scholarly journals Association of heart rate trajectories with the risk of adverse outcomes in a community-based cohort in Taiwan

PeerJ ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. e8987
Author(s):  
Cheng-Chun Wei ◽  
Pei-Chun Chen ◽  
Hsiu-Ching Hsu ◽  
Ta-Chen Su ◽  
Hung-Ju Lin ◽  
...  

Heart rate trajectory patterns integrate information regarding multiple heart rate measurements and their changes with time. Different heart rate patterns may exist in one population, and these are associated with different outcomes. Our study investigated the association of adverse outcomes with heart rate trajectory patterns. This was a prospective cohort study based on the Chin-Shan Community Cardiovascular Cohort in Taiwan. A total of 3,015 Chinese community residents aged > 35 years were enrolled in a prospective investigation of cardiovascular risk factors and outcomes from 1990 to 2013.The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, and the secondary outcome was a composite of coronary artery disease and cerebrovascular accidents. The following trajectory patterns were identified: stable, 61%; decreased, 5%; mildly increased, 32%; and markedly increased, 2%. During follow-up (median, 13.9 years), 557 participants died and 217 experienced secondary outcomes. The adjusted hazard ratios of primary and secondary outcomes for participants with a markedly increased trajectory pattern were 1.80 (95% CI [1.18–2.76]) and 1.45 (95% CI [0.67–3.12]), respectively, compared to those for participants with a stable trajectory pattern. A markedly increased heart rate trajectory pattern may be associated with all-cause mortality risks. Heart rate trajectory patterns demonstrated the utility of repeated heart rate measurements for risk assessment.

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
B Z Ghazzal ◽  
H M Kelli ◽  
A Mehta ◽  
A S Tahhan ◽  
J H Kim ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Educational attainment is an indicator of socioeconomic status and is inversely associated with cardiovascular risk factors and risk for incident coronary artery disease (CAD). Whether the level of educational attainment (EL) in patients with CAD influences outcomes remains understudied. Purpose To ascertain the relationship between EL and adverse outcomes in patients with CAD. We hypothesize that EL will be inversely associated with adverse outcomes in this high-risk patient population. Methods Subjects undergoing cardiac catheterization for known or suspected CAD were recruited in a cardiovascular biobank and had their highest level of educational attainment assessed using predefined options of elementary/middle school, high school, college, or graduate education. The primary outcome of interest was all-cause mortality and secondary outcomes included a composite of cardiovascular deaths and nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI) events, and nonfatal MI events during follow-up. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to analyze the association between EL and adverse outcomes after adjustment for demographic characteristics, cardiovascular risk factors, cardiovascular medication use, and estimated zip code-based annual family income. Results Among the 6,318 subjects (mean age 64 years, 63% male, 23% black) enrolled, 998 (16%) had received graduate or a higher qualification, 2,689 (43%) had received a college education, 2,403 (38%) had received a high school education, and 228 (3%) had received elementary/middle school education. During a median follow-up of 3 years,there were 1,110 deaths from all causes, 851 cardiovascular deaths/nonfatal MI, and 286 nonfatal MI events. After adjusting for covariates and compared to patients with graduate education or higher, those with lower EL (elementary/middle school, high school, or college education) had a higher risk of all-cause mortality [hazard ratio 1.66, (95% CI 1.08, 2.54), 1.58 (95% CI 1.22, 2.04), and 1.45 (95% CI 1.13, 1.57), respectively]. Similar findings were observed for secondary outcomes. EL dichotomized at graduate education was associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 1.48, 95% CI 1.16, 1.88), but this relationship was significantly modified by sex (p-interaction 0.023) and the association was attenuated among male patients (hazard ratio 1.23, 95% CI 0.94, 1.61) but not female patients (hazard ratio 2.70, 95% CI 1.53, 4.77). Conclusions Lower educational attainment is an independent predictor of adverse outcomes in patients with CAD. The causal link between low education level and increased CV risk needs further investigation. Acknowledgement/Funding Dr. Quyyumi is supported by NIH grants 5P01HL101398-02, 1P20HL113451-01, 1R56HL126558-01, 1RF1AG051633-01, R01 NS064162-01, R01 HL89650-01, HL095479-0


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiandong Zhou ◽  
Sandeep Hothi ◽  
Jeffrey Shi Kai Chan ◽  
Sharen Lee ◽  
Wing Tak Wong ◽  
...  

