The importance of species interactions in eco-evolutionary community dynamics under climate change

AbstractEco-evolutionary dynamics are essential in shaping the biological response of communities to ongoing climate change. Here we develop a spatially explicit eco-evolutionary framework which features more detailed species interactions, integrating evolution and dispersal. We include species interactions within and between trophic levels, and additionally, we incorporate the feature that species’ interspecific competition might change due to increasing temperatures and affect the impact of climate change on ecological communities. Our modeling framework captures previously reported ecological responses to climate change, and also reveals two key results. First, interactions between trophic levels as well as temperature-dependent competition within a trophic level mitigate the negative impact of climate change on biodiversity, emphasizing the importance of understanding biotic interactions in shaping climate change impact. Second, our trait-based perspective reveals a strong positive relationship between the within-community variation in preferred temperatures and the capacity to respond to climate change. Temperature-dependent competition consistently results both in higher trait variation and more responsive communities to altered climatic conditions. Our study demonstrates the importance of species interactions in an eco-evolutionary setting, further expanding our knowledge of the interplay between ecological and evolutionary processes.

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The importance of species interactions in spatially explicit eco-evolutionary community dynamics under climate change

10.1101/2020.03.23.003335 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Anna Åkesson ◽

Alva Curtsdotter ◽

Anna Eklöf ◽

Bo Ebenman ◽

Jon Norberg ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Species Interactions ◽

Community Dynamics ◽

Evolutionary Dynamics ◽

Negative Relationship ◽

Trophic Levels ◽

Spatially Explicit ◽

Modeling Framework ◽

Impact Of Climate Change ◽

The Impact

AbstractEco-evolutionary dynamics are essential in shaping the biological response of communities to ongoing climate change. Here we develop a spatially explicit eco-evolutionary framework which integrates evolution, dispersal, and species interactions within and between trophic levels. This allows us to analyze how these processes interact to shape species- and community-level dynamics under climate change. Additionally, we incorporate the heretofore unexplored feature that species interactions themselves might change due to increasing temperatures and affect the impact of climate change on ecological communities. The new modeling framework captures previously reported ecological responses to climate change, and also reveals two new key results. First, interactions between trophic levels as well as temperature-dependent competition within a trophic level mitigate the negative impact of climate change on global biodiversity, emphasizing the importance of understanding biotic interactions in shaping climate change impact. Second, using a trait-based perspective, we found a strong negative relationship between the within-community variation in preferred temperatures and the capacity to respond to climate change. Communities resulting from different ecological interaction structures form distinct clusters along this relationship, but varying species’ abilities to disperse and adapt to new temperatures leave it unaffected.

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Impact of climate change on sediment yield in the Mekong River Basin: a case study of the Nam Ou Basin, Lao PDR

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions ◽

10.5194/hessd-9-3339-2012 ◽

2012 ◽

Vol 9 (3) ◽

pp. 3339-3384

Author(s):

B. Shrestha ◽

M. S. Babel ◽

S. Maskey ◽

A. van Griensven ◽

S. Uhlenbrook ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Sediment Yield ◽

Assessment Tool ◽

Negative Impact ◽

Lao Pdr ◽

Sediment Flux ◽

Monthly Precipitation ◽

Sediment Yields ◽

Impact Of Climate Change ◽

The Impact

Abstract. This paper evaluates the impact of climate change on sediment yield in the Nam Ou Basin located in Northern Laos. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) is used to assess future changes in sediment flux attributable to climate change. Future precipitation and temperature series are constructed through a delta change approach. As per the results, in general, temperature as well as precipitation show increasing trends in both scenarios, A2 and B2. However, monthly precipitation shows both increasing and decreasing trends. The simulation results exhibit that the wet and dry seasonal and annual stream discharges are likely to increase (by up to 15, 17 and 14% under scenario A2; and 11, 5 and 10% under scenario B2 respectively) in the future, which will lead to increased wet and dry seasonal and annual sediment yields (by up to 39, 28 and 36% under scenario A2; and 23, 12 and 22% under scenario B2 respectively). A higher discharge and more sediment flux are expected during the wet seasons, although the changes, percentage-wise, are observed to be higher during the dry months. In conclusion, the sediment yield from the Nam Ou Basin is likely to increase with climate change, which strongly suggests the need for basin-wide sediment management strategies in order to reduce the negative impact of this change.

