scholarly journals Sensitivity of tropical deep convection in global models: effects of horizontal resolution, surface constraints, and 3D atmospheric nudging

2014 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 148-154 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles Chemel ◽  
Maria R. Russo ◽  
J. Scott Hosking ◽  
Paul J. Telford ◽  
John A. Pyle
Keyword(s):  
Deep Convection ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Global Models ◽  
Tropical Deep Convection ◽  
Surface Constraints

scholarly journals Initial Tendencies of Cloud Regimes in the Met Office Unified Model

2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 833-840 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. D. Williams ◽  
M. E. Brooks
Keyword(s):  
Initial Temperature ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Systematic Bias ◽  
Cloud Regime ◽  
Tropical Deep Convection ◽  
Cloud Regimes ◽  
Temperature Tendency

Abstract The Met Office unified forecast–climate model is used to compare the properties of simulated climatological cloud regimes with those produced in short-range forecasts initialized from operational analyses. The regimes are defined as principal clusters of joint cloud-top pressure–optical depth histograms. In general, the cloud regime properties are found to be similar at all forecast times, including the climatological mean. This suggests that weaknesses in the representation of fast local processes are responsible for errors in the simulation of the cloud regimes. The increased horizontal resolution of the model used for numerical weather prediction generally has little impact on the cloud regimes, although the simulation of tropical shallow cumulus is improved, while the relative frequency of tropical deep convection and cirrus compare less favorably with observations. Analysis of the initial temperature tendency profiles for each cloud regime indicates that some of the initial temperature tendency, which leads to a systematic bias in the model climatology, is associated with a particular cloud regime.

Impacts of mineral dust on ice clouds in tropical deep convection systems

2014 ◽  
Vol 143 ◽  
pp. 64-72 ◽  
Author(s):  
Q.-L. Min ◽  
R. Li ◽  
B. Lin ◽  
E. Joseph ◽  
V. Morris ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mineral Dust ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Ice Clouds ◽  
Tropical Deep Convection

scholarly journals A Unified Convection Scheme (UNICON). Part I: Formulation

2014 ◽  
Vol 71 (11) ◽  
pp. 3902-3930 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sungsu Park
Keyword(s):  
Deep Convection ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Vertical Transport ◽  
Convective Precipitation ◽  
Cold Pool ◽  
Quasi Equilibrium ◽  
Convection Scheme ◽  
Time Step ◽  
Turbulent Eddies

Abstract The author develops a unified convection scheme (UNICON) that parameterizes relative (i.e., with respect to the grid-mean vertical flow) subgrid vertical transport by nonlocal asymmetric turbulent eddies. UNICON is a process-based model of subgrid convective plumes and mesoscale organized flow without relying on any quasi-equilibrium assumptions such as convective available potential energy (CAPE) or convective inhibition (CIN) closures. In combination with a relative subgrid vertical transport scheme by local symmetric turbulent eddies and a grid-scale advection scheme, UNICON simulates vertical transport of water species and conservative scalars without double counting at any horizontal resolution. UNICON simulates all dry–moist, forced–free, and shallow–deep convection within a single framework in a seamless, consistent, and unified way. It diagnoses the vertical profiles of the macrophysics (fractional area, plume radius, and number density) as well as the microphysics (production and evaporation rates of convective precipitation) and the dynamics (mass flux and vertical velocity) of multiple convective updraft and downdraft plumes. UNICON also prognoses subgrid cold pool and mesoscale organized flow within the planetary boundary layer (PBL) that is forced by evaporation of convective precipitation and accompanying convective downdrafts but damped by surface flux and entrainment at the PBL top. The combined subgrid parameterization of diagnostic convective updraft and downdraft plumes, prognostic subgrid mesoscale organized flow, and the feedback among them remedies the weakness of conventional quasi-steady diagnostic plume models—the lack of plume memory across the time step—allowing UNICON to successfully simulate various transitional phenomena associated with convection (e.g., the diurnal cycle of precipitation and the Madden–Julian oscillation).

scholarly journals Ensemble forecasting with a stochastic convective parametrization based on equilibrium statistics

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 30457-30485 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Groenemeijer ◽  
G. C. Craig
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Mesoscale Model ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Ensemble Forecasting ◽  
Total Variance ◽  
Ensemble Prediction ◽  
Ensemble Prediction System ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The stochastic Plant-Craig scheme for deep convection was implemented in the COSMO mesoscale model and used for ensemble forecasting. Ensembles consisting of 100 48 h forecasts at 7 km horizontal resolution were generated for a 2000 × 2000 km domain covering central Europe. Forecasts were made for seven case studies and characterized by different large-scale meteorological environments. Each 100 member ensemble consisted of 10 groups of 10 members, with each group driven by boundary and initial conditions from a selected member from the global ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. The precipitation variability within and among these groups of members was computed, and it was found that the relative contribution to the ensemble variance introduced by the stochastic convection scheme was substantial, amounting to as much as 76% of the total variance in the ensemble in one of the studied cases. The impact of the scheme was not confined to the grid scale, and typically contributed 25–50% of the total variance even after the precipitation fields had been smoothed to a resolution of 35 km. The variability of precipitation introduced by the scheme was approximately proportional to the total amount of convection that occurred, while the variability due to large-scale conditions changed from case to case, being highest in cases exhibiting strong mid-tropospheric flow and pronounced meso- to synoptic scale vorticity extrema. The stochastic scheme was thus found to be an important source of variability in precipitation cases of weak large-scale flow lacking strong vorticity extrema, but high convective activity.