Background: Gender-specific prognostic values of electrocardiographic (ECG) measurements in patients hospitalized for heart failure (HF) are lacking, which we hence investigated in this study. Methods: Patients admitted to a single tertiary center for HF between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2016 without atrial fibrillation and with at least one baseline ECG were included. Automated ECG measurements were performed. The primary outcomes were all-cause and cardiovascular (CAD) mortality, and the secondary outcomes were stroke, and ventricular arrhythmia and sudden cardiac death (VA/SCD). The prognostic values of the heart rate, PR segment, QRS duration, PT interval, QT interval, and QTc were assessed. Gender-specific optimal cutoffs of the above measurements were identified with the maximally selected rank statistics approach. Results: In total, 2718 patients (median age 77 years; 1302 males) were included with a median follow-up of 4.8 years; the females were significantly older (p<0.0001). Females had higher rates of all-cause (p=0.04) and CAD mortality (p=0.02), while males had higher rates of VA/SCD (p=0.02). Higher heart rate, longer PT interval, wider QRS, and longer QT interval and QTc predicted all-cause mortality in males, while only shorter PR segment, longer QRS duration and QTc predicted the same in females. Longer QRS duration, QT interval, and QTc predicted CAD mortality in males, while longer PT interval, wider QRS and longer QTc predicted the same in females. ECG measurements also predicted the secondary outcomes to different extents depending on genders. Conclusions: Selected ECG measurements have significant gender-specific prognostic value in patients admitted for heart failure.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
H Ogawa ◽  
Y An ◽  
S Ikeda ◽  
Y Aono ◽  
K Doi ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) commonly coexist with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOAC) are recommended for stroke prevention in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF), and worsening renal function (WRF) as well as CKD is an important issue in using NOAC. However, little is known about the clinical outcomes of patients after WRF. Purpose We aimed to investigate outcomes after WRF in AF patients. Methods The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in our city. Follow-up data including prescription status were available for 4,441 patients. Of them, 1,890 patients who have baseline and at least 1 follow-up creatinine clearance (CrCl) measurements, estimated by the Cockcroft-Gault formula, were analyzed in the present study. WRF was defined as a decrease of ≥20% from baseline CrCl measurement at any time point during follow-up. We evaluated demographics and outcomes after WRF in AF patients. Results During the median follow-up period of 2,194 days, mean CrCl decrease of 2.2 ml/min/year was observed and WRF occurred in 981 patients (51.9%). Patients with WRF were significantly more often female (with vs. without WRF; 40.3% vs. 35.4%; p=0.03), older (73.4 vs. 71.1 years of age; p&lt;0.01), more often paroxysmal type (49.9% vs. 47.1%; p&lt;0.01), and more likely to have prior stroke (17.9% vs. 12.7%; p&lt;0.01), heart failure (30.8% vs. 24.8%; p&lt;0.01), diabetes (31.7% vs. 27.1%; p=0.03), and coronary artery disease (19.9% vs. 12.1%; p&lt;0.01) than those without WRF. Co-existing of CKD and mean CrCl at baseline were comparable (37.4% vs. 36.9%; p=0.82, 65.3 vs. 63.5 ml/min; p=0.66, respectively). Mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was significantly higher in WRF patients (3.55 vs. 3.03; p&lt;0.01). On landmark analysis, all-cause mortality occurred in 135 patients (8.6 /100 person-years) after WRF and 82 patients (1.7 /100 person-years) without WRF, with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 6.33 (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.33–9.50; p&lt;0.01), adjusted by sex, age, body weight, serum creatinine, type of AF, oral anticoagulant prescription and comorbidities. Stroke or systemic embolism occurred in 45 patients after WRF (3.0 /100 person-years) and 78 (1.7 /100 person-years) patients without WRF (adjusted HR 1.60 [95% CI, 1.04–2.49; p=0.03]) (Figure). Conclusions AF patients after WRF had higher incidence of various adverse events. Incidence of Adverse Outcomes Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Other. Main funding source(s): The Practical Research Project for Life-Style related Diseases including Cardiovascular Diseases and Diabetes Mellitus from Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development. Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi-Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Aventis, and Takeda Pharmaceutical.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-24
Author(s):  
Bushra Hoque ◽  
Zumin Shi

