scholarly journals Relationship of Changes in Central Lampung Economic Structure (Second Decade) Post Reform and Labor and Its Impilcity Toward Community Welfare

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 381-390
Author(s):  
Erna Ermawati Chotim
Keyword(s):  
Economic System ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Economic Structure ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Structure Changes ◽  
The People ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Impact

Indonesia's financial situation is still less balanced between economic structure changes and labor absorption between sectors. Furthermore, it will have an impact on the welfare of the people in Indonesia. This study aims to 1) analyze the effect of changes in the economic structure on the structure of labor absorption and the welfare of the people in Indonesia, 2) to examine the impact of changes in the form of labor absorption on the interest of the people in Indonesia, and 3) to analyze the effect of changes in the economic system on labor absorption structures. Work in Indonesia. This study uses secondary data from Central Lampung Province and time-series data, namely the years 2012-2020. The results showed that the economic structure's variable changes had a negative and significant effect on the form of employment in Central Lampung. Changes in the financial system have no significant impact on the welfare of the people in Indonesia. The structure of work has a positive and significant effect on the people's welfare in Central Lampung. Changes in the economic system have an indirect and consequential negative impact on society's interest through Central Lampung's employment structure.

scholarly journals Analisis Struktur Ekonomi dan Sektor Unggulan Kabupaten Aceh Besar

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-48
Author(s):  
Irwan Safwadi ◽  
Marah Sutan Rangkuti
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Economic Structure ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Economic Sectors ◽  
Resource Potential ◽  
Structure Changes ◽  
Aceh Province

Development policy through the optimization of local resource potential is a need that needs to be prepared in order to encourage the acceleration of regional economic growth. Identify changes in economic structure and determine the leading economic sectors including one of the efforts to accelerate the process of achieving economic growth. This study aims to analyze changes in economic structure and determine the leading economic sectors in Aceh Besar District. The data used is secondary data in the form of time series data (time series) Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) of Aceh Besar Regency based on constant prices and GRDP of Aceh Province based on the constant price of 2012-2016. The analyzer used is Shift-Share. During the last five years, Aceh Besar's economic structure based on Shift-Share was only donated by Aceh Province by 19.60 percent. Furthermore, the industry mix contributed 17.89 percent. The leading economic sectors accounted for 62.50 percent of Aceh Besar economic structure changes. The result of Shift Share analysis shows that most of Aceh Besar Regency's economic sector is one of the leading sectors that grow fast in economy in Aceh Province. Only the electricity and gas procurement sector does not excel in Aceh Besar.

scholarly journals Integration of Indonesian Coffee Markets with World Coffee Markets

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 33
Author(s):  
Haposan Orlando Napitupulu ◽  
Ana Arifatus Sa'diyah ◽  
Farah Mutiara
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Dynamic Equilibrium ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Robusta Coffee ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
Coffee Markets

This study aims to analyze the integration of the Arabica and Robusta coffee markets in Indonesia with world coffee prices. The study uses secondary data in the form of annual time series data during the period 1985 - 2015. The study uses the VECM analysis method. This method explains the relationship of long-term dynamic equilibrium and short-term equilibrium in a system of equations. The analysis shows that Indonesian and world Arabica coffee is not integrated in the long term or the short term. In Robusta coffee VECM estimation analysis shows that there is a significant value at the 10% level in a long-term relationship with a value of 0.08579, which means that there is a short-term relationship between world Robusta coffee prices and domestic Robusta coffee prices in the previous year, but no relationship in the long run.

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA: A DYNAMIC ECONOMETRIC APPROACH

2021 ◽  
pp. 16-40
Author(s):  
Comfort Akinwolere Bukola ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Balance Of Trade ◽  
Econometric Approach ◽  
The Impact

This study examined the impact of exchange rate volatility on economic growth in Nigeria. The study covers the period of 1986 to 2019. Using time series data, the methodology adopted is the Vector Error Correction Mechanism to explore the impact of exchange rate volatility on the selected macroeconomic variables. The result indicated that exchange rate volatility has a significant impact on economic growth, specifically it has a positive impact on inflation, unemployment and balance of trade. On the other hand it has a negative impact on economic growth and investment. The recommendations made include; that relevant authorities should try to avoid systematic currency devaluations in order to maintain exchange rate volatility at a rate that allows adjustment of the balance of payments.