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Impact of Climate Change on Rural Livelihood: A Case Study of Central Rajasthan

Journal of Climate Change ◽

10.3233/jcc210022 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 7 (4) ◽

pp. 19-27

Author(s):

Saifuddin Soz ◽

Dhananjay Mankar

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Negative Impact ◽

Extreme Weather Events ◽

Household Level ◽

Impact Of Climate Change ◽

The People ◽

Weather Events ◽

Rural Livelihood ◽

The Pacific ◽

The Impact

Climate change is already bringing tremendous influence on people’s lives, particularly the underprivileged. It’s already visible in a variety of ways. In recent decades, Asia and the Pacific have seen consistent warming trends as well as more frequent and powerful extreme weather events such as droughts, cyclones, floods, and hailstorms. This study was done in Ajmer District of Rajasthan, to find out the climate variation in the last 10 years. The study describes the effects due to climate change on the livelihoods of the people, so a descriptive research design was used for the study to find out the impact of climate change on rural livelihood in central Rajasthan. The study is based on a large representative of sample, quantitative data was collected to gain an idea of the impact on the livelihoods due to climate change at the household level. It shows the negative impact of climate change on rural livelihood which forced the people to change their livelihood directly or indirectly. It was found that climate change had an impact on people’s lives and people do understand the variation in climate change in terms of changes in the weather, unseasonal rain, and drought.

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Issues of Climate Change, Impact, and Adaptation Strategies in Nigeria

Climate Change and Environmental Concerns ◽

10.4018/978-1-5225-5487-5.ch030 ◽

2018 ◽

pp. 591-603

Author(s):

Nwakor Flora Ngozi ◽

Amadi C. Okey ◽

Okwusi Moses Chukwunwike ◽

Adiele Ezekiel Chinyere

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Agricultural Production ◽

Negative Impact ◽

Agricultural Practices ◽

Secondary Data ◽

Adaptation Strategy ◽

Impact Of Climate Change ◽

Post Harvest ◽

Crop Varieties ◽

The Impact

Climate change is a global problem affecting agricultural production, a good adaptation strategy for this phenomena should be sought for increase agricultural production. The study was conducted in Nigeria to assess the Impact of Climate Change on root and tuber crops production among farmers in Nigeria. Secondary data were used for the study, they were collected from NRCRI Umudike and other individual publications. The result shows that climate change had negative impact on root and tubers crops production including potato. Adaptation of Agriculture to climate change in the areas of crop and animal production, post harvest activities and capacity building, divers friction of livelihood sources through the use of different farming methods and improved agricultural practices will help to reduce the impact of climate change. Examples are establishment of forestry, generation of improved and disease resistance crop varieties addition of value into agricultural products and post harvest activities for climate change adaptation and sustainable development.

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Climate Change, Economic Growth and Growth Determinants: Insights From Vietnam’s Coastal South Central Region

Journal of Asian and African Studies ◽

10.1177/0021909620940345 ◽

2020 ◽

pp. 002190962094034

Author(s):

Hong Hiep Hoang ◽

Cong Minh Huynh

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Economic Growth ◽

Growth Model ◽

Central Region ◽

Negative Impact ◽

Generalized Least Squares ◽

Policy Implications ◽

Impact Of Climate Change ◽

South Central ◽

The Impact

Using the Feasible Generalized Least Squares econometric method, the paper analyzes the impact of climate change on economic growth in Vietnam’s coastal South Central region over the period of 2006–2015. The results indicate that, after controlling for the main determinants in the growth model, the climate change with various proxies has a significantly negative impact on provinces’ economic growth in the region. In particular, local institutions not only increase economic growth, but also reduce the negative impact of climate change on economic growth as well. These results suggest some policy implications aimed at boosting the process of transforming the economic growth model for the coastal region adapting to climate change. JEL codes: F21, F23, E22

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A modeling framework to assess the impact of climate change on a river runoff

Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management ◽

10.26491/mhwm/36671 ◽

2015 ◽

Vol 2 (2) ◽

pp. 49-64 ◽

Cited By ~ 8

Author(s):

Leszek Kuchar ◽

Wiwiana Szalińska ◽

Sławomir Iwański ◽

Leszek Jelonek

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

River Runoff ◽

Modeling Framework ◽

Impact Of Climate Change ◽

The Impact

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THE IMPACT OF SEASONALITY ON TOURIST’S ARRIVAL IN BANGLADESH BY USING SANCOVA MODEL

GeoJournal of Tourism and Geosites ◽

10.30892/gtg.38417-751 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 38 (4) ◽

pp. 1118-1124

Author(s):

Sayed Mohibul HOSSEN ◽

◽

Mohd Tahir ISMAIL ◽

Mosab I. TABASH ◽

Suhaib ANAGREH ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Seasonal Variation ◽