Abstract Selenium (Se) is a trace mineral that has antioxidant and anti-inflammatory properties. This study aimed to investigate the association between Se intake, diabetes, all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a representative sample of US adults. Data from 18,932 adults who attended the 2003-2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) were analysed. Information on mortality was obtained from the US mortality registry updated to 2015. Multivariable logistic regression and Cox regression were used. Cross-sectionally, Se intake was positively associated with diabetes. Comparing extreme quartiles of Se intake, the odds ratio (OR) for diabetes was 1.44 (95% CI: 1.09–1.89). During a mean of 6.6 years follow-up, there were 1627 death (312 CVD, 386 cancer). High intake of Se was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality. When comparing the highest with the lowest quartiles of Se intake, the hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause, CVD mortality, cancer mortality and other mortality were: 0.77 (95% CI 0.59-1.01), 0.62 (95% CI, 0.35-1.13), 1.42 (95% CI, 0.78-2.58) and 0.60 (95% CI,0.40-0.80), respectively. The inverse association between Se intake and all-cause mortality was only found among white participants. In conclusion, Se intake was positively associated with diabetes but inversely associated with all-cause mortality. There was no interaction between Se intake and diabetes in relation to all-cause mortality.


2021 ◽  
Vol 36 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcelo Lopes ◽  
Angelo Karaboyas ◽  
David W Johnson ◽  
Talerngsak Kanjanabuch ◽  
Martin Wilkie ◽  
...  

Abstract Background and Aims While it has been established that high serum phosphorus is associated with mortality in hemodialysis (HD) patients, there is limited evidence in the peritoneal dialysis (PD) setting. We evaluated the association of serum phosphorus with mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients on PD, and investigated various parameterizations using single and serial measurements of serum phosphorus. Method We utilized data from 7 countries in phase 1 (2014-2017) of the Peritoneal Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (PDOPPS): Australia, Canada, Japan, New Zealand, Thailand, the UK, and the US. We investigated the association of serum phosphorus and 3 outcomes: all-cause mortality, cardiovascular (CV) mortality, and MACE (CV mortality + non-fatal angina, myocardial infarction, stroke, and heart failure). We parameterized serum phosphorus using 4 different methods: (1) single measurement of baseline serum phosphorus [most recent measurement during 6-month run-in period]; (2) mean serum phosphorus over a 6-month run-in period; (3) number of months (over the past 6 months) with serum phosphorus above the target range (&gt;4.5 mg/dL); (4) mean area-under-the-curve (AUC), calculated as the average amount of time spent with serum phosphorus &gt;4.5 mg/dL multiplied by the extent to which this threshold was exceeded over 6 months. Cox regression was used to estimate the association between each of these 4 exposures with the time-to-event outcomes, in models thoroughly adjusted for possible confounders. Follow-up began after the 6-month run-in period and continued until the outcome occurred, 7 days after leaving the facility due to transfer or change in kidney replacement therapy modality, loss to follow-up, or end of study phase (whichever event occurred first). Results Our sample consisted of 5904 patients who were on PD. Those with higher serum phosphorus levels were younger and had lower hemoglobin levels. Compared to patients with serum phosphorus ≥3.5 to &lt;4.5 mg/dL, we found an all-cause mortality hazard ratio (HR) of 1.62 (95% CI: 1.19, 2.20) for patients with serum phosphorus ≥ 7 mg/dL. Strong associations were also observed using serial phosphorus measures [Table]. For example, compared to the reference group of AUC=0, the HR (95% CI) of death was 1.49 (1.10, 2.00) for AUC &gt;1 to 2; and 1.67 (1.15, 2.41) for AUC &gt;2. Akaike Information Criteria (AIC) results showed that, among the 4 exposures, AUC was the strongest predictor of all-cause mortality, and the single phosphorus measure was the weakest predictor. Associations between serum phosphorus and adverse outcomes were generally stronger for CV death and MACE than for all-cause mortality [Table]. Conclusion As seen in HD patients, this analysis demonstrates that serum phosphorus is a strong predictor of adverse outcomes in patients on PD. When considering serial measurements of serum phosphorus, rates of adverse events began to rise at phosphorus levels &gt;4.5 mg/dL. As recommended by KDIGO guidelines, serial measurements that consider a history of serum phosphorus excursions &gt;4.5 mg/dL should be considered when assessing risks of adverse outcomes.


