scholarly journals Supervised ensemble learning methods towards automatically filtering Urdu fake news within social media

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. e425
Author(s):  
Muhammad Pervez Akhter ◽  
Jiangbin Zheng ◽  
Farkhanda Afzal ◽  
Hui Lin ◽  
Saleem Riaz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Ensemble Learning ◽  
English Language ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Fake News ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Models

The popularity of the internet, smartphones, and social networks has contributed to the proliferation of misleading information like fake news and fake reviews on news blogs, online newspapers, and e-commerce applications. Fake news has a worldwide impact and potential to change political scenarios, deceive people into increasing product sales, defaming politicians or celebrities, and misguiding visitors to stop visiting a place or country. Therefore, it is vital to find automatic methods to detect fake news online. In several past studies, the focus was the English language, but the resource-poor languages have been completely ignored because of the scarcity of labeled corpus. In this study, we investigate this issue in the Urdu language. Our contribution is threefold. First, we design an annotated corpus of Urdu news articles for the fake news detection tasks. Second, we explore three individual machine learning models to detect fake news. Third, we use five ensemble learning methods to ensemble the base-predictors’ predictions to improve the fake news detection system’s overall performance. Our experiment results on two Urdu news corpora show the superiority of ensemble models over individual machine learning models. Three performance metrics balanced accuracy, the area under the curve, and mean absolute error used to find that Ensemble Selection and Vote models outperform the other machine learning and ensemble learning models.

scholarly journals Detection of Online Fake News Using Blending Ensemble Learning

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Arvin Hansrajh ◽  
Timothy T. Adeliyi ◽  
Jeanette Wing
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Stochastic Gradient Descent ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Fake News ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Linear Discriminant ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Machine Learning Models

The exponential growth in fake news and its inherent threat to democracy, public trust, and justice has escalated the necessity for fake news detection and mitigation. Detecting fake news is a complex challenge as it is intentionally written to mislead and hoodwink. Humans are not good at identifying fake news. The detection of fake news by humans is reported to be at a rate of 54% and an additional 4% is reported in the literature as being speculative. The significance of fighting fake news is exemplified during the present pandemic. Consequently, social networks are ramping up the usage of detection tools and educating the public in recognising fake news. In the literature, it was observed that several machine learning algorithms have been applied to the detection of fake news with limited and mixed success. However, several advanced machine learning models are not being applied, although recent studies are demonstrating the efficacy of the ensemble machine learning approach; hence, the purpose of this study is to assist in the automated detection of fake news. An ensemble approach is adopted to help resolve the identified gap. This study proposed a blended machine learning ensemble model developed from logistic regression, support vector machine, linear discriminant analysis, stochastic gradient descent, and ridge regression, which is then used on a publicly available dataset to predict if a news report is true or not. The proposed model will be appraised with the popular classical machine learning models, while performance metrics such as AUC, ROC, recall, accuracy, precision, and f1-score will be used to measure the performance of the proposed model. Results presented showed that the proposed model outperformed other popular classical machine learning models.

Prediction of aircraft estimated time of arrival using machine learning methods

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
O. Basturk ◽  
C. Cetek
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Web Application ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Weather Data ◽  
Time Of Arrival ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Trajectory Data ◽  
Different Sources ◽  
Machine Learning Models

ABSTRACT In this study, prediction of aircraft Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA) is proposed using machine learning algorithms. Accurate prediction of ETA is important for management of delay and air traffic flow, runway assignment, gate assignment, collaborative decision making (CDM), coordination of ground personnel and equipment, and optimisation of arrival sequence etc. Machine learning is able to learn from experience and make predictions with weak assumptions or no assumptions at all. In the proposed approach, general flight information, trajectory data and weather data were obtained from different sources in various formats. Raw data were converted to tidy data and inserted into a relational database. To obtain the features for training the machine learning models, the data were explored, cleaned and transformed into convenient features. New features were also derived from the available data. Random forests and deep neural networks were used to train the machine learning models. Both models can predict the ETA with a mean absolute error (MAE) less than 6min after departure, and less than 3min after terminal manoeuvring area (TMA) entrance. Additionally, a web application was developed to dynamically predict the ETA using proposed models.

scholarly journals Machine Learning-Based Malicious X.509 Certificates’ Detection

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 2164
Author(s):  
Jiaxin Li ◽  
Zhaoxin Zhang ◽  
Changyong Guo
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Ensemble Learning ◽  
Traffic Analysis ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Detection Model ◽  
Analysis Tools ◽  
Average Accuracy ◽  
Machine Learning Models

X.509 certificates play an important role in encrypting the transmission of data on both sides under HTTPS. With the popularization of X.509 certificates, more and more criminals leverage certificates to prevent their communications from being exposed by malicious traffic analysis tools. Phishing sites and malware are good examples. Those X.509 certificates found in phishing sites or malware are called malicious X.509 certificates. This paper applies different machine learning models, including classical machine learning models, ensemble learning models, and deep learning models, to distinguish between malicious certificates and benign certificates with Verification for Extraction (VFE). The VFE is a system we design and implement for obtaining plentiful characteristics of certificates. The result shows that ensemble learning models are the most stable and efficient models with an average accuracy of 95.9%, which outperforms many previous works. In addition, we obtain an SVM-based detection model with an accuracy of 98.2%, which is the highest accuracy. The outcome indicates the VFE is capable of capturing essential and crucial characteristics of malicious X.509 certificates.

