scholarly journals Commodity price pass-through along the pricing chain

Author(s):  
Rebeca Jiménez-Rodríguez ◽  
Amalia Morales-Zumaquero

AbstractThis paper analyses the commodity price pass-through along the pricing chain for the global commodity price index and the indices of its main categories (i.e., agricultural raw materials, food and beverages, energy and metals) in the world, advanced and emerging economies. To do so, the study considers country-by-country vector autoregression models and pool the results by taking weighted means for 18 advanced economies and 19 emerging countries, as well as for the world (defined as the sum of advanced and emerging economies). The results show the following: (i) there is evidence in favour of partial pass-through from commodity prices to producer prices, although the evidence for the pass-through to consumer prices is less evident; (ii) the pass-through in the world seems to be led by both advanced and emerging countries for producer prices and only by advanced economies for consumer prices; (iii) higher prices in the four categories (agricultural raw materials only in the short-run) induce significant higher producer prices in almost all cases, with shocks in the prices of energy and metals showing the largest effects; and (iv) energy prices explain the highest variability of producer and consumer prices.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephan Unger ◽  
Goekhan Cebiroglu

Abstract This paper analyzes the price pass-through effect of the most heavily traded commodities to CPI constituents. We reveal the differences between EU CPI and US CPI constituent dependency on commodity prices, and investigate the dynamics of the price pass-through effect. Our major finding is that due to globalization the US exhibits a high degree of de-industrialization indicated by a break down of the commodity price pass-through effect, while European consumer prices still exhibit a significant exposure to commodity price fluctuations.


Author(s):  
Mahesh K. Joshi ◽  
J.R. Klein

The role of emerging markets is changing in the twenty-first century, from the traditional provider of low-cost, labor-intensive goods to a global growth engine. These emerging economies are growing at double the rate of advanced economies because of technology and global connectivity. Traditionally they have been big exporters of commodities and raw materials to the rest of the world. The export of commodities has contributed significantly to the development of industrial and physical infrastructure in many countries around the world. However, emerging markets are also lucrative markets and an important source of growth for many international companies as they export their products or increase their presence in these markets by opening subsidiaries or through joint venture mechanisms. Today these markets are coming into their own, moving from sole source exporters feeding the world’s growth to becoming increasingly significant normative economic members of the global family.


New Medit ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed EL GHIN ◽  
Mounir EL-KARIMI

This paper examines the world commodity prices pass-through to food inflation in Morocco, over the period 2004-2018, by using Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) model on monthly data. Several interesting results are found from this study. First, the impact of global food prices on domestic food inflation is shown significant, which reflects the large imported component in the domestic food consumption basket. Second, the transmission effect is found to vary across commodities. Consumer prices of cereals and oils significantly and positively respond to external price shocks, while those of dairy and beverages are weakly influenced. Third, there is evidence of asymmetries in the pass-through from world to domestic food prices, where external positive shocks generate a stronger local prices response than negative ones. This situation is indicative of policy and market distortions, namely the subsidies, price controls, and weak competitive market structures. Our findings suggest that food price movements should require much attention in monetary policymaking, especially that the country has taken preliminary steps towards the adoption of floating exchange rate regime.


Author(s):  
Yilmaz Akyüz

The crisis demolished the myth that EDEs were decoupled from advanced economies and BRICS were becoming new engines of global growth. From 2011 onwards, with the end of the twin booms in commodity prices and capital inflows, growth in EDEs has converged downward towards the depressed levels of advanced economies from the very high levels achieved in the run-up to the global crisis and the immediate aftermath. Loss of momentum is particularly visible in economies that failed to manage the earlier booms prudently. In examining the spillovers from policies in major advanced economies and China to EDEs, the chapter introduces the notion of commodity-finance nexus wherein these markets reinforce each other during both expansions and contractions. The chapter concludes with a brief discussion of policies needed to put the world economy into decent shape and to avoid liquidity and debt crises in EDEs.


2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Aaqib Sarwar ◽  
Muhammad Asif Khan ◽  
Zahid Sarwar ◽  
Wajid Khan

Purpose This paper aims to investigate the critical aspect of financial development, human capital and their interactive term on economic growth from the perspective of emerging economies. Design/methodology/approach Data set ranged from 2002 to 2017 of 83 emerging countries used in this research and collected from world development indicators of the World Bank. The two-step system generalized method of moments is used to conduct this research within the endogenous growth model while controlling time and country-specific effects. Findings The findings of the study indicate that financial development has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. In emerging countries, human capital also has a positive impact on economic growth. Financial development and human capital interactively affect economic growth for emerging economies positively and significantly. Research limitations/implications The data set is limited to 83 emerging countries of the world. The time period for the study is 2002 to 2017. Originality/value This research contributes to the existing literature on human capital, financial development and economic growth. Limited research has been conducted on the impact of financial development and human capital on economic growth.