Impact of Fiscal Policy on Agricultural Output in Nigeria

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 1428 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adedoyin Isola LAWAL ◽  
Ernest Onyebuchi FIDELIS ◽  
Abiola Ayoopo BABAJIDE ◽  
Barnabas O. OBASAJU ◽  
Oluwatoyese OYETADE ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Agricultural Output ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of fiscal policy on agricultural output in Nigeria using the most recent official data. The metrics for fiscal policy is government capital expenditure and custom duties on fertilizer. The study used annual time series data obtained from CBN annual statistical bulletin, NCS, and FIRS which was found to be stationary at the order of I(1) and I(0). The order of unit root test led to the use of ARDL estimation method employed in the empirical analysis of this research work. The study found evidence of both short and long run relationship between the variables (VAO, GEX, IDMF, and ACGSF) using both Johansen co-integration and ARDL Bounds test. Although government expenditure (GEX) to agricultural sector was found to be statistically insignificant which recommend that government should increase agriculture capital expenditure to ensure that its contribution is significant. Consequently, custom duties on fertilizer (IDMF) was found to be negatively signed and significant indicating a negative impact on agricultural output. This demands that the policy makers should be prudent in the use of fiscal policy instrument in achieving its desired objective.

Terrorism and Stock Market Linkages: An Empirical Study from a Front-line State

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 365-378 ◽  
Author(s):  
Imtiaz Arif ◽  
Tahir Suleman
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Front Line ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Factor Index ◽  
The Impact

This article investigates the impact of prolonged terrorist activities on stock prices of different sectors listed in the Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) by using the newly developed terrorism impact factor index with lingering effect (TIFL) and monthly time series data from 2002 (January) to 2011 (December). Johansen and Juselius (JJ) cointegration revealed a long-run relationship between terrorism and stock price. Normalized cointegration vectors are used to test the effect of terrorism on stock price. Results demonstrate a significantly mixed positive and negative impact of prolonged terrorism on stock prices of different sectors and show that the market has not become insensitive to the prolonged terrorist attacks.

scholarly journals The Impact of Remittances on Domestic Investment in Developing Countries: Fresh Evidence From the Asia-pacific Region

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 193-211 ◽  
Author(s):  
Le Thanh Tung
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Asia Pacific ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Pacific Region ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Asia Pacific Region ◽  
The Impact

Despite the sharply increasing remittances in developing countries (especially in the AsiaPacific region), the relationship between remittances and domestic investment in recipient countries has not been fluently evidenced. This paper aims to fill the empirical gap in the Asia-Pacific region by investigating the impact of remittances on domestic investment with a sample including nineteen developing countries based on time series data from 1980 to 2015. However, our findings contradict some evidence from other regions. The results robustly confirm that remittances have a negative impact on domestic investment in these countries. Our results also indicate that the annual GDP per capita growth, official development assistance, domestic credit, gross saving, and inflation have a positive impact on domestic investment, however, we conclude that the impact of trade openness on domestic investment has a negative sign in the study period. The paper also provides some policy suggestions with regard to remittance flows in this region.

Moderasi NPF terhadap Intervensi BOPO dan CAR pada Kinerja Keuangan Bank Syariah di Indnesia 2019-2021

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 328-344
Author(s):  
Toha Barizi ◽  
Rifky Fatoni ◽  
Zuni Fitrowati ◽  
Umrotul Khasanah
Keyword(s):  
Financial Services ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Return On Assets ◽  
Operating Income ◽  
Capital Adequacy Ratio ◽  
Considerable Impact ◽  
The Impact

The goal of this research is to look into the impact of Operating Costs on Operating Income (BOPO) and Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) on the Financial Performance of Islamic Commercial Banks, which is measured using one of the profitability ratio indicators, Return on Assets (ROA). This study employs a quantitative approach by employing explanatory research, which tries to examine the theories and hypotheses that exist in this study in order to determine whether they strengthen or weaken earlier theories and hypotheses. The study relied on secondary data, specifically information gathered from the ojk.ac.id website. This research uses monthly time series data from the Financial Services Authority from 2019 to 2021, with a sample size of 26 months. Multiple linear regression and moderated regression analysis were employed in this study's regression model (MRA). The findings of this study revealed that BOPO had a considerable impact on ROA, although CAR had no such impact, and that NPF, as a moderating variable, was able to moderate the impact of BOPO and CAR on ROA.

