scholarly journals Prediction of Commuter’s Daily Time Allocation

2013 ◽  
Vol 25 (5) ◽  
pp. 445-455 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fang Zong ◽  
Jia Hongfei ◽  
Pan Xiang ◽  
Wu Yang
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Regression ◽  
Travel Time ◽  
Time Allocation ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Travel Demand ◽  
Model System ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Activity Duration ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Duration Prediction

This paper presents a model system to predict the time allocation in commuters’ daily activity-travel pattern. The departure time and the arrival time are estimated with Ordered Probit model and Support Vector Regression is introduced for travel time and activity duration prediction. Applied in a real-world time allocation prediction experiment, the model system shows a satisfactory level of prediction accuracy. This study provides useful insights into commuters’ activity-travel time allocation decision by identifying the important influences, and the results are readily applied to a wide range of transportation practice, such as travel information system, by providing reliable forecast for variations in travel demand over time. By introducing the Support Vector Regression, it also makes a methodological contribution in enhancing prediction accuracy of travel time and activity duration prediction.

scholarly journals Assessment for Thermal Conductivity of Frozen Soil Based on Nonlinear Regression and Support Vector Regression Methods

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Fu-Qing Cui ◽  
Wei Zhang ◽  
Zhi-Yun Liu ◽  
Wei Wang ◽  
Jian-bing Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Thermal Conductivity ◽  
Support Vector Regression ◽  
Nonlinear Regression ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Frozen Soil ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Soil Thermal Conductivity ◽  
Fine Grained ◽  
Fine Grained Soil

The comprehensive understanding of the variation law of soil thermal conductivity is the prerequisite of design and construction of engineering applications in permafrost regions. Compared with the unfrozen soil, the specimen preparation and experimental procedures of frozen soil thermal conductivity testing are more complex and challengeable. In this work, considering for essentially multiphase and porous structural characteristic information reflection of unfrozen soil thermal conductivity, prediction models of frozen soil thermal conductivity using nonlinear regression and Support Vector Regression (SVR) methods have been developed. Thermal conductivity of multiple types of soil samples which are sampled from the Qinghai-Tibet Engineering Corridor (QTEC) are tested by the transient plane source (TPS) method. Correlations of thermal conductivity between unfrozen and frozen soil has been analyzed and recognized. Based on the measurement data of unfrozen soil thermal conductivity, the prediction models of frozen soil thermal conductivity for 7 typical soils in the QTEC are proposed. To further facilitate engineering applications, the prediction models of two soil categories (coarse and fine-grained soil) have also been proposed. The results demonstrate that, compared with nonideal prediction accuracy of using water content and dry density as the fitting parameter, the ternary fitting model has a higher thermal conductivity prediction accuracy for 7 types of frozen soils (more than 98% of the soil specimens’ relative error are within 20%). The SVR model can further improve the frozen soil thermal conductivity prediction accuracy and more than 98% of the soil specimens’ relative error are within 15%. For coarse and fine-grained soil categories, the above two models still have reliable prediction accuracy and determine coefficient (R2) ranges from 0.8 to 0.91, which validates the applicability for small sample soils. This study provides feasible prediction models for frozen soil thermal conductivity and guidelines of the thermal design and freeze-thaw damage prevention for engineering structures in cold regions.

scholarly journals Multi-State Load Demand Forecasting Using Hybridized Support Vector Regression Integrated with Optimal Design of Off-Grid Energy Systems—A Metaheuristic Approach

Processes ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 1166
Author(s):  
Bashir Musa ◽  
Nasser Yimen ◽  
Sani Isah Abba ◽  
Humphrey Hugh Adun ◽  
Mustafa Dagbasi
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Regression ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Demand Forecasting ◽  
Load Forecasting ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Hybrid Renewable Energy System

The prediction accuracy of support vector regression (SVR) is highly influenced by a kernel function. However, its performance suffers on large datasets, and this could be attributed to the computational limitations of kernel learning. To tackle this problem, this paper combines SVR with the emerging Harris hawks optimization (HHO) and particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithms to form two hybrid SVR algorithms, SVR-HHO and SVR-PSO. Both the two proposed algorithms and traditional SVR were applied to load forecasting in four different states of Nigeria. The correlation coefficient (R), coefficient of determination (R2), mean square error (MSE), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) were used as indicators to evaluate the prediction accuracy of the algorithms. The results reveal that there is an increase in performance for both SVR-HHO and SVR-PSO over traditional SVR. SVR-HHO has the highest R2 values of 0.9951, 0.8963, 0.9951, and 0.9313, the lowest MSE values of 0.0002, 0.0070, 0.0002, and 0.0080, and the lowest MAPE values of 0.1311, 0.1452, 0.0599, and 0.1817, respectively, for Kano, Abuja, Niger, and Lagos State. The results of SVR-HHO also prove more advantageous over SVR-PSO in all the states concerning load forecasting skills. This paper also designed a hybrid renewable energy system (HRES) that consists of solar photovoltaic (PV) panels, wind turbines, and batteries. As inputs, the system used solar radiation, temperature, wind speed, and the predicted load demands by SVR-HHO in all the states. The system was optimized by using the PSO algorithm to obtain the optimal configuration of the HRES that will satisfy all constraints at the minimum cost.

