scholarly journals Decision making scenarios in military transport processes

2018 ◽  
Vol 45 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-81 ◽  
Author(s):  
Radosław Milewski ◽  
Tomasz Smal
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
International System ◽  
Transport Processes ◽  
Lessons Learned ◽  
Military Operations ◽  
Transport Costs ◽  
Logistics System ◽  
Contemporary World ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Cost

The dynamics of change in the contemporary world affect all areas including cross-border material flows. On the one hand, globalization has disseminated thought models and patterns of behavior based on decision patterns, thus bringing logistics to the "templates" of efficient logistics. On the other hand, has imposed and forced the need for continuous changes in the optimization of decision-making processes that are adequate to increasingly complex challenges. The main purpose of this article is to introduce the reader to decision making scenarios taken in military transport processes with particular emphasis to logistics and transport costs. This article is an attempt as well at evaluating decision scenarios in transport processes, determined mainly by the cost criterion. The whole of the considerations relates to the security of transports carried out for the purpose of military operations, that is to say, military security, understood as a safe and reliable implementation of a military operation, which must be preceded by the movement of troops into theater operations. The publication uses the experience of "lessons learned", resulting from the actions of Polish military contingents abroad. The conducted studies and analyzes show that it is possible to model transport taking into consideration the cost of specific cargo mass to areas of peacekeeping operations using services provided by carriers operating on the transport market. This kind of approach will lead in the future to changes in the logistics system without the need to spend a great deal on the purchase or hire of transport resources needed to carry out the transport function at the strategic level. As it was proved, logistics processes that take place in an international system require interpersonal cooperation and consequently appropriate relations and a high level of coordination, which change should be determined by the extent of responsibility.

Conclusion

2020 ◽  
pp. 293-296
Author(s):  
Yuri G. Raydugin
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Lessons Learned ◽  
The Political ◽  
Risk Quantification ◽  
System Dynamics Modelling ◽  
Project Failures ◽  
Dynamics Modelling ◽  
High Level

This chapter provides a high-level overview of concepts, models, and results discussed in this book. It is accentuated that risk quantification used in decision-making can be tagged as ‘political mathematics’. The political aspects are defined by various realizations of bias from strategic misrepresentation to the Hiding Hand principle. It is pointed out that the mathematical aspects may succumb to the similar realizations of bias as political ones. Recommendations to balance the political and mathematical aspects are proposed. A role of the non-linear Monte Carlo N-SCRA methodology supported by the project system dynamics modelling is established as a role of the Revealing Hand. It should provide ammunition for decision-making before the project approval, not after in a form of lessons learned as the Hiding Hand does. This is a way to decline the invitation to attend a ‘banquette of consequences’ referring to project failures as ‘unpleasant unsurprises’.

scholarly journals Higher education and oil: The cost of credit and crude – A strategic corollary for industry and higher education

2020 ◽  
pp. 095042222095954
Author(s):  
Joseph M. Woodside
Keyword(s):  
Higher Education ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Policy Development ◽  
Oil Industry ◽  
Organizational Outcomes ◽  
Lessons Learned ◽  
Cycle Model ◽  
Business Cycle Model ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Support Decision Making

The market shock that accompanied COVID-19 has the potential to significantly transform higher education. At the same time, it presents an opportunity for higher education to learn from industry and adopt successful policies and practices. This paper provides lessons learned from the oil industry which may help higher education institutions to successfully navigate disruption and improve organizational outcomes. A four-phase business cycle model is presented as a strategic corollary for industry and higher education to support decision-making and provide a mechanism for discussion and policy development.

A Computational Model for Estimating the Cost of Spent Fuel and High-Level Radioactive Waste Transport

2003 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. R. Johnson ◽  
R. E. Best
Keyword(s):  
Radioactive Waste ◽  
Spent Nuclear Fuel ◽  
Cost Model ◽  
Transportation Cost ◽  
Cost Calculation ◽  
Spent Fuel ◽  
Transport Costs ◽  
High Level Radioactive Waste ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Cost

JAI has developed a simple computer program for use in determining a preliminary estimate of costs for transporting spent nuclear fuel or high-level radioactive waste by legal weight truck or by rail. The JAI Corporation Spent Fuel and High-Level Radioactive Waste Transportation Cost Model © is a Microsoft Excel 2000-based collection of spreadsheets. Both the truck and rail sub-models consist of three spreadsheets, or modules — as follows: • The “Input” spreadsheet accepts the user’s inputs (the user’s configuration of the transportation scenario to be modeled); • The “Cost Calculations” spreadsheet lists cost components and associated calculations; • The “Results” spreadsheet summarized the calculated transportation costs. The program does not calculate costs between two specific points, but rather over a specific distance. The individual inputs required can be entered by the user — or the user can accept the default values built into the program. The input to the program is divided into the following elements: 1. Scenario configuration; 2. Financial assumptions; 3. Capital-related costs; 4. Operating costs; 5. Freight-related costs; 6. Security-related costs. The rail portion of the program also permits the calculation of the cost of heavy haul and barge transport. The cost calculation spreadsheet contains all the algorithms used for calculating each element of cost and summing them — and the results spreadsheet shows the separate cost of capital, operations, freight, security and miscellaneous costs, plus the total cost for the shipment(s). The program offers an easy way for obtaining preliminary estimates of the cost of transporting spent fuel or high-level radioactive waste, and a way to quickly estimate the sensitivity of transport costs to changes in conditions or shipping scenarios.

