A Climatological Study of the Mechanisms Controlling the Seasonal Meridional Migration of the Atlantic Warm Pool in an OGCM

The tropical Atlantic Warm Pool is one of the main drivers of the marine intertropical convergence zone and the associated coastal Northeast Brazilian and West-African monsoons. Its meridional displacement is driven by the solar cycle, modulated by the atmosphere and ocean interactions, whose nature and respective proportions are still poorly understood. This paper presents a climatological study of the upper ocean and lower atmosphere contributions to the warm pool seasonal migration, using an Ocean General Circulation Model (OGCM). First, we provide quantitative, albeit simple, pieces of evidence on how the large amplitude of migration in the west, compared to the east, is mainly due to the strong east–west contrast of the background meridional SST gradient intensities, which is maintained by equatorial and eastern tropical upwellings. Our main results consist first in identifying a diagnostic equation for the migration speed of the two meridional boundary isotherms of the Warm Pool, expressed in terms of the various mixed-layer heat fluxes. We then evidence and quantify how, in general, the migration is forced by air–sea fluxes, and damped by ocean circulation. However, remarkable controls by the ocean are identified in some specific regions. In particular, in the northwestern part of the Warm Pool, characterized by a large temperature inversion area, the boreal spring northward movement speed depends on the restitution of the solar heating by the thermocline. Additionally, over the southern part of the Warm Pool, our study quantifies the key role of the equatorial upwelling, which, depending on the longitude, significantly accelerates or slows down the summer poleward migration.

Influence of the North American Dipole on the Atlantic Warm Pool

The Atlantic warm pool(AWP) of water having a temperature above 28.5°C encompasses the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean, and the western tropical North Atlantic, influencing the regional and global climate. Much of the AWP interannual variabillity has been thought to be an outcome of external remote forcing by climate variability outside the tropical Atlantic, such as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) or the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). This study indicates that the North American dipole (NAD), exemplified by a north-south seesaw in sea level pressure anomalies over the western tropical North Atlantic and northeastern North America, may provide another integral remote forcing source to influence the AWP. Both observational and model data prove that a strong positive (negative) phase of the winter NAD tends to inhibit (favor) the development of AWP in its area and depth in subsequent months. As opposed to the NAO, the NAD plays a more pivotal role in influencing the AWP due to its effectiveness in forcing the TNA SST variability, which means that AWP variability may be more of a lagging response to NAD atmospheric forcing than a lagging response to NAO atmospheric forcing. Additional analysis indicates that the winter NAD-like atmospheric signal may be stored in the following AWP, thus markedly influencing the TNA precipitation and air temperature in summer. It is speculated that the AWP may act as a bridge linking winter NAD to the following summer precipitation and air temperature in the TNA region.

The Role of Tropical Cyclones on the Total Precipitation in Cuba during the Hurricane Season from 1980 to 2016

This study quantifies the amount of rainfall supplied by tropical cyclones (TCs) to Cuba. It uses the long–term global gridded Multi–Source Weighted–Ensemble Precipitation (MSWEP) v2 data set, with a resolution of 0.1° in latitude and longitude, and a temporal resolution of 3 h during the hurricane seasons from 1980–2016. During this study period, 146 TCs were identified within a 500–km radius of Cuba. The contribution of TCs to the total precipitation over Cuba during the cyclonic season was ~11%. The maximum contribution occurs in October and November, representing 18% and 28% of the total precipitation, respectively. The interannual precipitation contribution shows a positive correlation (~0.74) with the number of TCs, but without a significant trend for the period. A climatological spatial analysis of the rainfall associated with TCs revealed great heterogeneity, although the major contribution was observed along the southern coast of the eastern and central provinces of Cuba, and in the western province of Pinar del Río. No significant difference was observed between the number of TCs that affected Cuba and their rainfall contribution under the positive and negative phases of the El Niño Southern Oscillation. However, the negative phase of the NAO led to an increase in the genesis of TCs that later affected Cuba, which led to a greater contribution to precipitation compared to that obtained from TCs during the positive phase of this oscillation. Our results also confirm that anomalous warmth of the tropical Atlantic Ocean, revealed through the Atlantic Meridional Mode, and enlargement of the Atlantic Warm Pool, enhances the genesis in the North Atlantic Basin of the TCs that affect Cuba, which was associated with an increase of the rainfall contribution to the total precipitation compared to that calculated for TCs formed during the opposite phases.

