competing hypotheses
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2022 ◽  
pp. 1-26
Author(s):  
Fin Bauer ◽  
Kimberly L. Wilson

Abstract China is accused of conducting disinformation campaigns on Taiwan's social media. Existing studies on foreign interventions in democratic societies predict that such disinformation campaigns should lead to increasing partisan polarization within Taiwan. We argue that a backlash effect, making Taiwan's citizens more united against China, is equally plausible. We conduct a survey experiment exposing participants to a real-life rumour and rebuttal to test these competing hypotheses. We find, at best, mixed evidence for polarization. Although neither rumour nor rebuttal mention China, there is consistent evidence of backlash against China. Most notably, participants across the political spectrum are more inclined to support Taiwanese independence after viewing the rumour rebuttal. These findings indicate that citizens may put aside partisanship when confronted with false news that is plausibly linked to an external actor. We conclude by discussing the broader applicability of our theory and implications for cross-Strait relations.


2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer L. Havens ◽  
Sebastien Calvignac-Spencer ◽  
Kevin Merkel ◽  
Sonia Burrel ◽  
David Boutolleau ◽  
...  

Human herpes simplex virus 2 (HSV-2) is a globally ubiquitous, slow evolving DNA virus. HSV-2 genomic diversity can be divided into two main groups: an African lineage and worldwide lineage. Competing hypotheses have been put forth to explain the history of HSV-2. HSV-2 may have originated in Africa and then followed the first wave of human migration out of Africa between 50-100 kya. Alternatively, HSV-2 may have migrated out of Africa via the trans-Atlantic slave trade within the last 150-500 years. The lack of HSV-2 genomes from West and Central Africa, combined with a lack of molecular clock signal in HSV-2 has precluded robust testing of these competing hypotheses. Here, we expand the geographic sampling of HSV-2 genomes in order to resolve the geography and timing of divergence events within HSV-2. We analyze 65 newly sequenced HSV-2 genomes collected from primarily West and Central Africa along with 330 previously published genomes sampled over a 47-year period. Evolutionary simulations confirm that the molecular clock in HSV-2 is too slow to be detected using available data. However, phylogeographic analysis indicates that all biologically plausible evolutionary rates would place the ancestor of the worldwide lineage in East Africa, arguing against the trans-Atlantic slave trade as the source of worldwide diversity. The best supported evolutionary rates between 4.2x10-8 and 5.6x10-8 substitutions/site/year suggest a most recent common ancestor for HSV-2 around 90-120 kya and initial dispersal around 21.9-29.3 kya. These dates suggest HSV-2 left Africa during subsequent waves of human migration out of East Africa.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-28
Author(s):  
Mine NAKİPOĞLU ◽  
Berna A. UZUNDAG ◽  
Özge SARIGÜL

Abstract Children's remarkable ability to generalize beyond the input and the resulting overregularizations/ irregularizations provide a platform for a discussion of whether morphology learning uses analogy-based, rule-based, or statistical learning procedures. The present study, testing 115 children (aged 3 to 10) on an elicited production task, investigated the acquisition of the irregular distribution in the Turkish causative. Results showed that in early acquisition, to pin down the four causative suffixes, children engaged in comparisons between analogous exemplars. Thereafter to tackle the irregularity in two of the suffixes, children entertained competing hypotheses that yielded overregularizations and irregularizations. Overregularizations were instances of abstraction across the input based on type frequency; irregularizations were attempts to default to erroneous micro-generalizations. Negative correlation between errors and verb frequency suggested that recovery from errors was sensitive to token frequency. The overgeneralize-then-recover pattern that emerged in the acquisition of causative supported an integrated account of the roles of analogy, abstraction, and frequency in morphology learning.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emily L. Schultz ◽  
Lisa Hülsmann ◽  
Michiel D. Pillet ◽  
Florian Hartig ◽  
David D. Breshears ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rossella Calvaruso ◽  
Janice Lawrence ◽  
Adrian Reyes-Prieto

