Statistical Modelling Of HIV/Aids Epidemic In The North Central Zone Of Nigeria

10.5580/6a6 ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. 15-21

The change in our ecosystem today has creates a lot social challenges. Climate change which is one of the major causes of ecological change is attributed to both the nature and human causes. The issue has resulted in many soft security issues such as health related security issue, food security issue and socio-economic issue. This study examines how ecological change has affected health security of the people in the study area. The study use a sample of three states in the North central zone of Nigeria. The study uses an observation of 385 and the data collected were analyses using Kendell tau test of concordance. The study has found that ecological changes have significant effect on health security in the study area. The study notes that ecological change increase vulnerability to diseases such as malaria, typhoid and zoonosis. These happening thus creates health related issues in the affected areas. On the basis of the finding, it is recommended people in the affect areas should need to be health cautious by treating their drinking water and using anti-mosquitos nets and to equally avoid contact with unfamiliar animals. Keywords: Ecological change, health security and test of concordance


2007 ◽  
Vol 28 (2_suppl2) ◽  
pp. S331-S338 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cynthia Donovan ◽  
Jaquelino Massingue

Background As the public sector and civil society develop intervention programs to deal with the HIV/ AIDS epidemic, there has been an increasing emphasis on the relationship between nutrition and the disease. Drug interventions may be ineffective, and the progression from HIV infection to full-blown AIDS may be accelerated without adequate nutrition. Mozambique is still fighting an increasing prevalence rate of HIV, including in rural areas. Rural households in Mozambique rely heavily on their own agricultural production for the basic macronutrients. Objectives To evaluate the extent to which household agricultural production of basic staples meets overall household needs for major macronutrients, comparing households affected and not directly affected by HIV/ AIDS and other major illnesses over two time periods. Methods This research analyzes nationally representative panel data from rural household surveys conducted in 2002 and 2005 to evaluate whether households that have suffered the chronic illness or illness-related death of prime-age adult members (15 to 49 years of age) are more vulnerable to macronutrient gaps. Results Households in the South and in the North with a male illness or death in 2002 produced significantly less macronutrients from crops in 2005 than nonaffected households. These households also had significantly lower income per adult equivalent. Conclusions Mortality or illness from HIV/AIDS affects the ability of agricultural households dependent on own-food production to produce macronutrients. Interventions to improve access to food may be needed for affected households, particularly in light of their inability to recover over time. More analysis is needed to understand income sources, crop diversification, and access to macronutrients through the market.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 259 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin David Thumamo Pokam ◽  
Dorothy Yeboah-Manu ◽  
Lovett Lawson ◽  
Prisca Wabo Guemdjom ◽  
Ruth Okonu ◽  
...  

2004 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
EC Otoh ◽  
NW Johnson ◽  
BM Mandong ◽  
IS Danfillo

2012 ◽  
Vol 45 (4) ◽  
pp. 995-1000 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jorge Antonio Varela-Guerrero ◽  
Martin Talavera-Rojas ◽  
Adriana del Carmen Gutiérrez-Castillo ◽  
Nydia Edith Reyes-Rodríguez ◽  
Jesús Vázquez-Guadarrama

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seidu A. Bello ◽  
John A. Adeoye ◽  
Ifeoluwa Oketade ◽  
Oladimeji A. Akadiri

ABSTRACTBackgroundNoma is a spreading and devouring disease which is believed to be native to Sub-Saharan Africa over the last decade due to poverty. Within this noma belt, most epidemiological reports regarding the disease have emanated from the north western region of Nigeria. However, our indigenous surgical mission encountered a substantial number of cases noteworthy of epidemiological representation in north central Nigeria.MethodsAll facial cleft and noma cases encountered within the 8 year study period were included into this study. Estimated incidence of the noma in the zone was calculated using the existing statistical model of Fieger et al (2003), which takes into account the expected differences based on age and location of the two patient groups using the multinomial logistic regression analysis. Period prevalence of noma was also calculated by simple division considering the population at risk of the disease in the zone.FindingsA total of 770 subjects were included in this study (orofacial cleft – 692, noma – 78). The incidence estimate of noma in the north central zone was 3.2 per 1000 with a range of 2.6 – 3.7 per 1000. The period prevalence of noma was1:125,000 children. The median age of noma patients was comparatively higher than the median age of facial cleft patients. The mean age of onset of noma was 5.9 ± 8.08 years which was lower than the average age of individuals in the noma group - 29.6 ± 18.84 years.ConclusionAlthough noma may be more prevalent in the north western region of Nigeria; substantial number of cases is still being encountered in the north central zone which calls for urgent attention of relevant health stakeholders regarding the management and rehabilitation of individuals affected.AUTHOR SUMMARYNoma, a devouring facial disease, is commonly associated with poverty and impoverished regions of the world especially Sub-Saharan Africa which is being termed the noma belt region of the world. Although literature established that noma is indeed a neglected disease, the degree of this neglect in north central Nigeria compared to other sub-regions is in fact alarming, as no report on the disease burden have been published till date. In this light, a retrospective, cross-sectional was conducted to provide epidemiological representation to the cases encountered within an eight year period at the Cleft and Facial Deformity Foundation (CFDF), an indigenous surgical mission. The incidence of noma was estimated from the known incidence of orofacial cleft using an existing multinomial logistic regression model while the period prevalence was calculated considering the population living below poverty line in the sub-region. This study extrapolates an incidence of 3.2 per 1000 and a period prevalence of 0.05 per 1000 persons. Notable is the finding that most individuals with noma were above thirty years of age and suffered varying degree of facial disfigurement resulting from the acute phase of the disease which started in their childhood. Therefore, we advocate public awareness on the disease presentation, risk factors and sequelae in the sub-region and identify the need to bolster the efforts of existing health facilities and indigenous surgical missions in the management and rehabilitation of individuals affected.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (Number 1) ◽  
pp. 21-44
Author(s):  
Akeem Ayofe ‘Akinwale ◽  
Adetunji Oluseyi Shadare ◽  
Mustapha Olanrewaju Aliyu