Atlantic Warm Pool: climate variability, thermal ocean-atmosphere interactions and remote response to ENSO and NAO.

<p>The Atlantic Warm Pool (AWP) is a big body of warm water with SST greater or equal to 28.5◦ C, that appears in the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean and the western tropical North Atlantic and it is a key element of the climate system. Previous studies have focused on climate variability within the AWP, but did not take into account the distinctive properties of AWP sub-regions. In other cases, obtained results had not been tested against selected databases. This work will try to deal systematically with these limitations. Ocean reanalysis databases have been used in order to detect AWP climate variability, mechanisms through which thermal component of ocean-atmosphere interactions operates and the effect of remote phenomena such as El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO).  Empirical Orthogonal Functions, spectral analysis, linear correlation and composites analysis techniques have been used. A large portion of AWP variability comes from Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico while North tropical Atlantic contains a large internal variability. The thermal component of ocean-atmosphere interactions appears partitioned in Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic from Caribbean Sea. SST/latent heat feedback mechanism operates not globally in the AWP but stronger in the open Atlantic sub-region. ENSO+ enhances AWP development, while ENSO- is opposite to both development and decay of AWP. NAO effect is stronger in its negative phase by enhancing the AWP decay.</p>

Upwellings mitigated Plio–Pleistocene heat stress for reef corals on the Florida platform (USA)

The fast growing calcareous skeletons of zooxanthellate reef corals (z-corals) represent unique environmental proxy archives through their oxygen and carbon stable isotope composition (δ18O, δ13C). In addition, the accretion of the skeleton itself is ultimately linked to the environment and responds with variable growth rates (extension rate) and density to environmental changes. Here we present classical proxy data (δ18O, δ13C) in combination with calcification records from 15 massive z-corals. The z-corals were sampled from four interglacial units of the Florida carbonate platform (USA) dated approximately 3.2, 2.9, 1.8 and 1.2 Ma (middle Pliocene to early Pleistocene). The z-corals (Solenastrea, Orbicella, Porites) derive from unlithified shallow marine carbonates and were carefully screened for primary preservation suited for proxy analysis. We show that skeletal accretion was non-linear and responded with decreasing overall calcification rates (decreasing extension rate but increasing density) to warmer water temperatures. Under high annual water temperatures, inferred from subannually resolved δ18O data, skeletal bulk density was high, but extension rates and overall calcification rates were at a minimum (endmember scenario 1). Maximum skeletal density was reached during the summer season giving rise to a growth band of high density within the annually banded skeletons ("high density band", HDB). With low mean annual water temperatures (endmember scenario 2), bulk skeletal density was low but extension rates and calcification rates reached a maximum, and under these conditions the HDB formed during winter. Although surface water temperatures in the Western Atlantic warm pool during the interglacials of the late Neogene where ∼ 2 °C higher than they are in the present-day, intermittent upwelling of cool, nutrient rich water mitigated water temperatures off southwestern Florida in the middle of the Atlantic warm pool and created temporary refuges for z-coral growth. Based on the subannually resolved δ18O and δ13C records, the duration of the upwelling episodes causing the endmember 2 conditions was variable and lasted from a few years to a number of decades. The episodes of upwelling were interrupted by phases without upwelling (endmember 1) which lasted for at least a few years and led to high surface water temperatures. This variable environment is likely one of the reasons why the coral fauna is dominated by the eurytopic genus Solenastrea, also a species resistant to high turbidity. Over a period of ∼ 50 years, the oldest subannually resolved proxy record available (3.2 Ma) documents a persistent occurrence of the HDB during winter. In contrast, the HDB forms in summer in modern z-corals from the Florida reef tract. We suggest this difference to be the expression of a tendency towards decreasing upwelling since the middle Pliocene. The number of z-coral sclerochronological records for this time period is still, however, rather low and requires an improved resolution through data from additional time-slices. These data can contribute to predicting the effects of future ocean warming on z-coral health along the Florida reef tract.