scholarly journals The foresight forecasting of social development in rural areas of the region

2021 ◽  
Vol 101 ◽  
pp. 02008
Author(s):  
Eugene Stovba ◽  
Olesya Gorbunova ◽  
Andrey Stovba ◽  
Natalya Kolonskikh ◽  
Aidar Sharafutdinov
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Social Development ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Target Setting ◽  
Strategic Plans ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
The Social ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Territorial Systems

The article reveals the necessity to use a foresight when designing strategic plans and programs for the socio-economic development of rural municipalities in the present conditions of spatial and harmonious development of rural territories. A phased algorithm for forecasting the social development in rural areas. The article presents the results of foreseeing the social development of rural territories of the Non-chernozem zone of the Republic of Bashkortostan. The proposed unified foresight research methodology that makes it possible to provide a realistic target setting and precise «targeting» of strategic planning for the social development in rural areas. Summing up that the foresight technologies should be used as a system tool for developing a strategy for sustainable development of rural territorial systems.

scholarly journals Foresight as a strategic planning and forecasting tool of sustainable development of rural areas

2019 ◽  
Vol 190 (11) ◽  
pp. 92-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
Евгений Стовба ◽  
Evgeniy Stovba ◽  
Миляуша Лукьянова ◽  
Milyausha Luk'yanova ◽  
Виталий Ковшов ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Strategic Planning ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Strategic Plans ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Municipal Level

Abstract. The article actualizes the need of foresight technologies in the sustainable development of strategic plans of sustainable development in rural municipalities at the level of the Russian Federation. It is pointed out that the modern methodology of foresight studies is quite flexible and multifaceted, has wide application at different hierarchical levels of management. The purpose of the study is to prove the need to use the foresight methodologies for rural development strategic planning and forecasting tool. In the course of the study, the following methods were used: strategic planning and forecasting, foresight technologies (expert survey and expert opinions), comparative analysis. The scientific novelty of the study is determined by the formation of a set of practical recommendations on the use of foresight tools at the municipal level of management in rural areas. The systematic approach usage in combination with foresight technologies allows to develop strategic plans for the development in rural areas from the perspective of long-term improvement of their economic and social component. A brief analysis of the current state and development of foresight research in the Russian Federation is presented. It is concluded that in modern conditions of rural development it is necessary to develop strategic programs and anti-crisis measures that should focus on the application of the foresight technologies. It shows that the characteristic features of the rural municipal foresight are, on the one hand, the obligatory interconnection of strategic priorities for rural areas development in the long term and, on the other hand, the need to achieve the interest of key factors in regional development. Results of a research: the algorithm of strategic planning of sustainable development of rural areas of the region based on foresight technologies and the mechanism for its implementation at the municipal level are considered; strategic goals and priority areas for sustainable development of rural areas of the Republic of Bashkortostan in the sub-regional context were defined. On the basis of the foresight analysis, a three-level branding of agri-food products manufactured in the region was carried out, and brands within the considered rural municipalities were identified. It is concluded that foresight technologies should be used as the system tool for the formation and implementation of sustainable development strategy in rural areas of the Republic of Bashkortostan.

scholarly journals Using cluster approach and foresight technologies when designing a sustainable areas development strategy

2021 ◽  
Vol 94 ◽  
pp. 01007
Author(s):  
Eugene Stovba ◽  
Andrey Stovba ◽  
Aydar Usmanov ◽  
Aidar Sharafutdinov ◽  
Irek Araslanbaev
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Strategic Planning ◽  
Social Development ◽  
Development Strategy ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Cluster Approach ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Strategy Design

The article highlights the need of applying cluster approach and foresight technologies in the formation of rural areas sustainable development strategy. An algorithm, including main stages of the rural areas sustainable development strategy design based on the cluster approach and foresight technologies, is presented. Cluster scenario for the rural sustainable economic and social development in the Non-chernozem zone of the Republic of Bashkortostan has been designed, which comprehensively takes into account the results of clustering, strategic planning and foresight forecasting of rural areas development. This scenario allows us to determine the extreme and most probable target indicators values of rural areas development for the long and medium term in the cluster display.