scholarly journals Theoretical Prediction of the Complex P-Glycoprotein Substrate Efflux Based on the Novel Hierarchical Support Vector Regression Scheme

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chun Chen ◽  
Ming-Han Lee ◽  
Ching-Feng Weng ◽  
Max K. Leong
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Regression ◽  
Atp Hydrolysis ◽  
Qsar Model ◽  
Quantitative Structure Activity Relationship ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
The Novel ◽  
Glycoprotein P ◽  
P Glycoprotein ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Substrate Binding Sites

P-glycoprotein (P-gp), a membrane-bound transporter, can eliminate xenobiotics by transporting them out of the cells or blood-brain barrier (BBB) at the expense of ATP hydrolysis. Thus, P-gp mediated efflux plays a pivotal role in altering the absorption and disposition of a wide range of substrates. Nevertheless, the mechanism of P-gp substrate efflux is rather complex since it can take place through active transport and passive permeability in addition to multiple P-gp substrate binding sites. A nonlinear quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) model was developed in this study using the novel machine learning-based hierarchical support vector regression (HSVR) scheme to explore the perplexing relationships between descriptors and efflux ratio. The predictions by HSVR were found to be in good agreement with the observed values for the molecules in the training set (n = 50, r2 = 0.96, q2CV = 0.94, RMSE = 0.10, s = 0.10) and test set (n = 13, q2 = 0.80–0.87, RMSE = 0.21, s = 0.22). When subjected to a variety of statistical validations, the developed HSVR model consistently met the most stringent criteria. A mock test also asserted the predictivity of HSVR. Consequently, this HSVR model can be adopted to facilitate drug discovery and development.

scholarly journals The Use of a Machine Learning Method to Predict the Real-Time Link Travel Time of Open-Pit Trucks

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoyu Sun ◽  
Hang Zhang ◽  
Fengliang Tian ◽  
Lei Yang
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Travel Time ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Open Pit ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Travel Time Prediction ◽  
Open Pit Mines ◽  
Optimal Dispatch ◽  
Link Travel Time

Accurate truck travel time prediction (TTP) is one of the critical factors in the dynamic optimal dispatch of open-pit mines. This study divides the roads of open-pit mines into two types: fixed and temporary link roads. The experiment uses data obtained from Fushun West Open-pit Mine (FWOM) to train three types of machine learning (ML) prediction models based on k-nearest neighbors (kNN), support vector machine (SVM), and random forest (RF) algorithms for each link road. The results show that the TTP models based on SVM and RF are better than that based on kNN. The prediction accuracy calculated in this study is approximately 15.79% higher than that calculated by traditional methods. Meteorological features added to the TTP model improved the prediction accuracy by 5.13%. Moreover, this study uses the link rather than the route as the minimum TTP unit, and the former shows an increase in prediction accuracy of 11.82%.

Life Prediction for Silicon Pressure Sensor Based on SVR

2012 ◽  
Vol 187 ◽  
pp. 241-244
Author(s):  
Zhi Hua Zhai ◽  
Ping Li Wu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Support Vector Regression ◽  
Pressure Sensor ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Life Prediction ◽  
Grid Method ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Support Vector Regression Model ◽  
Training Support

In order to improve the reliability of silicon pressure sensor, life prediction for silicon pressure sensor should be performed. Life prediction for silicon pressure sensor based on support vector regression is proposed in the paper. Grid method is used to determine the parameters of support vector regression in the process of training support vector regression model. Life for silicon pressure sensor under the conditions of different pressures is given in the experimental analysis. The comparison of the errors and mean errors between support vector regression and BP neural network indicates that life prediction accuracy of support vector regression for silicon pressure sensor is higher than that of BP neural network.

scholarly journals Priori Information Based Support Vector Regression and Its Applications

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Litao Ma ◽  
Jiqiang Chen
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Regression ◽  
Probability Density ◽  
Particle Velocity ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Nuclear Power ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Higher Dimension ◽  
Power Station ◽  
Priori Information

In order to extract the priori information (PI) provided by real monitored values of peak particle velocity (PPV) and increase the prediction accuracy of PPV, PI based support vector regression (SVR) is established. Firstly, to extract the PI provided by monitored data from the aspect of mathematics, the probability density of PPV is estimated withε-SVR. Secondly, in order to make full use of the PI about fluctuation of PPV between the maximal value and the minimal value in a certain period of time, probability density estimated withε-SVR is incorporated into training data, and then the dimensionality of training data is increased. Thirdly, using the training data with a higher dimension, a method of predicting PPV called PI-ε-SVR is proposed. Finally, with the collected values of PPV induced by underwater blasting at Dajin Island in Taishan nuclear power station in China, contrastive experiments are made to show the effectiveness of the proposed method.

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