scholarly journals Prediction of Grinding Work Roll Demand in a Job Shop Company By using Artificial Neural Network and ARIMA Method

2018 ◽  
Vol 218 ◽  
pp. 04004
Author(s):  
Yusraini Muharni ◽  
Ade Irman ◽  
Muhammad Ilhamsyah

This study concern about forecasting grinding work roll demand in a job shop company located in industrial area in Cilegon. This factory main production is fabrication, which accepts various orders from other companies especially from the company around. Grinding Work Roll is one of those products that frequently request by customer. Although the order is frequent but the volume is fluctuation month by month. This situation drives the company to face the problem in preparing the resources required in fabrication process specially in scheduling the operators. To cope with this problem, we proposed to apply two robust forecasting methods, Artificial Neural Network and ARIMA to help in prediction the grinding work roll demand so as the company could make a good plan for the production process. The best architecture for ANN is obtained through applying Taguchi Method which applies Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm as Training Function. The best number for hidden layer is 10, while Momentum is 0.9. The Prediction result shows that ANN predicts better than ARIMA Method according to the lower Mean Square Error (MSE). MSE Value for ANN is 0.002 while for ARIMA MSE is 0.0043. From this study, we experienced that by applying Taguchi method could improve the performance of Artificial Neural Network.

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Amir Rabiee Kenaree ◽  
Shohreh Fatemi

Application of artificial neural network (ANN) has been studied for simulation of the extraction process by supercritical CO2. Supercritical extraction of valerenic acid from Valeriana officianalis L. has been studied and simulated according to the significant operational parameters such as pressure, temperature, and dynamic extraction time. ANN, using multilayer perceptron (MLP) model, is employed to predict the amount of extracted VA versus the studied variables. Three tests, validation, and training data sets in three various scenarios are selected to predict the amount of extracted VA at dynamic time of extraction, working pressure, and temperature values. Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm has been employed to train the MLP network. The model in first scenario has three neurons in one hidden layer, and the models associated with the second and the third scenarios have four neurons in one hidden layer. The determination coefficients are calculated as 0.971, 0.940, and 0.964 for the first, second, and the third scenarios, respectively, demonstrating the effectiveness of the MLP model in simulating this process using any of the scenarios, and accurate prediction of extraction yield has been revealed in different working conditions of pressure, temperature, and dynamic time of extraction.


2021 ◽  
Vol 850 (1) ◽  
pp. 012033
Author(s):  
P. Laxmi Narasimha Raju ◽  
Manas ◽  
Pavan Sai A. ◽  
M B Shyam Kumar ◽  
Ayub Ahmed Janvekar ◽  
...  

Abstract Ever increasing usage of fossil fuels and dwindling natural resources led researchers to concentrate on investigating other sources which can satisfy our demands and reduce pollution levels. Present research work aims to investigate the performance and emission characteristics of plastic, diesel and biogas as fuel blend operated in a dual-fuel engine with biogas as a primary fuel and plastic oil – diesel blends as secondary fuel and also predict the output variable using artificial neural network. A modified four-stroke single cylinder CI engine was used for experiments conducted at varying load, percentage of plastic oil percentage in diesel and biogas flow rate. Based on the levels and factors a Taguchi L9 orthogonal matrix was designed to find the optimal combination of input indices. The signal to noise ratios in taguchi method were applied based on the desired output characteristics and according to the respective SNR ratios an ANOVA table was created to determine the major contributor effecting output parameters such as brake thermal efficiency, CO, HC NOx and smoke emissions. ANN model helped to predict BTE with same input parameters but with an increased set of sample data. Based on Gradient descent and Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm the ANN architecture was trained, validated and tested to predict the response with least error. The ANOVA calculated indicates load to be the prime factor effecting BTE and NOx emission


2018 ◽  
Vol 204 ◽  
pp. 02018
Author(s):  
Aisyah Larasati ◽  
Anik Dwiastutik ◽  
Darin Ramadhanti ◽  
Aal Mahardika

This study aims to explore the effect of kurtosis level of the data in the output layer on the accuracy of artificial neural network predictive models. The artificial neural network predictive models are comprised of one node in the output layer and six nodes in the input layer. The number of hidden layer is automatically built by the program. Data are generated using simulation approach. The results show that the kurtosis level of the node in the output layer is significantly affect the accuracy of the artificial neural network predictive model. Platycurtic and leptocurtic data has significantly higher misclassification rates than mesocurtic data. However, the misclassification rates between platycurtic and leptocurtic is not significantly different. Thus, data distribution with kurtosis nearly to zero results in a better ANN predictive model.


