Heavy structures in areas with expansive soils are commonly founded on piers resting beneath the surface active zone. During construction, the piers remain essentially unloaded and are exposed to potentially high tensile stresses that can split the pier unless the pier has been adequately reinforced. In this context, uncertainties arise relative to (i) the parameters governing the load transfer from the soil to the pier, (ii) the potential heave to be expected in a "free field" condition, when the soil movements are not restricted by the pier, and (iii) the estimation of the pier capacity to resist the induced stresses. Probabilistic models to handle and to quantify these uncertain parameters are constructed and then used to compute the probability of exceeding two potential limit states: (i) vertical pier head displacement and (ii) maximum tensile stress in a cross section of the pier. The displacements are used to assess the serviceability performance of the pier, and the maximum tensile stresses are used to estimate the reliability of the pier. Key words: piers, expansive soil, reliability, probability, foundations.