scholarly journals Quantitative CT radiomics-based models for prediction of haematoma expansion and poor functional outcome in primary intracerebral haemorrhage

Author(s):  
Stefan Pszczolkowski ◽  
José P. Manzano-Patrón ◽  
Zhe K. Law ◽  
Kailash Krishnan ◽  
Azlinawati Ali ◽  
...  

Abstract Objectives To test radiomics-based features extracted from noncontrast CT of patients with spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage for prediction of haematoma expansion and poor functional outcome and compare them with radiological signs and clinical factors. Materials and methods Seven hundred fifty-four radiomics-based features were extracted from 1732 scans derived from the TICH-2 multicentre clinical trial. Features were harmonised and a correlation-based feature selection was applied. Different elastic-net parameterisations were tested to assess the predictive performance of the selected radiomics-based features using grid optimisation. For comparison, the same procedure was run using radiological signs and clinical factors separately. Models trained with radiomics-based features combined with radiological signs or clinical factors were tested. Predictive performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) score. Results The optimal radiomics-based model showed an AUC of 0.693 for haematoma expansion and an AUC of 0.783 for poor functional outcome. Models with radiological signs alone yielded substantial reductions in sensitivity. Combining radiomics-based features and radiological signs did not provide any improvement over radiomics-based features alone. Models with clinical factors had similar performance compared to using radiomics-based features, albeit with low sensitivity for haematoma expansion. Performance of radiomics-based features was boosted by incorporating clinical factors, with time from onset to scan and age being the most important contributors for haematoma expansion and poor functional outcome prediction, respectively. Conclusion Radiomics-based features perform better than radiological signs and similarly to clinical factors on the prediction of haematoma expansion and poor functional outcome. Moreover, combining radiomics-based features with clinical factors improves their performance. Key Points • Linear models based on CT radiomics-based features perform better than radiological signs on the prediction of haematoma expansion and poor functional outcome in the context of intracerebral haemorrhage. • Linear models based on CT radiomics-based features perform similarly to clinical factors known to be good predictors. However, combining these clinical factors with radiomics-based features increases their predictive performance.

2021 ◽  
pp. svn-2020-000684
Author(s):  
Andrés da Silva-Candal ◽  
Iria López-Dequidt ◽  
Manuel Rodriguez-Yañez ◽  
Paulo Ávila-Gómez ◽  
José Manuel Pumar ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo study the association between early growth of haematoma with biomarkers of endothelial dysfunction such as leukoaraiosis (LA) and the soluble tumour necrosis factor-like weak inducer of apoptosis (sTWEAK) in patients with intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH).MethodsThis is a retrospective observational study of patients with nontraumatic ICH. Clinical and biochemical parameters were analysed. sTWEAK levels were measured by ELISA. LA was analysed in the hemisphere without haemorrhage to avoid interference with the acute injury. The main endpoint was the haematoma growth evaluated by the difference in volume between the second and the initial neuroimage. Poor functional outcome, defined as a modified Rankin Scale >2 at 3 months, was considered as secondary endpoint. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed to stablish the best cut-off for sTWEAK levels associated with haematoma growth.ResultsWe included 653 patients with ICH in our analysis (71.1±11.9 years, 44% women). Haematoma growth was observed in 188 patients (28.8%). sTWEAK levels ≥5600 pg/mL predicted ICH growth with a sensitivity of 84% and a specificity of 87%. sTWEAK levels ≥5600 pg/mL and the presence of LA were associated with haematoma growth (OR: 42.46; (CI 95% 22.67 to 79.52) and OR: 2.73 (CI 95% 1.39 to 5.34), respectively). Also, the presence of LA (OR: 4.31 (CI 95% 2.89 to 6.42)) and the interaction between ICH growth and sTWEAK (OR: 2.23 (CI 95% 1.40 to 3.55)) were associated with poor functional outcome at 3 months.ConclusionsTWEAKs, together with the presence and grade of LA, are biomarkers able to predict ICH growth and poor functional outcome in patients with ICH.