Effect of Surface Fluxes versus Radiative Heating on Tropical Deep Convection

2015 ◽  
Vol 72 (9) ◽  
pp. 3378-3388 ◽  
Author(s):  
Usama Anber ◽  
Shuguang Wang ◽  
Adam Sobel
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Multiple Equilibria ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Surface Fluxes ◽  
Radiative Heating ◽  
Net Energy ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Tropical Deep Convection ◽  
Gross Moist Stability

Abstract The effects of turbulent surface fluxes and radiative heating on tropical deep convection are compared in a series of idealized cloud-system-resolving simulations with parameterized large-scale dynamics. Two methods of parameterizing the large-scale dynamics are used: the weak temperature gradient (WTG) approximation and the damped gravity wave (DGW) method. Both surface fluxes and radiative heating are specified, with radiative heating taken as constant in the vertical in the troposphere. All simulations are run to statistical equilibrium. In the precipitating equilibria, which result from sufficiently moist initial conditions, an increment in surface fluxes produces more precipitation than an equal increment of column-integrated radiative heating. This is straightforwardly understood in terms of the column-integrated moist static energy budget with constant normalized gross moist stability. Under both large-scale parameterizations, the gross moist stability does in fact remain close to constant over a wide range of forcings, and the small variations that occur are similar for equal increments of surface flux and radiative heating. With completely dry initial conditions, the WTG simulations exhibit hysteresis, maintaining a dry state with no precipitation for a wide range of net energy inputs to the atmospheric column. The same boundary conditions and forcings admit a rainy state also (for moist initial conditions), and thus multiple equilibria exist under WTG. When the net forcing (surface fluxes minus radiative heating) is increased enough that simulations that begin dry eventually develop precipitation, the dry state persists longer after initialization when the surface fluxes are increased than when radiative heating is increased. The DGW method, however, shows no multiple equilibria in any of the simulations.

scholarly journals The impact of overshooting deep convection on local transport and mixing in the tropical upper troposphere/lower stratosphere (UTLS)

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (11) ◽  
pp. 6467-6486 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Frey ◽  
R. Schofield ◽  
P. Hoor ◽  
D. Kunkel ◽  
F. Ravegnani ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Lower Stratosphere ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Transport Processes ◽  
Convective System ◽  
Upper Troposphere ◽  
Tropical Tropopause Layer ◽  
Tropical Tropopause ◽  
Transport And Mixing ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. In this study we examine the simulated downward transport and mixing of stratospheric air into the upper tropical troposphere as observed on a research flight during the SCOUT-O3 campaign in connection with a deep convective system. We use the Advanced Research Weather and Research Forecasting (WRF-ARW) model with a horizontal resolution of 333 m to examine this downward transport. The simulation reproduces the deep convective system, its timing and overshooting altitudes reasonably well compared to radar and aircraft observations. Passive tracers initialised at pre-storm times indicate the downward transport of air from the stratosphere to the upper troposphere as well as upward transport from the boundary layer into the cloud anvils and overshooting tops. For example, a passive ozone tracer (i.e. a tracer not undergoing chemical processing) shows an enhancement in the upper troposphere of up to about 30 ppbv locally in the cloud, while the in situ measurements show an increase of 50 ppbv. However, the passive carbon monoxide tracer exhibits an increase, while the observations show a decrease of about 10 ppbv, indicative of an erroneous model representation of the transport processes in the tropical tropopause layer. Furthermore, it could point to insufficient entrainment and detrainment in the model. The simulation shows a general moistening of air in the lower stratosphere, but it also exhibits local dehydration features. Here we use the model to explain the processes causing the transport and also expose areas of inconsistencies between the model and observations.

scholarly journals Simulations of Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillation Using Climate Forecast System Version 2: Insight for Horizontal Resolution and Moist Processes Parameterization

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 429 ◽  
Author(s):  
Snehlata Tirkey ◽  
P. Mukhopadhyay ◽  
R. Phani Murali Krishna ◽  
Ashish Dhakate ◽  
Kiran Salunke
Keyword(s):  
Deep Convection ◽  
Intraseasonal Oscillation ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Specific Humidity ◽  
Climate Forecast ◽  
Forecast System ◽  
Climate Forecast System ◽  
The North ◽  
Northward Propagation ◽  
Moist Processes

In the present study, we analyze the Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) model in three resolutions, T62, T126, and T382. We evaluated the performance of all three resolutions of CFSv2 in simulating the Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillation (MISO) of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) by analyzing a suite of dynamic and thermodynamic parameters. Results reveal a slower northward propagation of MISO in all models with the characteristic northwest–southeast tilted rain band missing over India. The anomalous moisture convergence and vorticity were collocated with the convection center instead of being northwards. This affected the northward propagation of MISO. The easterly shear to the north of the equator was better simulated by the coarser resolution models than CFS T382. The low level specific humidity showed improvement only in CFS T382 until ~15° N. The analyses of the vertical profiles of moisture and its relation to rainfall revealed that all CFSv2 resolutions had a lower level of moisture in the lower level (< 850 hPa) and a drier level above. This eventually hampered the growth of deep convection in the model. These model shortcomings indicate a possible need of improvement in moist process parameterization in the model in tune with the increase in resolution.

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