scholarly journals Foresight as a strategic planning and forecasting tool of sustainable development of rural areas

2019 ◽  
Vol 190 (11) ◽  
pp. 92-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
Евгений Стовба ◽  
Evgeniy Stovba ◽  
Миляуша Лукьянова ◽  
Milyausha Luk'yanova ◽  
Виталий Ковшов ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Strategic Planning ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Strategic Plans ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Municipal Level

Abstract. The article actualizes the need of foresight technologies in the sustainable development of strategic plans of sustainable development in rural municipalities at the level of the Russian Federation. It is pointed out that the modern methodology of foresight studies is quite flexible and multifaceted, has wide application at different hierarchical levels of management. The purpose of the study is to prove the need to use the foresight methodologies for rural development strategic planning and forecasting tool. In the course of the study, the following methods were used: strategic planning and forecasting, foresight technologies (expert survey and expert opinions), comparative analysis. The scientific novelty of the study is determined by the formation of a set of practical recommendations on the use of foresight tools at the municipal level of management in rural areas. The systematic approach usage in combination with foresight technologies allows to develop strategic plans for the development in rural areas from the perspective of long-term improvement of their economic and social component. A brief analysis of the current state and development of foresight research in the Russian Federation is presented. It is concluded that in modern conditions of rural development it is necessary to develop strategic programs and anti-crisis measures that should focus on the application of the foresight technologies. It shows that the characteristic features of the rural municipal foresight are, on the one hand, the obligatory interconnection of strategic priorities for rural areas development in the long term and, on the other hand, the need to achieve the interest of key factors in regional development. Results of a research: the algorithm of strategic planning of sustainable development of rural areas of the region based on foresight technologies and the mechanism for its implementation at the municipal level are considered; strategic goals and priority areas for sustainable development of rural areas of the Republic of Bashkortostan in the sub-regional context were defined. On the basis of the foresight analysis, a three-level branding of agri-food products manufactured in the region was carried out, and brands within the considered rural municipalities were identified. It is concluded that foresight technologies should be used as the system tool for the formation and implementation of sustainable development strategy in rural areas of the Republic of Bashkortostan.

scholarly journals 3.2. ISSUES OF CONSISTENCY OF FORECASTS OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF REGIONS (ON THE EXAMPLE OF THE REPUBLIC OF BASHKORTOSTAN)

2021 ◽  
pp. 42-47
Author(s):  
М.М. Низамутдинов ◽  
В.В. Орешников ◽  
А.Р. Атнабаева
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Strategic Planning ◽  
Regional Development ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Gross Regional Product ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Regional Product

Статья посвящена вопросам прогнозирования развития субъектов Российской Федерации. Рассмотрен прогноз динамики валового регионального продукта Республики Башкортостан на средне- и долгосрочную перспективы, а также ряд взаимосвязанных параметров. Проведен анализ показателей в текущих и сопоставимых ценах, их динамики и соотношения. Выявлен ряд противоречий, указывающих на наличие рассогласованности представленных значений. Раскрыты отдельные противоречия другим документам стратегического планирования. Результаты могут быть использованы для повышения эффективности управления региональным развитием. The article is devoted to the issues of forecasting the development of the subjects of the Russian Federation. The forecast of the dynamics of the gross regional product of the Republic of Bashkortostan for the medium - and long-term prospects, as well as a number of interrelated parameters, is considered. The analysis of indicators in current and comparable prices, their dynamics and correlation is carried out. A number of contradictions are revealed, indicating the presence of inconsistency of the presented values. Some contradictions with other strategic planning documents are revealed. The results can be used to improve the efficiency of regional development management.

scholarly journals The foresight forecasting of social development in rural areas of the region

2021 ◽  
Vol 101 ◽  
pp. 02008
Author(s):  
Eugene Stovba ◽  
Olesya Gorbunova ◽  
Andrey Stovba ◽  
Natalya Kolonskikh ◽  
Aidar Sharafutdinov
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Social Development ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Target Setting ◽  
Strategic Plans ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
The Social ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Territorial Systems

The article reveals the necessity to use a foresight when designing strategic plans and programs for the socio-economic development of rural municipalities in the present conditions of spatial and harmonious development of rural territories. A phased algorithm for forecasting the social development in rural areas. The article presents the results of foreseeing the social development of rural territories of the Non-chernozem zone of the Republic of Bashkortostan. The proposed unified foresight research methodology that makes it possible to provide a realistic target setting and precise «targeting» of strategic planning for the social development in rural areas. Summing up that the foresight technologies should be used as a system tool for developing a strategy for sustainable development of rural territorial systems.

