scholarly journals Mathematical modeling of the using of the innovative intermediate products at the stage of production of gross regional product

2018 ◽  
Vol 1050 ◽  
pp. 012033
Author(s):  
O D Kazakov ◽  
S P Novikov ◽  
N A Afanasyeva
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 1602-1614
Author(s):  
G.N. Okhlopkov

Subject. This article explores the issues related to the system of indicators of forecasting of gross regional product and their relationship. Objectives. The article aims to justify the appropriateness of using a systems-based approach when forecasting gross regional product, based on the inter-industry balance model. Methods. For the study, I used the techniques of mathematical modeling in economics. To verify the accuracy of the forecast calculations, retrospective forecasts of the gross regional product of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) for 2017–2018 were carried out. Results. The article presents a developed classification of significant types of economic activity to forecast gross regional product. Conclusions. The use of a systems-based approach in the forecast calculations of gross regional product using the inter-industry balance model provides adequate forecast results.


2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (9) ◽  
pp. 1771-1786
Author(s):  
G.N. Okhlopkov

Subject. This article explores the issues related to the system of indicators of forecasting of gross regional product and their relationship. Objectives. The article aims to obtain projections of the extent of economic damage of the coronavirus epidemic impact on the region's economy in various case scenarios, based on scenario projections of gross regional product. Methods. For the study, I used the techniques of mathematical modeling in economics. Results. The article presents forecast estimates of the gross regional product of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) for 2018–2020 by an inertial scenario and the coronavirus epidemic impact on the region's economy in various case scenarios for 2020, as well as the extent of possible economic damage. Conclusions. The methodological approach developed helps provide adequate projections of possible economic damage of the coronavirus epidemic impact on the region's economy in various case scenarios.


2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 339-359
Author(s):  
Gavril N. OKHLOPKOV

Subject. This article deals with the system of indicators of forecasting gross regional product and their relationship. Objectives. The article aims to obtain projections of the gross regional product of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) for 2020–2025. Methods. For the study, I used the methods of mathematical modeling in economics. Results. The article calculates and conducts a comparative analysis of the scenario forecast estimates of the gross regional product of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) for 2020–2025. Conclusions. The developed methodological approach, based on a phased prediction of gross regional product, provides forecasting for various variants of the coronavirus pandemic impact on the region's economy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (6) ◽  
pp. 43-53
Author(s):  
S. N. Medvedeva ◽  
V. P. Pavlyuk

Purpose of research. Tourism is the most important object in the system of modern economic relations. Its main goal is to create an environment conducive to meeting the needs of tourists, which ensure a steady flow of funds. In turn, the economic subsystem solves the problem of creating a competitive tourism industry – the most important determinant of economic growth. Therefore, the study of the competitiveness of the tourism industry market in ensuring sustainable economic growth of the state and increasing the well-being of the population is an extremely relevant direction in a market economy.At the moment, many international, domestic methods are used to assess the level of competitiveness (competitive opportunities). Methodological support for a comprehensive assessment of the competitiveness of tourism industry enterprises based on economic and mathematical models requires further development. An algorithm for assessing regional competitiveness is given on the example of building an econometric model, and testing it for its practical significance.The purpose of our study is to identify the factors affecting the increase in the level of competitiveness of the tourism potential of the Sevastopol region to ensure a sustainable influx of tourists.Materials and methods. The study of the level of increasing competitiveness based on the use of economic and mathematical modeling in the regional aspect is carried out. The «Gretl» software package was used as a statistical tool for the study. The study of the level of competitiveness in the field of the tourism industry in the Sevastopol region is carried out on the basis of a sample of 50 enterprises of the tourism industry, determined by the rating of the volume of gross revenues received per year. To model the share of the gross value added of the tourism industry in the gross regional product at the regional level, we considered the annual financial and economic data of the activities of travel companies, as well as the macroeconomic indicators of the Sevastopol region from 2015-2019. The processing of economic and financial indicators characterizing the micro- and macroeconomics, identification and interpretation of the model is made using computer technologies, in particular the Gretl software package.Results. According to the results of the study, the nature of the relationship between the share of the gross value added of the tourism industry in the gross regional product and the consumer price index, the growth rate of retail turnover, the growth rate of public catering turnover, and the quantity of registered crimes was revealed. Economic and mathematical modeling was carried out using various approaches to constructing the equations of the general model by the least squares method, with fixed or random effects.Conclusion. The article discusses the modeling of competitive advantages in the tourism industry, which makes it possible to determine the significant parameters of independent variables, and it was also proposed that the model with fixed effects is the most adequate for predicting the tourism potential of the Sevastopol region.It should be noted that it is almost impossible to achieve an increase in competitiveness by chance. Therefore, a set of methods and techniques is needed that form an innovative competitiveness management system. The implementation of such a system is directly related to the analysis and assessment of the whole variety of conditions and factors for the functioning of the subjects of the tourism industry.


2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 662-674
Author(s):  
S.G. Serikov

Subject. This article explores the changes in the economic development of the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug during the Soviet and post-Soviet periods. Objectives. The article aims to identify trends and features of the socio-economic development of the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug. Methods. For the study, I used the comparative, computational, constructive, and statistical analysis methods. Results. The article reveals key factors in the growth of the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug's gross regional product and the economic challenges to the region. As well, the article considers and proposes some possible options for further socio-economic development of the Okrug. Conclusions. The Okrug's current socio-economic problems are caused by not objective reasons only, but subjective factors, as well.


Author(s):  
Н.А. ЧИСТОВА ◽  
А.С. БОРОДИН ◽  
А.Е. КУЧЕРЯВЫЙ

Статья посвящена анализу возможностей сетей связи для сокращения цифрового разрыва между регионами Российской Федерации. Основным результатом статьи является установление взаимосвязи валового регионального продукта и доли занятых в сфере информатизации и связи в общем числе занятых во всех отраслях. Результаты статьи могут быть использованы заинтересованными министерствами и ведомствами при реализации программы цифровой экономики, научными и проектными организациями при планировании и проектировании сетей связи, а также университетами в учебном процессе. The article is devoted to the analysis of the capabilities of telecommunication networks with ultralow latency to reduce the digital divide between the regions of the Russian Federation. The main result of the article is to establish the relationship between the gross regional product and the share of people employed in the field of informatization and communications in the total number of people employed in all industries. The results of the article can be used by interested ministries and departments in the implementation of the digital economy program, scientific and design organizations in the planning and design of communication networks, as well as by universities in the educational process.


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