scholarly journals Nature and climate change effects on economic growth: an LSTM experiment on renewable energy resources

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marco Mele ◽  
Antonia Rosa Gurrieri ◽  
Giovanna Morelli ◽  
Cosimo Magazzino
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Demand ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Renewable Energy Resources ◽  
Policy Action ◽  
Climate Change Effects ◽  
World Energy ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Positive Effect

AbstractGlobal energy demand increases overtime, especially in emerging market economies, producing potential negative environmental impacts, particularly on the long term, on nature and climate changes. Promoting renewables is a robust policy action in world energy-based economies. This study examines if an increase in renewables production has a positive effect on the Brazilian economy, partially offsetting the SARS-CoV2 outbreak recession. Using data on Brazilian economy, we test the contribution of renewables on the economy via a ML architecture (through a LSTM model). Empirical findings show that an ever-greater use of renewables may sustain the economic growth recovery, generating a better performing GDP acceleration vs. other energy variables.

PENGARUH INFRASTRUKTUR SECARA SPASIAL TERHADAP KONVERGENSI PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA

INFO ARTHA ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 1 ◽  
pp. 17-28
Author(s):  
Anisa Fahmi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Regional Economics ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Road Infrastructure ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Catch Up ◽  
The Developed Countries ◽  
Positive Effect ◽  
Neoclassical Growth Theory

Motivated by inter-regional disparities condition that occurs persistently, this study examines the Indonesian economy in the long run in order to know whether it tends to converge or diverge. This convergence is based on the Solow Neoclassical growth theory assuming the existence of diminishing returns to capital so that when the developed countries reach steady state conditions, developing countries will continuously grow up to 'catch-up' with developed countries. Based on regional economics perspective, each region can not be treated as a stand-alone unit,therefore, this study also focuses on the influence of spatial dependency and infrastructure. Economical and political situations of a region will influence policy in that region which will also have an impact to the neighboring regions. The estimation results of spatial cross-regressive model using fixed effect method consistently confirmed that the Indonesian economy in the long term will likely converge with a speed of 8.08 percent per year. Other findings are road infrastructure has a positive effect on economic growth and investment and road infrastructure are spatially showed a positive effect on economic growth. In other words, the investment and infrastructure of a region does not only affect the economic growth of that region but also to the economy of the contiguous regions. 

Study on Dynamic Relationship between Economic Growth and Energy Consumption in Chongqing - Based on 1980-2011 Data

2013 ◽  
Vol 448-453 ◽  
pp. 4319-4324
Author(s):  
Sheng Wang ◽  
Chun Yan Dai ◽  
En Chuang Wang ◽  
Chun Yan Li
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Energy Demand ◽  
Industrial Structure ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Improve Energy Efficiency ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship

Analyzed the dynamic interaction characteristics of Chongqing Economic growth and energy consumption between 1980-2011 based on vector auto regression model, impulse response function. The results showed that: 1 Between the Chongqing's economic growth and energy consumption exist the positive long-term stable equilibrium relationship, Chongqing's economic development depending on energy consumption is too high, to keep the economy in Chongqing's rapid economic development, energy relatively insufficient supply sustainable development must rely on the energy market, which will restrict the development of Chongqing's economy. 2At this stage, Chongqing continuing emphasis on optimizing the industrial structure to improve energy efficiency at the same time, the key is to establish and improve the energy consumption intensity and total energy demand "dual control" under the security system, weakening the energy bottleneck effect on economic growth.

scholarly journals Government Stimulus Policy Effects to Foster Indonesia's Economic Growth: Evidence from Seventeen Years' Experience

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 63-76
Author(s):  
Agus Sriyanto ◽  
Sri Murwani ◽  
Eleonora Sofilda
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Government Debt ◽  
Influential Factor ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Policy Effects ◽  
Stimulus Effects ◽  
Positive Effect

We study the budget stimulus effects and government spending to help foster the recovery of Indonesia's current economic growth that was hit by the monetary crisis 1997 and 2008. Using government spending allocation policies through capital expenditures, infrastructure expenditures, financing through government debt, private debts, and increased productivity through export and import activities. This research provides to proves the extent to which macroeconomic variables could promote Indonesia's economic growth due to the crisis—using quantitative analysis of time series in the analysis of cointegration autoregressive distribution lag and bounds testing cointegration starting from 2001 Q4 to 2018q4 data. We can prove that in the short term, the most influential factor in economic growth is the first lag of the GDP growth itself; The first lag of exports, and the first lag of government spending and imports. However, some factors still negatively affect corruption control, government effectiveness, and government debt. While in the long term, government expenditure and imports still have a positive effect, but corruption control is still hurt GDP.JEL Classification: G18, O47How to Cite:Sriyanto, A., Murwani, S., & Sofilda, E. (2021). Government Stimulus Policy Effects to Foster Indonesia's Economic Growth: Evidence from Seventeen Years' Experience. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 10(1), 63-76. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v10i1.15480.