Author(s):  
Gianfranco Umeres-Francia1 ◽  
María Rojas-Fernández ◽  
Percy Herrera Añazco ◽  
Vicente Benites-Zapata

Objective: To assess the association between NLR and PLR with all-cause mortality in Peruvian patients with CKD Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study in adults with CKD in stages 1 to 5. The outcome variable was mortality and as variables of exposure to NLR and PLR. Both ratios were categorized as high with a cut-off point of 3.5 and 232.5; respectively. We carried out a Cox regression model and calculated crude and adjusted hazard ratios (HR) with their 95% confidence interval (95%CI). Results: We analyzed 343 participants with a median follow-up time of 2.45 years (2.08-3.08). The frequency of deaths was 17.5% (n=60). In the crude analysis, the high NLR and PLR were significantly associated with all-cause mortality (HR=2.01; 95% CI:1.11-3.66) and (HR=2.58; 95% CI:1.31-5.20). In the multivariate model, after adjusting for age, sex, serum creatinine, CKD stage, albumin and hemoglobin, the high NLR and PLR remained as an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality, (HR=2.10; 95% CI:1.11-3.95) and (HR=2.71; 95% CI:1.28-5.72). Conclusion: Our study suggests the relationship between high NLR and PLR with all-cause mortality in patients with CKD.


2016 ◽  
Vol 43 (1) ◽  
pp. 38-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karyne L. Vinales ◽  
Mohammad Q. Najib ◽  
Punnaiah C. Marella ◽  
Minako Katayama ◽  
Hari P. Chaliki

We retrospectively studied the predictive capabilities of elevated cardiac enzyme levels in terms of the prognosis of patients who were hospitalized with atrial fibrillation and who had no known coronary artery disease. Among 321 patients with atrial fibrillation, 60 without known coronary artery disease had their cardiac enzyme concentrations measured during hospitalization and underwent stress testing or cardiac catheterization within 12 months before or after hospitalization. We then compared the clinical and electrocardiographic characteristics of the 20 patients who had elevated cardiac enzyme levels and the 40 patients who had normal levels. Age, sex, and comorbidities did not differ between the groups. In the patients with elevated cardiac enzyme levels, the mean concentrations of troponin T and creatine kinase-MB isoenzymes were 0.08 ± 0.08 ng/mL and 6.49 ± 4.94 ng/mL, respectively. In univariate analyses, only peak heart rate during atrial tachyarrhythmia was predictive of elevated enzyme levels (P &lt;0.0001). Mean heart rate was higher in the elevated-level patients (146 ± 22 vs 117 ± 29 beats/min; P=0.0007). Upon multivariate analysis, heart rate was the only independent predictor of elevated levels. Coronary artery disease was found in only 2 patients who had elevated levels and in one patient who had normal levels (P=0.26). Increased myocardial demand is probably why the presenting heart rate was predictive of elevated cardiac enzyme levels. Most patients with elevated enzyme levels did not have coronary artery disease, and none died of cardiac causes during the 6-month follow-up period. To validate our findings, larger studies are warranted.


2018 ◽  
Vol 38 (6) ◽  
pp. 447-454 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuka Kamijo ◽  
Eiichiro Kanda ◽  
Yoshitaka Ishibashi ◽  
Masayuki Yoshida

Background It is known that sarcopenia is related to malnutrition-inflammation-atherosclerosis (MIA) syndrome and is an important problem in dialysis patients. The notion of frailty includes various physical, psychological, and social aspects. Although it has been reported that sarcopenia is associated with poor prognosis in patients with hemodialysis, reports on peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients are rare. In this study, we examined the morbidity and mortality of sarcopenia and frailty in PD patients. We also investigated the MIA-related factors. Methods We evaluated 119 patients cross-sectionally and longitudinally. The Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia criteria and the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) were used to diagnose sarcopenia and frailty. The primary outcome is all-cause mortality with sarcopenia and frailty. The secondary outcome is the relationship between various MIA-related factors. Results Morbidity of sarcopenia and frailty in PD patients was 8.4% and 10.9%, respectively. Old age, high values of Barthel Index, Charlson Comorbidity Index, CFS, and low values of body mass index (BMI), muscle strength, muscle mass, and slow walking were associated with sarcopenia. Interleukin-6, albumin, and prealbumin were significantly correlated with muscle mass. During follow-up, the presence of sarcopenia or frailty was associated with the risk of mortality. In multivariate analysis, CFS was related to the mortality rate of PD patients. Conclusions The presence of sarcopenia or frailty was associated with a worse prognosis.