scholarly journals River Transport as an Instrument for the Development of Logistics System in Ukraine

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (514) ◽  
pp. 158-164
Author(s):  
S. V. Romanchuk ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Energy Efficient ◽  
Rail Transportation ◽  
Present Stage ◽  
Logistics System ◽  
Stage Of Development ◽  
River Transport ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Ship Repair ◽  
Cost Of Transportation

The present stage of development of society is characterized by extremely high rates of reproducing processes, dynamics of business relations and high level of requirements for the efficiency of solving current problems. The article examines the composition and prospects of the logistics system in Ukraine, analyzes the strategic directions of its development. The potential of river transportation in Ukraine, its present-time status and role in the transport and logistics system are covered. Some programs for the development of the transport system and its integration into the international space, their prospects and the reality of implementation are analyzed. The main risks for sustainable development and ways of their leveling with the help of infrastructural elements are defined. The focus is set on the main problems of both the entire logistics complex and the river transportation segment, the directions of their overcoming are singled out. For the purposes of the research, with the river routes are included the immediate shipping routes (i.e. rivers and canals), infrastructure objects (ports, gateways, docks, ship repair plants, etc.) and fleet (river vessels, tugs, barges and vessels of the river-sea type). The groups of measures for the development of river transport are singled out on the basis of potential sources of their financing. The components of economic efficiency of river transport development and ways of achieving such efficiency are substantiated. The river transport of Ukraine is the most environmentally friendly, energy efficient and can provide low self-cost of transportation. In the context of perspective increase in prices for both road and rail transportation, river transport can become the reserve that can keep the cost of transportation within the country at the current level. Particular attention is paid to the development of river ports of Ukraine as promising logistics centers. Specific instruments and measures to develop the relevant segment of river logistics and ensure their efficiency have been formulated. One of these key instruments, according to the author, be the automation of the processes of management and organization of river transportation, which will help maximize their efficiency.

scholarly journals Automated Support for Battle Operational–Strategic Decision-Making

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (13) ◽  
pp. 1534
Author(s):  
Gerardo Minguela-Castro ◽  
Ruben Heradio ◽  
Carlos Cerrada
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
World War Ii ◽  
Strategic Decision ◽  
Military Operations ◽  
World War ◽  
Military Operations Research ◽  
The Subject ◽  
Automated Support ◽  
High Level ◽  
Decision Making Model

Battle casualties are the subject of study in military operations research, which applies mathematical models to quantify the probability of victory vs. loss. In particular, different approaches have been proposed to model the course of battles. However, none of them provide adequate decision-making support for high-level command. To overcome this situation, this paper presents an innovative high-level decision-making model, which uses an adaptive and predictive control architecture. The paper reports empirical evidence supporting our model by considering one of the greatest battles of World War II: the Battle of Crete.

scholarly journals Empowering strategic decision-making for wildfire management: avoiding the fear trap and creating a resilient landscape

Fire Ecology ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marc Castellnou ◽  
Núria Prat-Guitart ◽  
Etel Arilla ◽  
Asier Larrañaga ◽  
Edgar Nebot ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Lessons Learned ◽  
Strategic Decision ◽  
Strategic Decision Making ◽  
Decision Making Process ◽  
Wildfire Management ◽  
Defensive Strategies ◽  
Response Systems ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Emergency Response Systems

AbstractIn recent years, fire services in Mediterranean Europe have been overwhelmed by extreme wildfire behavior. As a consequence, fire management has moved to defensive strategies with a focus only on the known risks (the fear trap). In this region, wildfires can change rapidly, increasing the uncertainty and causing complex operational scenarios that impact society right from the initial hours. To address this challenge, proactive approaches are an alternative to defensive and reactive strategies.We propose a methodology that integrates the uncertainty of decisions and the cost of each opportunity into the strategic decision-making process. The methodology takes into account values such as fire-fighting safety, organizational resilience, landscape resilience, and social values.Details of the methods and principles used to develop and implement a creative decision-making process that empower the fireline are provided. A tool that segregates the landscape into polygons of fire potential and defines the connectivity between those polygons is used. Two examples of operational implementation of this methodology are presented (2014 Tivissa Fire and 2015 Odena Fire).These methods facilitate the analysis of possible scenarios of resolution and the costs of the opportunities that help build resilient emergency response systems and prevent their collapse. Moreover, they help explain the risk to society and involve citizens in the decision-making process. These methods are based on the experience and lessons learned by European incident commanders, managers, and researchers collected during the last decade.