The influence of unilateral supplier transaction-specific investments on international buyer opportunism: empirical findings from local suppliers in China

2020 ◽  
Vol 37 (2) ◽  
pp. 213-239 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Wang ◽  
Chun Zhang ◽  
Jun Li ◽  
Dong Huo ◽  
Xing Fan
Keyword(s):  
Emerging Market ◽  
Multiple Informants ◽  
Supplier Relationships ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Relationship Length ◽  
Cross Border ◽  
Specific Investments ◽  
Using Data ◽  
The Relationship

PurposeThis study examines how unilateral supplier transaction-specific investments (TSIs), directly and indirectly, influence international buyer opportunism and the extent to which detailed contracts enable suppliers to safeguard against international buyer opportunism. The study also examines whether relationship length affects the efficacy of detailed contracts in cross-border outsourcing relationships.Design/methodology/approachThe hypotheses are tested by using data collected from multiple informants working for 229 manufacturing suppliers in China. Multiple regression with a three-way interaction is used to test the hypotheses.FindingsUnilateral supplier TSIs encourage international buyer opportunism through increased supplier dependence. Contract specificity negatively moderates the effect of supplier dependence on international buyer opportunism. This moderating effect is stronger in long-term cross-border buyer–supplier relationships than in short-term ones.Originality/valueThe current study extends the cross-border outsourcing literature by examining how emerging-market suppliers in a weak power position can proactively safeguard against international buyer opportunism by using detailed contracts. Our findings show that supplier dependence mediates the relationship between unilateral supplier TSIs and international buyer opportunism; detailed contracts, however, can help dependent suppliers safeguard against international buyer opportunism. In particular, the findings highlight the importance of long-term buyer–supplier relationships that enhance the efficacy of detailed contracts.

scholarly journals The relationship between renewable energy and sustainable development in Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 922 (1) ◽  
pp. 012034
Author(s):  
G Syamni ◽  
Wardhiah ◽  
Zulkifli ◽  
M J A Siregar ◽  
Y A Sitepu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Renewable Energy Sources ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Positive Effect

Abstract This paper is conducted to examine the relationship between the use of renewable energy and FDI in Indonesia. The data used in this study is secondary data that has been published by the World Bank and accessed in www.Data.worldbank.org. periode 2004-2019. The data analysis method used is the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) method. The results of the study found that the use of renewable energy in the short and long term has a positive effect on Indonesia’s economic growth. Meanwhile, the same thing is also shown from the FDI variable in the short term and long term which has a significant positive effect on economic growth and has a positive effect on economic growth. Finally, with this finding, it is concluded that both the short and long term the Indonesian government needs to make a breakthrough to explore renewable energy sources for economic growth.

scholarly journals ANALISIS KAUSALITAS EKSPOR NON MIGAS DENGAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI MENGGUNAKAN METODE FINAL PREDICTION ERROR

2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 147
Author(s):  
Maulidyah Indira Hasmarini ◽  
Dwi Murtiningsih
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Prediction Error ◽  
Error Prediction ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Final Prediction Error ◽  
Starting Point ◽  
Final Error ◽  
Positive Effect ◽  
Growth Hypothesis

This research titled "Causality analysis non petrol export with economic growth using final error prediction methods". Goal which needs to find the answer in this research is to know that non petrol export variable affecting to economic growth variable and economic growth variable affecting non petrol export variable. And also to know final prediction error with existence of long term equilibrium between non petrol export with economic growth. Hypothesis proposed is non petrol export having positive effect to economic growth and economic growth have positive effect to non petrol export. Final error prediction with existence of relation between long term equilibrium and non petrol export and economic growth have positive effect, and final error prediction with existence of relation between long term equilibrium with economic growth and non petrol export have positive effect.Based on analysis there's only one direction causality relation between economic growth and non petrol export. From facts above can be concluded that economic growth will bring creation process and expanding strong domestic market because export is not a starting point or initial destination of economic growth but export only a economic growth process

scholarly journals TAX POLICY IN OECD COUNTIES

2018 ◽  
pp. 127-138
Author(s):  
Mykola PASICHNYI
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Tax Policy ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Oecd Countries ◽  
Emerging Market Economies ◽  
Tax Structure ◽  
Market Economies ◽  
Favorable Conditions

