Russia. The analysis highlighted the benefits of creating such zones for the activities of residents and for development of territories as a whole.


Author(s):  
Vladimir I. Golovchenko ◽  

Analysis of the second echelon parties and social associations’ participation in electoral processes within single voting day in September 2020 is presented in the article. An inference is made that as a result of municipal elections in different regions of Russia transformations related to strengthening oppositional forces’ resources have taken place; these transformations can manifest themselves as early as during the State Duma election-2021. Elections have shown that motivation of protest voting “we want reforms” is growing in popularity. It poses risks of orientation not as much on certain programs of political, social, and economic development, but on desire to bring into power new political forces and leaders. As a result, a threat of a “colored revolution” appears when protest actions of opposition (no matter how big its real share in the whole population is), upon the availability of strong diplomatic, financial, and information support of the USA and their allies, may be (as exemplified by events in Belarus) institutionalized by creating coordination councils and boards aimed at achieving the main goal – i.e. to overthrow existing political regime.


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