scholarly journals Quantifying the role of ocean coupling in Arctic amplification and sea-ice loss over the 21st century

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rei Chemke ◽  
Lorenzo M. Polvani ◽  
Jennifer E. Kay ◽  
Clara Orbe
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
Arctic Amplification ◽  
Ocean Coupling ◽  
Quantitative Understanding ◽  
Climatic Impacts ◽  
Dynamic Components ◽  
Thermodynamic Coupling

AbstractThe enhanced warming of the Arctic, relative to other parts of the Earth, a phenomenon known as Arctic amplification, is one of the most striking features of climate change, and has important climatic impacts for the entire Northern Hemisphere. Several mechanisms are believed to be responsible for Arctic amplification; however, a quantitative understanding of their relative importance is still missing. Here, using ensembles of model integrations, we quantify the contribution of ocean coupling, both its thermodynamic and dynamic components, to Arctic amplification over the 20th and 21st centuries. We show that ocean coupling accounts for ~80% of the amplification by 2100. In particular, we show that thermodynamic coupling is responsible for future amplification and sea-ice loss as it overcomes the effect of dynamic coupling which reduces the amplification and sea-ice loss by ~35%. Our results demonstrate the utility of targeted numerical experiments to quantify the role of specific mechanisms in Arctic amplification, for better constraining climate projections.

scholarly journals A dynamic and thermodynamic coupling view of the linkages between Eurasian cooling and Arctic warming

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongkun Xie ◽  
Guoxiong Wu ◽  
Yimin Liu ◽  
Jianping Huang ◽  
Hanbin Nie
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Diabatic Heating ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Sensible Heat ◽  
Arctic Warming ◽  
Enhanced Absorption ◽  
Subsurface Ocean ◽  
Thermodynamic Coupling

AbstractInvestigating the contrast between wintertime warming in the Arctic and cooling in Eurasia is of great importance for understanding regional climate change. In this study, we propose a dynamic and thermodynamic coupling view of the linkages between wintertime Arctic warming and Eurasian cooling since 1979. The key factors are the energy budget at the Earth’s surface, the diabatic heating and baroclinicity of the atmosphere, and subsurface ocean heat. A summertime origin of wintertime Arctic warming suggests a partial driving role of the Arctic in wintertime Eurasian cooling. The reasons for this finding are as follows. First, there is a dipole pattern in the diabatic heating change in winter over the Arctic Ocean corresponding to the anticyclonic circulation that links Eurasian cooling and Arctic warming. Second, the change in diabatic heating of the atmosphere is determined by sensible heat at the Earth’s surface through vertical diffusion. Third, the positive sensible heat change in the eastern Arctic sector in winter originates from the summertime enhanced absorption of solar radiation by the subsurface ocean over the sea ice loss region. Meanwhile, the negative sensible heat change in the western Arctic sector and wide Arctic warming can be explained by the circulation development triggered by the change in the east. Additionally, the background strong baroclinicity of the atmosphere in mid-high latitudes and corresponding two-way Arctic and mid-latitude interactions are necessary for circulation development in winter. Furthermore, the seasonality of the changes indicates that Eurasian cooling occurs only in winter because the diabatic heating change in the Arctic is strongest in winter. Overall, the comprehensive mechanisms from the summertime Earth’s surface and subsurface ocean to the wintertime atmosphere suggest a driving role of the Arctic. Note that the situation in interannual variability is more complex than the overall trend because the persistence of the influence of summertime sea ice is weakly established in terms of interannual variability.

scholarly journals A Robust Arctic Amplification Factor Throughout the Last 21,000 Years

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuzhen Yan ◽  
Xinyu Wen
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
Arctic Amplification ◽  
The Past ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
New Evidence

Abstract Arctic amplification (AA), a phenomenon that a larger change in temperature near the Arctic areas than the Northern Hemisphere average in the past 100+ years, has significant impacts on mid-latitude weather and climate, and therefore is of great concern in current climate projections. Previous studies suggest a wide range of AA factors from 1.0 to 12.5 using either the 20th century observations or climate model hindcasts. In the present paper, we explore the diversity of AA factor in a long-term transient simulation covering the past glacial-to-interglacial years. It is shown that the natural AA phenomenon is essentially linked with North Atlantic sea ice changes through ice-albedo feedback with a narrowed and robust AA factor of 2.5±0.8 throughout the last 21,000 years. Current observed AA phenomenon is a mixed result combining sea ice melting induced AA mode with GHGs induced global uniform warming, and thus has an AA factor slightly less than 2.5. In the future, as Arctic sea ice gradually melts off, we speculate that AA phenomenon might fade off accordingly and the AA factor will decline close to 1.0 in 1-2 centuries. Our findings provide new evidence for better understanding the range of AA factor and associated key physical processes, and provide new insights for AA’s projection in current anthropogenic warming climate.

