Mom, you're only remembering the bad behavior! the utility of distributed lag models in single-subject research

Subject. The article addresses projections of regional budget revenues, using distributed lag models. Objectives. The purpose is to review economic and statistical tools that are suitable for the analysis of relationship between the revenues of the regional budget system and regional macroeconomic predictors. Methods. The study draws on statistical, constructive, economic and mathematical methods of analysis. Results. In models with quantitative variables obtained under the Almon method, the significant predictors in the forecasting of regional budget revenues are determined mainly by the balanced financial result, the consumer price index, which characterizes inflation processes in the region, and the unemployment rate being the key indicator of the labor market. Models with quantitative variables obtained through the Koyck transformation are characterized by a wider range of predictors, the composition of which is determined by the peculiarities of economic situation in regions. The two-year forecast provides the average lag obtained during the evaluation of the models. The exception is the impact of unemployment rate, which is characterized as long-term. Conclusions. To generate forecasts of budget parameters, the results of both the Koyck method and the Almon method should be considered, though the former is more promising.

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A Review of Korean Research Trends and the Quality of Evidence of Single–subject Research in Language Interventions of Students for Autism Spectrum Disorders

Journal of Special Education ◽

10.31863/jse.2019.08.35.2.31 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 35 (2) ◽

pp. 31-54

Author(s):

Seol A Kim ◽

Seung Lim Noh ◽

Bo Ram Park

Keyword(s):

Autism Spectrum Disorders ◽

Autism Spectrum ◽

Research Trends ◽

Single Subject ◽

Quality Of Evidence ◽

Single Subject Research ◽

Language Interventions ◽

Spectrum Disorders

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A Literature Review on Single Subject Research about Social skill Interventions for Students with High-Functioning Autism Disorder and Asperger Disorder

Korean Association For Learner-Centered Curriculum And Instruction ◽

10.22251/jlcci.2019.19.2.1051 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 19 (2) ◽

pp. 1051-1078

Author(s):

Sang Shin Jeon

Keyword(s):

Literature Review ◽

Social Skill ◽

High Functioning Autism ◽

Single Subject ◽

High Functioning ◽

Single Subject Research ◽

Asperger Disorder ◽

Autism Disorder

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Aggregating the idiographic data of single-subject research

Social Work Research and Abstracts ◽

10.1093/swra/21.2.9 ◽

1985 ◽

Vol 21 (2) ◽

pp. 9-12 ◽

Cited By ~ 15

Author(s):

K. J. Corcoran

Keyword(s):

Single Subject ◽

Single Subject Research

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Developing Reading Skills in Prelingually Deaf Preschool Children: Fingerspelling as a Strategy to Promote Orthographic Learning

The Journal of Deaf Studies and Deaf Education ◽

10.1093/deafed/enab004 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Paul Miller ◽

Efrat Banado-Aviran ◽

Orit E Hetzroni

Keyword(s):

Intervention Program ◽

Orthographic Knowledge ◽

Single Subject ◽

Initial Development ◽

Semantic Categories ◽

Single Subject Research ◽

Phonological Knowledge ◽

Multiple Probe ◽

Orthographic Learning ◽

Prelingually Deaf

Abstract The aim of this study was to clarify whether fingerspelling provides a sophisticated mechanism that promotes the development of detailed orthographic knowledge for deaf individuals even in the absence of paralleling phonological knowledge. An intervention program comprised of various procedures chaining between fingerspelled sequences; their written correlates and meaning were administered in a multiple probe single-subject research design across semantic categories to four children with severe to profound prelingual hearing loss (age 4.2–6 years). Results demonstrate the occurrence of rapid orthographic learning during intervention and reliable retention of it in maintenance checks, despite the participants’ insufficiently developed phonological skills. Observations of the participants’ behavior further suggest fingerspelling to function as an effective mediator in the initial development of robust detailed orthographic lexicon. Analyzes also indicate that “learning through action” and “relevance to the task” provide two key factors in relation to the promotion of orthographic learning, with their absence creating an obvious vacuum in this regard. Insights from the study are discussed with reference to their implication for the development of learning materials and learning environments for prelingually deaf and other novice learners.

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Pilot Study of the Physiological Subscale of the Revised Children's Manifest Anxiety Scale

Psychological Reports ◽

10.1177/0033294187060003-261.1 ◽

1987 ◽

Vol 60 (3_part_2) ◽

pp. 1299-1304

Author(s):

Steven W. Lee ◽

Wayne C. Piersel

Keyword(s):

Pilot Study ◽

Skin Temperature ◽

Research Design ◽

Anxiety Scale ◽

Single Subject ◽

Single Subject Research ◽

Manifest Anxiety

The physiological subscale of the Revised Children's Manifest Anxiety Scale was examined using a matched single-subject research design. As predicted, a high scorer on the physiological subscale had a significantly higher resting EMG and did not significantly recover as did the low scorer on the physiological subscale on EMG. Contradictory findings were observed on skin temperature measures. Findings are discussed relative to the scope and shortcomings of the investigation, and directions for research are suggested.

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Analysis and Forecasts of the Demand for Imported Wine in China

Cornell Hospitality Quarterly ◽

10.1177/1938965520981070 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 193896552098107

Author(s):

Anyu Liu ◽

Haiyan Song

Keyword(s):

Single Equation ◽

Specific Model ◽

Specific Method ◽

Sparkling Wine ◽

Econometric Methods ◽

Distributed Lag ◽

Distributed Lag Models ◽

Wine Market ◽

Wine Demand

The aim of this study is to investigate the long-term determinants of China’s imported wine demand and to forecast wine imports from 2019 to 2023 using econometric methods. Auto-regressive distributed lag models are developed based on neoclassical economic demand theory to investigate the long-term determinants of China’s demand for imported bottled, bulk, and sparkling wine from the top five countries of origin. The empirical results demonstrate that income is the most important determinant of China’s imported wine demand, and that price only plays a significant role in a few markets. Substitute and complement effects are identified between wines from different countries of origin and between imported wines and other liquids. China’s imported wine demand is expected to maintain its rapid growth over the forecast period. Bottled wine will continue to dominate China’s imported wine market. France will have the largest market share in the bottled wine market, Spain will be the largest provider of bulk wine, and Italy will hold the same position for sparkling wine. This is the first study to use a single equation with the general to specific method rather than a system of equations to estimate and forecast China’s demand for imported bottled, bulk, and sparkling wines from different countries of origin. The more specific model setting for each country of origin improves forecasting accuracy.

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