This study explored the breach of psychological contracts and discretionary behaviour by Nigerian academics. A survey was employed to elicit information from 378 academics that were randomly selected from 7,131 academics in federal universities in the North-Central Nigeria. The results from the hypotheses testing revealed that most of the universities in the North-Central zone did not comply with the psychological contract (as supported by the negative results from statistical estimates and Levene’s t-values). There was a positive correlation between breach of psychological contract and organisational citizenship behaviour (OCB) as well as positive relationship between breach of psychological contract and deviant workplace behaviour (DWB) (r=0.196; p<0.05 and r=0.126; p<0.05, respectively). The breach of psychological contract has influenced academics in different ways showing a tendency for OCB and DWB. Unfortunately, the tendency for DWB outweigh that of OCB. Therefore, academics who uphold OCB despite the perceived BPC should be encouraged to sustain their good behaviour.


1970 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 74-76
Author(s):  
Brijesh Sathian

HIV/AIDS surveillance methods evolve over time, so data from the same source may not be directly comparable year to year. The type of data available and the lag-time in availability, may pose challenges to assessing recent impact. Epidemiological measures of HIV/AIDS are numerous and each has important and distinct definitions. Much of the data are estimates only. Focusing on the epidemiology of HIV/AIDS in Nepal, some studies have been published, but nothing has been done in the area of modelling the course of the infection overtime. Given the observed limitations in the current estimation procedures in Nepal, it is better to examine other modelling approaches for HIV/AIDS epidemic (Curve fitting Method) that could be more suitable and give more accurate estimates for the Nepal epidemic scenario.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3126/nje.v1i3.5568 Nepal Journal of Epidemiology 2011;1(3):74-76


2021 ◽  
pp. 5-13
Author(s):  
Muhammad Ladan ◽  
Oyedum David ◽  
Jibrin Yabagi ◽  
Ndanusa Babakacha ◽  
Mohammed Kimpa ◽  
...  

Tropospheric radio wave signals experience loss due to multipath effect, scattering and other forms of attenuation through the atmospheric medium, primarily due to variations in weather conditions with time. The knowledge of surface refractivity profile is important for optimal planning of Very High Frequency/Ultra High Frequency (VHF/UHF) terrestrial radio links in a region. The study of surface refractivity (Ns) over the North-Central Nigeria was carried out using meteorological data from seven locations in North-Central zone of Nigeria. The seasonal variations of Ns were also derived using the monthly summaries of surface data obtained from Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET) over seven stations of Abuja, Lafia, Lokoja, Makurdi, Jos, Minna and Ilorin between 2005 and 2010.The results indicated that the monthly averages of radio refractivity during the rainy season months (April to October) are greater than the Ns values during the dry season months (November to March) for all the locations throughout the years of the study. The computed of mean monthly Ns over all the seven stations in the first 1 km above the ground level is 348 N-units, which gives mean refractivity gradient (dN/dh) of -49 N/k, these shows that the region is characterised by low scale super-refraction. The mean k-factor over the entire region in the first 1 km above the ground level is 1.4; the mean Field Strength Variability (FSV) in first 1 km of height in the region was calculated to be 14 dB. The mean Radio Horizon distance within 1 km height for a transmitter height of 100 m over the stations is 42 km. The results provide useful information needed by radio engineers to set up new terrestrial radio propagation links or to improve on the existing ones especially at VHF, UHF in the North-Central region of Nigeria, as recommended by International Telecommunication Union Recommendations (ITU-R P.453, 2013), which observed the need for local reference data on refractivity and refractivity gradients all over the world.


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