2018 ◽  
Vol 90 (1) ◽  
pp. 75-83 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oliver Jonathan Ziff ◽  
Gargi Banerjee ◽  
Gareth Ambler ◽  
David J Werring

ObjectiveWhether statins increase the risk of intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) in patients with a previous stroke remains uncertain. This study addresses the evidence of statin therapy on ICH and other clinical outcomes in patients with previous ischaemic stroke (IS) or ICH.MethodsA systematic literature review and meta-analysis was performed in conformity with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines to assess observational and randomised studies comparing statin therapy with control (placebo or no treatment) in patients with a previous ICH or IS. The risk ratios (RR) for the primary outcome (ICH) and secondary outcomes (IS, any stroke, mortality and function) were pooled using random effects meta-analysis according to stroke subtype.ResultsForty-three studies with a combined total of 317 291 patient-years of follow-up were included. In patients with previous ICH, statins had no significant impact on the pooled RR for recurrent ICH (1.04, 95% CI 0.86 to 1.25; n=23 695); however, statins were associated with significant reductions in mortality (RR 0.49, 95% CI 0.36 to 0.67; n=89 976) and poor functional outcome (RR 0.71, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.75; n=9113). In patients with previous IS, statins were associated with a non-significant increase in ICH (RR 1.36, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.91; n=103 525), but significantly lower risks of recurrent IS (RR 0.74, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.83; n=53 162), any stroke (RR 0.82, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.99; n=55 260), mortality (RR 0.68, 95% CI 0.50 to 0.92; n=74 648) and poor functional outcome (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.91; n=34 700).ConclusionsIrrespective of stroke subtype, there were non-significant trends towards future ICH with statins. However, this risk was overshadowed by substantial and significant improvements in mortality and functional outcome among statin users.Trial registration numberCRD42017079863.


2017 ◽  
Vol 89 (3) ◽  
pp. 263-270 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gregoire Boulouis ◽  
Andrea Morotti ◽  
Marco Pasi ◽  
Joshua N Goldstein ◽  
M Edip Gurol ◽  
...  

IntroductionThe characteristics and natural history of acute non-vitamin K antagonists oral anticoagulants (NOAC)-associated intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) are largely unknown. We performed a comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis to compare baseline ICH volume, haematoma expansion and clinical outcomes between NOAC-ICH versus vitamin K antagonists-ICH (VKA-ICH).MethodsWe searched PubMed and conference abstracts for observational studies comparing baseline characteristics and outcomes in patients with NOAC-ICH versus VKA-ICH using an appropriate keyword/MeSH term search strategy. Data were extracted following PRISMA and MOOSE guidelines. The main outcome measures were mortality and unfavourable functional outcome (modified Rankin Score: 4–6) at discharge and at 3 months, as well as ICH volumes and haematoma expansion rates in the two groups. Random-effects models with DerSimonian-Laird weights were used for pooled estimates calculation.ResultsTwelve studies including 393 NOAC-ICH and 3482 VKA-ICH were pooled in meta-analysis. There was no difference in mean ICH-volume between the two groups (standard mean difference: −0.24; 95% CI −0.52 to 0.04, p=0.093). The rates of haematoma expansion were comparable in NOAC-ICH versus VKA-ICH (OR: 0.76; 95% CI 0.49 to 1.19, p=0.236). We did not find any difference between patients with NOAC-ICH versus VKA-ICH in all-cause mortality at discharge (OR: 0.66; 95% CI 0.42 to 1.05, p=0.077) and unfavourable functional outcome at discharge (OR: 0.77; 95% CI 0.41 to 1.44, p=0.413). The 3-month outcome was also comparable between the two ICH groups. Moderate-to-substantial statistical heterogeneity was noted.ConclusionOur results confirm that ICH volume, haematoma expansion, mortality and functional outcome appear to be similar for NOAC-ICH versus VKA-ICH. Large prospective cohorts and updated meta-analyses are needed to provide more precise estimates.


2021 ◽  
pp. svn-2020-000656
Author(s):  
Ronda Lun ◽  
Vignan Yogendrakumar ◽  
Tim Ramsay ◽  
Michel Shamy ◽  
Robert Fahed ◽  
...  