scholarly journals Strategic Planning of Rural Development Based on Foresight Methodologies

Scientifica ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Rasul Gusmanov ◽  
Almir Askarov ◽  
Milyausha Lukyanova ◽  
Vitaliy Kovshov ◽  
Eugene Stovba
Keyword(s):  
Strategic Planning ◽  
Rural Development ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Testing Procedure ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
Management And Development ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Alternative Scenarios ◽  
Main Components ◽  
Municipal Level

The purpose of the study is to establish scientific rational for the use of the foresight methodology in the strategic planning of rural development. The scientific novelty of the study is determined by the development of an algorithm for strategic planning of rural development based on the foresight methodology and by the formation of a set of practical recommendations for the use of foresight tools at the municipal level of management in rural areas. The paper states that modern foresight methodology is quite flexible and multifaceted. It can be widely applied at different hierarchical levels of management. In our research, we consistently analyzed foresight projects and programs used in the rural management and development forecasting. The use of a systematic approach in combination with foresight technologies allows developing strategic plans for the rural areas development from the perspective of improvement of their economic and social component. The research presents the foresight algorithm of the rural development strategic planning and its implementation mechanism at the municipal level. The main components of the foresight testing procedure of the rural areas economic development were determined on the example of such a classic agricultural region of the Russian Federation as the Republic of Bashkortostan. The results of a comprehensive foresight analysis of alternative scenarios of the rural development have been formed. We summarized that the foresight technologies should be used as a system tool for the formation and implementation of the strategy of the sustainable rural areas development. The main results of the study include summarizing the experience of foresight studies on the rural areas development; design of an algorithm of strategic planning of the rural areas development based on the foresight methodology; the formation of alternative scenarios of the rural areas development at the regional level.

scholarly journals Strategic directions for the development of consumer cooperation in rural areas (on the example of the south- and north-eastern regions of the Republic of Bashkortostan)

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rinat Gataullin ◽  
Vilyur Akhmetov
Keyword(s):  
Rural Areas ◽  
Rural Economy ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
North Eastern ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Consumer Cooperatives ◽  
New Jobs

The revival and sustainable development of consumer cooperation in rural areas is currently one of the strategic directions of modern agricultural policy. Based on the advanced foreign and domestic experience, this is most relevant in relation to depressed rural areas, where cooperation can be a kind of driver in improving the quality of socio-economic development. Due to the development of consumer cooperatives of various forms and areas of activity, not only the problems of production, processing and marketing of agricultural products are effectively solved, but also the emergence of new non-agricultural sectors of the rural economy, its wide diversification is initiated, which contributes to the creation of new jobs, an increase in income and the quality of life of the population. Republic of Bashkortostan at the end of 2018–2019 is the leader among the subjects of the Russian Federation in terms of the number of agricultural consumer cooperatives created annually. However, the problem of their sustainability in the long term is currently acute. In addition, it is important to preserve the system of the Bashkir Union of Consumer Societies that has existed since the beginning of the 20th century and to revive it on a new market basis. Therefore, within the framework of this article, using the example of the southeastern and north-eastern regions of the Republic of Bashkortostan, the need to develop and implement, in addition to regional, municipal and intermunicipal strategies for the development of agricultural consumer cooperatives, including the second and third levels, for the organization of sustainable regional cooperative systems is actualized. and lifting depressed rural areas out of the crisis

scholarly journals Using cluster approach and foresight technologies when designing a sustainable areas development strategy

2021 ◽  
Vol 94 ◽  
pp. 01007
Author(s):  
Eugene Stovba ◽  
Andrey Stovba ◽  
Aydar Usmanov ◽  
Aidar Sharafutdinov ◽  
Irek Araslanbaev
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Strategic Planning ◽  
Social Development ◽  
Development Strategy ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Cluster Approach ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Strategy Design

The article highlights the need of applying cluster approach and foresight technologies in the formation of rural areas sustainable development strategy. An algorithm, including main stages of the rural areas sustainable development strategy design based on the cluster approach and foresight technologies, is presented. Cluster scenario for the rural sustainable economic and social development in the Non-chernozem zone of the Republic of Bashkortostan has been designed, which comprehensively takes into account the results of clustering, strategic planning and foresight forecasting of rural areas development. This scenario allows us to determine the extreme and most probable target indicators values of rural areas development for the long and medium term in the cluster display.

