Predictable and Unpredictable Components of the Summer East Asia–Pacific Teleconnection Pattern

2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (11) ◽  
pp. 1372-1380 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaozhen Lin ◽  
Chaofan Li ◽  
Riyu Lu ◽  
Adam A. Scaife
Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 704
Author(s):  
Xiaoxue Yin ◽  
Lian-Tong Zhou ◽  
Jingliang Huangfu

The interdecadal change in the relationship between the East Asia-Pacific (EAP) teleconnection pattern and rainfall over East China during boreal summer (June–August) was investigated using observation and reanalysis datasets during 1951–2018. As proposed in a previous study, summer rainfall in the Yangtze-Huaihe River (YH-R) valley is below (above) normal when a positive (negative) EAP event occurs. Based on the close relationship with the rainfall anomalies, the EAP teleconnection pattern has been widely used in the prediction of summer rainfall variations in the YH-R valley. However, we found that the rainfall anomalies in the YH-R basin associated with the EAP pattern were weaker and less evident after the late 1980s. This finding indicates a decreased relationship between the EAP pattern and YH-R basin summer rainfall after the late 1980s, and a decrease in the quality and skill of seasonal predictions of YH-R basin summer rainfall related to the EAP pattern. This pronounced weakening in the YH-R summer rainfall-EAP pattern connection is attributed to the northeastward displacement of the Japanese action center of the EAP pattern after the late 1980s, which caused weaker anomalous vertical motion and moisture transportation over the YH-R valley. The present research reveals that the interdecadal expansion in the size of the Indo-Pacific warm pool in the late 1980s is likely responsible for the northeastward shift in the Japanese action center of the EAP teleconnection pattern by modulating anomalous convective activities and the northward propagation of the EAP pattern.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
mingxin yang ◽  
Tiangui Xiao ◽  
Ping Zhao ◽  
Yong Li ◽  
Wei Huang ◽  
...  

Abstract Based on the summer precipitation data of 328 stations in Southwest China in 50 years and the reanalysis data of NCEP / NCAR monthly geopotential height field, and wind field, the relationship between summer precipitation in Southwest China and East Asia Pacific teleconnection pattern (EAP) and Scandinavian teleconnection pattern (SCA) is explored by using EOF, correlation analysis and synthetic analysis. The research results show that: the summer precipitation distribution in Southwest China is mainly divided into two types: the whole region consistent type and the north-south contrary type. EAP teleconnection patterns and SCA teleconnection patterns have a significant negative correlation with the precipitation in Southwest China during the same period. In the active year (teleconnection indices >= 0.3 or <= 0.3), the two teleconnection patterns mostly appear in the same phase, and the distribution of the precipitation is consistent with the second mode distribution of the EOF for summer precipitation in Southwest China, showing a north-south contrary distribution in Southwest China. The two types of teleconnections are divided into two configurations, both of which are positive phase (configuration I), and both are negative phase (configuration II). Configuration I, the summer precipitation in Southwest China presents the distribution of "more in the south and less in the north"; configuration II, the distribution of precipitation is opposite to that configuration I, showing the distribution of "more in the north and less in the south".


2018 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 267-282 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui Li ◽  
Panmao Zhai ◽  
Yang Chen ◽  
Er Lu

Abstract In this study, cases of the East Asia–Pacific (EAP) teleconnection pattern not responsible for persistent precipitation processes in the Yangtze River valley (YRV) have been investigated. The results suggest that such a type of EAP pattern has some linkage with persistent precipitation processes in south China (SC) with the following properties: 1) in response to the negative SSTAs and anticyclone near the Philippines, the meridional energy propagates from the low latitudes over the north of the Philippines; 2) the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) then intensifies and extends westward; 3) a meridional triple structure of the EAP teleconnection pattern is established; 4) at the same time, the cyclonic circulation over northeastern China introduces cold and dry air to the lower latitudes, merging with the water vapor into SC and leading to heavy precipitation from the fringe of the WPSH, the South China Sea, and the Bay of Bengal and the combination of systems persists for at least 3 days, leading to the persistent precipitation processes in SC; and 5) compared with the EAP teleconnection responsible for the precipitation in YRV, the positions of the three centers in the mid- and low latitudes are more southerly located than the YRV EAP centers. Further study indicates that the ocean surface heat conditions in the areas near the Philippines seem to be important in affecting the EAP teleconnection pattern for persistent precipitation processes in SC. Finally, all of the cases with persistent precipitation in SC during 1961–2010 linked with the EAP pattern have been investigated; the results are consistent with the above conclusions.


2019 ◽  
Vol 124 (8) ◽  
pp. 4395-4412 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruowen Yang ◽  
Shu Gui ◽  
Jie Cao

East Asia ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
pp. 321-341 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yasumasa Komori

2017 ◽  
Vol 43 (3) ◽  
pp. 494-515 ◽  
Author(s):  
Björn Jerdén

AbstractMany states partially relinquish sovereignty in return for physical protection from a more powerful state. Mainstream theory on international hierarchies holds that such decisions are based on rational assessments of the relative qualities of the political order being offered. Such assessments, however, are bound to be contingent, and as such a reflection of the power to shape understandings of reality. Through a study of the remarkably persistent US-led security hierarchy in East Asia, this article puts forward the concept of the ‘epistemic community’ as a general explanation of how such understandings are shaped and, hence, why states accept subordinate positions in international hierarchies. The article conceptualises a transnational and multidisciplinary network of experts on international security – ‘The Asia-Pacific Epistemic Community’ – and demonstrates how it operates to convince East Asian policymakers that the current US-led social order is the best choice for maintaining regional ‘stability’.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roger Buckley

Supported by an in-depth Introduction and contextual analysis, this six-volume set complements Series I (1918-1937 – From Armistice to North China), addressing the history between 1938 and1945. Despite the widespread operation of war-time censorship and surveillance, publishers in the West and, to a lesser degree in East Asia, put out a range of material that remains of considerable value to later generations. Some of the texts selected are undeniably partisan but the quantity of the published material (and to some extent its quality) left the general public with a vast and varied archive of printed matter that deserves to be consulted and debated by today's researchers and students. Greater attention is given to American and British literature rather than Chinese or Japanese simply by virtue of the practical realities.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document