Recent Case Histories of Multilateral Systems Enabling Thru Tubing Intervention in the Middle East

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin Butler ◽  
Matthew Kelsey ◽  
Baidy Racine
Keyword(s):  
Middle East ◽  
Lessons Learned ◽  
Recent Case ◽  
Case Histories ◽  
Well Completion ◽  
Track Record ◽  
System A ◽  
Single String ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Cost

Abstract Historically, the ability to perform intervention on multilateral wells has been limited. While multilateral (ML) well construction technologies have progressed to a high level of reliability, multilateral systems that enabled intervention during the life of well had a more limited track record. Intervention outcomes after prolonged periods of production were less consistent. This lack of technologies with sufficient intervention case histories meant that generally multilateral well architecture was not selected in applications where thru tubing intervention was a requirement. In recent years, multilateral well architecture has continued to increase in demand, with more ML wells drilled and completed in the last five years than any other five-year period in the technology's history. With this increased demand has come industry enthusiasm to further mature its intervention capabilities. This paper will review two recent case histories of separate multilateral well completion systems that enable intervention. This opens up new potential for the industry to take advantage of the cost reductions achieved with multilaterals in a much larger scope of well applications. Two separate completion systems will be covered in this paper, System A installed in a cemented multilateral junction and system B, a completion that creates a hydraulically isolated junction via either a dual string completion or a single string completion that splits into two strings. These case histories were exectuted in 2017 to 2019, and interventions were performed after one to two years of production. Detailed in each case study will be an overview of the equipment, the operational sequence, intervention outcome, and any lessons learned or improvements. The systems have demonstrated themselves as a reliable method to access laterals in non-ideal downhole environments where debris is present after the well has been on production. The tubing sizes for the case studies are 3-1/2" and 4-1/2". In each of these wells, the following operations have been successfully performed: drift testing, acid stimulation through coil tubing and breaking of a ceramic disc. Both slickline and coil tubing have been used for the interventions and in some cases with tractors. Junction inclinations range from 1 to 43 degrees. Plans for ongoing installations for the systems are being executed in the Middle East Region. Further, expansion of the system A capabilities by integrating it with other existing technologies is also planned. This will enable projects such as the installation of a trilateral well with flow control and intervention for each individual leg, and also the conversion of existing single bore wells to multilateral with intervention capability.

Radiological safety and assessment of the performance of X-ray systems in veterinary facilities

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Economides ◽  
C.J. Hourdakis ◽  
C. Pafilis ◽  
G. Simantirakis ◽  
P. Tritakis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Radiation Protection ◽  
Atomic Energy Commission ◽  
Atomic Energy ◽  
Regulatory Control ◽  
Continuous Training ◽  
X Ray ◽  
The Public ◽  
Radiological Safety ◽  
High Level

This paper concerns an analysis regarding the performance of X-ray equipment as well as the radiological safety in veterinary facilities. Data were collected from 380 X-ray veterinary facilities countrywide during the on-site regulatory inspections carried out by the Greek Atomic Energy Commission. The analysis of the results shows that the majority of the veterinary radiographic systems perform within the acceptable limits; moreover, the design and shielding of X-ray rooms as well as the applied procedures ensure a high level of radiological safety for the practitioners, operators and the members of the public. An issue that requires specific attention in the optimization process for the proper implementation of veterinary radiology practices in terms of radiological safety is the continuous training of the personnel. The above findings and the regulatory experience gained were valuable decision-making elements regarding the type of the regulatory control of veterinary radiology practices in the new radiation protection framework.

Decision making power of college girls in relation to clothing

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (01) ◽  
Author(s):  
Parul Gill ◽  
Poonam Malik ◽  
Pankaj Gill
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Satisfaction Level ◽  
College Going ◽  
Level Of Satisfaction ◽  
High Level ◽  
Garment Design ◽  
Structured Questionnaire

The present study was undertaken to explore the decision making patterns of college girls in relation to clothing and their satisfaction level with these decision making patterns. Thirty under graduate college girls from Panipat city were approached to record their responses regarding decision making in relation to clothing and satisfaction level through a well structured questionnaire. It was found that most of the girls (56.66%) themselves made the decisions about the type of garment (Indian, western or both) they wear and majority of girls (70%) were highly satisfied with this decision making. Parents performed the role of buyers for their college going daughters' garments in most of the cases (63.33%) and the 73.33% girls had high level of satisfaction with this. In most of the cases (60%) the decision about the garment design was made by the girls themselves and they were highly satisfied with it. Keywords: clothing, college, girls, decision making.

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