2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 163-184 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaofen Tan ◽  
Yongjiao Ma

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to empirically analyze the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on a large sample of 19 commodity markets. Design/methodology/approach The authors rely on Jurado et al.’s (2015) measure of macroeconomic uncertainty based on a wide range of monthly macroeconomic and financial indicators and estimate a threshold VAR model to assess whether the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on commodity prices differs under the high- or low-uncertainty state. Findings The findings show that positive macroeconomic uncertainty shocks affect commodity prices returns negatively on average and the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty is generally higher in high-uncertainty states compared with low-uncertainty states. Besides, although the safe-haven role of precious metals is confirmed, energy and industrial markets are more sensitive to short-run and long-run macroeconomic uncertainty, respectively. Research limitations/implications The findings in this study suggest that commodity prices reflect not only the level of economic fundamental but also the volatility of economic fundamental. Originality/value This study empirically analyzes and verifies the influence of macroeconomic uncertainty not only on oil prices but also on four groups of 19 raw materials. As for the methodological issues, the authors rely on a structural threshold vector autoregressive specification for modeling commodity price returns to account for potentially different effects depending on the macroeconomic uncertainty states.


2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (04) ◽  
pp. 1650017
Author(s):  
FATMA MARRAKCHI CHARFI ◽  
MOHAMED KADRIA

In this paper, we tried to revisit the transmission degree of exchange rate variations to domestic prices (import prices, MPI; producer prices, PPI; and consumer prices, CPI) in Tunisia. To do this, we used the VAR–SVAR methodology, over the 2000:1–2013:12 period. The adopted mode is gathering national prices, nominal exchange rates, foreign prices and a control variable that is the interest rate. The findings highlights that the pass-through is incomplete for all considered prices. However, the degree of the exchange rate pass-through is the highest on import prices, is moderate on producer prices and is the lowest on consumer prices. Besides, the incomplete pass-through of MPI results from the pricing to market behavior and the lowest pass-through for CPI is due basically to the composition of this index which is administrated by 30% of its components. The impulse response functions analysis, that largely corroborates to the variance decomposition, shows that when the central bank conducts a restrictive monetary policy the inflation decreases without widening the output gap.


2020 ◽  
pp. 097215091989509
Author(s):  
Bruno Lopes de Paula ◽  
Daiana Paula Pimenta ◽  
Ricardo Limongi França Coelho ◽  
Jaluza Maria Lima Silva Borsatto ◽  
Rafael Manoel de Oliveira

The integration of the world economies is responsible for an increase in the number of cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&A), together with the growing participation of companies from emerging countries in this type of investment. However, the area studies focus their analyses on the determinants, antecedents and profitability of the companies, leaving the effects of this type of business on the operational risk of the companies involved as a gap to be explored. To fill it, we used panel data regressions to identify the relationship between cross-border M&A and the operational risk of companies. The results indicate that acquiring companies based in emerging economies are the ones that suffer the most significant impacts on this type of business. As the implication, this study serves as a basis for the decision-making of the managers of the acquiring companies, being able to identify the risks of this activity and the ways of preventing them.


2003 ◽  
pp. 67-80
Author(s):  
D. Golembiovsky ◽  
I. Baryshnikov

During the period of reforms the majority of Russian raw materials manufacturers has been reoriented at the world markets. The prices of raw materials have high volatility that leads to export incomes' uncertainty. In the article self-insurance and hedging strategies are considered with the purpose of minimizing commodity price risk.


Author(s):  
Kerstin Stahn

SummarySince changes in import prices feed into consumer prices and thus might affect monetary policy decisions, policymakers need to establish whether or not German importers’ long-run pricing behaviour has changed. Of particular interest are any shifts in the importance of cost pass-through and pricing-to-market for import pricing in Germany that may have ocurred since the 1990s. We analyse pricing in single equations for 11 product categories because the factors influencing the pricing behaviour, eg competitive pressure,may well have developed differently on the individual product markets. The Saikkonen (1991) approach is applied to test the import price levels for changes in the impact of their determinants. After aggregating the findings for the individual product categories, we find that, on the whole, pricing-to-market has increased, whereas cost pass-through via foreign costs and exchange rates is lower, but not via commodity prices.


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