Phases 1 and 2 of Covid-19 Epidemic in the Three Geographical Areas of Italy: An Estimation of Italian Government Measures Based on a Bayesian Changepoint Detection Method

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Laura Manca ◽  
Francesco Russo ◽  
Vladimir Georgiev ◽  
Stefano Taddei
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Detection Method ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Phase 1 ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Phase 2 ◽  
Slowing Down ◽  
Changepoint Detection ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

Background: Based on data from the Ministry of Health, which highlighted the earlier onset of Covid-19 epidemic in Italy, compared with the Europe, we would like to present a statistical elaboration on the impact of measures taken by the Government, during the phase 1 and the start of phase 2. Methods: After the implementation of a Bayesian changepoint detection method, we looked for a best fit model, based on the first part of time series data, in order to observe the progress of the data in the presence and absence of the restriction measures introduced. Results: Both the implementation of changepoint detection method and the analysis of the curves showed that the decree that marked the start of lockdown has had the effect of slowing down the epidemic by allowing thestart of a plateau between 21 and 25 March. Moreover, the decree that decided the beginning of phase 2 on 4 May did not have a negative impact. Conclusion: This statistical analysis supports the hypothesis that stringent measures decreased hospitalization, thanks to a slowing down in the evolution of the epidemic compared with what was expected.  

scholarly journals Impacts of climate change on agricultural production in Nepal: Case of Kavre and Jumla districts

2014 ◽  
Vol 2 ◽  
pp. 43-50
Author(s):  
K.S. Pandey ◽  
H. Shrestha ◽  
L.P. Devkota
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Agricultural Production ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Wheat Yield ◽  
Series Data ◽  
National Bureau ◽  
Specific Objective ◽  
Analytical Tools ◽  
The Impact

The study the analyzed relationship of climate change with agricultural production in Kavre and Jumla districts. The specific objective of the study was to find out the dimension and linkage between agricultural production and climatic parameters in Kavre and Jumla. Time series data were analysed for the study. The data was sourced from the Department of Hydrology Meteorology, Department of Agriculture, and National Bureau of Statistics. Descriptive statistics, linear analysis test and back ward difference filter were the analytical tools used to determine the impact of climate change on productivity. During harvest period, the correlation of rice yield with temperature and rainfall was negative at Kavre but positive at Jumla. Similarly, the correlation of wheat yield with temperature and rainfall was positive at Kavre but negative at Jumla. The result showed that extreme fluctuation in weather caused negative impact on production in Jumla in compared to Kavre districts.

scholarly journals Remittance Inflows and Poverty Dynamics in South Africa: An Empirical Investigation

SAGE Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 215824402098331
Author(s):  
Mercy. T. Musakwa ◽  
N. M. Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Infant Mortality ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Household Consumption ◽  
Infant Mortality Rate ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Consumption Expenditure ◽  
The Impact

In this study, we investigate the impact of remittance inflows on poverty reduction in South Africa, using time series data from 1980 to 2017. The main objective of this study is to establish whether South Africa can harness remittance inflows to alleviate poverty. Two poverty proxies, namely household consumption expenditure and infant mortality rate, are used in this study. To ensure robustness of the results, both income and non-income proxies of poverty are employed. Using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds approach, the study found that remittance has a negative impact on poverty in the short run and in the long run when household consumption expenditure is used as a proxy for poverty. However, when the infant mortality rate is used as a proxy, remittance is found to have no impact on poverty. It can be concluded that the impact of remittance on poverty is sensitive to the proxy used. The study concludes that South Africa could benefit immensely from some forms of remittances in its quest to poverty alleviation.

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