Tourism Industry ◽

Climatic Variables ◽

Modeling Framework ◽

Impact Of Climate Change ◽

Ancova Model ◽

Minimum Variation ◽

The Impact

In this study, we aim to highlight the impact of climate change as well as seasonality on tourist’s arrival in Bangladesh. The SANCOVA modeling framework modified by the ANCOVA model is used to examine the impact of climate change on tourists’ arrivals. The results show seasonality has a 91% effect on tourist’s arrival in Bangladesh. The maximum and minimum variation of climatic variables on tourists’ arrival in Bangladesh is rainfall and humidity, respectively. The winter and summer seasons have similar and more impact on tourist’s arrival in Bangladesh. Our findings indicate that the tourism industry of Bangladesh is more vulnerable to seasonal variation than the overall economy. The present study has significant implications for both policymakers and tourisms destination alike to plan for tourism in Bangladesh.

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Diversification or specialisation? Farmers' cropping strategy and economic performance under climate change in China

International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management ◽

10.1108/ijccsm-03-2021-0031 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽

Author(s):

Mingze Wu ◽

Yueji Zhu ◽

Qi Yang

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Technical Efficiency ◽

Economic Performance ◽

Agricultural Production ◽

Negative Impact ◽

Adaptation Strategies ◽

Content Type ◽

Impact Of Climate Change ◽

Changing Climate ◽

The Impact

Purpose Farmers' adaptation strategies in agricultural production are required to minimise the negative impact of climate change on a nation's food production in developing countries. Based on the panel data of the provincial level in China from 2000 to 2017, this study aims to analyse the changing climate over recent years and farmers' adaptation strategy in terms of cropping in agricultural production. Design/methodology/approach This study uses Simpson's diversity index (SDI) to measure the degree of crop diversity planted by farmers and evaluate the influence of climate change on farmers' cropping strategy using the fixed-effect model. Further, the authors estimate the impact of farmers' cropping strategy on their economic performances in two aspects including yields and technical efficiency of crops. Findings The empirical results show that the overall climate appears a warming trend. Different from farmers in some other countries, Chinese farmers tend to adopt a more specialised cropping strategy which can significantly improve the technical efficiency and yields of crops in agriculture. In addition, as a moderating role, the specialised cropping can help farmers to alleviate the negative impact of climate change on technical efficiency of their crops. Originality/value First, previous studies showed that the changing climate influenced farmers' adaptation strategies, while most studies focussed on multiple adaptation strategies from the farm-level perspective rather than cropping strategy from the nation-level perspective. Second, the present study investigates how the cropping strategy affects the economic performance (in terms of the technical efficiency and crop yields) of agricultural production. Third, the stochastic frontier analysis method is used to estimate the technical efficiency. Fourth, this study explores the moderating effect between farmers' cropping strategy and technical efficiency by introducing an interaction item of SDI and accumulated temperature.

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Current status of taro (Colocasia esculenta) utilization as local food diversification toward climate resilience in Indonesia

IOP Conference Series Earth and Environmental Science ◽

10.1088/1755-1315/913/1/012027 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 913 (1) ◽

pp. 012027

Author(s):

D Maretta ◽

Sobir ◽

I Helianti ◽

Purwono ◽

E Santosa

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Value Chain ◽

Local Food ◽

Negative Impact ◽

Group Discussion ◽

Crop Improvement ◽

Current Status ◽

Tropical Country ◽

Impact Of Climate Change ◽

The Impact

Abstract Indonesia is a tropical country that experiences the impact of climate change. The utilization of taro as an amphibian crop might sustain the food availability for the most vulnerable farmers against the negative impact of climate change. The study aims to evaluate the current status of taro utilization and production as local food concerning food diversification, sustainable agriculture, and climate change issues. Data were obtained from a focus group discussion with primary stakeholders of the taro value chain and literature review. Results show that taro is an important secondary food in some regions with three main uses as local consumption, local trading, and export. Prominent taro consumers existed in West Papua, Papua, Maluku, and Central Sulawesi Provinces with consumption rates 10.6, 5.3, 2.2, and 2.0 kg/capita/year, respectively. Taro was intensively cultivated in Banten, West Java, and South Sulawesi provinces, for fresh and processed products. The respondents agree with taro as a prospective adaptive crop to climate change of both drought and excess precipitation. There are some issues in the biodiversity conservation, crop improvement, link-match industry, and stakeholder capacity building for competitive, quality, quantity, and sustainable production, as future works in the taro value chain in Indonesia.

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