scholarly journals On the effect of rheology on seasonal sea-ice simulations

1991 ◽  
Vol 15 ◽  
pp. 17-25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chi F. Ip ◽  
William D. Hibler ◽  
Gregory M. Flato
Keyword(s):  
Shear Stress ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Arctic Basin ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Flow Rule ◽  
Average Model ◽  
Ice Drift ◽  
Cavitating Fluid

A generalized numerical model which allows for a variety of non-linear rheologies is developed for the seasonal simulation of sea-ice circulation and thickness. The model is used to investigate the effects (such as the role of shear stress and the existence of a flow rule) of different rheologies on the ice-drift pattern and build-up in the Arctic Basin. Differences in local drift seem to be closely related to the amount of allowable shear stress. Similarities are found between the elliptical and square cases and between the Mohr-Coulomb and cavitating fluid cases. Comparisons between observed and simulated buoy drift are made for several buoy tracks in the Arctic Basin. Correlation coefficients to the observed buoy drift range from 0.83 for the cavitating fluid to 0.86 for the square rheology. The average ratio of buoy-drift distance to average model-drift distance for several buoys is 1.15 (square), 1.18 (elliptical), 1.30 (Mohr-Coulomb) and 1.40 (cavitating fluid).

scholarly journals Mechanism of Seasonal Arctic Sea Ice Evolution and Arctic Amplification

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kwang-Yul Kim ◽  
Benjamin D. Hamlington ◽  
Hanna Na ◽  
Jinju Kim
Keyword(s):  
Heat Flux ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Longwave Radiation ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Turbulent Heat ◽  
Arctic Amplification ◽  
Ice Melting ◽  
Downward Longwave Radiation

Abstract. Sea ice melting is proposed as a primary reason for the Artic amplification, although physical mechanism of the Arctic amplification and its connection with sea ice melting is still in debate. In the present study, monthly ERA-interim reanalysis data are analyzed via cyclostationary empirical orthogonal function analysis to understand the seasonal mechanism of sea ice melting in the Arctic Ocean and the Arctic amplification. While sea ice melting is widespread over much of the perimeter of the Arctic Ocean in summer, sea ice remains to be thin in winter only in the Barents-Kara Seas. Excessive turbulent heat flux through the sea surface exposed to air due to sea ice melting warms the atmospheric column. Warmer air increases the downward longwave radiation and subsequently surface air temperature, which facilitates sea surface remains to be ice free. A 1 % reduction in sea ice concentration in winter leads to ~ 0.76 W m−2 increase in upward heat flux, ~ 0.07 K increase in 850 hPa air temperature, ~ 0.97 W m−2 increase in downward longwave radiation, and ~ 0.26 K increase in surface air temperature. This positive feedback mechanism is not clearly observed in the Laptev, East Siberian, Chukchi, and Beaufort Seas, since sea ice refreezes in late fall (November) before excessive turbulent heat flux is available for warming the atmospheric column in winter. A detailed seasonal heat budget is presented in order to understand specific differences between the Barents-Kara Seas and Laptev, East Siberian, Chukchi, and Beaufort Seas.

Influence of Nordic Seas dynamics on the Atlantic Water propagation and its impacts on sea ice concentration.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sourav Chatterjee ◽  
Roshin P Raj ◽  
Laurent Bertino ◽  
Nuncio Murukesh
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Deep Water ◽  
Atlantic Water ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Deep Water Formation ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Nordic Seas ◽  
Ice Concentration ◽  
Water Formation

<p>Enhanced intrusion of warm and saline Atlantic Water (AW) to the Arctic Ocean (AO) in recent years has drawn wide interest of the scientific community owing to its potential role in ‘Arctic Amplification’. Not only the AW has warmed over the last few decades , but its transfer efficiency have also undergone significant modifications due to changes in atmosphere and ocean dynamics at regional to large scales. The Nordic Seas (NS), in this regard, play a vital role as the major exchange of polar and sub-polar waters takes place in this region. Further, the AW and its significant modification on its way to AO via the Nordic Seas has large scale implications on e.g., deep water formation, air-sea heat fluxes. Previous studies have suggested that a change in the sub-polar gyre dynamics in the North Atlantic controls the AW anomalies that enter the NS and eventually end up in the AO. However, the role of NS dynamics in resulting in the modifications of these AW anomalies are not well studied. Here in this study, we show that the Nordic Seas are not only a passive conduit of AW anomalies but the ocean circulations in the Nordic Seas, particularly the Greenland Sea Gyre (GSG) circulation can significantly change the AW characteristics between the entry and exit point of AW in the NS. Further, it is shown that the change in GSG circulation can modify the AW heat distribution in the Nordic Seas and can potentially influence the sea ice concentration therein. Projected enhanced atmospheric forcing in the NS in a warming Arctic scenario and the warming trend of the AW can amplify the role of NS circulation in AW propagation and its impact on sea ice, freshwater budget and deep water formation.</p>

2. The physical environment

2021 ◽  
pp. 14-38
Author(s):  
Klaus Dodds ◽  
Jamie Woodward
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Physical Environment ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Far North ◽  
Sea Ice Decline ◽  
Antarctic Continent ◽  
Polar Opposite ◽  
The Antarctic