Author(s):  
Rafid Abbas Ali ◽  
Faten Sajet Mater ◽  
Asmaa Satar Jeeiad Al-Ragehey

Electron coefficients such as drift velocity, ionization coefficient, mean electron energy and Townsend energy for different concentrations of Hg 0.1%, 1%, 10% and 50% in the Ne-Hg mixture at a reduced electric field were calculated using two approaches taking into account inelastic collisions: The Monte Carlo simulation, and an artificial neural network. The effect of Hg vapor concentration on the electron coefficients showed that insignificant additions of mercury atom impurities to Neon, starting from fractions of a percent, affect the characteristics of inelastic processes and discharge, respectively. The aim of this paper is to explore the new applications of neural networks. The Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm and artificial neural network architecture employed was presented in this work to calculate the electron coefficients for different concentrations of Hg in Ne-Hg mixtures. The artificial neural network has been trained with four models (M1, M2, M3, M4), and analysis of the regression between the values of an artificial neural network and Monte Carlo simulation indicates that the M2 output provided the best perfect correlation at 100 Epochs, and the output data obtained was closest to the target data required through using the different stages of artificial neural network development starting with design, training and testing.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
DEVIN NIELSEN ◽  
TYLER LOTT ◽  
SOM DUTTA ◽  
JUHYEONG LEE

In this study, three artificial neural network (ANN) models are developed with back propagation (BP) optimization algorithms to predict various lightning damage modes in carbon/epoxy laminates. The proposed ANN models use three input variables associated with lightning waveform parameters (i.e., the peak current amplitude, rising time, and decaying time) to predict fiber damage, matrix damage, and through-thickness damage in the composites. The data used for training and testing the networks was actual lightning damage data collected from peer-reviewed published literature. Various BP training algorithms and network architecture configurations (i.e., data splitting, the number of neurons in a hidden layer, and the number of hidden layers) have been tested to improve the performance of the neural networks. Among the various BP algorithms considered, the Bayesian regularization back propagation (BRBP) showed the overall best performance in lightning damage prediction. When using the BRBP algorithm, as expected, the greater the fraction of the collected data that is allocated to the training dataset, the better the network is trained. In addition, the optimal ANN architecture was found to have a single hidden layer with 20 neurons. The ANN models proposed in this work may prove useful in preliminary assessments of lightning damage and reduce the number of expensive experimental lightning tests.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 35-43
Author(s):  
Pratibha Verma ◽  
Vineet Kumar Awasthi ◽  
Sanat Kumar Sahu

Coronary artery disease (CAD) has been the leading cause of death worldwide over the past 10 years. Researchers have been using several data mining techniques to help healthcare professionals diagnose heart disease. The neural network (NN) can provide an excellent solution to identify and classify different diseases. The artificial neural network (ANN) methods play an essential role in recognizes diseases in the CAD. The authors proposed multilayer perceptron neural network (MLPNN) among one hidden layer neuron (MLP) and four hidden layers neurons (P-MLP)-based highly accurate artificial neural network (ANN) method for the classification of the CAD dataset. Therefore, the ten-fold cross-validation (T-FCV) method, P-MLP algorithms, and base classifiers of MLP were employed. The P-MLP algorithm yielded very high accuracy (86.47% in CAD-56 and 98.35% in CAD-59 datasets) and F1-Score (90.36% in CAD-56 and 98.83% in CAD-59 datasets) rates, which have not been reported simultaneously in the MLP.


Author(s):  
Tamer Emara

The IEEE 802.16 system offers power-saving class type II as a power-saving algorithm for real-time services such as voice over internet protocol (VoIP) service. However, it doesn't take into account the silent periods of VoIP conversation. This chapter proposes a power conservation algorithm based on artificial neural network (ANN-VPSM) that can be applied to VoIP service over WiMAX systems. Artificial intelligent model using feed forward neural network with a single hidden layer has been developed to predict the mutual silent period that used to determine the sleep period for power saving class mode in IEEE 802.16. From the implication of the findings, ANN-VPSM reduces the power consumption during VoIP calls with respect to the quality of services (QoS). Experimental results depict the significant advantages of ANN-VPSM in terms of power saving and quality-of-service (QoS). It shows the power consumed in the mobile station can be reduced up to 3.7% with respect to VoIP quality.


2004 ◽  
Vol 67 (8) ◽  
pp. 1604-1609 ◽  
Author(s):  
UBONRATANA SIRIPATRAWAN ◽  
JOHN E. LINZ ◽  
BRUCE R. HARTE

An electronic sensor array with 12 nonspecific metal oxide sensors was evaluated for its ability to monitor volatile compounds in super broth alone and in super broth inoculated with Escherichia coli (ATCC 25922) at 37°C for 2 to 12 h. Using discriminant function analysis, it was possible to differentiate super broth alone from that containing E. coli when cell numbers were 105 CFU or more. There was a good agreement between the volatile profiles from the electronic sensor array and a gas chromatography–mass spectrometer method. The potential to predict the number of E. coli and the concentration of specific metabolic compounds was investigated using an artificial neural network (ANN). The artificial neural network was composed of an input layer, one hidden layer, and an output layer, with a hyperbolic tangent sigmoidal transfer function in the hidden layer and a linear transfer function in the output layer. Good prediction was found as measured by a regression coefficient (R2 = 0.999) between actual and predicted data.


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