ObjectiveThe concept of the ‘self-fulfilling prophecy’ is well established in intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH). The ability to improve prognostication and prediction of long-term outcomes during the first days of hospitalisation is important in guiding conversations around goals of care. We previously demonstrated that incorporating delayed imaging into various prognostication scores for ICH improves the predictive accuracy of 90-day mortality. However, delayed prognostication scores have not been used to predict long-term functional outcomes beyond 90 days.Design, setting and participantsWe analysed data from the ICH Deferoxamine trial to see if delaying the use of prognostication scores to 96 hours after ICH onset will improve performance to predict outcomes at 180 days. 276 patients were included.Interventions and measurementsWe calculated the original ICH score (oICH), modified-ICH score (MICH), max-ICH score and the FUNC score on presentation (baseline), and on day 4 (delayed). Outcomes assessed were mortality and poor functional outcome in survivors (defined as modified Rankin Scale of 4–5) at 180 days. We generated receiver operating characteristic curves, and measured the area under the curve values (AUC) for mortality and functional outcome. We compared baseline and delayed AUCs with non-parametric methods.ResultsAt 180 days, 21 of 276 (7.6%) died. Out of the survivors, 54 of 255 had poor functional outcome (21.2%). The oICH, MICH and max-ICH performed significantly better at predicting 180-day mortality when calculated 4 days later compared with their baseline equivalents ((0.74 vs 0.83, p=0.005), (0.73 vs 0.80, p=0.036), (0.74 vs 0.83, p=0.008), respectively). The delayed calculation of these scores did not significantly improve our accuracy for predicting poor functional outcomes.ConclusionDelaying the calculation of prognostication scores in acute ICH until day 4 improved prediction of 6-month mortality but not functional outcomes.Trial registration numberClinicalTrials.gov Registry (NCT02175225).


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hae Gi Park ◽  
Sunghan Kim ◽  
Joonho Chung ◽  
Chang Ki Jang ◽  
Keun Young Park ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The development of intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is linked with higher mortality and poor neurological recovery. Previous studies have investigated the effect of the amount and distribution of the initial IVH on the prognosis of aSAH. However, no studies have assessed the relationship between the changes in IVH over time and the prognosis of aSAH. The aim of this study was to analyze the effect of the clearance rate of IVH, which can be represented by the IVH clot clearance rate (CCR), on the outcomes of aSAH. Methods The IVH CCR was calculated based on the difference between the initial and follow-up modified Graeb scores (mGS), which were assessed by initial and 7-day follow-up brain computed tomography, respectively. Poor functional outcome was defined as a modified Rankin Scale score of 3–6. Univariate and multivariable analyses were performed to assess the relationships between IVH CCR and other risk factors and the prognosis of patients. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed to identify cut-off values of IVH CCR for predicting poor functional outcome. Results In total, 196 consecutive patients were diagnosed with aSAH between January 2014 and March 2018. According to the inclusion and exclusion criteria, 67 patients were finally included in the study. The univariate analysis revealed that a lower IVH CCR (p < 0.001), higher initial mGS (p < 0.001), older age (p < 0.001), higher initial Hunt and Hess grade (p < 0.001), presence of delayed infarction (p = 0.03), and presence of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (p = 0.004) were significantly related to poor functional outcome. The multivariable analysis revealed that IVH CCR (odds ratio [OR] 0.941; p = 0.029), initial mGS (OR 1.632; p = 0.043), age (OR 1.561; p = 0.007), initial Hunt and Hess grade (OR 227.296; p = 0.030), and delayed infarction (OR 5310.632; p = 0.023) were independent predictors of poor functional outcome. Optimal cut-off values of IVH CCR and mGS for poor outcome were 36.27%, and 13.5, respectively (all p < 0.001). Conclusions The IVH CCR might have an important predictive value on poor functional outcome in patients with aSAH and IVH, along with initial mGS, age, initial Hunt and Hess grade, and delayed infarction.


2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 89-93
Author(s):  
Md Mamnur Rashid ◽  
Chandra Shekhar Bala ◽  
MS Jahirul Hoque Choudhury ◽  
Mohammad Selim Shahi ◽  
Md Merazul Islam Shaikh ◽  
...  