Performance Metrics for the Comparative Analysis of Clinical Risk Prediction Models Employing Machine Learning

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chenxi Huang ◽  
Shu-Xia Li ◽  
César Caraballo ◽  
Frederick A. Masoudi ◽  
John S. Rumsfeld ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Risk Prediction ◽  
Health Care Professionals ◽  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Risk Prediction Models ◽  
Clinical Risk ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Background: New methods such as machine learning techniques have been increasingly used to enhance the performance of risk predictions for clinical decision-making. However, commonly reported performance metrics may not be sufficient to capture the advantages of these newly proposed models for their adoption by health care professionals to improve care. Machine learning models often improve risk estimation for certain subpopulations that may be missed by these metrics. Methods and Results: This article addresses the limitations of commonly reported metrics for performance comparison and proposes additional metrics. Our discussions cover metrics related to overall performance, discrimination, calibration, resolution, reclassification, and model implementation. Models for predicting acute kidney injury after percutaneous coronary intervention are used to illustrate the use of these metrics. Conclusions: We demonstrate that commonly reported metrics may not have sufficient sensitivity to identify improvement of machine learning models and propose the use of a comprehensive list of performance metrics for reporting and comparing clinical risk prediction models.

scholarly journals Predicting Onset of Dementia Using Clinical Notes and Machine Learning: Case-Control Study (Preprint)

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher A Hane ◽  
Vijay S Nori ◽  
William H Crown ◽  
Darshak M Sanghavi ◽  
Paul Bleicher
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Language Processing ◽  
Disease Onset ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Term Care ◽  
Clinical Notes ◽  
Patients At Risk ◽  
Hospital Systems ◽  
Machine Learning Models

BACKGROUND Clinical trials need efficient tools to assist in recruiting patients at risk of Alzheimer disease and related dementias (ADRD). Early detection can also assist patients with financial planning for long-term care. Clinical notes are an important, underutilized source of information in machine learning models because of the cost of collection and complexity of analysis. OBJECTIVE This study aimed to investigate the use of deidentified clinical notes from multiple hospital systems collected over 10 years to augment retrospective machine learning models of the risk of developing ADRD. METHODS We used 2 years of data to predict the future outcome of ADRD onset. Clinical notes are provided in a deidentified format with specific terms and sentiments. Terms in clinical notes are embedded into a 100-dimensional vector space to identify clusters of related terms and abbreviations that differ across hospital systems and individual clinicians. RESULTS When using clinical notes, the area under the curve (AUC) improved from 0.85 to 0.94, and positive predictive value (PPV) increased from 45.07% (25,245/56,018) to 68.32% (14,153/20,717) in the model at disease onset. Models with clinical notes improved in both AUC and PPV in years 3-6 when notes’ volume was largest; results are mixed in years 7 and 8 with the smallest cohorts. CONCLUSIONS Although clinical notes helped in the short term, the presence of ADRD symptomatic terms years earlier than onset adds evidence to other studies that clinicians undercode diagnoses of ADRD. De-identified clinical notes increase the accuracy of risk models. Clinical notes collected across multiple hospital systems via natural language processing can be merged using postprocessing techniques to aid model accuracy.

Telugu News Data Classification Using Machine Learning Approach

2022 ◽  
pp. 181-194
Author(s):  
Bala Krishna Priya G. ◽  
Jabeen Sultana ◽  
Usha Rani M.
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Social Media ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Learning Approach ◽  
Fake News ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Machine Learning Classifiers ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Machine Learning Approach ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Mining Telugu news data and categorizing based on public sentiments is quite important since a lot of fake news emerged with rise of social media. Identifying whether news text is positive, negative, or neutral and later classifying the data in which areas they fall like business, editorial, entertainment, nation, and sports is included throughout this research work. This research work proposes an efficient model by adopting machine learning classifiers to perform classification on Telugu news data. The results obtained by various machine-learning models are compared, and an efficient model is found, and it is observed that the proposed model outperformed with reference to accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score.

scholarly journals Effectiveness, Explainability and Reliability of Machine Meta-Learning Methods for Predicting Mortality in Patients with COVID-19: Results of the Brazilian COVID-19 Registry

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bruno Barbosa Miranda de Paiva ◽  
Polianna Delfino Pereira ◽  
Claudio Moises Valiense de Andrade ◽  
Virginia Mara Reis Gomes ◽  
Maria Clara Pontello Barbosa Lima ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
State Of The Art ◽  
Laboratory Data ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Meta Learning ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Objective: To provide a thorough comparative study among state ofthe art machine learning methods and statistical methods for determining in-hospital mortality in COVID 19 patients using data upon hospital admission; to study the reliability of the predictions of the most effective methods by correlating the probability of the outcome and the accuracy of the methods; to investigate how explainable are the predictions produced by the most effective methods. Materials and Methods: De-identified data were obtained from COVID 19 positive patients in 36 participating hospitals, from March 1 to September 30, 2020. Demographic, comorbidity, clinical presentation and laboratory data were used as training data to develop COVID 19 mortality prediction models. Multiple machine learning and traditional statistics models were trained on this prediction task using a folded cross validation procedure, from which we assessed performance and interpretability metrics. Results: The Stacking of machine learning models improved over the previous state of the art results by more than 26% in predicting the class of interest (death), achieving 87.1% of AUROC and macroF1 of 73.9%. We also show that some machine learning models can be very interpretable and reliable, yielding more accurate predictions while providing a good explanation for the why. Conclusion: The best results were obtained using the meta learning ensemble model Stacking. State of the art explainability techniques such as SHAP values can be used to draw useful insights into the patterns learned by machine-learning algorithms. Machine learning models can be more explainable than traditional statistics models while also yielding highly reliable predictions. Key words: COVID-19; prognosis; prediction model; machine learning

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