‘The physical environment’ describes the Arctic as the polar opposite of the Antarctic continent as it is an ocean semi-enclosed by land. The rocks of the Arctic record key periods in Earth history. The Arctic environment has had an interesting path of evolution. Why is the Arctic cold today? The polar latitudes actually receive less solar energy than the rest of the Earth's surface. What is the key role of sea ice in the Arctic climate system? How does sea ice decline impact upon the Arctic Ocean? The Greenland ice sheet, high latitude glaciers, and the importance of permafrost in the far north are also important topics related to the physical environment.

scholarly journals The role of cyclone activity in snow accumulation on Arctic sea ice

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M. A. Webster ◽  
C. Parker ◽  
L. Boisvert ◽  
R. Kwok
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
Surface Energy Budget ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Cyclone Activity ◽  
In Situ Data ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
Spatio Temporal

AbstractIdentifying the mechanisms controlling the timing and magnitude of snow accumulation on sea ice is crucial for understanding snow’s net effect on the surface energy budget and sea-ice mass balance. Here, we analyze the role of cyclone activity on the seasonal buildup of snow on Arctic sea ice using model, satellite, and in situ data over 1979–2016. On average, 44% of the variability in monthly snow accumulation was controlled by cyclone snowfall and 29% by sea-ice freeze-up. However, there were strong spatio-temporal differences. Cyclone snowfall comprised ~50% of total snowfall in the Pacific compared to 83% in the Atlantic. While cyclones are stronger in the Atlantic, Pacific snow accumulation is more sensitive to cyclone strength. These findings highlight the heterogeneity in atmosphere-snow-ice interactions across the Arctic, and emphasize the need to scrutinize mechanisms governing cyclone activity to better understand their effects on the Arctic snow-ice system with anthropogenic warming.

scholarly journals Mid-Holocene Northern Hemisphere warming driven by Arctic amplification

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (12) ◽  
pp. eaax8203 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hyo-Seok Park ◽  
Seong-Joong Kim ◽  
Andrew L. Stewart ◽  
Seok-Woo Son ◽  
Kyong-Hwan Seo
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
High Latitude ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Arctic Amplification ◽  
The Holocene ◽  
Holocene Thermal Maximum ◽  
Thermal Maximum

The Holocene thermal maximum was characterized by strong summer solar heating that substantially increased the summertime temperature relative to preindustrial climate. However, the summer warming was compensated by weaker winter insolation, and the annual mean temperature of the Holocene thermal maximum remains ambiguous. Using multimodel mid-Holocene simulations, we show that the annual mean Northern Hemisphere temperature is strongly correlated with the degree of Arctic amplification and sea ice loss. Additional model experiments show that the summer Arctic sea ice loss persists into winter and increases the mid- and high-latitude temperatures. These results are evaluated against four proxy datasets to verify that the annual mean northern high-latitude temperature during the mid-Holocene was warmer than the preindustrial climate, because of the seasonally rectified temperature increase driven by the Arctic amplification. This study offers a resolution to the “Holocene temperature conundrum”, a well-known discrepancy between paleo-proxies and climate model simulations of Holocene thermal maximum.

Sea ice in the Arctic Ocean: Role of shielding and consumption of methane

2013 ◽  
Vol 67 ◽  
pp. 8-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin He ◽  
Liguang Sun ◽  
Zhouqing Xie ◽  
Wen Huang ◽  
Nanye Long ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Ocean ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
The Arctic Ocean

scholarly journals The role of moisture transport for precipitation in the inter-annual and inter-daily fluctuations of the Arctic sea ice extension

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 121-133 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luis Gimeno-Sotelo ◽  
Raquel Nieto ◽  
Marta Vázquez ◽  
Luis Gimeno
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Moisture Transport ◽  
Arctic Region ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Melting ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Moisture Sources ◽  
Arctic Sea

Abstract. By considering the moisture transport for precipitation (MTP) for a target region to be the moisture that arrives in this region from its major moisture sources and which then results in precipitation in that region, we explore (i) whether the MTP from the main moisture sources for the Arctic region is linked with inter-annual fluctuations in the extent of Arctic sea ice superimposed on its decline and (ii) the role of extreme MTP events in the inter-daily change in the Arctic sea ice extent (SIE) when extreme MTP simultaneously arrives from the four main moisture regions that supply it. The results suggest (1) that ice melting at the scale of inter-annual fluctuations against the trend is favoured by an increase in moisture transport in summer, autumn, and winter and a decrease in spring and, (2) on a daily basis, extreme humidity transport increases the formation of ice in winter and decreases it in spring, summer, and autumn; in these three seasons extreme humidity transport therefore contributes to Arctic sea ice melting. These patterns differ sharply from that linked to the decline on a long-range scale, especially in summer when the opposite trend applies, as ice melt is favoured by a decrease in moisture transport for this season at this scale.

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