Background: C-reactive protein is a biomarker among the spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage patients.Objective: The purpose of this present study was to see the association of CRP level with the short term clinical outcome among spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage patients.Methodology: This prospective cohort study was conducted in the Department of Neurology at Dhaka Medical College and Hospital, Dhaka, Bangladesh from July 2012 to June 2014 for a period of two (02) years. Patients presented with first ever spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage with the age group of more than or equal to 18 years with both sexes and hospital admission within 48 hours of onset were included for this study. Admission plasma CRP was measured and study population were divided into group I (plasma CRP≥6 mg/L) and group II (plasma CRP<6 mg/L). The patients were observed daily till 1 week after admission with special attention to vital parameters and clinical outcome which were mortality, functional outcome and early neurological worsening. Finally findings were analyzed and clinical outcome were compared in patient with different level of admission plasma CRP.Result: Early neurological worsening at the end of first week was 37(38%) patients. Poor functional outcome (GOS 2-3) at the end of first week was found in 51(52%) patients. Overall mortality within that period was 16(17%) patients. Elevated CRP level was associated with higher proportion of GCS score < 9 at day seven. Early neurological worsening and poor functional outcome (GOS2-3) was also found more in these patients.Conclusion: High admission plasma CRP level may be associated with higher proportions of poor short term outcome (GOS 2-3), early neurological worsening at the end of the first week after onset and mortality within this period in the patients with spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage.Journal of National Institute of Neurosciences Bangladesh, 2017;3(2): 89-93


2021 ◽  
pp. 174749302110062
Author(s):  
Dong W Shin ◽  
Philip B Gorelick ◽  
Hee-Joon Bae ◽  

Background and aims This study explores the relationship between systolic blood pressure during the acute period of stroke and poor functional outcome in patients with lacunar stroke, emphasizing a possible time-dependent nature of the relationship. Methods Based on multicenter stroke registry data, patients with acute lacunar stroke were identified, and systolic blood pressure levels at eight time points (1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 24, 48, and 72 h) after stroke onset were extracted at the 15 participating centers in South Korea. Poor functional outcome was defined as a three-month modified Rankin Scale score of 2–6. Non-linear restricted cubic spline and linear models were used for assessing the relationship at each time point. Results A total of 97,349 systolic blood pressure measurements of 3,042 patients were analyzed. At 1 h and 4 h after stroke onset, the relationship between systolic blood pressure and poor outcome showed a non-linear association. The nadir was 155 mmHg at 1 h and 124 mmHg at 4 h. After this time period, a higher systolic blood pressure was associated with a poorer outcome. This linear relationship weakened over time after 12 h (coefficient values of the adjusted linear models: 0.0081 at 8 h, 0.0105 at 12 h, 0.0102 at 24 h, 0.0082 at 48 h, 0.0054 at 72 h). Conclusions Based on our cohort of large number of lacunar stroke patients, our findings suggest that systolic blood pressure levels may follow a time-dependent course in relation to prediction of outcome at three months. The findings may be valuable for hypothesis generation in association with clinical trial development for blood pressure control in acute stroke patients.


2021 ◽  
pp. svn-2021-000941
Author(s):  
Ximing Nie ◽  
Jingyi Liu ◽  
Dacheng Liu ◽  
Qi Zhou ◽  
Wanying Duan ◽  
...  

Background and purposeCurrent randomised controlled trials (RCTs) showed an uncertain benefit of haemostatic therapy on preventing haematoma expansion and improving the outcome in patients with intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH). This meta-analysis aims to systematically evaluate the effect of haemostatic agents on the prevention of haemorrhage growth in patients with high-risk spontaneous ICH predicted by CT signs in RCTs.MethodsA comprehensive search of PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane library from 1 January 2005 to 30 June 2021 was conducted. RCTs that compared haemostatic agents with placebo for the treatment of spontaneous patients with ICH with high-risk haemorrhage growth were included. The primary endpoint was haematoma expansion at 24 hours. Other major endpoints of interest included 90-day functional outcome and mortality.ResultsThe meta-analysis included four RCTs that randomised 2666 patients with ICH with high-risk haemorrhage growth. Haemostatic therapy reduced the rate of haematoma expansion at a marginally statistically significant level when compared with placebo (OR 0.84; 95% CI 0.70 to 1.00; p=0.051). Subgroup analysis for patients with black hole sign on CT revealed a significant reduction of haematoma expansion with haemostatic therapy (OR 0.61; 95% CI 0.39 to 0.94; p=0.03). However, both the primary analysis and subgroup analyses showed that haemostatic therapy could not reduce the rate of poor functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale >3) or death.ConclusionsHaemostatic therapy showed a marginally significant benefit in reducing early haematoma expansion in patients with high-risk spontaneous ICH predicted by markers on CT scan. However, no significant improvement in functional outcome or reduction of mortality was observed.