Introduction. Globalization intensifies the necessity for intergovernmental cooperation aiming to implement the measures on the tax and customs regulation. Considering both the economic cyclicality and historical retrospective, it is expedient to study the advanced and emerging market economies’ experience in the field of developing and implementing a set of fiscal policy measures during the economic expansion, recession, stagnation, and post-crisis recovery periods. The purposeis to systemize the experience of the government tax policy preparation and implementation in the OECD countries in the long-term retrospective, and to assess the tax structure and the level of taxation impact on economic growth. Results. Based on methods of economic regression to evaluate the fiscal policy in the OECD countries over 1981–2016 period, it was determined that increase in the tax burden did not provoke any significant destructive effect on the economy. At the same time, in the context of the tax structure, the taxes on capital had a negative impact on the real GDP growth rates, the taxes on labor had a lower degree of influence, and the effect of the taxes on consumption was almost neutral. The main measures of the tax regulation aimed to create the most favorable conditions for a long-term economic growth were investigated. The tax revenues structure’s complex analysis was carried out; the main tendencies of taxation were generalized. Conclusion. Tax policy is as an adaptive mechanism allowing to regulate the country’s economic development. The OECD countries consistently implement the systematic measures to reduce the income tax rate. This practice is caused by the need to create the most favorable conditions for the entrepreneurship development. Regarding the universal consumption taxes, a gradual rise in their rates was recorded. That fact is reflected by an increase in these taxes’ fiscal importance (taking into account the neutrality of their impact on the economic agents’ business activity). The transformation in the import operations’ model of taxation as well as the implementation and active intensification of free trade policies led to a reduction in the specific weight of customs duties. In modern conditions, the tax legislation’s unification as well as the strengthening of the supranational tax regulation’s role outline an important trend in the development of taxation systems both in advanced and emerging market economies.

scholarly journals PENGARUH VARIABEL MAKRO EKONOMI TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA TAHUN 2015-2019

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 88-99
Author(s):  
Feby Kinanda
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Trade Balance ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Positive Effect

This study aims to analyze the effect of macroeconomic variables including the open unemployment rate, trade balance, inflation rate and the rupiah exchange rate against the dollar on Indonesian economic growth by using the ECM error correction model approach to see the long-term and short-term relationships that influence macro variables on economic growth. , in the long term the open unemployment rate variable, the trade balance, the inflation rate have a negative effect while the exchange rate has a positive effect, while in the short term the open unemployment rate, the inflation rate and the exchange rate have a negative effect while the trade balance has a positive effect.   Keywords: Economic Growth, Open Unemployment Rate, Trade Balance, Inflation, Exchange Rate

scholarly journals Direction of Causality between Financial Development and Economic Growth in Turkey

2021 ◽  
pp. 22-37
Author(s):  
Cengiz Yılmaz ◽  
Banu Demirhan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
The Other ◽  
Development Indicators ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
Using Data

This paper has investigated the causality relationship between financial development and economic growth in Turkey, using data from 2005:04 to 2020:03. We construct a time-series model to explore causality relationships between the variables. In the study, two indicators were used as financial development indicators: banking loans to the private sector and money supply to GDP (Gross Domestic Product). The empirical results have represented a bi-directional relationship between financial development and economic growth in the short run. On the other hand, we have not found a causality relationship in the long term.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH GONCANGAN FAKTOR EKSTERNAL TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 25
Author(s):  
Monica Wulandari ◽  
Hasdi Aimon ◽  
Mike Triani
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Error Correction Model ◽  
External Factors ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Significant Positive Effect ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Positive Effect

The purpose of this research is to see how far the influence of external factors toward the economic growth in Indonesia and also to see any external factors that can decreasing economic growth in short and long term. The method is used in this research is Ordinary Least Square with use Error Correction Model (ECM) test and Cointegration. Based on analysis data was obtained three conclusions were; The first is based on the results of multiple regression, foreign investment and world oil prices and a significant positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia, while the exchange rate and foreign debt and no significant positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia at the 5% significance level. The second is in the short term through the Error Correction Model (ECM) test, the world oil price and foreign direct investment to boost economic growth while exchange rate USD / $ (NTR) and External Debt (ED) can shocks the economic growth in Indonesia. The third is in the long term through cointegration test, the variables included in the model and no significant negative effect on economic growth

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