THE FORMATION OF STRATEGIES FOR SUSTAINABLE RURAL DEVELOPMENT FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF A SYSTEMATIC APPROACH

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (181) ◽  
pp. 20-27
Author(s):  
E.V. Stovba ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Rural Development ◽  
Systematic Approach ◽  
Sustainable Rural Development ◽  
Strategic Plans ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
Methodological Approaches ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Territorial Systems

The article reveals the necessity to use a systematic approach when designing strategic plans and programs for the socio-economic development of rural municipalities in the present conditions of spatial and harmonious development of rural territories. The article has a word about methodological approaches to the formation and implementation of a strategy for sustainable rural development. The application of a systematic approach to strategic planning of sustainable rural development based on the foresight is methodologically justified. The article presents the results of foreseeing the economic development of rural territories of the Non-chernozem zone of the Republic of Bashkortostan. Summing up that the foresight technologies should be used as a system tool for developing a strategy for sustainable development of rural territorial systems

scholarly journals Social Development Forecast for Russian Regions

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (6) ◽  
pp. 132-152
Author(s):  
L. G. Cherednichenko ◽  
R. V. Gubarev ◽  
E. I. Dzyuba ◽  
F. S. Fayzullin
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Social Development ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Objective Assessment ◽  
Russian Regions ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
The Social ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Regions Of Russia

The objective of the article is to offer a proprietary technology for assessment and forecasting of social development of Russian regions. The methodological basis of the study is neural network technology (a Bayesian ensemble of dynamic neural networks of different configurations is formed) that ensure high accuracy of the forecast. The authors developed a methodology for assessing the social potential of the Russian regions. They have also designed a system of private indicators characterising the level of social development of Russian regions. The indicators have been divided into five groups: 1) population (life expectancy); 2) standard of living of the population; 3) education; 4) health care (morbidity); 5) research and innovation. The private indicators have been made comparable by normalizing their values by means of “Pattern” method. This method allows the objective assessment of the interregional “gaps” in the country across the entire system of social indicators. The social development index of the subjects of the Russian Federation has been calculated. Based on neural network technologies (Kohonen self-organizing maps) clustering of regions of Russia regarding social development has been conducted. The forecast of the social development of the Russian regions has been made. Due to the forecast, it has been established that in the leading region of the Russian Federation (Moscow) in 2017-2019 the decrease is expected in the index of social development in comparison with 2014-2016. In another leading region of the Russian Federation (St. Petersburg) the decline in comparison with 2016 is expected in the medium term. At the same time, for the Republic of Bashkortostan in 2017-2019, just a slight decrease in the level of social development is forecasted. However, it is expected that the Republic will still lag significantly behind the leading regions of Russia by social development. The example of the Republic of Bashkortostan helped to discover that the lag in social development can be explained by the “gap” in research and innovations. The authors have concluded that it is necessary to improve the effectiveness of social policy at the regional level. Thus, it is necessary not only to increase financing of the social sphere of the subjects of the Russian Federation, but also to ensure proper control of budget spending. The developed methodology can be an effective tool for forecasting and managing social development of the Russian regions by the relevant ministries and departments.

The Production of Biodiesel From Jatropha Curca and Its Social Impact

2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 85
Author(s):  
Segundo A. García Muentes ◽  
María Gabriela García Ávila ◽  
Benigno Luis Labrada Vázquez ◽  
Ana Esthela Sánchez del Campo Laffita
Keyword(s):  
Quality Of Life ◽  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Social Development ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Social Relationship ◽  
Social Impact ◽  
The Social ◽  
Relationship Model ◽  
Good Living

The social impact of planting and harvesting the jatropha curca for the production of biodiesel in the province of Manabí is shown, where there are several municipalities involved in this process, mainly the populations that live in rural areas where the conditions are created for their improvement of quality and good living from the income they receive for performing these tasks. A social relationship model was designed that links the social development of rural areas in the province of Manabí with the sowing, harvesting and industrialization of jatropha curca in social development, demonstrating the benefit of using indigenous natural resources for the in the improvement of the quality of life of the populations directed to the economic, energetic, social and environmental sustainable development.

