Climate Change and Projections of Temperature-Related Mortality

2017 ◽  
pp. 165-180 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dmitry Shaposhnikov ◽  
Boris Revich
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Related Mortality

scholarly journals The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. M. Vicedo-Cabrera ◽  
N. Scovronick ◽  
F. Sera ◽  
D. Royé ◽  
R. Schneider ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Related Mortality

scholarly journals A System Dynamics Model to Facilitate the Development of Policy for Urban Heat Island Mitigation

Urban Science ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 19
Author(s):  
Robert Dare
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
System Dynamics ◽  
Urban Heat Island ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Specific Information ◽  
Heat Island ◽  
System Dynamics Model ◽  
Dynamics Model ◽  
Urban Heat ◽  
Related Mortality

This article presents a customized system dynamics model to facilitate the informed development of policy for urban heat island mitigation within the context of future climate change, and with special emphasis on the reduction of heat-related mortality. The model incorporates a variety of components (incl.: the urban heat island effect; population dynamics; climate change impacts on temperature; and heat-related mortality) and is intended to provide urban planning and related professionals with: a facilitated means of understanding the risk of heat-related mortality within the urban heat island; and location-specific information to support the development of reasoned and targeted urban heat island mitigation policy.

Heat-related mortality under climate change and the impact of adaptation through air conditioning: A case study from Thessaloniki, Greece

2021 ◽  
pp. 111285
Author(s):  
Panayiotis Kouis ◽  
Kyriaki Psistaki ◽  
George Yiallouros ◽  
Antonis Michanikou ◽  
Maria G. Kakkoura ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Air Conditioning ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Related Mortality

Projecting future climate change impacts on heat-related mortality in large urban areas in China

2018 ◽  
Vol 163 ◽  
pp. 171-185 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ying Li ◽  
Ting Ren ◽  
Patrick L. Kinney ◽  
Andrew Joyner ◽  
Wei Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Urban Areas ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Related Mortality

scholarly journals Statistical Modelling of Temperature-Attributable Deaths in Portuguese Metropolitan Areas under Climate Change: Who Is at Risk?

Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 159
Author(s):  
Mónica Rodrigues ◽  
Paula Santana ◽  
Alfredo Rocha
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Metropolitan Area ◽  
Age Groups ◽  
Circulatory System ◽  
Statistical Modelling ◽  
Attributable Mortality ◽  
Historical Period ◽  
Age Group ◽  
Circulatory System Diseases ◽  
Related Mortality

Several studies emphasize that temperature-related mortality can be expected to have differential effects on different subpopulations, particularly in the context of climate change. This study aims to evaluate and quantify the future temperature-attributable mortality due to circulatory system diseases by age groups (under 65 and 65+ years), in Lisbon metropolitan area (LMA) and Porto metropolitan area (PMA), over the 2051–2065 and 2085–2099 time horizons, considering the greenhouse gas emissions scenario RCP8.5, in relation to a historical period (1991–2005). We found a decrease in extreme cold-related deaths of 0.55% and 0.45% in LMA, for 2051–2065 and 2085–2099, respectively. In PMA, there was a decrease in cold-related deaths of 0.31% and 0.49% for 2051–2065 and 2085–2099, respectively, compared to 1991–2005. In LMA, the burden of extreme heat-related mortality in age group 65+ years is slightly higher than in age group <65 years, at 2.22% vs. 1.38%, for 2085–2099. In PMA, only people aged 65+ years showed significant temperature-related burden of deaths that can be attributable to hot temperatures. The heat-related excess deaths increased from 0.23% for 2051–2065 to 1.37% for 2085–2099, compared to the historical period.

Cold- and heat-related mortality: a cautionary note on current damage functions with net benefits from climate change

2017 ◽  
Vol 142 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 407-418 ◽  
Author(s):  
Veronika Huber ◽  
Dolores Ibarreta ◽  
Katja Frieler
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Cautionary Note ◽  
Damage Functions ◽  
Net Benefits ◽  
Related Mortality

scholarly journals Projecting Future Heat-Related Mortality under Climate Change Scenarios: A Systematic Review

2011 ◽  
Vol 119 (12) ◽  
pp. 1681-1690 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cunrui Huang ◽  
Adrian Gerard Barnett ◽  
Xiaoming Wang ◽  
Pavla Vaneckova ◽  
Gerard FitzGerald ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Systematic Review ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Related Mortality

scholarly journals Temporal Trends in Heat-Related Mortality: Implications for Future Projections

Atmosphere ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (10) ◽  
pp. 409 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick Kinney
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
High Temperatures ◽  
Temporal Trends ◽  
Premature Mortality ◽  
Mortality Risks ◽  
Exposure Response ◽  
Heat Effects ◽  
Trends Over Time ◽  
Over Time ◽  
Related Mortality

High temperatures have large impacts on premature mortality risks across the world, and there is concern that warming temperatures associated with climate change, and in particular larger-than-expected increases in the proportion of days with extremely high temperatures, may lead to increasing mortality risks. Comparisons of heat-related mortality exposure-response functions across different cities show that the effects of heat on mortality risk vary by latitude, with more pronounced heat effects in more northerly climates. Evidence has also emerged in recent years of trends over time in heat-related mortality, suggesting that in many locations, the risk per unit increase in temperature has been declining. Here, I review the emerging literature on these trends, and draw conclusions for studies that seek to project future impacts of heat on mortality. I also make reference to the more general heat-mortality literature, including studies comparing effects across locations. I conclude that climate change projection studies will need to take into account trends over time (and possibly space) in the exposure response function for heat-related mortality. Several potential methods are discussed.

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