scholarly journals Prospects for the socio-economic development of rural areas in the context of digitalization of the economy

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Vilyur Akhmetov ◽  
Razit Galikeev
Keyword(s):  
Rural Areas ◽  
Rural Economy ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Digital Technologies ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic ◽  
The Village

This article attempts to identify new prospects for the rural economy due to the development of digital technologies. The foreign and domestic experience of digitalization in the agricultural sector is analyzed. Recommendations and proposals on the introduction of digital technologies in the economy of the village of the Republic of Bashkortostan are developed, which are applicable to other regions of the Russian Federation. The authors actualize the need to develop a long-term “Program for digitalization of the rural economy of the Republic of Bashkortostan for the period until 2030” to improve the efficiency of the rural economy and the quality of life of the rural population.

scholarly journals Study of actual nutrition in modern student youth

2020 ◽  
Vol 99 (3) ◽  
pp. 291-297
Author(s):  
Елена Юрьевна Горбаткова
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
State Policy ◽  
Nutritional Composition ◽  
The State ◽  
Fields Of Study ◽  
Healthy Nutrition ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic

One of the most important factors affecting the health of modern youth is nutrition. Taking into account the timeliness of this problem, a research aimed at improving the quality of nutrition for students of higher education institutions of various fields of study (Ufa, the Republic of Bashkortostan) was executed. A software directed at studying the nutritional composition of the diet of students was developed, registered and tested. The development and implementation of the program were carried out taking into account regional features of nutrition of the population of the Republic of Bashkortostan. The food ration of university students of various fields of study was also evaluated according to food groups. The insufficiency of the daily ration based on a number of indics was revealed (according to nutritional composition and food products. The nutritional status of students according to the level of insufficiency of daily intake of nutrients in order to identify the degree of risk of abnormalities in the state of health development was evaluated also. According to the document of the Government of the Russian Federation “Fundamentals of the state policy of the Russian Federation in the field of healthy nutrition of the population for the period until 2020”, implementation the development of a set of measures aimed at reducing the prevalence of diseases associated with nutrition is one of the main directions of the state policy in the field of healthy nutrition. In this regard, a conceptual medical-pedagogical model aimed at forming a system of values in relation to healthy lifestyle among students was developed. Currently, there was executed an evaluation of the effectiveness of this model in the educational process of the M. Akmulla Bashkir State Pedagogical University. There was also been studied content of macro- and microelements in the venous blood of the students based on the changes in the quality of nutrition. There was also conducted analysis of hygienic conditions of students’ educational environment of leading universities in Ufa (the Republic of Bashkortostan).

STRATEGIC PRIORITIES FOR INTEGRATION OF THE INTELLECTUAL POTENTIAL OF THE REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN AND THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION IN THE CONTEXT OF BUILDING AN INNOVATIVE ECONOMY AND PARTNERSHIP FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

2021 ◽  
pp. 95-107
Author(s):  
A. A. Titkov ◽  
S. Zh. Ibraimova ◽  
O. V. Kozhevina ◽  
A. Yu. Yudinstev
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Analytical Calculation ◽  
Innovative Development ◽  
Dialectical Approach ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Innovative Economy ◽  
Intellectual Potential

The purpose of the study is focused on finding optimal and effective organizational and economic mechanisms for integrating the intellectual potential of the Republic of Kazakhstan and the Russian Federation. The introduction of sustainable development tools and the transition to models for achieving the SDGs in the field of education, science and technology is considered by the authors as a strategic priority for the integration of the Republic of Kazakhstan and the Russian Federation. Intellectual potential is the fundamental basis for the innovative development of business entrepreneurship. The subject of the research is the intellectual potential of economic systems and its relationship with innovative development. The object of the research is the countries with developing economies — Kazakhstan, Russia. The methodology was based on the use of the following general scientific and special research methods: analysis and synthesis, the dialectical approach, the statistical method of data analysis, the method for establishing patterns and hypotheses, the method of aggregated analytical calculation. Within the framework of the results of the research: the creation and development of corporate-type universities; creation and development of regional and interregional centers of competence; creation and development of centers of business initiatives; scientific and educational consortia.

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