Assessment of the Sustainability of the Socio-economic Development of the Regions in Russia

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 97-110
Author(s):  
R. V. Fattakhov ◽  
M. M. Nizamutdinov ◽  
V. V. Oreshnikov
Keyword(s):  
Cluster Analysis ◽  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Economic Potential ◽  
The Social ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Regions Of Russia

Introduction. The regions of Russia are not only heterogeneous in terms of the current state but also differ in the prevailing trends in the key parameters of their future development. Some of them, possessing significant economic potential, risk losing stability due to ongoing social processes and vice versa. The purpose of the study is to assess the sustainable development of the Russian Federation regions, to identify typical regions, including implementation of the main priority of the Spatial Development Strategy of Russia until 2025 — to uncover the socio-economic potential of the territories and their sustainable development through economic specialisation regions.Methods. In the framework of solving the problem of choosing typical regions of Russia according to the level of sustainability of socio-economic development, we formed a database of indicators for the period from 2010 to 2016. The 8th indicators describe the financial and economic component of development, the social component — by the 14th indicators, the environmental one — by the 3rd indicators. The ranking of regions was carried out in three stages — the consideration of particular indicators, their unification into groups and the study of generalised values. For the identification of typical regions, we applied the clustering method.Results. Approbation of the approach showed that the high position of the region in one of the considered areas of analysis does not always correlate with the level in other indicators. The magnitude of the dispersion in general increases with the transition from the leading regions to the outside regions. Cluster analysis revealed four groups of regions. The first cluster is characterised by the predominance of the economic component. The second cluster is characterised by the absence of a significant imbalance between the directions. The third cluster is characterised by better dynamics of financial and economic indicators against the background of relatively good positions in the social and environmental spheres. The fourth cluster is represented by subjects of the Russian Federation, in which there are significant results in the field of improving the environmental component. Based on the cluster analysis, typical regions were selected — the Republic of Ingushetia, the Samara Region, the Republic of Tatarstan and the Vladimir Region, respectively.Discussion. The obtained results can be applied when making a forecast of the socio-economic development of the regions of the Russian Federation and indicators of their sustainability in the medium term.

THE INFLUENCE OF FACTORS INTERNAL AND EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENT OF TEK FOR EFFECTIVE SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF RURAL AREAS

2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (2) ◽  
pp. 187-197
Author(s):  
M.T. Lukyanova ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Distribution System ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Electricity Production ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
Production And Distribution ◽  
The Republic

An important role in achieving stable socio-economic development of the Republic of Bashkortostan belongs to its fuel and energy complex-an important part of the national economy of the country. The capacity of the complex is evidenced by the fact that its share in the total volume of shipped products is up to 50%; the profit received is about 70%; revenues in the consolidated budget of the Republic-about 40%. The article analyzes the current problems of development of the territorial energy system. Based on the analysis of the company's competitiveness, the factors that require special attention are identified: innovations in terms of improving the energy efficiency of processes and reliability of the production and distribution system, building long-term relationships with customers, integrated links with consumer markets inside and outside the Republic of Belarus. Regional marketing, administrative and managerial factors have a positive impact on the development of electricity production and distribution in the Republic of Bashkortostan, while trends in technological and environmental factors have a negative impact.

ABOUT THE LEVELS OF RELIGIOUS IDENTITY IN THE REPUBLIC OF BASHKORTOSTAN

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 154-164
Author(s):  
R.B. Shaykhislamov ◽  
O.A. Bureeva
Keyword(s):  
Religious Identity ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Way Of Life ◽  
The Past ◽  
Traditional Religions ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
The Social ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Urban And Rural Areas ◽  
Close Relatives

Over the past three decades, both in Russia as a whole and in its regions, the number of believers representing different faiths has increased. Most Russian regions are multi-confessional. Relations of mutual respect and tolerance have evolved over the centuries between the adherents of traditional religions. It should be noted that in the traditional way of life, representatives of confessional groups formed separate settlements. Today the representatives of different confessions live in the same locality urban and rural areas, often are neighbors, and colleagues. Moreover, representatives of confessional groups become distant or close relatives. In other words, there is a reduction in the social distance between representatives of different faiths. Therefore, it is essential to find ways not only of good-neighbourly coexistence, not only tolerance, but also trust and cooperation between different groups of believers at the macro-, meso- and micro levels.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document