2017 ◽  
Vol 38 (3) ◽  
pp. 382-392 ◽  
Author(s):  
Songlin Yu ◽  
Samantha J Ma ◽  
David S Liebeskind ◽  
Dandan Yu ◽  
Ning Li ◽  
...  

The purpose of this study was to develop and evaluate a scoring system for assessing reperfusion status based on arterial spin labeled (ASL) perfusion MRI in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients receiving thrombolysis and/or endovascular treatment. Pseudo-continuous ASL with background suppressed 3D GRASE was acquired along with DWI in 90 patients within 24 h post-treatment. An automatic reperfusion scoring system (auto-RPS) was devised based on the Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score (ASPECTS) template, and compared with manual RPS and DWI-ASPECTS. TICI (thrombolysis in cerebral infarction) scores were graded in 48 patients who received endovascular treatment. Favorable outcomes were defined by a modified Rankin Scale score of 0–2 at three months. Auto-RPS was positively correlated with DWI-ASPECTS (ρ = 0.6, P < 0.001) and was on average 1 point lower than DWI-ASPECTS ( P < 0.001). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for discriminating poor functional outcome (n = 90) was 0.75 (95% CI, 0.64–0.86) for manual RPS, 0.85 (95% CI, 0.76–0.94) for auto-RPS, and 0.81 (95% CI, 0.71–0.90) for DWI-ASPECTS. Multiple logistic regression analysis in the TICI-graded patients (n = 48) showed that auto-RPS is highly associated with functional outcome (OR = 25.2, 95% CI 4.02–496, P < 0.01). Post treatment auto-RPS within 24 h provides a useful tool to predict functional outcome in AIS patients.


BMC Neurology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hae Gi Park ◽  
Sunghan Kim ◽  
Joonho Chung ◽  
Chang Ki Jang ◽  
Keun Young Park ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The development of intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is linked with higher mortality and poor neurological recovery. Previous studies have investigated the effect of the amount and distribution of the initial IVH on the prognosis of aSAH. However, no studies have assessed the relationship between the changes in IVH over time and the prognosis of aSAH. The aim of this study was to analyze the effect of the clearance rate of IVH, which can be represented by the IVH clot clearance rate (CCR), on the outcomes of aSAH. Methods The IVH CCR was calculated based on the difference between the initial and follow-up modified Graeb scores (mGS), which were assessed by initial and 7-day follow-up brain computed tomography, respectively. Poor functional outcome was defined as a modified Rankin Scale score of 3-6. Univariate and multivariable analyses were performed to assess the relationships between IVH CCR and other risk factors and the prognosis of patients. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed to identify cut-off values of IVH CCR for predicting poor functional outcome. Results In total, 196 consecutive patients were diagnosed with aSAH between January 2014 and March 2018. According to the inclusion and exclusion criteria, 67 patients were finally included in the study. The univariate analysis revealed that a lower IVH CCR (p<0.001), higher initial mGS (p<0.001), older age (p<0.001), higher initial Hunt and Hess grade (p<0.001), presence of delayed infarction (p=0.03), and presence of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (p=0.004) were significantly related to poor functional outcome. The multivariable analysis revealed that IVH CCR (odds ratio [OR] 0.941; p=0.029), initial mGS (OR 1.632; p=0.043), age (OR 1.561; p=0.007), initial Hunt and Hess grade (OR 227.296; p=0.030), and delayed infarction (OR 5310.632; p=0.023) were independent predictors of poor functional outcome. Optimal cut-off values of IVH CCR and mGS for poor outcome were 36.27%, and 13.5, respectively (all p< 0.001). Conclusions The IVH CCR might have an important predictive value on poor functional outcome in patients with aSAH and IVH, along with initial mGS, age, initial Hunt and Hess grade, and delayed infarction.


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