Glaucophytes, red algae and viridiplants (green algae and land plants) are formally united in the supergroup Archaeplastida. Although diverse molecular and genomic evidence suggest the common origin of the three Archaeplastida lineages, the lack of a robust glaucophyte knowledgebase has limited comprehensive evaluations of competing hypotheses. Glaucophytes are rare and apparently confined to freshwater habitats. However, the distribution and diversity of these algae have not been thoroughly explored owing to challenges with detecting and isolating novel specimens. Here we examined the cytometric signatures of representative species of the genera Cyanophora, Cyanoptyche, Glaucocystis and Gloeochaete for a distinctive signal that would aid identification. Most glaucophytes analyzed presented a relatively high red fluorescence signal due to the presence of the blue phycobiliproteins C-phycocyanin and allophycocyanin. Cell-size differences and the concurrent presence of the red phycobiliprotein phycoerythrin in other algal lineages, such as red algae and cryptophytes, allowed us to distinguish glaucophytes from other photosynthetic cells containing blue phycobiliproteins. We used fluorescence-assisted cell sorting (FACS) to isolate viable Cyanophora and Glaucocystis individuals from existing cultures. Our results indicate that the peculiar autofluorescence signal of glaucophytes will facilitate further identification and isolation on novel specimens of this scarce but important algal group.


2021 ◽  
pp. 216770262110456
Author(s):  
Angela C. Santee ◽  
Lisa R. Starr

Existing research supports competing hypotheses about the link between negative emotional (NE) reactivity to daily events (e.g., hassles and uplifts) and depression. Some have suggested that depression is associated with blunted reactivity, and others have suggested that depression is associated with heightened reactivity. In this study, we tested linear and nonlinear associations, cross-sectionally and longitudinally, between NE reactivity and depression among a sample of 232 adolescents. Participants completed lab-based assessments of depression then rated their experience of emotions, daily hassles, and uplifts three times per day for 7 days. Interviews were readministered 1.5 years later. Results show a significant U-shaped relationship between NE reactivity to hassles and depression symptoms cross-sectionally, which suggests that depression is more severe at the extremes of NE reactivity. NE reactivity to daily uplifts showed significant linear associations, but not quadratic associations, with depression such that heightened reactivity to uplifts was associated with more severe depression symptoms concurrently and predicted worsening of depression longitudinally.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leonardo Pichel ◽  
Oriol Ferrer ◽  
Christopher Jackson ◽  
Eduard Roca

The Santos Basin presents a complex and controversial evolution and distribution of salt tectonics domains. The controversies revolve mainly around the kinematically- linked Albian Gap and São Paulo Plateau. The Albian Gap is a ~450 km long and 60 km wide feature characterized by a post-Albian counter-regional rollover overlying depleted Aptian salt and in which the Albian is absent. The São Paulo Plateau is defined by a pre-salt structural high with significant base-salt topography and overlain by ~2.5 km thick salt. Another prominent feature is the Merluza Graben, a rift depocentre that underlies the southern portion of the Albian Gap and displays significant (3-4 km) of base-salt relief. Two competing hypotheses have been proposed to explain the origin and kinematics of these provinces. One invokes post- Albian extension within the Albian Gap and contraction in the Sao Paulo Plateau. The other invokes post-Albian salt expulsion in the Albian Gap and salt inflation in the São Paulo Plateau without significant lateral deformation. A recent study shows these processes contribute equally to the evolution of these domains, also demonstrating the importance of the previously neglected base-salt relief. We apply 3D physical modelling to test these new concepts and understand the interplay between laterally- variable base-salt relief, gliding and spreading on salt tectonics. Our results show a remarkably-similar salt and post-salt evolution and architecture to the Santos Basin as proposed in recent studies. They improve the understanding on the distribution and interaction of salt-related structural styles and gravity-driven processes, being also applicable to other salt-bearing margins.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (9) ◽  
pp. e0257091
Author(s):  
Kristina Gligorić ◽  
George Lifchits ◽  
Robert West ◽  
Ashton Anderson

What makes written text appealing? In this registered report protocol, we propose to study the linguistic characteristics of news headline success using a large-scale dataset of field experiments (A/B tests) conducted on the popular website Upworthy comparing multiple headline variants for the same news articles. This unique setup allows us to control for factors that can have crucial confounding effects on headline success. Based on prior literature and a pilot partition of the data, we formulate hypotheses about the linguistic features that are associated with statistically superior headlines. We will test our hypotheses on a much larger partition of the data that will become available after the publication of this registered report protocol. Our results will contribute to resolving competing hypotheses about the linguistic features that affect the success of text and will provide avenues for research into the psychological mechanisms that are activated by those features.


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