Circulation ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 118 (suppl_18) ◽  
Author(s):  
Thanh Huyen T Vu ◽  
Daniel B Garside ◽  
Martha L Daviglus

Background and Objective : Prospective data on combined effects of lifestyle practices (smoking, heavy drinking, and physical inactivity) in older age on mortality are limited. We examine the combined impact of lifestyle behaviors in adults 65 years and older on CVD, non-CVD, cancer, and all-cause mortality after 7 years of follow-up. Methods : In 1996, a health survey was mailed to all surviving participants, ages 65–102, from the Chicago Heart Association Detection Project in Industry Study. The response rate was 60% and the sample included 4,200 male and 3,288 female respondents. Unhealthy lifestyle (un-HL) practices were classified into three groups as having two or more , one , or none of the following three un-HL factors (current smoking or stopped smoking only within the past 10 years; heavy drinking ->15 g/day for women or >30 g/day for men; and infrequent exercise). Vital status was ascertained through 2003 via the National Death Index. Results : With adjustment for age, race, education, marital status, living arrangement, and BMI, the hazards of CVD, non-CVD, cancer, and all-cause mortality were highest among men and women who had two or more un-HL factors and lowest among those who had healthy lifestyle. For example, in men, compared to those with none un-HL factors, the hazard ratios (95%CIs) of all-cause death for those with two or more and one un-HL factors were 2.10 (1.73–2.46) and 1.56 (1.36–1.77), respectively. Associations were attenuated somewhat but remained strongly significant with further adjustment for comorbidities (see table ). Conclusion : Having no unhealthy lifestyle factors in older age is associated with a lower risk for CVD, non-CVD, cancer, and all-cause death. These results should encourage healthy lifestyle practices in elderly people to decrease mortality and promote longevity. Adjusted* Hazard Ratios (95% CIs) for CVD, Non-CVD, Cancer, and All-Cause Death by Number of Unhealthy Lifestyle Factors in 1996 and Gender


Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joost Besseling ◽  
Gerard K Hovingh ◽  
John J Kastelein ◽  
Barbara A Hutten

Introduction: Heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia (heFH) is characterized by high levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and increased risk for premature coronary artery disease (CAD) and death. Reduction of CAD and mortality by statins has not been properly quantified in heFH. The aim of the current study is to determine the effect of statins on CAD and mortality in heFH. Methods: All adult heFH patients identified by the Dutch FH screening program between 1994 and 2014 and registered in the PHARMO Database Network were eligible. Of these patients we obtained hospital, pharmacy (in- and outpatient), and mortality records in the period between 1995 and 2015. The effect of statins (time-varying) on CAD and all-cause mortality was determined using a Cox proportional hazard model, while correcting for the use of other lipid-lowering therapy, thrombocyte aggregation inhibitors, antihypertensive and antidiabetic medication (all time-varying). Furthermore, we used inverse probability for treatment weighting (IPTW) to account for differences between statin-treated and untreated patients regarding history of CAD before follow-up, age at start of follow-up and age of screening, as well as body mass index, LDL-C and triglycerides. Results: Of the 25,479 identified heFH patients, 11,021 gave informed consent to obtain their medical records, of whom 2,447 could be retrieved. We excluded 766 patients younger than 18. The remaining 1,681 heFH patients comprised our study population and these had very similar characteristics as compared to the 23,798 excluded FH patients, e.g. mean (SD) LDL-C levels were 214 (74) vs. 203 (77) mg/dL. Among 1,151 statin users, there were 133 CAD events and 15 deaths during 10,115 statin treated person-years, compared to 17 CAD events and 9 deaths during 4,965 person-years in 530 never statin users (combined rate: 14.6 vs. 5.2, respectively, p<0.001). After applying IPTW to account for indication bias and correcting for use of other medications, the hazard ratio of statin use for CAD and all-cause mortality was 0.61 (0.40 - 0.93). Conclusions: In heFH patients, statins lower the risk for CAD and mortality by 39%.


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